Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsRundle BChance will finish regular season at seedRundle E
TuesdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728Avg.Change%ChangeRPIWednesday
ColemanKWBowmanD 6-437182-0181In99.9%+1.0898210001.2+0.24No1GrecoDColemanK
AndrewsSWMuttrejaR 9-232165-0083100.0%+0.177.2+13.453123181472000003.4+0.61No6at RizzoAAndrewsS
GrecoDLGrecoG 4-632154-0243100.0+0.070.3-14.342323211793100003.7-0.77No5at ColemanKGrecoD
LeeD2WBourkeR 6-232165-0030100.0+0.264.4+13.1220222119114100003.9+0.61No4at GelfandJLeeD2
JeziorskiMWHeffnerE 9-531155-0143100.0+0.552.7+12.6113182020177310004.4+0.62No2at TavelPJeziorskiM
BowmanDLColemanK 4-630145-022999.9+0.030.5-22.905101520261472100005.4-0.93No3at BreedingTBowmanD
WatsonKRWCurtinT 9-527137-012292.8+14.02.6+0.600125132524168421000007.8+0.96No-0.08at ConeCWWatsonKR
EsneaultGWSharpJ 7-427126-031891.8+14.02.3+0.400025122423169521000007.9+0.90No-0.07at PriceEEsneaultG
MuttrejaRLAndrewsS 2-925117-031972.4-9.40.2-3.00001411182217127421000009.5-0.980.0%10ErnstSMuttrejaR
SharpJLEsneaultG 4-724118-021655.2-11.80.0-0.7000161218191611753210000010.5-0.890.0+0.011HudsonBSharpJ
GrecoGWGrecoD 6-424118-02246.9+18.10.0-0.00001491419181396421000010.9+1.170.0-0.79SkardonSGrecoG
ConeCWLFreezeB 4-722109-02116.9-13.4No-0.000125913161513107531000012.9-0.971.5+0.613WatsonKRConeCW
HommeyerMWBreedingT 4-32199-03-76.7+3.2No000258121314131210631000014.2+1.084.2-6.815at HeffnerEHommeyerM
HeffnerELJeziorskiM 5-92199-03-106.2-9.0No-0.0000248111314131211731000014.3-1.084.3+2.014HommeyerMHeffnerE
CurtinTLWatsonKR 5-920118-20124.0-7.9No00013691214141311842100014.9-1.147.7+3.812HartleyKCurtinT
GelfandJTErnstS 2-220910-02-43.5-0.7No00135810131415131053100015.2+0.049.1-2.216LeeD2GelfandJ
HudsonBWBrowneL 4-120109-11-73.8+2.2No001357101214151411521000015.3+1.139.0-12.218at SharpJHudsonB
FreezeBWConeCW 7-418710-04-200.0+0.0No00001357111520161173100017.8+0.8938.8-15.317at SamaKFreezeB
HartleyKTRizzoA 3-317711-03-260.0-0.0No00001247101521171263100018.8-0.0859.8+4.120at CurtinTHartleyK
BrowneLLHudsonB 1-415713-01-12Out-0.0No0001248162119149510020.4-1.1184.1+19.719at BourkeRBrowneL
ErnstSTGelfandJ 2-215612-03-27Out-0.0No00012371419211710510020.7-0.0987.4+4.922at MuttrejaRErnstS
SamaKWTavelP 2-0 (ot)14710-22-37OutNo0000137121823181241021.7+0.8395.0-1.527FreezeBSamaK
SkardonSWPriceE 4-212514-02-20OutNo0002510172422115223.0+0.8399.5-0.024at GrecoGSkardonS
BourkeRLLeeD2 2-612411-15-37OutNo0000259142124147323.3-0.8799.7+3.625BrowneLBourkeR
PriceELSkardonS 2-49515-10-32OutNo001381529261825.2-0.58Yes+0.123EsneaultGPriceE
BreedingTLHommeyerM 3-48312-24-42OutNo00013819303825.9-0.46Yes+0.026BowmanDBreedingT
RizzoATHartleyK 3-38411-33-42OutNo00013720303925.9+0.06Yes+0.021AndrewsSRizzoA
TavelPLSamaK 0-2 (ot)-1511-181-76OutNo10028.0Yes28JeziorskiMTavelP

Playoffs = promoted to B & C, promoted = promoted to B, relegated = rundle e

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
SharpJ 4 EsneaultG 7
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
EsneaultG+13.7
+1.9
No
+1.1
SharpJ-15.6
-0.7
-1.0
GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS+1.8
GrecoD-8.5
-0.5
LeeD2+1.9
JeziorskiM+2.0
BowmanD+1.8
EsneaultG-2.2
MuttrejaR-1.8
SharpJ-2.4
GrecoG+14.5
-0.7
+1.1
ConeCW-2.2
ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
WatsonKR+1.9
EsneaultG+1.8
MuttrejaR+1.7
SharpJ+2.3
GrecoG+2.0
ConeCW-13.8
No
+0.8
-1.0
HudsonB+2.1
FreezeB-16.5
+1.0
HartleyK+3.3
BrowneL+2.9
ErnstS+1.9
CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
WatsonKR+12.6
+2.0
No
+1.0
CurtinT-8.6
+2.8
-1.1
MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS+0.1
+15.5
+0.7
GrecoD-1.7
LeeD2-3.7
JeziorskiM-3.0
BowmanD-3.1
MuttrejaR-9.9
-2.9
-0.9
GrecoG+1.6
ConeCW+1.6
HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS-3.5
GrecoD-2.2
LeeD2-3.9
JeziorskiM+15.3
+0.7
BowmanD-3.8
HeffnerE-9.4
No
+1.7
-1.0
BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
HommeyerM+3.4
-7.6
+1.1
BrowneL+1.3
BreedingTYes
-0.5
HudsonB 4 BrowneL 1
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
HudsonB+1.7
-13.9
+1.2
BrowneLOut
+16.8
-1.0
GelfandJ 2 ErnstS 2
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
GelfandJ-1.1
-2.9
+0.1
ErnstS+2.6
-0.0
BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS-4.0
GrecoD-2.4
LeeD2+16.5
+0.7
JeziorskiM-3.9
BowmanD-4.1
BourkeR+3.2
-0.8
ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
ColemanK+1.1
+0.2
AndrewsS+3.1
GrecoD+2.0
LeeD2+3.5
JeziorskiM+3.3
BowmanD-14.6
-0.7
RizzoA 3 HartleyK 3
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
HartleyK*-0.1
+0.0
BrowneL*-0.1
SamaK 2 TavelP 0 (ot)
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
SamaK-2.6
+0.8
PriceE 2 SkardonS 4
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
SkardonS+0.9
PriceE+0.1
-0.7
Wednesday
SharpJ vs HudsonBIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
MuttrejaR69.970.072.176.674.7
9.69.69.59.39.4
SharpJ73.672.057.325.338.0
0.00.00.0NoNo
NoNo0.00.20.0
9.59.610.312.311.4
GrecoG43.043.447.454.150.3
11.010.910.910.710.8
ConeCW14.715.2*17.020.818.8
12.912.912.912.813.0
HudsonB0.10.01.77.97.9
15.426.06.42.11.8
16.417.215.214.114.0
GrecoG vs SkardonSHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
JeziorskiM100.0*100.0*100.0In100.0
MuttrejaR68.869.2*72.577.675.6
9.69.69.59.39.4
SharpJ50.851.255.061.959.3
10.610.610.510.310.4
GrecoG65.563.947.819.129.5
0.00.00.0NoNo
NoNo0.00.30.1
9.910.010.812.611.8
ConeCW14.314.616.620.719.4
13.113.013.012.712.8
SkardonS100.0Yes99.999.199.0
23.724.323.022.322.3
MuttrejaR vs ErnstSHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
MuttrejaR87.386.275.045.158.5
0.40.30.0No0.0
No*No*No0.0*0.0
8.68.79.411.010.3
SharpJ52.252.654.960.358.1
10.610.610.510.310.4
GrecoG43.443.546.053.550.2
11.011.010.910.710.8
ConeCW14.815.016.520.518.9
1.21.1*1.51.81.8
13.013.012.912.812.9
ErnstS96.599.089.279.377.4
21.522.120.619.919.8
ConeCW vs WatsonKRHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
WatsonKR86.778.195.899.099.2
0.20.01.54.75.3
