JeziorskiM Playoff Chances LL65 50/50Lost to AndrewsS 5-6, Tied BreedingT 6-6, Beat BrowneL 7-3, Beat ColemanK 6-5, Beat ErnstS 4-3, Beat GrecoG 5-1, Lost to HartleyK 6-8, Beat HeffnerE 9-5, Beat BourkeR 8-0, Plays BowmanD 11:59 PM, Beat ConeCW 4-2, Beat CurtinT 9-8, Beat EsneaultG 9-5, Beat FreezeB 6-4, Beat GelfandJ 3-1, Plays HommeyerM 11:59 PM, Beat HudsonB 8-0 (ot), Lost to MuttrejaR 5-7, Beat RizzoA 7-0, Lost to LeeD2 3-7, Beat PriceE 7-1, Plays at SamaK 11:59 PM, Beat SharpJ 4-3, Plays at TavelP 11:59 PM, Lost to WatsonKR 4-7, playoff odds up 64.3 to 99.99% 31 points 15 5-0 1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | +9.9 | | +6.7 | | -1.4 | | +1.2 | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | +9.7 | | +8.2 | | -2.0 | | +1.3 | | JeziorskiM 7 RizzoA 0 | +8.7 | | +7.8 | | -4.9 | | +1.5 | | JeziorskiM 8 BourkeR 0 | +8.6 | | +6.7 | | -6.2 | | +1.6 | | JeziorskiM 3 GelfandJ 1 | +8.5 | | +7.8 | | -5.0 | | +1.5 | | SharpJ 3 JeziorskiM 4 | +8.4 | | +8.5 | | -0.5 | | +1.1 | | JeziorskiM 9 CurtinT 8 | +8.3 | | +9.0 | | -3.4 | | +1.4 | | JeziorskiM 8 HudsonB 0 (ot) | +8.2 | | +5.6 | | -6.8 | | +1.6 | | JeziorskiM 9 EsneaultG 5 | +7.7 | | +4.7 | | -7.6 | | +1.6 | | JeziorskiM 5 MuttrejaR 7 | -7.4 | | -8.0 | | +3.6 | | -1.3 | | AndrewsS 6 JeziorskiM 5 | -7.3 | | -9.7 | | +1.2 | | -1.1 | | JeziorskiM 4 ConeCW 2 | +7.2 | | +9.5 | | -2.3 | | +1.2 | | LeeD2 7 JeziorskiM 3 | -7.2 | | -9.2 | | +0.8 | | -1.1 | | JeziorskiM 6 FreezeB 4 | +6.1 | | +9.7 | | -1.4 | | +1.1 | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | +6.0 | | +9.1 | | | | +0.9 | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | -5.7 | | -9.2 | | +1.0 | | -1.0 | | WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 | -4.3 | | -8.8 | | +0.6 | | -0.9 | | GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | +4.1 | | +11.9 | | | | +0.9 | | ColemanK 5 JeziorskiM 6 | +1.8 | | +12.8 | | *No | | +0.8 | | PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 | +0.8 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.8 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 | -0.7 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 | -0.6 | | -0.7 | | | | | | AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.5 | | -1.0 | | | | | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | +0.5 | | +15.3 | | | | +0.7 | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | +0.4 | | -0.6 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | +0.4 | | -0.8 | | | | | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | +0.4 | | -1.2 | | | | | | BreedingT 6 JeziorskiM 6 | +0.3 | | *-0.3 | | | | +0.0 | | SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 | -0.3 | | -0.7 | | | | | | SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | +0.3 | | -1.7 | | | | | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | -0.3 | | +0.9 | | | | | | BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 | +0.3 | | -0.6 | | | | | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | +0.3 | | -0.8 | | | | | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | | | +1.0 | | | | | | EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | | | -2.2 | | | | | | GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | -2.1 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 WatsonKR 3 | | | | | *No | | | | SharpJ 5 PriceE 3 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | | | +2.0 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 | | | -2.2 | | | | | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | | | +3.0 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | | | -3.0 | | | | | | LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | | | *-0.3 | | | | | | BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 | | | -3.9 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4 | | | +3.3 | | | | | | PriceE 4 GrecoD 5 | | | -3.0 | | | | | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | | | +3.0 | | | | | | PriceE 0 BowmanD 3 (ot) | | | -2.8 | | | | | | BourkeR 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -2.3 | | | | | | GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | | | +2.3 | | | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | -1.8 | | | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | +1.4 | | | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | -1.3 | | | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | -1.2 | | | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | -1.1 | | | | | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | LeeD2 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -0.9 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | | | +0.8 | | | | | | SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | PriceE 1 ColemanK 3 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | SamaK 3 SharpJ 2 | | | +0.7 | | | | | | LeeD2 4 PriceE 3 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | LeeD2 2 GrecoG 1 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | HudsonB 1 ErnstS 0 | | | | | *No | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | SamaK vs JeziorskiM | *-0.0-0.1+0.0InIn | | -16.1-28.0+1.8+15.9+17.1 | | | | -0.6-1.2+0.1+0.6+0.7 | | TavelP vs JeziorskiM | *-0.0-0.1InInIn | | -16.1-28.0+1.6+16.0+17.2 | | | | -0.6-1.2+0.1+0.6+0.7 | | GrecoG vs SkardonS | -0.0*-0.0*-0.0In+0.0 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | | | +4.1+8.2*-0.2-4.4-4.5 | | | | +0.1+0.2+0.0-0.1-0.1 | | GelfandJ vs LeeD2 | | | +4.2+8.4-0.3-4.6-4.6 | | | | +0.1+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | BreedingT vs GrecoD | | | +3.9+7.0-0.4-3.8-4.2 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | ColemanK vs GrecoD | | | +3.9+6.9-0.4-3.6-4.3 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | RizzoA