National Hockey League Playoff Chances

Season starts October 8th
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrength10/8
Winnipeg000-0057.1%3.5%3.3%771414777777771.500Winnipeg Jets
Nashville000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Nashville Predators
Arizona000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Arizona Coyotes
Dallas000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Dallas Stars
Minnesota000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Minnesota Wild
Chicago000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Chicago Blackhawks
Calgary000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500VancouverCalgary Flames
Vancouver000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500at CalgaryVancouver Canucks
Colorado000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Colorado Avalanche
St. Louis000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500St. Louis Blues
San Jose000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500at Los AngelesSan Jose Sharks
Edmonton000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Edmonton Oilers
Anaheim000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Anaheim Ducks
Los Angeles000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500San JoseLos Angeles Kings
Pittsburgh000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500Pittsburgh Penguins
Detroit000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500Ottawa Senators
Montreal000-0050.03.13.366131366666666661.500at TorontoMontreal Canadiens
NY Rangers000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500New York Rangers
Boston000-0050.03.13.366121266666666661.500PhiladelphiaBoston Bruins
NY Islanders000-0050.03.13.366121266666666661.500New York Islanders
Florida000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500Florida Panthers
Philadelphia000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500at BostonPhiladelphia Flyers
Carolina000-0050.03.13.366131366666666661.500Carolina Hurricanes
Tampa Bay000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500Tampa Bay Lightning
Columbus000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500Columbus Blue Jackets
Toronto000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500MontrealToronto Maple Leafs
Buffalo000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500Buffalo Sabres
Washington000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500Washington Capitals
New Jersey000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500New Jersey Devils

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Boston vs PhiladelphiaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa49.949.749.749.949.950.3
NY Rangers50.249.849.949.749.749.9
Boston53.653.452.948.548.544.3
3.43.43.33.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Philadelphia45.449.749.754.154.654.8
2.83.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Toronto49.949.749.849.949.950.3
Buffalo49.949.749.749.949.950.2
New Jersey50.249.849.949.749.649.9
Toronto vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal45.349.549.654.254.655.1
2.83.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Toronto53.853.452.948.448.344.1
3.43.43.33.03.02.7
4.03.93.83.03.02.4
Calgary vs VancouverHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary60.960.560.155.555.451.3
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Vancouver52.556.756.761.261.762.1
3.23.5*3.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Los Angeles vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose52.556.756.761.261.662.1
3.23.53.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Los Angeles60.960.560.055.555.551.3
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Thursday
Nashville vs OttawaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg56.856.856.957.357.357.7
Nashville60.560.560.055.955.951.7
3.83.83.83.53.53.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Dallas56.856.856.957.257.357.7
Minnesota56.856.856.957.357.357.7
Chicago56.856.956.957.357.257.7
Colorado56.856.956.957.357.357.7
St. Louis56.856.856.857.257.357.7
San Jose56.956.957.057.3*57.257.5
Edmonton56.956.957.0*57.257.257.5
Detroit50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Ottawa45.649.849.854.054.554.6
2.8*3.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Montreal50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Boston50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Florida50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Tampa Bay50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Toronto50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Buffalo50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
St. Louis vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg56.856.956.957.357.357.7
Nashville56.856.956.957.357.357.7
Dallas56.856.856.857.357.357.7
Minnesota56.856.856.957.357.357.7
Chicago56.856.856.957.257.257.7
Colorado56.856.856.957.257.257.7
St. Louis60.560.560.055.955.951.7
3.83.83.73.43.53.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
San Jose56.956.957.0*57.257.257.5
Los Angeles56.956.956.957.257.257.5
Pittsburgh50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
NY Rangers45.649.849.854.154.554.6
2.8*3.1*3.13.43.43.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
NY Islanders50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Philadelphia50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Carolina50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Columbus50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Washington50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
New Jersey50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Pittsburgh vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona57.6*57.2*57.156.856.756.7
Calgary57.6*57.1*57.256.756.756.7
Vancouver57.6*57.1*57.256.856.756.7
San Jose57.5*57.2*57.156.856.756.7
Edmonton57.6*57.1*57.256.756.756.7
Anaheim52.957.057.061.161.661.6
3.3*3.5*3.53.83.83.8
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Los Angeles57.5*57.2*57.156.856.756.7
Pittsburgh53.553.452.948.748.744.5
3.43.43.43.13.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
NY Rangers49.749.849.850.150.150.5
NY Islanders49.749.749.850.150.150.5
Philadelphia49.749.749.850.150.150.5
Carolina49.749.749.850.150.150.5
Columbus49.749.749.750.1*50.150.5
Washington49.749.749.750.150.150.5
New Jersey49.749.749.750.150.150.5
Buffalo vs ColumbusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Detroit49.949.749.849.949.950.3
Boston49.949.749.749.949.950.3
NY Islanders50.249.949.949.749.649.9
Tampa Bay49.949.749.849.949.950.3
Columbus45.449.749.754.154.654.8
2.8*3.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Toronto49.949.749.749.949.950.3
Buffalo53.653.452.948.548.544.2
3.43.43.33.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
New Jersey50.249.949.949.749.649.9
Washington vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh49.949.749.849.949.950.3
Ottawa50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Montreal45.449.749.754.154.654.8
2.83.13.13.43.43.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Boston50.249.849.949.749.649.9
NY Islanders49.949.749.749.949.850.3
Columbus49.949.749.8*49.949.950.3
Toronto50.249.849.949.749.649.9
Washington53.653.452.948.548.544.2
3.43.43.33.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Arizona vs WinnipegHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg52.756.856.861.161.661.9
3.23.5*3.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Arizona60.860.560.055.755.651.5
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Dallas57.456.957.056.956.857.0
Minnesota57.457.057.056.856.857.0
Calgary57.156.856.957.057.057.4
Vancouver57.156.856.957.057.057.4
Colorado57.457.057.056.856.857.0
San Jose57.156.956.957.057.057.4
Anaheim57.156.856.957.057.057.4
Los Angeles57.156.856.957.057.057.4
Philadelphia vs New JerseyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia53.853.452.948.348.344.1
3.43.43.33.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
New Jersey45.349.549.554.254.755.0
2.83.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Tampa Bay vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida45.349.549.654.254.755.1
2.83.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Tampa Bay53.853.452.948.448.244.1
3.43.43.43.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Detroit vs BostonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit53.853.453.048.348.344.1
3.43.43.33.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.4
Boston45.349.549.654.254.755.0
2.83.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Edmonton vs CalgaryHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary52.556.756.761.261.762.1
3.23.53.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Edmonton60.960.560.055.555.451.3
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.4
Dallas vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas60.960.560.055.555.551.3
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Chicago52.556.756.761.261.762.1
3.23.53.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Minnesota vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota60.960.560.055.655.551.3
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.4
Colorado52.556.756.861.261.762.1
3.23.53.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.