National Hockey League Playoff Chances

Edmonton +1.7, Tampa Bay -6.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
MondayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthTuesday
Anaheim10151-0882.1%-0.16.6%+0.09.6%+0.217122117875432213.582Anaheim Ducks
Nashville8230-2478.0-0.15.9+0.07.1+0.113142218666543215.580ArizonaNashville Predators
San Jose9141-1576.4-0.15.3+0.06.6+0.112102018986543211.576at BostonSan Jose Sharks
Chicago7330-1575.5-0.15.3+0.06.2+0.1121321187666543210.576PhiladelphiaChicago Blackhawks
Washington8230-2774.2+0.36.5+0.17.6+0.115101915876543322113.586Washington Capitals
Los Angeles9141-1572.0-0.24.9+0.05.1+0.1108181810876543219.575Los Angeles Kings
Ottawa8241-0471.4+0.54.8+0.15.8+0.11213201655555443214.572Ottawa Senators
Minnesota4322-0671.0-0.15.7+0.04.7+0.191119187776653217.585Minnesota Wild
NY Islanders8241-0569.1+0.34.6+0.15.8+0.1128181598665443218.573TorontoNew York Islanders
Detroit7231-1368.4+0.65.1+0.14.9+0.110121917555555433218.577at MontrealDetroit Red Wings
Pittsburgh6331-0668.2+0.35.2+0.15.6+0.1118171598765443212.579Pittsburgh Penguins
Tampa BayLEdmonton 2-37132-1667.5-6.15.6-0.94.5-2.19111917655555433214.583at CalgaryTampa Bay Lightning
Vancouver6331-0366.4-0.23.9+0.03.9+0.187161710987654316.569at DallasVancouver Canucks
St. Louis5222-1364.4-0.14.4+0.03.2+0.16917187787765311.576St. Louis Blues
Montreal10151-0063.3+0.62.9+0.13.7+0.1810181766666554326.553DetroitMontreal Canadiens
Calgary843-0259.2-0.23.0+0.02.4+0.155141610109887547.562Tampa BayCalgary Flames
Columbus6232-0357.1+0.33.6+0.03.0+0.1761414988766554215.571Columbus Blue Jackets
Dallas6221-2-255.6-0.12.6+0.02.0+0.0461416788988759.558VancouverDallas Stars
New Jersey6232-0155.2+0.33.0+0.02.7+0.1651314988776654312.564NY RangersNew Jersey Devils
Arizona4322-0-540.3-0.21.5+0.00.9+0.02381189910101110928.548at NashvilleArizona Coyotes
Philadelphia4212-2-436.0+0.31.6+0.00.9+0.02379788888898721.555at ChicagoPhiladelphia Flyers
NY Rangers6133-0-334.4+0.31.3+0.00.8+0.02279788888999722.547at New JerseyNew York Rangers
Boston634-0-233.4+0.61.3+0.00.6+0.02381155678991010823.547San JoseBoston Bruins
Toronto5123-1-432.2+0.61.2+0.00.6+0.02381045678991010924.547at NY IslandersToronto Maple Leafs
Carolina2302-2-530.7+0.31.3+0.00.6+0.0226867788891010930.552at WinnipegCarolina Hurricanes
Florida4212-2-629.9+0.51.0+0.00.5+0.013710456789910111025.539at ColoradoFlorida Panthers
Winnipeg2214-0-723.4-0.10.7+0.00.2+0.0124746791114161920.537CarolinaWinnipeg Jets
Colorado3114-1-1118.4-0.10.40.1+0.0013635681114182527.525FloridaColorado Avalanche
EdmontonWTampa Bay 3-23114-1-1317.2+1.70.4+0.00.1+0.0012445781114182526.527Edmonton Oilers
Buffalo2115-0-149.2+0.30.2+0.00.1+0.00123123457912183429.517Buffalo Sabres

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday
Edmonton 3 Tampa Bay 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim-0.2
+0.1
Nashville-0.1
+0.1
San Jose-0.2
+0.1
Chicago-0.1
+0.1
Washington+0.2
+0.1
Los Angeles-0.2
+0.1
Ottawa+0.4
+0.1
+0.1
Minnesota-0.2
+0.1
NY Islanders+0.2
+0.1
Detroit+0.4
+0.1
+0.1
Pittsburgh+0.2
+0.1
Tampa Bay-4.2
-0.4
-1.6
Vancouver-0.3
+0.1
St. Louis-0.2
+0.1
Montreal+0.4
+0.1
Calgary-0.3
Columbus+0.2
+0.1
Dallas-0.2
New Jersey+0.2
Arizona-0.3
Philadelphia+0.2
NY Rangers+0.2
Boston+0.4
Toronto+0.4
Carolina+0.2
Florida+0.4
Winnipeg-0.1
Colorado-0.1
Edmonton+2.4
+0.1
Buffalo+0.2
Tuesday
Calgary vs Tampa BayIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose76.176.176.1*76.476.576.8
6.6*6.6*6.6*6.66.56.6
Los Angeles71.771.671.772.172.172.5
5.1*5.1*5.15.05.05.1
Ottawa71.7*71.4*71.571.171.171.0
4.9*4.8*4.94.84.84.8
Detroit68.7*68.4*68.368.068.068.0
5.2*5.1*5.1*5.1*5.15.1
Tampa Bay63.367.367.371.171.571.6
5.2*5.6*5.55.96.06.0
3.44.34.35.55.65.7
Vancouver66.066.066.166.566.567.0
St. Louis64.164.164.164.564.564.8
Montreal63.7*63.3*63.362.962.962.9
