Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedChampionship
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength9/10
Manchester UnitedWHull City 1-093-0-0520.0%+6.456.2%+13.82015121087654332221110005.1+1.620.9%-2.18.511Manchester CityManchester United
ChelseaWBurnley 3-093-0-0517.8+6.852.9+15.51814111087654433221111005.4+1.911.2-2.86.504Chelsea
Manchester CityWWest Ham 3-193-0-0617.1+4.551.8+11.41714111087654433221111005.5+1.441.2-2.210.501at Manchester UnitedManchester City
EvertonWStoke City 1-072-1-029.6+3.237.4+11.210109987765544333221117.1+1.842.9-4.61.490Everton
Hull CityLManchester United 0-162-0-127.9-5.333.3-8.3899887766554433322117.6-0.793.7+0.52.490at BurnleyHull City
Tottenham HotspurTLiverpool 1-151-2-015.0-2.124.8-3.6567777766655544433218.8-0.226.1-0.53.479at Stoke CityTottenham Hotspur
MiddlesbroughTWest Brom 0-051-2-014.9-1.324.4-1.3567777766665544433218.9+0.146.2-1.510.479Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
ArsenalWWatford 3-141-1-113.2+1.318.2+7.2345666666666655544329.9+2.159.2-10.715.469SouthamptonArsenal
Leicester CityWSwansea City 2-141-1-102.7+1.216.2+7.03455566666666655544310.3+2.2610.6-12.212.460at LiverpoolLeicester City
West BromTMiddlesbrough 0-041-1-102.7-1.116.2-2.33455566666666655544310.4-0.0610.6-1.29.460at BournemouthWest Bromwich Albion
LiverpoolTTottenham Hotspur 1-141-1-1-12.3-1.114.1-2.72345556666666665554310.8-0.1812.3-0.85.452Leicester CityLiverpool
West HamLManchester City 1-331-0-2-21.2-2.69.2-9.41233445556666667766612.1-1.8718.4+6.712.438WatfordWest Ham United
BurnleyLChelsea 0-331-0-2-21.0-4.78.0-16.41223344555666677777712.5-3.3320.6+12.37.431Hull CityBurnley
Swansea CityLLeicester City 1-231-0-2-21.0-1.57.9-6.01223344555666677777712.6-1.2720.7+4.814.431Swansea City
SouthamptonTSunderland 1-120-2-1-20.8-0.56.4-1.71122334455566777888813.2-0.1424.4-0.916.431at ArsenalSouthampton
SunderlandTSouthampton 1-110-1-2-20.7-0.45.8-1.71122334445566677889913.4-0.1726.0-0.719.438Sunderland
WatfordLArsenal 1-310-1-2-30.6-1.25.0-5.411122334455666778991013.7-1.4928.5+7.818.431at West HamWatford
BournemouthTCrystal Palace 1-110-1-2-30.5-0.44.3-1.7011223334455667889101214.1-0.3031.3+0.516.424West BromAFC Bournemouth
Stoke CityLEverton 0-110-1-2-40.4-0.94.1-4.4011222334455667889101214.2-1.3632.2+7.94.420Tottenham HotspurStoke City
Crystal PalaceTBournemouth 1-110-1-2-20.4-0.33.9-1.3011222334455667889111314.3-0.1832.9-0.320.420at MiddlesbroughCrystal Palace

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/10
Manchester United vs Manchester CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United26.018.814.7
64.454.748.8
0.51.01.4
4.35.25.8
Chelsea17.518.417.7
52.853.252.8
Manchester City12.416.122.8
44.650.460.4
1.81.30.6
6.25.64.7
Everton9.49.99.5
37.337.837.3
Swansea City vs ChelseaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United20.820.419.2
56.556.455.7
Chelsea13.416.222.3
45.350.660.3
1.81.20.6
6.25.64.7
Manchester City17.717.416.3
52.152.151.3
Everton10.19.89.1
37.937.737.0
Hull City8.28.17.5
33.633.632.8
3.8*3.73.6
Tottenham Hotspur5.35.24.8
25.025.024.4
6.2*6.16.0
Middlesbrough5.25.14.7
24.724.624.0
6.4*6.26.1
Arsenal3.43.33.0
18.518.417.9
9.5*9.29.0
Leicester City2.92.82.6
16.516.415.9
10.8*10.610.4
West Brom2.92.82.6
16.416.415.9
10.8*10.610.4
Liverpool2.42.32.1
14.314.213.8
12.6*12.312.1
West Ham1.31.31.2
9.39.39.0
18.8*18.418.2
Burnley1.11.11.0
8.18.17.8
21.020.520.3
Swansea City1.80.90.6
11.67.45.6
14.621.124.9
11.412.713.3
Southampton6.56.46.2
24.9*24.424.1
Sunderland5.95.95.7
26.5*26.025.7
Watford5.15.14.9
29.0*28.528.2
