Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedChampionship
11/9PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength11/23
LiverpoolWManchester City 3-13411-1-01866.8%+8.699.2%+1.267228310000000000000001.5+0.190.0%1.631at Crystal PalaceLiverpool
Leicester CityWArsenal 2-0268-2-22119.0+2.893.1+6.01937251342100000000000002.6+0.370.02.652at Brighton & HoveLeicester City
Manchester CityLLiverpool 1-3258-1-3228.8-11.783.1-6.2923302194211000000000003.3-0.580.05.627ChelseaManchester City
ChelseaWCrystal Palace 2-0268-2-2104.7+0.972.5+13.55152528136321100000000003.9+0.670.0-0.03.558at Manchester CityChelsea
Sheffield UnitedTTottenham Hotspur 1-1174-5-340.2-0.315.9-4.301410171512108654321110007.4-0.170.4-0.010.542Manchester UnitedSheffield United
Manchester UnitedWBrighton & Hove 3-1164-4-440.1+0.010.4+4.40137131312109765432211008.3+1.600.7-1.87.528at Sheffield UnitedManchester United
ArsenalLLeicester City 0-2174-5-3-10.0-0.25.7-6.10014810111010987654321009.5-1.061.7+0.74.464SouthamptonArsenal
WolverhamptonWAston Villa 2-1163-7-210.0+0.05.5+2.10014810101010987654321009.5+1.441.7-2.88.487at BournemouthWolverhampton
BournemouthLNewcastle United 1-2164-4-4-10.0-0.13.3-4.50012689999987765321010.5-1.173.0+1.311.462WolverhamptonAFC Bournemouth
Tottenham HotspurTSheffield United 1-1143-5-410.0-0.03.3-1.20012688999987765321010.5-0.033.2-0.314.486at West Ham UnitedTottenham Hotspur
BurnleyWWest Ham United 3-0154-3-5-10.0+0.03.1+1.80012578999988765421010.6+2.083.4-7.213.464at WatfordBurnley
Brighton & HoveLManchester United 1-3154-3-5-20.0-0.01.8-3.20001456788999887532111.5-1.335.4+2.516.452Leicester CityBrighton & Hove
Crystal PalaceLChelsea 0-2154-3-5-60.0-0.00.8-1.800012345678899109863112.8-1.4110.2+4.69.391LiverpoolCrystal Palace
Newcastle UnitedWBournemouth 2-1154-3-5-70.00.6+0.30000134566789101010974113.2+1.5011.9-11.96.388at Aston VillaNewcastle United
EvertonWSouthampton 2-1144-2-6-50.00.7+0.30001134566789101010974213.2+1.2411.9-9.817.416Norwich CityEverton
Aston VillaLWolverhampton 1-2113-2-7-30.0-0.00.5-0.900001234567891010111085213.6-0.9914.6+4.515.445Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
West Ham UnitedLBurnley 0-3133-4-5-60.0-0.00.4-1.300001233456781011111195214.0-1.6816.7+8.218.410Tottenham HotspurWest Ham United
SouthamptonLEverton 1-282-2-8-170.0-0.00.0-0.000000000111234581219222217.6-0.5163.6+8.212.329at ArsenalSouthampton
WatfordWNorwich City 2-081-5-6-150.00.0+0.00000000000111246917263318.3+0.6075.4-9.519.317BurnleyWatford
Norwich CityLWatford 0-272-1-9-170.0-0.00.0-0.00000000000111235916263418.3-0.7976.2+13.320.329at EvertonNorwich City

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/23
Crystal Palace vs LiverpoolIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool58.563.372.0
98.599.099.6
0.1NoNo
1.71.61.4
Leicester City23.520.916.3
2.52.52.6
Manchester City11.19.87.4
Chelsea6.15.33.9
Arsenal9.69.59.5
Wolverhampton9.69.59.5
Bournemouth3.13.03.0
10.610.510.4
Tottenham Hotspur3.43.33.2
10.610.510.5
Burnley3.53.43.3
10.710.610.6
Brighton & Hove5.65.45.3
11.611.611.5
Crystal Palace1.60.70.5
5.59.612.4
11.712.813.3
Newcastle United12.211.911.7
13.313.213.1
Everton12.211.911.7
13.313.213.1
Aston Villa15.014.614.4
13.713.613.5
West Ham United17.216.816.5
14.014.013.9
Southampton64.463.763.2
Watford76.175.575.1
Norwich City76.976.375.9
