National Hockey League Playoff Chances

Boston +12.6, Tampa Bay -12.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SaturdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthSunday
Anaheim14271-01492.1%+0.810.0%+0.318.7%+1.029182314543211101.596San JoseAnaheim Ducks
MinnesotaWTampa Bay 7-28442-01385.5+8.09.4+2.510.4+4.117172317654432113.599Minnesota Wild
Los Angeles11351-1780.0+1.56.1+0.27.1+0.4121024198765432123.581ColumbusLos Angeles Kings
ChicagoSt. Louis 2-3 (7:54 3rd)9441-1879.7+1.36.3+0.27.0+0.312132318765543217.582OttawaChicago Blackhawks
MontrealWNY Rangers 3-114271-0376.0+7.44.3+1.16.7+2.31513201665554332112.559Montreal Canadiens
NashvilleLPittsburgh 0-312251-2373.8-8.94.3-1.84.5-4.18112019877654328.567Nashville Predators
NY IslandersWDallas 7-512262-0571.6+5.74.6+0.85.3+1.712101916876554332115.567New York Islanders
WashingtonCalgary 1-0 (6:09 1st)8431-2670.9-0.46.0-0.05.3+0.312101816876554332121.581at VancouverWashington Capitals
CalgaryWashington 0-1 (6:09 1st)11153-1670.9+1.64.5+0.23.8+0.27720209876543217.572Calgary Flames
PittsburghWNashville 3-09342-1668.8+9.75.2+1.54.6+2.1119181687665443214.575Pittsburgh Penguins
OttawaLNew Jersey 2-3 (ot)9441-1368.2-3.44.3-0.54.5-0.91010181676665543219.565at ChicagoOttawa Senators
Tampa BayLMinnesota 2-711153-1467.6-12.64.8-3.03.9-4.59101817766655432112.571Tampa Bay Lightning
DetroitLPhiladelphia 2-410242-2160.8-9.63.6-1.22.8-2.0781616777766543111.563Detroit Red Wings
DallasLNY Islanders 5-710242-2060.2-7.32.7-0.82.1-1.3471517998877545.555Dallas Stars
New JerseyWOttawa 3-2 (ot)10242-2058.1+5.83.1+0.52.5+0.8671415887776553214.559New Jersey Devils
Columbus8343-0154.3-0.83.0-0.02.1+0.166131488877765426.560at Los AngelesColumbus Blue Jackets
Vancouver8343-0-152.4+1.92.1+0.11.4+0.13412159999987613.550WashingtonVancouver Canucks
San JoseLBuffalo 1-29144-1150.9-7.52.3-0.61.2-0.83311159999987616.558at AnaheimSan Jose Sharks
St. LouisChicago 3-2 (7:54 3rd)5423-1050.5+2.32.5+0.11.2+0.13511158999998620.562St. Louis Blues
BostonWToronto 4-11055-0245.1+12.62.3+1.01.1+0.6351113777888876318.557Boston Bruins
PhiladelphiaWDetroit 4-28233-2-441.8+6.71.8+0.51.0+0.434911788888886410.549Philadelphia Flyers
FloridaArizona 0-0 (4:16 2nd)6422-2-538.5+0.91.4+0.10.8+0.124911677889997526.541Florida Panthers
NY RangersLMontreal 1-38244-0-433.9-10.61.2-0.60.6-0.5237967888910108619.539New York Rangers
ArizonaFlorida 0-0 (4:16 2nd)5423-1-831.4+1.70.9+0.10.4+0.01269689101112131427.537Arizona Coyotes
TorontoLBoston 1-47234-1-431.2-12.11.2-0.80.5-0.6137956789910109622.542Toronto Maple Leafs
Edmonton7234-1-927.3+1.50.7+0.10.3+0.01158678101113151629.532Edmonton Oilers
Colorado6224-2-824.6+1.90.6+0.10.2+0.0114756891113161924.530at WinnipegColorado Avalanche
Winnipeg4325-0-720.9+1.30.6+0.00.1+0.0013646791113172328.532ColoradoWinnipeg Jets
Carolina2305-2-159.1-0.20.2-0.00.0+0.000122344671014212530.519Carolina Hurricanes
BuffaloWSan Jose 2-14127-0-184.2+0.90.1+0.00.0+0.00011112345812214225.494Buffalo Sabres

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.
Adam sends in the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com), plus these:

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Edmonton 3 Washington 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders+0.4
Washington-4.0
-0.4
-1.8
Calgary-0.3
Pittsburgh+0.3
New Jersey+0.4
Columbus+0.3
Vancouver-0.3
San Jose-0.2
St. Louis-0.2
Philadelphia+0.4
NY Rangers+0.4
Arizona-0.2
Edmonton+2.7
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh-5.6
-0.5
-1.6
Philadelphia+4.5
+0.2
+0.2
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim+2.0
+0.2
+1.3
Los Angeles-0.2
Calgary-0.2
Vancouver-0.2
San Jose-0.2
Arizona-0.2
Buffalo-1.7
Ottawa vs TorontoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa71.671.170.666.566.662.4
4.54.54.4*4.24.13.9
5.25.35.04.04.03.2
Toronto27.130.930.835.235.736.2
1.0*1.2*1.21.31.41.4
0.3*0.4*0.40.60.60.7
Thursday
San Jose 4 Columbus 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles+0.5
Montreal-0.3
NY Islanders-0.4
Washington-0.4
Calgary+0.6
Pittsburgh-0.4
Dallas+0.4
New Jersey-0.4
Columbus+4.5
+0.3
+0.8
Vancouver+0.5
San Jose-5.2
-0.3
-1.1
St. Louis+0.4
Philadelphia-0.4
NY Rangers-0.5
Arizona+0.5
Toronto-0.3
Edmonton+0.5
Winnipeg+0.4
Calgary 5 Carolina 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota-0.2
Los Angeles-0.3
Washington+0.3
Calgary+3.4
+0.2
+0.4
Pittsburgh+0.3
Dallas-0.3
Columbus+0.3
Vancouver-0.4
San Jose-0.3
St. Louis-0.3
Philadelphia+0.3
NY Rangers+0.3
Arizona-0.3
Edmonton-0.3
Winnipeg-0.3
Carolina-3.4
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal+0.3
NY Islanders+4.7
+0.3
+0.8
Boston-5.8
-0.3
-0.4
Florida+0.3
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles+2.6
+0.2
+0.7
Calgary-0.3
Dallas-0.2
Vancouver-0.2
San Jose-0.2
St. Louis-0.2
Arizona-0.3
Edmonton-0.2
Buffalo-1.2
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal*-0.2
Pittsburgh*-0.3
-0.2
Tampa Bay-0.5
Detroit+3.3
+0.3
+0.7
Toronto-0.5
Nashville 3 Chicago 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago-3.1
-0.3
-2.1
Nashville+2.8
+0.3
+1.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.