CurtinT Playoff Chances LL65 50/50
Lost to BourkeR 3-7, Lost to BowmanD 3-5, Plays AndrewsS 11:59 PM, Beat BreedingT 4-0, Lost to ColemanK 1-3, Beat ConeCW 6-1, Plays ErnstS 11:59 PM, Lost to FreezeB 0-1E-05 (ot), Beat GrecoG 8-5, Plays HartleyK 11:59 PM, Plays LeeD2 11:59 PM, Lost to PriceE 2-3, Lost to WatsonKR 5-9, Lost to EsneaultG 4-6, Lost to GelfandJ 4-5, Beat GrecoD 9-6, Beat HeffnerE 5-3, Beat HommeyerM 4-1, Beat HudsonB 3-1, Lost to JeziorskiM 8-9, Beat MuttrejaR 5-0, Beat RizzoA 6-1, Beat SamaK 1-0, Lost to SkardonS 0-6 (ot), Beat TavelP 2-0 (ot), playoff odds down 31.7 to 4%
20 points 11 8-2 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed |
| CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | -24.3 | No | +3.4 | -2.0 | ||||
| SkardonS 6 CurtinT 0 (ot) | -17.5 | -8.3 | +11.1 | -2.6 | ||||
| CurtinT 6 ConeCW 1 | +14.3 | +0.2 | -3.1 | +1.3 | ||||
| SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 | +10.2 | +0.2 | -7.0 | +1.3 | ||||
| GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 | +10.0 | +4.9 | -6.7 | +1.6 | ||||
| HommeyerM 1 CurtinT 4 | +9.5 | +5.5 | -7.2 | +1.6 | ||||
| BowmanD 5 CurtinT 3 | -9.3 | -6.3 | +5.2 | -1.4 | ||||
| EsneaultG 6 CurtinT 4 | -9.2 | -2.3 | +7.4 | -1.4 | ||||
| BourkeR 7 CurtinT 3 | -9.0 | -1.3 | +7.4 | -1.3 | ||||
| CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 | -8.6 | +2.8 | -1.1 | |||||
| JeziorskiM 9 CurtinT 8 | -8.6 | -6.4 | +5.4 | -1.5 | ||||
| TavelP 0 CurtinT 2 (ot) | +8.6 | +5.4 | -7.0 | +1.6 | ||||
| HudsonB 1 CurtinT 3 | +8.4 | +1.2 | -10.0 | +1.5 | ||||
| HeffnerE 3 CurtinT 5 | +8.4 | +4.7 | -8.0 | +1.7 | ||||
| GelfandJ 5 CurtinT 4 | -7.9 | -0.5 | +9.5 | -1.4 | ||||
| RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 | +7.7 | +0.1 | -8.7 | +1.3 | ||||
| CurtinT 4 BreedingT 0 | +7.6 | +3.7 | -8.6 | +1.7 | ||||
| CurtinT 1 ColemanK 3 | -7.4 | -4.4 | +7.1 | -1.5 | ||||
| CurtinT 8 GrecoG 5 | +7.2 | +3.7 | -8.1 | +1.6 | ||||
| CurtinT 2 PriceE 3 | -7.1 | -4.3 | +7.0 | -1.5 | ||||
| MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | +6.1 | +0.1 | -10.9 | +1.4 | ||||
| SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 | -2.3 | |||||||
| RizzoA 0 WatsonKR 4 | -1.9 | |||||||
| BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | -1.8 | |||||||
| SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 | -1.8 | |||||||
| GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | -1.8 | |||||||
| MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | -1.7 | |||||||
| GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | -1.2 | |||||||
| ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | +1.2 | |||||||
| ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | +1.1 | +0.6 | ||||||
| EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | +1.0 | |||||||
| MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | -1.0 | -0.6 | ||||||
| BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 | -0.9 | |||||||
| MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | +0.9 | |||||||
| HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.9 | |||||||
| SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | +0.9 | |||||||
| GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | +0.9 | |||||||
| GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.9 | -0.5 | ||||||
| HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | +0.8 | |||||||
| MuttrejaR 2 WatsonKR 3 | -0.8 | |||||||
| GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.7 | |||||||
| EsneaultG 7 RizzoA 1 | -0.7 | -0.2 | ||||||
| EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -0.7 | -0.4 | ||||||
| BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 | -0.6 | |||||||
| AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot) | *-0.6 | -0.9 | ||||||
| PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 | +0.6 | |||||||
| MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 | -0.6 | |||||||
| PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 | -0.5 | |||||||
| WatsonKR 6 TavelP 0 (ot) | *-0.5 | *-0.3 | ||||||
| ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | +0.4 | -0.5 | ||||||
| BrowneL 6 HeffnerE 2 | +0.4 | |||||||
| PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | -0.4 | -0.6 | ||||||
| LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | -0.7 | |||||||
| BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | -0.6 | |||||||
| LeeD2 7 JeziorskiM 3 | +0.3 | |||||||
| HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.4 | |||||||
| SharpJ 4 EsneaultG 7 | +0.3 | |||||||
| GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 | -0.6 | |||||||
| SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | *-0.3 | |||||||
| EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | *-0.3 | |||||||
| SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | +0.3 | +0.7 | ||||||
| LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2 | -0.6 | |||||||
| RizzoA 1 ConeCW 1 | *-0.2 | |||||||
| SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | *-0.2 | |||||||
| BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | +0.6 | |||||||
| HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | -0.6 | |||||||
| SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | -0.8 | |||||||
| AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | -0.4 | |||||||
| EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 | -0.5 | |||||||
| HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | +0.4 | |||||||
| ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | -0.7 | |||||||
| SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | -0.6 | |||||||
| BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | -0.6 | |||||||
| BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | +0.8 | |||||||
| ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | -0.9 | |||||||
| SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 | -0.8 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||||||||
| CurtinT vs AndrewsS | +4.1+3.8-1.8-4.0-3.7 | -6.1-6.0-2.1+15.7+5.4 | +1.2+1.1+0.0-2.1-1.1 | |||||
| CurtinT vs HartleyK | +4.1+3.9-1.7-4.0-3.7 | -6.9-7.0-3.1+17.9+6.3 | +1.2+1.2+0.1-2.2-1.1 | |||||
| GrecoG vs SkardonS | -0.9-0.9-0.2+1.6+0.9 | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | ||||||
| MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | -0.8-0.8*-0.0+1.7+0.6 | -0.9-1.1-0.2+0.9+1.0 | -0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||||
| MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | -0.7-0.8-0.1+1.6+0.7 | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||||
| BourkeR vs SharpJ | +0.8+1.4-0.2-0.8-0.9 | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| GrecoG vs EsneaultG | -0.7*-0.0-0.3+1.4+0.6 | -0.1-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.1 | ||||||
| SharpJ vs HudsonB | -0.8-0.7-0.1+1.3+0.7 | -0.4-1.2+0.2+0.5+0.5 | +0.1+0.2-0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| FreezeB vs WatsonKR | +0.2+0.8*-0.0-0.2-0.3 | +1.3+1.3*+0.1-2.2-1.2 | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | |||||
| ConeCW vs HartleyK | -0.5-0.5*-0.0+0.5+0.4 | -1.3-2.2*+0.1+1.0+1.4 | -0.1-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.0 | |||||
| PriceE vs HudsonB | -0.4-1.2+0.1+0.5+0.5 | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| GelfandJ vs LeeD2 | +0.5+0.5+0.2-1.2-0.5 | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | ||||||
| SamaK vs FreezeB | -0.9-1.9*-0.1+1.0+1.1 | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| RizzoA vs ErnstS | -0.9-1.2-0.1+1.0+1.0 | |||||||
| BourkeR vs BrowneL | -0.7-0.9-0.2+0.5+0.8 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the CurtinT finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | |||||||
| 28 | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 62.9 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 199,674 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 21.9 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 173,271 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 3.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 704,465 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 3.9 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 57,141 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 462,983 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 89,945 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,345 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 936,088 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | No | 101,381 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | No | 59,338 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 3 | No | 449 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 410,533 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 238,837 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0.1 | 12,798 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0.1 | 7,229 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | 553,398 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3.7 | 105,147 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 | 44,870 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3.3 | 15,525 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 39 | 21 | 1 | 1.3 | 897 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26.1 | 212,232 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 34.6 | 120,991 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26.6 | 11,359 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 21.2 | 6,587 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 79.2 | 123,092 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 70.9 | 46,777 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 66.8 | 26,903 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 61.8 | 740 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 95.1 | 62,679 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 28 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 93.0 | 5,884 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 91.9 | 1,149 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 28 | 43 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 99.7 | 11,965 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | 7 | 35 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | Yes | 246 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 3 | Yes | 963 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | 23 | 52 | 13 | 13 | Yes | 31 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4.0 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 | % | 4,813,912 | |||||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:09 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
