Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
FridayPGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change123456Avg.Change%ChangeRPISunday
ChinaWMexico 5-2113-10-014Yes+44.1Yes+44.11001.0+0.74No1at South AfricaChina
New ZealandLSouth Africa 1-362-02-00No-18.1No-18.1483271383.3-0.478.2%+1.03BulgariaNew Zealand
MexicoLChina 2-562-02-06No-22.0No-22.02528271813.4-0.761.2+1.02at IsraelMexico
BulgariaWIsrael 10-562-02-0-9No-0.0No-0.0272527223.4+0.81No-7.54at New ZealandBulgaria
IsraelLBulgaria 5-1041-02-1-6No-4.0No-4.044328254.4-0.5825.3+19.15MexicoIsrael
South AfricaWNew Zealand 3-131-03-0-5NoNo1619655.5+0.2665.3-13.66ChinaSouth Africa

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday, 4/16
New Zealand 4 China 7
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
China+24.6
+24.6
No
+0.7
New Zealand-29.7
-29.7
+2.9
-0.8
Mexico+5.9
+5.9
Bulgaria-0.7
-0.7
-0.4
+0.0
Israel+0.2
+0.2
+0.2
-0.0
South Africa-0.3
-0.3
-0.8
+0.0
Mexico 9 Bulgaria 1
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
China+0.6
+0.6
-0.7
+0.0
New Zealand+2.6
+2.6
+0.8
Mexico+8.3
+8.3
-7.4
+0.9
Bulgaria-11.5
-11.5
+7.3
-0.9
Israel-0.1
-0.1
South Africa+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
-0.0
South Africa 3 Israel 6
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
China+0.6
New Zealand*-0.1
*-0.1
+0.8
+0.0
Mexico-0.8
-0.8
-0.1
-0.1
Bulgaria-7.3
+0.0
Israel+2.0
+2.0
-25.1
+0.7
South AfricaNo
No
+31.0
-0.7
Friday, 4/17
China 5 Mexico 2
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
China+33.9
+33.9
+0.6
New Zealand-8.0
-8.0
-0.3
+0.0
MexicoNo
No
+0.2
-0.7
BulgariaNo
No
IsraelNo
No
+0.1
South Africa+0.1
South Africa 3 New Zealand 1
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
ChinaYes
Yes
+0.1
New ZealandNo
No
+5.2
-0.5
Mexico+0.3
+0.1
Bulgaria+0.1
Israel+12.6
-0.0
South Africa-18.1
+0.3
Bulgaria 10 Israel 5
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
China+0.3
+0.3
+0.0
New Zealand+1.0
+1.0
-2.7
+0.0
Mexico+2.6
+2.6
+0.2
+0.1
Bulgaria+0.1
+0.1
No
+0.7
IsraelNo
No
+6.3
-0.8
South Africa+3.7
-0.0
Sunday, 4/19
South Africa vs ChinaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
New Zealand17.6NoNoNoNoNo
3.63.03.03.03.03.0
Mexico2.7NoNoNoNoNo
Israel50.846.746.7NoNoNo
4.64.64.64.14.14.1
South Africa28.953.353.3YesYesYes
4.95.55.56.06.06.0
Israel vs MexicoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
New Zealand16.910.410.3NoNoNo
3.33.33.33.23.23.3
Mexico2.7NoNoNoNoNo
4.43.03.03.03.02.5
Bulgaria3.43.03.03.03.03.5
IsraelNo11.411.446.746.650.0
3.15.15.15.55.55.5
South Africa80.578.278.353.353.450.0
5.75.65.65.35.35.3
New Zealand vs BulgariaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
New ZealandNoNoNoNoNo17.6
2.02.52.53.53.54.6
MexicoNoNoNoNoNo2.7
Bulgaria4.53.53.52.52.52.5
Israel24.924.924.925.024.825.7
4.34.84.84.84.84.3
South Africa75.175.175.175.075.254.0
5.85.85.85.85.85.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league.