"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456Avg.ChangeRPI3/12
MonarchsWVandals 6-03115-5-163In53471.52Strange BrewsMonarchs
ThrashersWStrange Brews 4-130114-4-249In47531.51VandalsThrashers
VandalsLMonarchs 0-621110-9-10In1003.03at ThrashersVandals
Monarchs6C0210-0-0042.9%+13.44337204.8+0.265Monarchs6C
Iced Awesome0210-0-0042.9+13.34337204.8+0.265Iced Awesome
Strange BrewsLThrashers 1-400-21-0-11214.2-26.71426605.5-0.524at MonarchsStrange Brews

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/26
Strange Brews 0 Thrashers 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Monarchs-0.2
Thrashers+0.2
Monarchs6C+11.1
+0.2
Iced Awesome+11.2
+0.2
Strange Brews-22.3
-0.4
Monarchs 3 Vandals 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Monarchs+0.3
Thrashers-0.1
Vandals-0.1
Week of 3/5
Strange Brews 1 Thrashers 4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Monarchs-0.2
Thrashers+0.2
Monarchs6C+13.3
+0.3
Iced Awesome+13.4
+0.3
Strange Brews-26.7
-0.5
Monarchs 6 Vandals 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Monarchs+0.2
Thrashers-0.2
Iced Awesome+0.1
Week of 3/12
Vandals vs Iced AwesomeIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Monarchs6C61.448.823.8
4.54.85.0
Iced Awesome11.326.376.2
5.35.04.2
Strange Brews27.324.9Out
5.25.35.7
Monarchs6C vs ThrashersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Monarchs1.21.31.7
Thrashers1.81.71.3
Monarchs6C76.226.311.3
4.25.05.3
Iced Awesome23.848.861.4
5.04.84.5
Strange BrewsOut24.927.3
5.75.35.2
Monarchs vs Strange BrewsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Monarchs1.21.31.7
Thrashers1.81.71.3
Monarchs6C50.038.736.2
4.55.05.0
Iced Awesome50.038.736.2
4.55.05.0
Strange BrewsOut22.627.6
6.05.15.0
Thrashers vs VandalsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Monarchs1.71.31.2
Thrashers1.31.71.8
Monarchs6C42.8*42.943.0
Iced Awesome42.9*42.942.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Andrew Morrison for adding this league.