3.7*3.7*3.73.6*3.7*3.7
Calgary62.962.862.358.158.153.9
3.23.23.22.93.02.7
2.92.92.82.12.11.6
Dallas55.355.355.4*55.755.756.0
Arizona39.940.040.040.540.541.0
Boston33.8*33.4*33.333.133.033.0
Toronto32.6*32.2*32.231.931.831.8
Florida30.3*30.0*30.029.629.529.5
Edmonton17.017.017.017.317.417.6
Chicago vs PhiladelphiaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago78.178.077.774.474.470.8
5.55.55.45.25.24.9
7.27.27.05.75.74.5
Washington74.5*74.2*74.273.973.873.8
7.67.67.67.7*7.67.7
Minnesota70.870.870.8*71.171.271.5
5.7*5.7*5.7*5.8*5.85.8
4.74.7*4.7*4.7*4.74.8
NY Islanders69.5*69.1*69.168.868.768.7
5.75.75.7*5.8*5.85.8
Pittsburgh68.6*68.1*68.267.867.867.8
5.65.65.6*5.6*5.75.7
St. Louis64.164.164.164.564.564.8
4.3*4.34.3*4.4*4.44.4
Columbus57.5*57.1*57.056.656.656.6
3.0*3.0*3.0*3.1*3.03.1
Dallas55.355.355.355.755.756.1
New Jersey55.6*55.2*55.254.954.854.8
Philadelphia31.9*35.935.940.040.540.6
1.4*1.6*1.61.81.81.9
0.60.80.81.21.21.2
NY Rangers34.8*34.4*34.434.134.034.0
Carolina31.0*30.7*30.630.330.330.3
Boston vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose72.776.276.179.379.879.8
5.0*5.3*5.35.65.65.6
5.16.46.37.88.08.0
Los Angeles72.3*72.0*72.071.871.671.7
5.2*5.1*5.1*5.15.05.0
Ottawa71.171.071.171.5*71.471.8
5.9*5.8*5.85.85.85.8
Detroit68.068.168.1*68.468.568.8
5.0*4.9*4.94.94.94.8
Tampa Bay67.267.267.2*67.6*67.668.0
4.6*4.6*4.54.54.54.5
Vancouver66.8*66.466.566.166.166.0
4.0*3.9*3.93.93.93.9
Montreal63.062.963.063.463.463.7
3.7*3.7*3.73.63.63.6
Calgary59.6*59.2*59.258.958.958.9
Arizona40.7*40.4*40.340.040.040.0
Boston36.836.736.232.232.328.4
1.41.41.41.31.31.1
0.80.80.70.50.50.4
Toronto31.931.931.932.332.332.6
Florida29.629.729.630.030.130.3
Winnipeg vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota70.770.770.871.171.171.4
NY Islanders69.5*69.2*69.268.868.868.8
Pittsburgh68.6*68.2*68.367.967.867.8
St. Louis64.164.064.164.564.564.8
Columbus57.5*57.1*57.156.756.756.7
Dallas55.355.355.355.755.756.0
New Jersey55.6*55.3*55.354.954.954.8
Philadelphia36.4*36.0*36.035.735.635.6
NY Rangers34.8*34.4*34.534.134.134.0
Carolina26.630.330.334.234.634.7
1.11.31.31.51.51.5
0.40.60.60.80.80.9
Winnipeg26.226.225.722.422.419.3
0.80.80.80.70.70.6
0.30.30.30.20.20.1
Colorado vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa71.7*71.4*71.471.171.171.0
Detroit68.7*68.4*68.468.068.068.0
Tampa Bay67.9*67.5*67.567.167.167.1
Montreal63.7*63.3*63.363.062.962.9
Dallas55.355.355.455.7*55.756.0
Boston33.7*33.4*33.433.033.033.0
Toronto32.5*32.2*32.231.931.931.8
Florida25.929.629.633.433.933.9
0.8*1.0*1.01.11.11.1
0.30.50.50.60.70.7
Colorado20.720.720.417.417.414.8
0.50.50.50.40.40.3
0.20.20.10.10.10.1
Dallas vs VancouverHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver62.066.066.170.270.670.9
3.6*3.9*3.94.24.24.2
3.03.73.84.74.94.9
Dallas59.559.158.654.154.049.7
2.82.72.72.52.52.3
2.42.42.31.81.71.3
NY Islanders vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders72.372.171.667.667.663.6
4.94.94.84.54.54.2
6.76.76.55.25.24.2
Toronto28.231.932.036.236.736.9
1.1*1.2*1.21.41.41.4
0.40.50.50.80.80.8
New Jersey vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey59.058.658.153.453.349.0
3.33.23.22.92.92.7
3.33.23.12.52.51.9
NY Rangers30.033.934.038.539.139.5
1.21.31.31.51.51.5
0.50.70.71.01.01.1
Montreal vs DetroitHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit63.867.867.872.072.572.8
4.7*5.15.15.45.55.5
3.74.74.75.96.16.1
Montreal67.266.966.462.061.857.6
3.13.13.12.82.82.6
4.54.44.33.33.42.6
Nashville vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville80.780.580.176.776.773.3
6.16.16.15.85.85.5
8.18.18.06.56.45.2
Vancouver66.766.266.366.065.966.2
3.93.9*3.9*3.9*3.94.0
Calgary59.559.159.158.858.859.0
Arizona36.140.140.244.745.145.4
1.4*1.51.51.71.71.7
0.60.80.81.21.21.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.