National Hockey League Playoff Chances

Boston +5.0, Vancouver -7.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Chicago451229-13699.8%+0.018.6%+0.229.3%+0.2485272141310000002.5+0.021.638Chicago Blackhawks
Pittsburgh443206-42799.7-0.014.1-0.028.4+0.25426872200000000001.93.620ColoradoPittsburgh Penguins
St. Louis442218-22298.8+0.19.3+0.111.9+0.0223312283821000003.7+0.032.602at Los AngelesSt. Louis Blues
Nashville423208-22298.3+0.29.0+0.19.2+0.1182302313931000004.0+0.057.601Nashville Predators
Tampa Bay432010-32396.8-0.49.9-0.15.9-0.115221710144104210000003.8-0.039.608Tampa Bay Lightning
Anaheim47217-5896.0+0.43.3+0.13.8+0.0849220210232100003.3+0.126.552at MontrealAnaheim Ducks
Toronto412199-32294.7-0.57.4-0.14.0-0.011181710166126311000004.3-0.045.595at CarolinaToronto Maple Leafs
Detroit421177-81293.4-0.66.2-0.02.9-0.08141610186147421000004.7-0.0413.588Detroit Red Wings
NY Islanders4222110-01090.6-0.42.4-0.01.7+0.056172592044432100004.94.543New York Islanders
Montreal4212010-2782.5-1.42.0-0.00.8-0.037971562214853100006.2-0.078.543AnaheimMontreal Canadiens
NY Rangers3441510-41082.5-0.74.0-0.00.7+0.0241119102557753210005.8-0.0211.575New York Rangers
San Jose3811711-4877.6+1.52.9+0.10.3+0.01142232215911831005.9+0.1517.564EdmontonSan Jose Sharks
VancouverLDallas 0-23821811-2172.0-7.71.3-0.40.2-0.3111220221510131041006.4-0.6714.530Vancouver Canucks
Los Angeles3611511-6665.9+2.22.2+0.10.1+0.009117220611141351006.8+0.1620.561St. LouisLos Angeles Kings
MinnesotaLBoston 2-3 (ot)3431612-2864.3-2.71.9-0.30.1-0.11031922822151362007.9-0.1810.555Minnesota Wild
Winnipeg3811610-6362.9+1.71.4+0.00.1+0.00020822822161462008.0+0.0518.544Winnipeg Jets
Washington3431410-6561.3-1.51.8-0.00.1-0.0124972081113118521007.5-0.0521.555at ColumbusWashington Capitals
Calgary361714-2756.9+2.01.3+0.10.106113218612171772007.5+0.1212.545Calgary Flames
Florida344138-8-931.1-1.80.3-0.00.00111329141617151163109.6-0.0725.502at PhiladelphiaFlorida Panthers
BostonWMinnesota 3-2 (ot)3511613-3-230.5+5.00.4+0.10.0+0.00011328151717151163109.6+0.3815.522Boston Bruins
OttawaWNew Jersey 2-03221312-6-423.6+4.80.3+0.10.0+0.000112171215171714841010.1+0.4416.516Ottawa Senators
Philadelphia2731114-5-109.5-0.50.1-0.00.000010314712172117115211.5-0.0226.511FloridaPhiladelphia Flyers
DallasWVancouver 2-02931213-5-165.4+2.00.0+0.00.000000014713352612211.1+0.2622.481Dallas Stars
Columbus2831315-2-232.0-0.10.00.00000010124815232415713.1+0.0223.448WashingtonColumbus Blue Jackets
Colorado2731013-7-201.8+0.10.0+0.00.00000000137233625511.8-0.0524.463at PittsburghColorado Avalanche
New JerseyLOttawa 0-2281116-6-221.6-1.80.0-0.00.00000010124814232415713.2-0.5527.464New Jersey Devils
Arizona2621116-4-280.4+0.10.00.000000000131127461212.5-0.0328.438Arizona Coyotes
Carolina193819-3-250.1-0.00.00.0000000000013714294515.0+0.0329.450TorontoCarolina Hurricanes
Buffalo2811317-2-380.1-0.00.00.0000000000013816333814.9+0.0319.388Buffalo Sabres
Edmonton201719-6-400.00.00.00000000014158113.8-0.0130.403at San JoseEdmonton Oilers

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Minnesota 2 Boston 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay-0.2
Anaheim*+0.1
Toronto-0.1
Detroit-0.2
-0.1
NY Islanders-0.2
Montreal-0.7
NY Rangers-0.4
San Jose+0.3
Vancouver+0.3
Los Angeles+0.4
Minnesota-1.6
*-0.1
Winnipeg+0.3
Washington-0.9
Calgary*+0.2
Florida-0.8
Boston+4.7
+0.1
Ottawa-0.8
