National Hockey League Playoff Chances

San Jose +11.0, Los Angeles -10.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
1/21PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
Nashville6533010-533100.0%+0.013.7%-0.138.6%-1.4538241110200000002.2-0.092.620ColoradoNashville Predators
St. Louis6222913-43799.8+0.013.3-0.19.9-0.5164342321910000003.7-0.124.625St. Louis Blues
AnaheimWCalgary 6-36813110-61599.8+0.33.6+0.610.0+3.0166711203000000002.2+0.266.555at VancouverAnaheim Ducks
ChicagoWPittsburgh 3-2 (so)6213015-24099.8+0.213.1-0.27.4+1.11343223711010000004.0+0.103.625Chicago Blackhawks
NY Islanders6323114-12299.6+0.04.4+0.08.2-0.22316181214782000000003.5+0.051.568NY RangersNew York Islanders
Tampa Bay643014-42999.5+0.09.4-0.06.4-0.419231417101222000000003.4+0.019.607at CarolinaTampa Bay Lightning
NY Rangers5842713-42899.4+0.010.7+0.07.6-0.42115181214892000000003.6+0.028.615at NY IslandersNew York Rangers
Detroit6312711-92098.9-0.07.1-0.03.7-0.212161319121934100000004.0+0.0113.595at FloridaDetroit Red Wings
Montreal6132913-31798.8+0.03.6+0.04.1-0.213171319121834100000003.9+0.015.561DallasMontreal Canadiens
PittsburghLChicago 2-3 (so)6022612-82198.6-0.16.1-0.22.8-0.79916111912175100000004.6-0.097.589WinnipegPittsburgh Penguins
Washington5722413-91794.4-0.04.4-0.00.6-0.1347715113514410000006.0+0.0115.580at ColumbusWashington Capitals
WinnipegWColumbus 4-0602614-81892.4+4.43.8+0.90.2+0.1105016159115210006.7+0.2514.574at PittsburghWinnipeg Jets
Vancouver5532616-31092.4+0.32.1-0.00.3-0.0111345122285210005.0+0.0410.547AnaheimVancouver Canucks
CalgaryLAnaheim 3-65312519-31172.2-8.21.4-0.70.0-0.00201712941814841007.0-0.6112.545BuffaloCalgary Flames
BostonLColorado 2-3 (so)572516-7570.8-0.91.4-0.00.0-0.001133916371783100007.8-0.0417.543Boston Bruins
San JoseWLos Angeles 4-2562517-6-167.6+11.00.8+0.20.0+0.002014126520171052007.3+0.5716.520San Jose Sharks
Los AngelesLSan Jose 2-45212015-12346.8-10.90.9-0.50.0-0.001070174182316104008.3-0.5323.546Los Angeles Kings
OttawaWToronto 4-34721918-9-216.7+3.60.2+0.00.0000001312272416952109.9+0.3419.515Ottawa Senators
Florida5042014-10-1516.2-0.00.10.000000131125241610531010.0+0.0425.471DetroitFlorida Panthers
Dallas4922118-7-714.1+0.30.1-0.00.0000000311152425211010.2-0.0322.495at MontrealDallas Stars
ColoradoWBoston 3-2 (so)502018-10-128.7+2.30.0+0.00.000000017122028301010.6+0.1921.474at NashvilleColorado Avalanche
Minnesota4622020-6-96.4+0.30.00.00000001591827382010.8-0.0218.490at EdmontonMinnesota Wild
TorontoLOttawa 3-4472223-3-84.5-2.20.0-0.00.0-0.000000014121923191372011.2-0.2811.488Toronto Maple Leafs
Philadelphia451922-7-161.7+0.10.00.000000001612192219136012.0+0.1024.481ArizonaPhiladelphia Flyers
ColumbusLWinnipeg 0-44332022-3-290.4-0.40.0-0.00.0-0.000000000251016232618013.0-0.3420.419WashingtonColumbus Blue Jackets
New Jersey4211722-8-270.4+0.00.00.000000000251016232617013.0+0.1026.443New Jersey Devils
Carolina3721625-5-220.0+0.00.00.0000000000136122354114.2+0.0628.446Tampa BayCarolina Hurricanes
Arizona3721625-5-510.00.00.0000000000003682913.3-0.0129.367at PhiladelphiaArizona Coyotes
Edmonton3311226-9-490.00.0No000000000001297113.730.374MinnesotaEdmonton Oilers
Buffalo3111430-3-780.00.0No0000000000000019916.027.287at CalgaryBuffalo Sabres