Brighton & Hove vs Leicester CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool70.868.864.0
1.41.51.5
Leicester City13.616.422.9
89.592.095.4
2.92.72.4
Manchester City9.79.28.2
83.383.383.0
3.33.33.4
Chelsea5.35.04.4
72.772.772.3
Sheffield United16.416.115.6
Manchester United10.710.510.1
8.38.38.2
Arsenal5.95.85.5
9.69.59.5
Wolverhampton5.75.65.4
9.69.59.5
Bournemouth3.53.43.3
10.610.510.4
Tottenham Hotspur3.43.43.2
10.610.510.5
Burnley3.23.13.0
10.710.610.6
Brighton & Hove3.41.71.2
2.65.06.8
10.511.512.1
Crystal Palace10.410.310.1
12.912.812.8
Newcastle United12.111.911.7
13.313.213.1
Everton12.111.911.7
13.313.213.1
Aston Villa14.814.614.4
13.613.613.5
West Ham United17.016.816.6
14.014.013.9
Southampton64.063.663.3
Watford75.875.475.2
Norwich City76.676.376.0
Manchester City vs ChelseaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool65.867.967.2
Leicester City18.619.419.1
93.293.293.0
Manchester City11.97.75.7
88.682.076.9
3.03.43.7
Chelsea3.04.47.4
66.372.281.0
4.33.93.5
Sheffield United16.016.315.4
Manchester United10.510.610.0
Sheffield United vs Manchester UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Leicester City92.993.493.2
Manchester City82.683.783.2
Chelsea71.873.372.6
Sheffield United0.40.10.1
21.614.511.1
0.10.40.6
6.77.58.1
Manchester United0.00.10.2
6.89.415.0
1.1*0.70.3
9.08.47.4
Bournemouth vs WolverhamptonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City83.283.482.9
Chelsea72.572.872.1
Wolverhampton3.44.78.0
2.61.80.8
10.39.78.7
Bournemouth5.22.92.0
1.53.14.3
9.510.611.2
Watford vs BurnleyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea72.872.772.2
Arsenal1.81.71.6
9.49.59.5
Wolverhampton1.91.71.6
9.49.59.6
Burnley1.72.34.3
5.83.81.8
11.511.09.9
Brighton & Hove5.85.35.2
Crystal Palace10.910.29.9
Newcastle United12.611.811.5
Everton12.611.811.5
Aston Villa15.414.514.1
West Ham United17.716.616.3
Southampton64.663.463.1
Watford0.0NoNo
65.775.880.3
17.718.318.5
Norwich City77.176.175.9
18.418.318.3
Arsenal vs SouthamptonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City82.883.383.5
Chelsea71.972.873.1
Sheffield United15.716.016.2
7.47.47.3
Manchester United10.210.510.6
8.38.28.2
Arsenal7.74.53.4
0.81.93.1
8.89.810.4
Burnley3.03.13.2
3.23.43.7
Brighton & Hove5.15.45.9
Crystal Palace9.810.211.1
Newcastle United11.311.812.8
Everton11.311.812.8
Aston Villa14.014.515.7
West Ham United16.116.718.0
SouthamptonNo0.00.0
69.364.052.9
17.917.616.9
Watford74.775.376.6
18.218.318.3
Norwich City75.676.277.4
18.318.318.4
West Ham United vs Tottenham HotspurHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea72.872.772.1
Tottenham Hotspur1.92.74.8
5.13.51.7
11.410.89.7
Crystal Palace10.610.210.0
Newcastle United12.211.811.6
Everton12.211.811.6
Aston Villa15.014.514.3
West Ham United0.70.30.2
10.516.921.2
13.014.014.6
Southampton64.463.563.0
Watford76.175.374.9
Norwich City76.976.275.8
Aston Villa vs Newcastle UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United0.30.51.1
15.811.96.8
13.913.312.2
Aston Villa0.80.40.2
9.515.619.9
12.713.814.4
Everton vs Norwich CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace10.110.110.6
Newcastle United11.711.712.3
Everton1.00.50.3
7.312.817.4
12.413.514.0
Aston Villa14.414.415.1
West Ham United16.516.517.3
Southampton63.563.264.0
Watford75.475.175.7
18.218.218.3
Norwich CityNoNo0.0
82.077.167.0
18.618.417.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.