Bournemouth4.44.44.2
31.931.331.0
Stoke City4.24.14.0
32.7*32.131.8
Crystal Palace4.04.03.8
33.5*32.932.6
Burnley vs Hull CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United20.420.219.6
56.456.455.7
Chelsea18.118.017.4
53.353.252.4
Manchester City17.417.216.7
52.052.151.3
Everton9.89.79.4
37.737.737.1
Hull City5.56.910.5
26.631.140.2
5.43.92.2
8.57.86.7
Tottenham Hotspur5.15.14.9
25.025.024.4
6.2*6.16.0
Middlesbrough5.05.04.8
24.624.624.0
6.3*6.26.1
Arsenal3.33.33.1
18.418.417.9
9.4*9.29.1
West Ham9.39.39.0
18.7*18.418.2
Burnley1.70.90.6
11.67.45.6
14.621.025.0
11.412.713.3
Swansea City8.18.07.8
21.0*20.620.5
Southampton6.46.46.2
24.824.424.2
Sunderland5.95.95.7
26.4*26.025.8
Watford5.15.14.9
28.9*28.428.2
Bournemouth4.44.44.2
31.831.331.1
Stoke City4.24.14.0
32.6*32.131.9
Crystal Palace33.4*32.932.6
Stoke City vs Tottenham HotspurHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United20.220.219.7
56.456.455.7
Chelsea18.118.017.5
53.353.152.5
Manchester City17.317.216.8
52.152.051.3
Everton9.79.79.4
37.837.737.0
Hull City8.08.07.7
33.633.532.9
3.8*3.73.6
Tottenham Hotspur3.44.36.9
19.122.730.7
8.66.53.8
9.89.17.8
Middlesbrough5.05.04.8
24.724.624.0
6.46.26.1
Arsenal3.3*3.33.2
18.518.317.9
9.4*9.29.1
West Ham9.39.39.0
18.818.318.2
Burnley8.18.07.8
21.020.520.3
Swansea City8.18.07.8
21.120.620.4
Southampton6.56.46.2
24.924.424.1
Sunderland5.95.95.7
26.525.925.7
Watford5.15.14.9
29.028.428.2
Bournemouth31.931.231.0
Stoke City0.70.40.2
6.23.72.7
24.432.937.8
13.214.415.0
Crystal Palace33.532.832.6
Middlesbrough vs Crystal PalaceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United19.720.120.3
55.756.356.5
Chelsea17.518.018.0
52.553.253.3
Manchester City16.817.217.3
51.352.052.1
Everton9.49.79.7
37.037.737.8
Hull City7.8*7.98.0
32.933.533.6
3.6*3.73.8
Tottenham Hotspur4.95.15.1
24.425.025.0
6.06.06.2
Middlesbrough6.74.33.3
30.322.418.7
3.96.68.8
7.99.19.8
Arsenal3.23.33.3
17.918.318.4
9.1*9.29.4
Leicester City15.916.416.4
10.410.510.8
Liverpool13.814.214.2
12.112.212.7
West Ham9.09.29.3
18.218.418.8
Burnley7.88.18.1
20.320.521.0
Swansea City7.88.08.1
20.420.621.1
Southampton6.26.46.5
24.124.324.9
Sunderland5.75.95.9
25.725.926.5
Watford4.95.15.1
28.228.429.0
Bournemouth4.24.34.4
31.031.231.9
Stoke City4.04.14.2
31.832.132.7
Crystal Palace0.20.30.7
2.63.56.0
38.633.725.0
15.014.513.3
Liverpool vs Leicester CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Leicester City1.72.44.0
12.014.921.4
13.911.16.9
11.310.69.3
Liverpool3.42.01.4
18.913.010.3
8.212.815.9
9.711.011.7
Arsenal vs SouthamptonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United19.820.120.1
55.956.456.3
Manchester City16.917.117.2
51.552.052.0
Everton9.59.79.7
37.137.737.6
Arsenal4.62.82.1
23.416.613.6
6.09.712.5
8.910.210.9
Southampton0.50.71.3
4.35.89.2
29.725.117.8
14.013.312.1
Watford28.328.428.8
Stoke City32.032.132.5
Crystal Palace32.732.833.3
Bournemouth vs West BromHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United20.120.119.8
56.456.355.8
Chelsea17.917.917.7
53.153.152.6
Manchester City17.217.216.9
52.052.051.4
Everton9.79.79.5
37.737.637.1
West Brom1.72.33.9
11.914.721.0
14.311.17.0
11.310.69.3
Swansea City21.020.620.5
Southampton24.824.324.2
Sunderland26.425.925.8
Watford28.928.428.3
Bournemouth0.80.40.3
6.43.92.8
23.732.237.3
13.114.314.9
Stoke City32.632.131.9
Crystal Palace33.332.832.7
West Ham vs WatfordHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Ham1.91.00.7
12.68.26.4
12.919.123.5
11.112.413.1
Watford0.30.50.9
3.34.47.3
34.629.521.4
14.613.912.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.