GYSA BU14 Classic V East Title Chances Fall2016 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed													Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Georgia FC Unit	30	2	6	-	0	-	1	35	66.2	%	-5.1	85.9	%	-5.1	66	20	12	2	0							1.5	-0.11	No			1	Georgia FC United 03 - BU14
Covington YMC -	31		5	-	3	-	1	22	15.3		+8.1	52.7		+22.0	15	37	39	8	1							2.4	+0.68	No			3	Covington YMC - BU14

GSA 03 White	29	1	5	-	2	-	1	12	17.7		-2.8	53.9		-13.9	18	36	34	10	2							2.4	-0.22	No			2	GSA 03 White
JM Tull-Gwinn -	22	1	4	-	1	-	3	-3	0.2		-0.2	2.8		-2.0	0	3	10	33	22	13	11	7	1			5.0	-0.13	No		-0.2	4	JM Tull-Gwinn - BU14
Richmond Hill U	17	2	3	-	1	-	3	-1	0.6		-0.0	4.6		-0.9	1	4	5	18	18	21	14	9	8	3	0	5.8	-0.05	3.1	%	-1.9	7	Richmond Hill U14 03B
Nexus FC 03 Elite	22		4	-	1	-	4	-6	No			No						18	26	23	21	11	2			5.9	-0.05	No		-0.0	5	Nexus FC 03 Elite
Liberty SC West	19		3	-	2	-	4	-4	No			No						5	15	17	19	25	18	1		7.0	+0.07	1.3		-2.0	6	Liberty SC West 03
DSC 03B Revolut	15	1	3	-	0	-	5	-1	No			No						2	7	13	18	22	26	11	1	7.8	+0.10	12.0		-4.2	10	DSC 03B Revolution Green
SSA Savannah UT	12	2	2	-	1	-	4	-3	No			No						5	10	12	12	15	22	18	6	7.9	+0.09	24.1		-3.3	9	SSA Savannah UTD 03B Blue

ATHENS UNITED 0	10	1	2	-	0	-	6	-15	No			No								1	4	10	18	44	23	9.7	+0.18	66.9		-3.3	8	ATHENS UNITED 03 BOYS GREEN
Old Capitol S -	7	1	1	-	1	-	6	-36	No			No									0	1	6	23	69	10.6	-0.57	92.7		+15.0	11	Old Capitol S - BU14

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 10/29
GSA 03 White 3 Liberty SC West 2
9:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia FC Unit	-7.9		-2.0
Covington YMC -	-1.1		-8.2
GSA 03 White	+10.0		+23.5				+0.8
JM Tull-Gwinn -	-0.5		-4.7
Richmond Hill U	-0.3		-2.8		-0.2
Nexus FC 03 Elite			No				+0.2
Liberty SC West			No		+2.8		-1.3
DSC 03B Revolut	-0.2		-1.4		-0.4
SSA Savannah UT			No		-0.6
ATHENS UNITED 0					-0.7
Old Capitol S -			No		-0.8

Old Capitol S - 0 Covington YMC - 7
2:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia FC Unit	-5.1		-5.1
Covington YMC -	+8.2		+22.2				+0.7
GSA 03 White	-2.9		-14.2				-0.2
JM Tull-Gwinn -	-0.2		-2.0		No
Richmond Hill U			-0.9		-2.1
Nexus FC 03 Elite					No
Liberty SC West					-2.0
DSC 03B Revolut					-4.3
SSA Savannah UT					-3.5
ATHENS UNITED 0					-3.4		+0.2
Old Capitol S -					+15.5		-0.6

DSC 03B Revolut 1 Covington YMC - 8
9:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia FC Unit	-2.9		-1.6
Covington YMC -	+4.6		+17.6		No		+1.1
GSA 03 White	-1.0		-7.5
JM Tull-Gwinn -	-0.2		-2.3
Richmond Hill U			-0.5		-0.7
Liberty SC West			-1.8		-0.4
DSC 03B Revolut	No		No		+9.1		-1.3
SSA Savannah UT					-1.9
ATHENS UNITED 0					-3.3
Old Capitol S -					-2.4

SSA Savannah UT 2 Old Capitol S - 1
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Liberty SC West					-0.3
DSC 03B Revolut					-0.4
SSA Savannah UT					-24.0		+1.0
ATHENS UNITED 0					+0.7
Old Capitol S -			No		+24.1		-0.9

ATHENS UNITED 0 vs Georgia FC UnitIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia FC Unit	44.867.786.9		72.989.397.7				1.91.41.2
Covington YMC -	26.011.75.9		59.450.147.1				2.22.52.6
GSA 03 White	27.519.77.1		58.753.349.4				2.32.42.6
JM Tull-Gwinn -	0.50.2No		3.92.71.7
Richmond Hill U	1.20.7No		5.14.64.1		4.43.21.7
Liberty SC West					3.0NoNo		7.17.07.0
DSC 03B Revolut					18.59.76.4		7.97.77.7
SSA Savannah UT					32.225.115.5		8.07.97.8
ATHENS UNITED 0					46.968.986.0		9.19.810.2
Old Capitol S -					94.993.290.3		10.810.610.4