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
San Jose 4 Los Angeles 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg+0.1
Vancouver+0.1
Calgary+0.3
San Jose+7.1
Los Angeles-8.0
-0.2
Dallas+0.2
Colorado+0.1
Anaheim 6 Calgary 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville-0.5
St. Louis-0.2
Anaheim+0.2
+1.6
NY Islanders-0.1
NY Rangers-0.2
Winnipeg+0.3
Vancouver+0.4
Calgary-4.4
San Jose+1.2
Los Angeles+1.1
Dallas+0.6
Colorado+0.3
Minnesota+0.3
Ottawa 4 Toronto 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston-0.2
Ottawa+2.5
Florida-0.1
Toronto-2.1
No
Colorado 3 Boston 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington+0.1
Vancouver-0.2
Calgary-0.3
Boston-0.6
San Jose-0.5
Los Angeles-0.4
Ottawa+0.3
Dallas*-0.2
Colorado+1.7
No
Toronto*+0.1
Winnipeg 4 Columbus 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg+1.9
Vancouver-0.1
Calgary-0.3
San Jose-0.4
Los Angeles-0.5
Dallas-0.3
Colorado-0.1
Minnesota-0.1
Columbus-0.3
No
Pittsburgh 2 Chicago 3 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville-0.4
St. Louis-0.2
Chicago+0.2
+0.3
+1.6
Pittsburgh-0.5
Tuesday
Calgary vs BuffaloIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver92.292.292.392.792.793.1
Calgary74.374.373.768.668.663.2
1.51.51.51.31.31.2
San Jose67.167.167.368.468.469.7
Los Angeles46.246.246.347.847.849.5
Dallas13.813.813.914.614.615.4
Colorado8.58.58.59.09.09.6
Minnesota6.36.36.36.76.77.1
Buffalo0.0OutOutOutOut0.1
Montreal vs DallasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal99.299.299.198.798.798.1
3.73.73.73.63.63.4
5.05.04.83.43.42.4
Calgary72.872.272.271.571.471.4
San Jose68.367.667.666.866.766.7
Los Angeles47.546.846.846.045.945.9
Dallas10.914.014.017.618.218.2
Florida vs DetroitHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit98.298.898.899.399.399.4
6.87.07.07.27.27.2
2.23.23.24.54.74.7
Washington94.094.094.094.494.494.8
Boston69.369.269.270.970.972.4
Ottawa16.216.116.116.716.717.2
Florida20.019.819.715.815.812.5
Pittsburgh vs WinnipegHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh99.099.099.098.598.597.8
6.26.26.26.06.05.9
3.63.63.42.42.41.6
Winnipeg90.292.692.694.694.794.7
3.6*3.8*3.83.93.93.9
0.10.20.20.30.30.4
San Jose68.067.567.567.167.167.1
Los Angeles47.346.846.846.346.246.2
Nashville vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville13.713.813.713.613.613.4
41.941.941.135.335.329.8
St. Louis13.313.313.313.313.313.4
9.49.49.510.410.411.2
Anaheim9.59.59.610.510.511.3
Chicago13.113.113.113.213.213.2
7.07.07.17.97.98.5
NY Islanders7.87.87.98.78.79.4
Tampa Bay6.16.16.16.76.77.3
NY Rangers7.27.27.38.08.08.7
Detroit3.53.53.63.93.94.3
Montreal3.83.93.94.34.34.7
Calgary72.672.172.171.571.571.5
San Jose68.067.567.566.866.866.8
Los Angeles47.246.746.746.146.146.1
Colorado6.79.19.112.012.012.1
Vancouver vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville39.538.738.737.837.737.7
Anaheim99.799.899.899.999.999.9
3.53.53.53.63.63.7
7.29.79.712.712.912.9
Vancouver94.294.293.992.092.089.5
2.22.22.22.12.12.0
0.40.40.30.20.20.1
Calgary71.971.971.972.372.372.7
San Jose67.367.267.367.767.668.1
Los Angeles46.446.346.446.946.947.5
Columbus vs WashingtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington91.993.994.095.595.795.7
4.14.34.34.54.54.5
0.30.40.40.70.70.7
Ottawa17.416.816.816.416.316.4
Florida16.716.216.215.815.815.9
Columbus0.70.60.60.40.40.2
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
Edmonton vs MinnesotaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota4.15.75.77.67.97.9
Edmonton0.0NoNoNoNoNo
Philadelphia vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia2.02.01.91.31.30.9
0.00.0NoNoNoNo
ArizonaNoNoNoNoNo0.0
NY Islanders vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders99.799.799.799.699.699.3
4.64.54.54.44.44.2
10.610.39.97.37.35.3
NY Rangers99.199.499.499.699.799.7
10.410.610.710.911.011.0
5.06.96.99.59.810.1
Carolina vs Tampa BayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville39.438.938.938.338.238.2
Tampa Bay99.199.499.499.699.799.7
9.19.39.39.59.59.5
3.95.55.57.67.87.8
Carolina0.0NoNoNoNoNo

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.