Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedChampionship
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength10/15
Manchester Cityat Tottenham Hotspur1816-0-01333.7%-1.776.7%-1.53420141075432110000000003.2-0.100.0%-0.07.559EvertonManchester City
Tottenham HotspurManchester City1414-2-0717.2-0.959.8-1.717161412108654321110000004.4-0.080.1-0.03.556at West BromTottenham Hotspur
LiverpoolWSwansea City 2-1165-1-1813.1+4.153.2+9.813141412119764322110000004.9+0.890.1-0.31.531Manchester UnitedLiverpool
EvertonTCrystal Palace 1-1144-2-1610.4-1.247.2-2.510121312119865432111000005.4-0.110.2-0.15.547at Manchester CityEverton
Arsenalat Burnley1314-1-1810.2-0.646.2-1.810121212119875432211000005.5-0.080.3-0.12.534Swansea CityArsenal
Manchester UnitedStoke City1214-0-256.0-0.434.2-1.96810101010987643321110006.6-0.080.6-0.14.518at LiverpoolManchester United
ChelseaWHull City 2-0134-1-233.8+1.926.0+9.946899101098765432111007.4+1.651.0-2.26.503Leicester CityChelsea
Crystal PalaceTEverton 1-1113-2-232.4-0.419.5-1.8246789999876543211108.3-0.041.7-0.410.506West HamCrystal Palace
Southamptonat Leicester City812-2-211.0-0.110.4-0.91234567899887654321110.04.5-0.612.485BurnleySouthampton
West BromTSunderland 1-192-3-210.8-0.39.1-2.01234567899887654322110.3-0.204.9-0.417.486Tottenham HotspurWest Bromwich Albion
WatfordTBournemouth 2-282-2-3-10.4-0.15.2-1.20122345678888876543211.6-0.128.7-0.713.463at MiddlesbroughWatford
Leicester CitySouthampton712-1-3-30.3-0.03.8-0.40112334677888887654312.3+0.0612.0-1.28.441at ChelseaLeicester City
BurnleyArsenal712-1-3-30.2-0.02.8-0.30011234567788988765312.9+0.1115.1-1.614.429at SouthamptonBurnley
BournemouthTWatford 2-282-2-3-50.1-0.01.9-0.20011223456788999886413.5+0.2418.2-3.19.411Hull CityAFC Bournemouth
MiddlesbroughTWest Ham 1-161-3-3-30.1-0.01.6-0.60001123446778999987513.9-0.1220.9-0.718.434WatfordMiddlesbrough
Hull CityLChelsea 0-272-1-4-70.1-0.11.1-1.80001112345678991010109714.4-1.3025.3+8.011.404at BournemouthHull City
Swansea CityLLiverpool 1-241-1-5-60.0-0.00.4-0.5000001112345678101112141415.9-0.6940.3+6.315.404at ArsenalSwansea City
West HamTMiddlesbrough 1-141-1-5-90.0-0.00.4-0.2000001112334678101113141516.1-0.1342.5+0.320.399at Crystal PalaceWest Ham United
SunderlandTWest Brom 1-120-2-5-70.0-0.00.2-0.100000011123456791113172216.7-0.0451.3-0.519.398at Stoke CitySunderland
Stoke Cityat Manchester United210-2-4-110.0-0.00.2-0.000000011123346791113172216.8+0.1452.2-2.716.381SunderlandStoke City

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/26
Swansea City 1 Manchester City 3
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City+5.5
+5.9
+0.5
Tottenham Hotspur-1.1
-0.5
Everton-1.4
-0.5
Arsenal-0.6
-0.5
Burnley-0.5
Bournemouth-0.5
Swansea City-0.9
+4.5
-0.6
West Ham-0.5
Sunderland-0.6
Stoke City-0.6
Bournemouth 1 Everton 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City+1.6
+0.7
Tottenham Hotspur+1.0
+0.7
Liverpool+0.4
+0.7
Everton-5.2
-7.9
+0.2
-0.7
Arsenal+0.5
+0.7
Chelsea+0.5
+0.7
Burnley+1.0
Bournemouth+1.1
-8.6
+1.0
Swansea City+0.9
West Ham+0.9
Sunderland+1.1
Stoke City+1.1
Middlesbrough 1 Tottenham Hotspur 2
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City-1.1
-0.5
Tottenham Hotspur+4.0
+7.1
-0.2
+0.6
Everton-0.9
-0.6
Arsenal-0.4
-0.6
Middlesbrough-0.2
-1.6
+3.6
-0.7
Arsenal 3 Chelsea 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal+2.8
+8.2
-0.6
+0.9
Chelsea-2.1
-6.8
+0.7
-0.8
Swansea City 1 Liverpool 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City-0.8
-0.6
Tottenham Hotspur-0.6
-0.8
Liverpool+2.7
+7.0
-0.2
+0.6
Everton-0.3
-0.8
Arsenal-0.3
-0.9
Manchester United-0.2
-0.8
Crystal Palace-0.6
Bournemouth-0.5
Middlesbrough-0.5
Swansea City-0.4
+5.3
-0.6
West Ham-0.7
Sunderland-0.7
Stoke City-0.7
Liverpool 5 Hull City 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool+2.1
+7.1
-0.8
+0.9
Hull City-0.5
-3.0
+2.7
-0.8
Manchester United 4 Leicester City 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+1.6
+6.5
-1.2
+0.9
Leicester City-0.6
-3.5
+2.4
-0.8
Everton 1 Crystal Palace 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City+0.5
+0.3
Everton-1.2
-2.0
-0.1
Crystal Palace-0.3
-1.1
-0.1
Sunderland 2 Crystal Palace 3
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace+1.0
+4.7
-1.8
+0.8
Burnley-0.5
Bournemouth-0.6
Swansea City-0.4
West Ham-0.5
Sunderland-0.3
+6.0
-0.5
Stoke City-0.6
Hull City 0 Chelsea 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea+0.8
+4.8
-1.4
+0.9
Hull City-1.1
+4.2
-0.7
Burnley 2 Watford 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford-0.7
-4.1
+2.7
-0.9
Burnley+1.0
-8.3
+1.0
Sunderland+0.7
Stoke City+0.7
Stoke City 1 West Brom 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Brom-0.4
-1.8
+0.4
-0.3
West Ham-0.2
Stoke City+0.7
-0.1
Sunderland 1 West Brom 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Brom-0.2
-1.5
+0.4
-0.3
Swansea City-0.2
West Ham-0.2
Sunderland+0.8
-0.1
Stoke City-0.2
West Ham 0 Southampton 3
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Southampton+0.2
+1.9
-5.6
+1.0
West Ham-0.8
+6.5
-0.7
Watford 2 Bournemouth 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford-1.0
+0.7
-0.3
Bournemouth-0.3
+0.4
-0.1
West Ham 1 Middlesbrough 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough-0.4
+1.0
-0.2
West Ham+1.1
-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City26.432.442.1
70.775.983.3
3.63.22.7
Tottenham Hotspur23.616.211.7
68.358.452.6
3.84.55.0
Liverpool13.313.612.4
52.953.553.3
Burnley vs ArsenalHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City34.634.232.9
77.377.076.1
Tottenham Hotspur17.817.516.7
60.660.259.1
Liverpool13.513.312.6
54.053.652.4
Everton10.810.610.0
48.147.646.4
Arsenal7.18.913.3
38.243.453.4
0.50.30.1
6.25.74.9
Manchester United6.26.15.8
35.034.733.5
Burnley0.40.20.1
4.72.61.8
9.8*15.118.5
11.913.013.5
Manchester United vs Stoke CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur16.917.417.6
59.160.260.7
4.54.44.4
Liverpool12.813.213.4
52.553.654.1
5.04.94.9
Everton10.210.510.6
46.547.648.1
Arsenal10.010.410.5
45.446.647.1
Manchester United7.95.03.9
40.431.226.9
0.30.71.1
5.96.97.4
Chelsea3.73.93.9
25.426.326.8
Bournemouth1.92.02.0
17.7*18.119.1
Middlesbrough20.4*20.921.8
Hull City24.8*25.326.4
Swansea City39.6*40.341.5
15.8*15.915.9
West Ham41.8*42.543.8
16.016.016.1
Sunderland50.6*51.252.7
16.716.716.8
Stoke City0.10.20.4
57.752.542.3
17.216.816.0
Leicester City vs SouthamptonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Southampton0.60.81.6
7.29.214.1
6.54.82.6
10.910.39.2
Leicester City0.50.20.1
5.83.42.5
7.712.315.4
11.312.413.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.