Week of 11/5
Georgia FC Unit vs SSA Savannah UTIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
11:11 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia FC Unit	87.067.744.8		97.789.372.9				1.21.41.9
Covington YMC -	5.911.826.0		47.150.159.4				2.62.52.2
GSA 03 White	7.119.727.5		49.453.358.7				2.62.42.3
JM Tull-Gwinn -	No0.20.5		1.72.73.9				4.94.95.1
Richmond Hill U	No0.61.2		4.1*4.65.1		2.32.84.0		5.75.86.0
Liberty SC West					No1.52.4		6.87.07.3
DSC 03B Revolut					8.811.115.6		7.67.78.0
SSA Savannah UT					38.427.28.5		8.88.26.8
ATHENS UNITED 0					59.864.674.8		9.69.69.8

Georgia FC Unit vs DSC 03B RevolutHomeDrawAway
4:45 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia FC Unit	86.967.744.8		97.789.372.9				1.21.41.9
Covington YMC -	5.911.726.0		47.150.159.4				2.62.52.2
GSA 03 White	7.119.727.5		49.453.358.7				2.62.42.3
JM Tull-Gwinn -	No0.20.5		1.72.73.9				4.95.05.0
Richmond Hill U	No0.61.2		4.1*4.65.1		2.33.53.7		5.75.86.0
Liberty SC West					0.81.11.8		6.86.97.3
DSC 03B Revolut					25.37.60.4		8.87.96.8
SSA Savannah UT					21.424.726.6		7.77.98.1
ATHENS UNITED 0					60.369.872.3		9.59.79.8
Old Capitol S -					90.093.495.2

Covington YMC - vs Richmond Hill UHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia FC Unit	55.372.874.5		79.387.591.9				1.71.41.4
Covington YMC -	33.25.41.2		88.344.220.4				1.82.53.0
GSA 03 White	11.421.922.3		31.667.671.0				2.62.32.3
JM Tull-Gwinn -	NoNo0.5		0.70.75.7				4.95.05.1
Richmond Hill U	NoNo1.5		NoNo11.0		7.10.6No		6.96.04.7

GSA 03 White vs Richmond Hill UHomeDrawAway
5:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia FC Unit	57.168.474.4		80.984.891.4				1.61.51.4
Covington YMC -	9.618.619.7		36.164.564.9				2.62.22.3
GSA 03 White	33.312.64.1		82.046.628.6				1.82.53.0
JM Tull-Gwinn -	No0.40.4		1.04.24.1				4.94.95.1
Richmond Hill U	NoNo1.5		NoNo11.0		7.10.6No		6.96.14.6

DSC 03B Revolut vs GSA 03 WhiteHomeDrawAway
9:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia FC Unit	74.568.057.1		91.984.780.4				1.31.51.6
Covington YMC -	19.918.29.6		67.259.735.6				2.22.32.7
GSA 03 White	4.112.533.3		29.145.282.0				2.92.51.8
JM Tull-Gwinn -	0.40.3No		4.63.30.8
Richmond Hill U	1.11.1No		7.27.21.1		3.73.52.3		5.95.85.7
Liberty SC West					1.81.10.8		7.36.96.8
DSC 03B Revolut					0.47.625.3		6.87.98.8
SSA Savannah UT					26.624.721.3		8.17.97.7
ATHENS UNITED 0					72.369.860.3		9.89.79.5
Old Capitol S -					95.293.490.0

Old Capitol S - vs Richmond Hill UHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Covington YMC -	15.615.614.9		56.156.248.0				2.32.32.5
Richmond Hill U	NoNo1.5		NoNo11.0		7.10.6No		6.96.04.7
DSC 03B Revolut					14.99.910.0		7.77.77.9
Old Capitol S -					82.899.7Yes		10.210.810.9

JM Tull-Gwinn - vs Old Capitol S -HomeDrawAway
12:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
JM Tull-Gwinn -	0.5NoNo		6.7NoNo				4.05.25.9
DSC 03B Revolut					9.89.815.2
ATHENS UNITED 0					65.165.169.3		9.59.69.9
Old Capitol S -					Yes99.782.8		10.910.810.2

Liberty SC West vs JM Tull-Gwinn -HomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
JM Tull-Gwinn -	NoNo0.5		NoNo6.7				6.14.74.0
Liberty SC West					NoNo3.0		5.67.58.3

Nexus FC 03 Elite vs SSA Savannah UTHomeDrawAway
1:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Nexus FC 03 Elite							4.76.07.0
Liberty SC West					No1.52.4		7.16.97.1
DSC 03B Revolut					8.811.115.6		7.87.77.8
SSA Savannah UT					38.427.28.5		9.08.26.7
ATHENS UNITED 0					59.864.674.8		9.69.69.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you CT for adding this league.