National Hockey League Playoff Chances

Capitals +11.1, Flames -3.7
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
MondayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthTuesday
Bruins954014-1541100.0%6.7%-0.09.2%-0.11413631000011.601SenatorsBoston Bruins
Panthers9414519-459100.016.9+0.031.6+0.043282630002.643Florida Panthers
Rangers9414519-444100.010.6+0.027.1+0.0364321000001.613JetsNew York Rangers
Hurricanes9014220-648100.012.0+0.03.3-0.06157900000005.622at IslandersCarolina Hurricanes
Canucks9214218-854100.0+0.013.0-0.011.0+0.135491600000004.633SabresVancouver Canucks
Jets9124319-552100.012.2-0.011.3+0.0341830181000006.636at RangersWinnipeg Jets
Avalanche9114320-550100.07.4-0.04.6+0.0191439271000003.614at BluesColorado Avalanche
Stars914119-941100.0+0.04.4-0.01.1+0.08831513000008.595Dallas Stars
Maple Leafs8533819-933100.0-0.02.9-0.00.2-0.00111816000000010.576at FlyersToronto Maple Leafs
Oilers8444021-44699.9+0.07.3-0.00.7+0.041177611000007.612CanadiensEdmonton Oilers
Lightning7823625-61095.5-0.60.9-0.0No-0.0000678113100000012.524at Golden KnightsTampa Bay Lightning
Predators8213925-41595.2+0.51.1+0.00.000047219410009.538SharksNashville Predators
Kings7923422-112693.4+0.82.7+0.00.0006608195100015.579BlackhawksLos Angeles Kings
Golden Knights7923624-71681.2+1.11.0+0.00.000232113513510014.541LightningVegas Golden Knights
Flyers7613426-8-666.4-2.70.3-0.0No0051214161052100018.493Maple LeafsPhiladelphia Flyers
Red Wings7413428-6348.9-3.30.3-0.0No001039201595200019.511Blue JacketsDetroit Red Wings
CapitalsWFlames 5-27523325-9-2742.9+11.10.0+0.0No00272152017116200020.447Washington Capitals
Islanders7322923-15-2032.0-2.60.1-0.0No00181132020149400023.470HurricanesNew York Islanders
Blues7513629-3-1116.2+0.70.0+0.0No0002143525158013.476AvalancheSt. Louis Blues
Wild7413327-8-710.5+0.50.0+0.0No0019263221110016.493at DucksMinnesota Wild
Penguins6923028-9-28.1-1.00.0-0.0No0404101522231930025.504at DevilsPittsburgh Penguins
Sabresat Kraken6913231-5-14.0-0.50.0-0.0No00471221272440022.504at CanucksBuffalo Sabres
FlamesLCapitals 2-57113330-5-72.3-3.70.0-0.0No0002112234310017.502Calgary Flames
Devils6813232-4-162.2-0.40.0-0.0No01014917253571021.476PenguinsNew Jersey Devils
KrakenSabres6832826-12-101.3+0.10.0No000171528481024.487Seattle Kraken
Senators6032834-4-220.0-0.00.0No000001295230627.454at BruinsOttawa Senators
Canadiens6122531-11-500.00.0No000001330511528.401at OilersMontreal Canadiens
Coyotes6112835-5-230.0No-0.0No00002980026.452Arizona Coyotes
Blue Jackets5712334-11-470.0No-0.0No00000003177930.406at Red WingsColumbus Blue Jackets
Ducks4912342-3-77OutNoNo000937029.341WildAnaheim Ducks
Blackhawks4311944-5-92OutNoNo07732031.305at KingsChicago Blackhawks
Sharks3921644-7-120OutNoNo01208032.268at PredatorsSan Jose Sharks

All times are in Eastern. email errors to amer at mallah dot com, all credit to Anna Kear for figuring this out in the first place.
data pulled March 19, 2024 04:00:31

