IIHF Division II Group B Title Chances 2015 50/50China +44.1, Mexico -22.0 Chance Will Win Championship Explain Big GamesWho should we root for? Explain Thursday, 4/16 | New Zealand 4 China 7 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | China | +24.6 | | +24.6 | | No | | +0.7 | | New Zealand | -29.7 | | -29.7 | | +2.9 | | -0.8 | | Mexico | +5.9 | | +5.9 | | | | | | Bulgaria | -0.7 | | -0.7 | | -0.4 | | +0.0 | | Israel | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | -0.0 | | South Africa | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | -0.8 | | +0.0 | | | Mexico 9 Bulgaria 1 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | China | +0.6 | | +0.6 | | -0.7 | | +0.0 | | New Zealand | +2.6 | | +2.6 | | +0.8 | | | | Mexico | +8.3 | | +8.3 | | -7.4 | | +0.9 | | Bulgaria | -11.5 | | -11.5 | | +7.3 | | -0.9 | | Israel | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | South Africa | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | -0.0 | | | South Africa 3 Israel 6 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | China | | | | | +0.6 | | | | New Zealand | *-0.1 | | *-0.1 | | +0.8 | | +0.0 | | Mexico | -0.8 | | -0.8 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | Bulgaria | | | | | -7.3 | | +0.0 | | Israel | +2.0 | | +2.0 | | -25.1 | | +0.7 | | South Africa | No | | No | | +31.0 | | -0.7 | | | Friday, 4/17 | China 5 Mexico 2 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | China | +33.9 | | +33.9 | | | | +0.6 | | New Zealand | -8.0 | | -8.0 | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | | Mexico | No | | No | | +0.2 | | -0.7 | | Bulgaria | No | | No | | | | | | Israel | No | | No | | | | +0.1 | | South Africa | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | South Africa 3 New Zealand 1 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | China | Yes | | Yes | | | | +0.1 | | New Zealand | No | | No | | +5.2 | | -0.5 | | Mexico | | | | | +0.3 | | +0.1 | | Bulgaria | | | | | | | +0.1 | | Israel | | | | | +12.6 | | -0.0 | | South Africa | | | | | -18.1 | | +0.3 | | | Bulgaria 10 Israel 5 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | China | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | +0.0 | | New Zealand | +1.0 | | +1.0 | | -2.7 | | +0.0 | | Mexico | +2.6 | | +2.6 | | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | Bulgaria | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | No | | +0.7 | | Israel | No | | No | | +6.3 | | -0.8 | | South Africa | | | | | +3.7 | | -0.0 | | | Sunday, 4/19 | South Africa vs ChinaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | New Zealand | | | | | 17.6NoNoNoNoNo | | 3.63.03.03.03.03.0 | | Mexico | | | | | 2.7NoNoNoNoNo | | | | Israel | | | | | 50.846.746.7NoNoNo | | 4.64.64.64.14.14.1 | | South Africa | | | | | 28.953.353.3YesYesYes | | 4.95.55.56.06.06.0 | | | Israel vs MexicoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | New Zealand | | | | | 16.910.410.3NoNoNo | | 3.33.33.33.23.23.3 | | Mexico | | | | | 2.7NoNoNoNoNo | | 4.43.03.03.03.02.5 | | Bulgaria | | | | | | | 3.43.03.03.03.03.5 | | Israel | | | | | No11.411.446.746.650.0 | | 3.15.15.15.55.55.5 | | South Africa | | | | | 80.578.278.353.353.450.0 | | 5.75.65.65.35.35.3 | | | New Zealand vs BulgariaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | New Zealand | | | | | NoNoNoNoNo17.6 | | 2.02.52.53.53.54.6 | | Mexico | | | | | NoNoNoNoNo2.7 | | | | Bulgaria | | | | | | | 4.53.53.52.52.52.5 | | Israel | | | | | 24.924.924.925.024.825.7 | | 4.34.84.84.84.84.3 | | South Africa | | | | | 75.175.175.175.075.254.0 | | 5.85.85.85.85.85.2 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know. Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league. |