vs AndrewsS | | | +2.9+6.7-0.9-3.3-3.1 | | | | +0.1+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | CurtinT vs AndrewsS | | | +2.9+6.8-0.9-3.1-3.1 | | | | +0.1+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | HeffnerE vs BowmanD | | | +3.5+5.2+0.6-3.5-3.9 | | | | +0.1+0.2+0.0-0.1-0.1 | | BreedingT vs BowmanD | | | +3.5+5.0+0.4-3.5-3.8 | | | | +0.1+0.2+0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the JeziorskiM finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 39 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 14 | 73 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 198,519 | | 38 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 99.8 | | 4 | 60 | 31 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 174,718 | | 37 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 97.3 | | 1 | 35 | 43 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 705,490 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 97.6 | | 1 | 36 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 57,223 | | 36 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 88.3 | | 0 | 14 | 39 | 35 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 461,627 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 91.4 | | 0 | 17 | 42 | 32 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,714 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 89.1 | | 0 | 15 | 41 | 33 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,026 | | 35 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 59.0 | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 937,835 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 61.6 | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,458 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 66.6 | | 0 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 29 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,052 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 64.3 | | | 3 | 19 | 42 | 31 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 479 | | 34 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 30.0 | | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 42 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 410,768 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 36.8 | | | 1 | 7 | 29 | 43 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 239,169 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 36.4 | | | 0 | 7 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,953 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 30.3 | | | 0 | 5 | 25 | 42 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,396 | | 33 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 6.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 48 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 552,866 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 9.9 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 104,583 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 6.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 47 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,222 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 11.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 43 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,139 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | In | 10.3 | | | | 1 | 9 | 37 | 44 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 909 | | 32 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 1.4 | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 47 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 211,388 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.7 | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 121,667 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 1.1 | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 48 | 31 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,280 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | In | 1.7 | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 27 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,758 | | 31 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 42 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 122,812 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,370 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,343 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | In | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 36 | 44 | 13 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 695 | | 30 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 99.9 | | No | | | | | 0 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 62,268 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | 100.0 | | No | | | | | 0 | 11 | 37 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,887 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | In | No | | | | | 0 | 13 | 35 | 38 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,185 | | 29 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 99.1 | | No | | | | | | 2 | 15 | 38 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,830 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | 98.8 | | No | | | | | | 3 | 15 | 46 | 29 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 245 | | 28 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 89.5 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 40 | 29 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,010 | | 27 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 46.4 | | No | | | | | | | | | 11 | 36 | 36 | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 100.0 | % | 52.7 | % | 1 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,813,912 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |