Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedChampionship
1/14PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
ChelseaWLeicester City 3-05217-1-33073.7%+5.999.3%+1.074186210000000001.4+0.14No2.754Hull CityChelsea
Tottenham HotspurWWest Brom 4-04513-6-22914.5+2.191.0+8.415392414620000000000002.7+0.380.0%1.757at Manchester CityTottenham Hotspur
LiverpoolTManchester United 1-14513-6-2256.0-4.776.9-0.86202724157100000000003.5-0.19No-0.03.685Swansea CityLiverpool
ArsenalWSwansea City 4-04413-5-3264.5+0.671.2+14.841625261892000000000003.7+0.410.05.699BurnleyArsenal
Manchester CityLEverton 0-44213-3-5150.9-3.435.6-22.5151119292861000000000004.8-0.780.06.623Tottenham HotspurManchester City
Manchester UnitedTLiverpool 1-14011-7-3120.4-0.524.3-1.90371426371110000000000005.3-0.090.0-0.04.626at Stoke CityManchester United
EvertonWManchester City 4-0339-6-690.01.5+1.1000141458154210000000007.1+0.690.0-0.07.588at Crystal PalaceEverton
West BromLTottenham Hotspur 0-4298-5-800.0-0.00.1-0.10000021337191174321000009.0-0.740.0+0.08.490SunderlandWest Bromwich Albion
Stoke CityWSunderland 3-1277-6-8-60.0-0.00.0+0.0000000313181614129753100010.9+1.160.5-2.09.429Manchester UnitedStoke City
BurnleyWSouthampton 1-0268-2-11-80.00.0000000291415141311964210011.5+1.071.1-2.812.400at ArsenalBurnley
BournemouthLHull City 1-3257-4-10-70.0-0.00.0-0.0000000291415141311975210011.6-0.971.2+0.510.426WatfordAFC Bournemouth
West HamWCrystal Palace 3-0257-4-10-90.00.00000001711131413121086310012.0+1.591.7-6.013.400at MiddlesbroughWest Ham United
SouthamptonLBurnley 0-1246-6-9-70.0-0.00.0-0.00000001591112131312108421012.6-0.772.9+0.911.396Leicester CitySouthampton
WatfordTMiddlesbrough 0-0236-5-10-130.0-0.00.0-0.0000000024681012141413952114.0-0.018.0-1.714.359at BournemouthWatford
Leicester CityLChelsea 0-3215-6-10-100.00.0-0.00000000246810111314141063114.1-0.779.3+2.615.386at SouthamptonLeicester City
MiddlesbroughTWatford 0-0204-8-9-50.00.0-0.0000000013468111315151274114.5-0.1711.9-0.816.412West HamMiddlesbrough
Crystal PalaceLWest Ham 0-3164-4-13-10No-0.00.0-0.000000000123471014201813716.6-0.9538.2+12.120.403EvertonCrystal Palace
SunderlandLStoke City 1-3154-3-14-20No0.0-0.00000000000112471320252718.2-0.4172.4+6.018.299at West BromSunderland
Hull CityWBournemouth 3-1164-4-13-25No0.00000000000012361220263018.4+0.8375.4-15.319.274at ChelseaHull City
Swansea CityLArsenal 0-4154-3-14-26No-0.00.0-0.00000000000012361119263218.4-0.4377.3+6.517.285at LiverpoolSwansea City

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/14
Leicester City 0 Chelsea 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea+5.7
+0.7
Tottenham Hotspur-2.2
Liverpool-1.8
Arsenal-0.7
Manchester City-0.8
Leicester CityNo
+1.5
-0.3
Sunderland-0.3
Tottenham Hotspur 4 West Brom 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea-2.5
Tottenham Hotspur+3.7
+4.9
No
+0.3
Liverpool-0.6
-0.9
Arsenal-0.3
-1.3
Manchester City-0.3
-1.3
Manchester United-1.1
West Brom-0.2
Everton 4 Manchester City 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea+1.1
Tottenham Hotspur+0.4
+1.7
Liverpool+0.3
+2.1
Arsenal+3.2
Manchester City-2.0
-10.1
-0.4
Manchester United+2.3
Everton+0.6
+0.4
Manchester United 1 Liverpool 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea+1.2
Tottenham Hotspur+0.3
+0.5
Liverpool-1.6
-1.2
*No
-0.1
Arsenal+0.9
Manchester City+0.9
Manchester United-0.2
-1.3
No
-0.0
Swansea City 0 Arsenal 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea-0.6
Tottenham Hotspur-0.2
-1.1
Liverpool-1.3
Arsenal+1.1
+5.9
No
+0.2
Manchester City-1.9
Manchester United-1.4
West Ham-0.4
Watford-0.5
Leicester City-0.3
Middlesbrough-0.5
Crystal Palace-0.9
Sunderland-0.7
Hull City-0.3
Swansea City*No
No
+4.1
-0.2
Burnley 1 Southampton 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Burnley-2.3
+0.9
SouthamptonNo
+1.4
-0.7
Hull City 3 Bournemouth 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
BournemouthNo
+0.8
-0.7
Crystal Palace+1.3
Sunderland+1.0
Hull City-6.9
+0.4
Swansea City+0.9
Sunderland 1 Stoke City 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Stoke City-1.6
+0.7
West Ham-0.6
Watford-0.7
Leicester City-0.5
Middlesbrough-0.8
Crystal Palace-1.4
SunderlandNo
+7.4
-0.4
Hull City-0.4
Swansea City-1.0
West Ham 3 Crystal Palace 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Ham-4.5
+0.9
Crystal Palace+9.2
-0.7
Sunderland-1.3
Swansea City-1.1
Watford 0 Middlesbrough 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
WatfordNo
-0.1
-0.1
MiddlesbroughNo
+1.0
-0.2
Week of 1/21
Chelsea vs Hull CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea78.167.661.4
99.698.998.2
1.31.51.6
Tottenham Hotspur12.217.821.0
2.72.62.6
Liverpool5.07.48.9
3.53.43.4
Crystal Palace37.538.942.2
16.616.616.7
Hull CityNoNo0.0
78.572.959.9
18.518.217.6
Manchester City vs Tottenham HotspurHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea77.575.970.3
Tottenham Hotspur8.711.819.4
84.290.095.2
3.12.82.4
Liverpool6.66.35.5
74.477.178.1
Arsenal4.94.74.1
68.571.572.5
Manchester City1.90.70.4
49.435.628.3
NoNo0.0
4.44.85.1
Liverpool vs Swansea CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool7.54.02.8
81.571.665.6
3.33.73.9
Arsenal4.34.74.8
70.272.573.9
3.83.63.6
Manchester City34.037.439.5
4.94.84.7
Manchester United23.025.727.4
5.35.25.2
Crystal Palace37.438.741.8
16.516.616.7
Swansea CityNoNo0.0
80.875.462.9
18.618.317.7
Arsenal vs BurnleyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal5.93.02.1
77.166.360.0
3.53.94.1
Manchester City33.537.339.5
4.94.84.8
Manchester United22.625.727.5
5.35.25.2
BurnleyNoNo0.0
1.50.80.3
11.811.410.6
Stoke City vs Manchester UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool79.178.075.2
3.43.43.5
Arsenal73.972.569.3
3.63.73.8
Manchester City37.836.634.0
4.84.84.9
Manchester United0.10.20.6
15.720.230.6
0.0NoNo
5.65.45.0
Stoke City0.0NoNo
0.10.40.8
10.110.911.3
Crystal Palace vs EvertonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace0.0NoNo
25.237.744.7
15.816.617.0
Sunderland75.372.670.9
18.318.218.2
Hull City78.275.674.1
18.418.418.3
Swansea City79.877.476.0
18.518.418.4
West Brom vs SunderlandHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Brom8.69.29.5
Crystal Palace36.838.341.5
16.516.616.7
SunderlandNoNo0.0
78.1*72.459.6
18.518.217.6
Middlesbrough vs West HamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West HamNoNo0.0
2.81.60.5
12.612.111.2
Middlesbrough6.412.617.1
13.714.715.2
Bournemouth vs WatfordHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth0.0NoNo
0.41.32.3
10.911.812.3
WatfordNoNo0.0
11.37.93.6
14.614.013.0
Southampton vs Leicester CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Southampton0.0NoNo
1.13.04.9
11.812.713.3
Leicester CityNo*No0.0
13.59.74.6
14.814.213.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.