The top 3 teams in each division automatically qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs, but the next 2 highest-placed finishers in each conference also make the postseason. In Round 1, each conference winner plays the second wild card team from their conference, while the other division winner in that conference faces its first wild card. At the same time, the second-placed team in each division takes part in a best-of-seven series with their third-placed counterpart upon meeting each other, on both sides of the playoff bracket. The Second Round pits the winner of that contest against the first seed from their division, or the wild card team that beat them. The Conference Finals see the 2 divisional champions from each conference squaring off, and the Stanley Cup Final consists of a matchup between the Eastern and Western Conference champions.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday
Flames 2 Capitals 5
8:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Hurricanes+0.1
Lightning-0.5
Predators+0.5
Kings+0.7
Golden Knights+1.1
Flyers-2.5
Red Wings-2.6
Capitals+9.5
Islanders-2.3
Blues+0.6
Wild+0.5
Penguins-0.9
Sabres-0.4
Flames-3.5
Devils-0.3
Kraken+0.1
Kraken vs SabresIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Red Wings49.649.149.148.448.148.1
Sabres1.93.43.55.86.26.2
Kraken1.91.81.80.90.90.5
Tuesday
Red Wings vs Blue JacketsIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Lightning95.295.295.395.795.796.2
Flyers65.065.065.167.467.469.6
Red Wings54.754.754.044.544.535.1
0.40.40.30.30.30.2
Capitals41.341.341.544.144.146.7
Islanders30.630.530.633.032.935.3
Penguins7.67.67.78.68.59.4
Sabres3.63.63.84.44.45.1
Flyers vs Maple LeafsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Lightning95.195.195.195.595.596.0
Flyers74.974.873.665.465.456.3
Red Wings46.846.846.849.049.051.4
Capitals40.640.641.143.343.345.6
Islanders29.829.830.332.332.334.5
Penguins7.37.37.38.28.29.1
Golden Knights vs LightningHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Lightning93.295.895.897.597.797.7
Predators94.994.995.095.395.395.8
Kings92.992.993.193.693.694.2
Golden Knights85.985.985.379.579.572.7
1.01.01.01.01.00.9
Flyers66.866.366.366.166.066.0
Red Wings49.448.848.848.348.348.3
Capitals43.442.8*42.942.542.542.5
Islanders32.431.931.931.531.531.5
Blues14.214.214.316.816.819.8
Wild9.19.19.411.111.012.9
Flames2.02.02.02.42.43.0
Islanders vs HurricanesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Panthers17.016.9*16.9*16.916.916.9
32.231.931.931.431.331.2
Rangers27.627.327.326.826.726.8
Hurricanes100.0100.0InInIn100.0
11.912.012.012.112.112.1
1.02.22.24.24.64.6
Lightning95.095.095.095.595.595.9
Flyers63.963.964.466.766.768.6
Red Wings46.446.446.4*48.948.951.2
Capitals40.540.541.143.243.245.0
Islanders41.341.240.131.431.323.6
Penguins7.47.47.4*8.18.18.8
Sabres3.63.63.6*4.0*4.04.4
Blues vs AvalancheHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Panthers32.432.032.031.331.131.1
Rangers27.727.427.426.826.726.7
Avalanche7.17.37.47.67.67.6
1.73.33.35.96.46.4
Predators94.294.294.395.495.496.2
Kings92.292.392.593.693.594.4
Golden Knights78.578.578.881.581.583.7
Blues22.422.321.415.315.410.5
Wild9.59.59.810.610.611.4
Ducks vs WildHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Predators95.995.595.594.994.994.9
Kings94.293.893.893.192.892.8
Golden Knights83.282.182.180.680.080.0
Blues17.216.616.615.715.615.6
Wild5.58.48.512.413.413.4
Devils vs PenguinsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Flyers67.1*66.4*66.465.865.665.8
Red Wings49.448.8*48.948.348.248.4
Capitals43.543.0*43.042.542.242.4
Islanders32.532.0*32.031.531.431.5
Penguins4.37.17.111.011.711.9
Devils3.33.23.21.61.60.8
Kings vs BlackhawksHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Kings94.794.794.391.291.287.0
2.72.72.72.62.62.5
Golden Knights80.980.981.181.781.782.5
Blues15.715.715.816.916.918.3
Wild10.110.210.311.111.112.0
Flames2.22.22.22.52.53.0
Predators vs SharksHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Predators96.396.396.193.693.790.0
1.11.11.11.11.11.0
Golden Knights81.081.081.081.581.582.1
Blues15.815.815.916.816.818.2
Wild10.310.310.310.810.811.7
Canucks vs SabresHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Bruins8.98.98.99.69.610.1
Panthers30.830.831.332.732.733.6
Rangers26.326.426.728.027.928.8
Canucks100.0100.0In100.0100.0100.0
13.113.213.112.912.912.7
13.713.612.47.87.84.6
Jets12.2*12.2*12.2*12.2*12.312.3
11.011.011.211.711.712.1
Red Wings49.549.048.948.247.847.8
Capitals43.2*42.9*42.942.542.442.4
Islanders32.3*32.0*32.031.531.531.5
Sabres2.23.93.96.57.07.0
Bruins vs SenatorsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
BruinsIn*In*In*In*In100.0
6.86.86.86.56.56.3
11.211.211.26.86.83.8
Panthers16.816.816.817.017.017.2
31.131.131.132.332.232.9
Rangers26.526.526.527.727.728.5
Canucks10.710.710.711.411.411.8
Jets11.011.011.011.711.712.2
Rangers vs JetsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Bruins8.98.58.59.09.09.9
Panthers16.916.8*16.9*16.9*16.917.0
30.829.730.731.731.433.4
RangersInIn*In*InIn100.0
10.810.810.710.610.610.4
35.534.532.322.722.415.6
Canucks13.1*13.0*13.013.013.013.0
10.410.010.511.2*11.012.0
Jets11.812.212.212.612.612.6
5.28.58.915.616.618.2
Avalanche7.6*7.4*7.47.37.37.3
4.44.24.4*4.64.55.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Amer Mallah for adding this league.