8.69.27.77.17.0
ConeCW29.829.014.02.05.1
0.00.10.56.52.8
11.711.812.914.814.0
PriceE vs EsneaultGHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
EsneaultG85.876.893.997.998.3
0.10.01.34.24.8
8.69.27.97.27.1
HeffnerE vs HommeyerMHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
HommeyerM0.90.24.611.813.2
7.714.32.30.40.3
15.516.314.213.012.9
HeffnerE12.311.24.10.10.8
0.40.42.414.87.8
13.013.014.316.315.6
CurtinT vs HartleyKHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
CurtinT8.17.92.30.00.3
0.80.84.625.614.0
13.613.614.817.016.0
FreezeB35.433.339.539.742.6
17.817.717.817.717.8
HartleyKOut*Out*Out*0.00.0
77.285.560.440.441.4
19.820.418.917.817.8
GelfandJ vs LeeD2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS80.083.176.774.174.1
3.23.13.43.53.5
GrecoD74.277.069.866.566.2
3.53.53.73.83.8
LeeD2*100.0100.0In*InIn
48.734.166.580.581.4
4.65.23.93.33.3
JeziorskiM56.961.152.548.248.2
4.34.24.44.64.6
BowmanD34.136.729.827.126.7
5.25.25.45.55.5
GelfandJ7.26.32.00.00.3
2.02.36.826.015.4
14.014.115.117.116.3
BrowneL85.685.484.480.282.7
20.420.420.420.320.3
BreedingT vs BowmanDHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS80.081.6*77.374.174.1
3.33.23.43.53.5
GrecoD73.575.070.667.466.8
3.63.53.73.83.8
LeeD267.970.064.861.160.5
3.83.73.94.04.1
JeziorskiM56.357.853.249.248.9
4.34.24.44.54.5
BowmanD99.899.1100.0100.0100.0
16.38.929.044.345.9
6.06.65.34.74.6
SamaK vs FreezeBHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
FreezeBOutOut0.00.10.1
55.467.937.022.321.0
18.819.517.816.816.7
HartleyK56.353.5*59.963.163.7
18.818.718.818.818.9
BrowneL82.379.383.886.386.2
20.420.320.420.320.4
ErnstS85.784.1*87.389.189.3
20.720.620.720.620.6
SamaK89.689.497.5100.099.8
20.820.821.723.122.5
TavelP vs JeziorskiMHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS80.383.4*77.273.673.7
3.23.23.33.53.5
GrecoD74.176.569.866.766.2
3.53.53.73.83.8
LeeD268.671.963.860.260.0
3.83.73.94.14.1
JeziorskiM*100.099.9InInIn
36.724.854.468.869.9
5.05.64.33.83.7
BowmanD34.136.030.127.026.7
5.35.25.45.55.5
GrecoG0.00.0*0.0No0.0
ColemanK vs GrecoDHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
ColemanK100.0Yes100.099.099.8
1.01.01.11.51.3
AndrewsS79.983.076.674.474.2
3.33.23.43.43.5
GrecoD*100.0100.0*In*InIn
55.941.172.585.086.0
4.34.93.73.03.0
LeeD267.872.063.761.160.6
3.83.74.04.04.1
JeziorskiM56.759.652.449.148.5
4.34.24.44.54.5
BowmanD33.536.729.827.627.2
5.35.25.45.55.5
RizzoA vs AndrewsSHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS65.247.380.190.590.6
3.94.63.32.82.8
GrecoD72.776.769.767.867.6
3.63.43.73.83.8
LeeD267.672.063.960.760.9
3.83.73.94.14.1
JeziorskiM55.659.551.849.549.6
4.34.24.44.54.5
BowmanD33.037.129.927.627.6
5.35.15.45.55.5
BourkeR vs BrowneLHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
FreezeB36.736.038.440.841.0
17.717.717.817.917.9
BrowneL94.698.586.073.472.6
21.322.020.319.519.4
BourkeR99.299.3100.0Yes100.0
22.522.423.424.524.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you hartleyk for adding this league.