Philadelphia-0.2
Columbus*-0.1
New Jersey-0.1
Vancouver 0 Dallas 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+0.1
Anaheim+0.2
San Jose+0.6
Vancouver-5.2
-0.2
-0.3
Los Angeles+0.7
Minnesota+0.6
Winnipeg+0.7
Calgary+0.8
Dallas+1.3
Colorado+0.1
New Jersey 0 Ottawa 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay-0.1
Toronto-0.1
Detroit-0.2
NY Islanders-0.1
Montreal-0.4
NY Rangers-0.1
Washington-0.3
Florida-0.5
Boston-0.4
Ottawa+3.6
Philadelphia-0.1
New Jersey-1.2
Thursday
Philadelphia vs FloridaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit93.7*93.4*93.593.293.293.2
Montreal83.0*82.4*82.482.081.982.1
NY Rangers82.682.2*82.482.282.1*82.4
Washington61.661.061.060.760.961.1
Florida26.330.730.735.735.936.3
Boston31.230.3*30.429.829.930.0
Ottawa24.2*23.6*23.523.122.923.1
Philadelphia11.511.210.98.48.46.6
Columbus vs WashingtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders91.290.790.790.290.290.2
Montreal83.0*82.6*82.582.282.282.2
NY Rangers83.4*82.582.781.981.881.9
4.1*4.0*4.0*4.0*4.04.0
Washington55.059.960.064.865.465.5
1.61.8*1.82.02.02.0
0.10.10.10.20.20.2
Florida31.9*31.2*31.230.630.530.6
Boston31.3*30.7*30.630.030.030.0
Ottawa24.3*23.723.823.223.223.2
Philadelphia10.0*9.6*9.69.39.29.2
Columbus2.82.62.51.81.71.3
0.0NoNo0.0NoNo
Los Angeles vs St. LouisHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago30.129.529.528.828.728.6
Pittsburgh29.2*28.5*28.527.827.727.7
St. Louis98.3*98.8*98.899.299.299.3
9.1*9.2*9.39.49.59.5
9.111.411.414.114.414.5
Nashville98.298.298.3*98.3*98.398.4
9.5*9.3*9.39.08.98.9
San Jose77.077.077.0*77.6*77.778.4
Vancouver71.371.371.472.2*72.172.9
Los Angeles70.170.069.564.964.860.0
2.42.42.4*2.22.22.0
0.20.20.10.10.10.1
Minnesota63.663.663.6*64.4*64.465.2
Winnipeg62.362.162.3*63.0*63.063.9
Calgary56.056.056.2*57.057.158.0
Montreal vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago29.6*29.3*29.329.129.129.1
Pittsburgh28.6*28.4*28.428.228.128.2
Anaheim94.996.2*96.197.197.297.2
3.2*3.3*3.3*3.33.43.4
2.73.73.64.95.05.0
Montreal85.385.384.981.881.778.1
2.12.12.1*2.0*1.91.8
1.11.01.00.70.70.5
NY Rangers82.382.282.3*82.5*82.582.8
Washington60.961.060.9*61.4*61.361.9
Florida30.630.730.7*31.1*31.231.9
Boston30.030.030.130.730.731.3
Ottawa23.223.123.3*23.7*23.824.3
Philadelphia9.49.39.4*9.6*9.69.8
San Jose vs EdmontonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose79.879.779.275.475.471.3
3.03.03.02.82.82.6
0.40.40.40.30.20.2
Vancouver71.671.671.772.272.473.0
Los Angeles65.565.565.666.466.367.0
2.2*2.2*2.2*2.3*2.32.3
Minnesota63.963.964.064.664.665.4
Winnipeg62.562.662.763.363.364.0
Calgary56.456.556.657.357.258.1
EdmontonNoNoNoNoNo0.0
Carolina vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago29.7*29.4*29.429.129.229.1
Pittsburgh28.728.628.7*28.328.228.2
Toronto92.794.394.495.795.895.8
7.1*7.47.37.57.77.6
2.63.53.54.74.84.8
Florida31.4*31.0*31.230.9*31.030.9
Boston30.8*30.6*30.6*30.530.330.4
Ottawa23.9*23.7*23.623.5*23.523.5
Carolina0.0NoNoNoNoNo
Pittsburgh vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago28.528.628.830.130.131.5
Pittsburgh99.899.899.799.699.699.4
14.214.2*14.1*14.0*14.013.8
30.730.730.026.126.022.0
St. Louis11.511.511.612.312.312.9
Nashville8.98.99.09.59.610.1
Tampa Bay5.75.75.86.16.26.5
Anaheim3.73.73.74.04.04.2
Toronto3.83.83.94.24.14.4
Colorado1.31.81.82.52.62.6
NoNoNoNoNo0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.