Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-L-TGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
Bears1216-1-02596.9%-0.2302216117532110000003.0+0.103California Golden Bears
Oilers1125-0-11795.0+5.3282115118643211000003.3+1.022SDIA Oilers
Goldrush11025-1-02192.1-0.5201815129764321100003.9+0.077Gold Rush 1
OC2924-1-1883.3-6.2913141311986543211005.2-0.871OCHC 2
Wave814-3-0765.8-18.736891010109986532107.0-1.9915Ontario Wave
Heat94-3-1864.7+1.6257911111110987532107.3+0.136California Heat
Empire813-2-2460.1+11.225789101010987643107.6+1.0111Empire
Flyers623-3-0-751.5+12.723578999998764318.4+1.178Valencia Jr. Flyers
OC1623-3-0-451.4+12.213578999998765318.4+1.144OCHC 1
Gulls1432-3-0-337.8-1.112345778999998639.6-0.0710San Diego Jr. Gulls 1
Ducks522-3-1-335.4-0.901345678910101098639.8-0.079Anaheim Jr. Ducks
Leafs612-3-2032.0-4.10123567891011111096310.1-0.305Pasadena Maple Leafs
Gulls2321-4-1-1014.6-10.700112345679111314141112.0-1.1512San Diego Jr. Gulls 2
Goldrush2221-5-0-219.3-0.200011223467101316181712.9-0.0716Gold Rush 2
Kings030-5-0-245.8-0.30000112234681114202913.6-0.0713Los Angeles Jr. Kings
Mariners120-5-1-184.4-0.20000011234571015213013.8-0.0614Ventura Mariners

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/3
Empire 4 Heat 3
5:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Heat-13.5
-1.2
Empire+14.2
+1.2
Flyers-0.2
Heat 4 Gulls2 3
10:45 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oilers-0.2
Goldrush1-0.1
Wave-0.2
Heat+13.5
+1.2
Empire-0.2
Flyers-0.4
OC1-0.4
Gulls1-0.4
Ducks-0.4
Leafs-0.4
Gulls2-10.5
-1.1
Mariners-0.2
Wave 3 Flyers 4
5:45 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bears-0.2
Oilers-0.3
Goldrush1-0.2
+0.0
OC2-0.2
Wave-8.0
-0.9
Heat-0.6
Empire-0.5
Flyers+12.9
+1.2
OC1-0.4
Gulls1-0.6
Ducks-0.5
Leafs-0.5
Gulls2-0.4
Goldrush2-0.2
Kings-0.2
OC1 1 Wave 0
3:35 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bears+0.0
Oilers-0.2
Goldrush1-0.3
OC2-0.2
Wave-8.0
-1.0
Heat-0.6
Empire-0.5
Flyers-0.5
OC1+12.8
+1.2
Gulls1-0.6
Ducks-0.5
Leafs-0.5
Gulls2-0.4
Kings-0.2
Mariners-0.2
Oilers 6 OC2 3
9:30 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oilers+5.7
+0.9
OC2-5.7
-0.9
Leafs 4 Empire 4
7:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Goldrush1+0.2
OC2+0.3
Wave+0.3
Heat+0.6
Empire-2.1
-0.2
Flyers+0.7
Gulls1+0.4
Ducks+0.7
Leafs-2.6
-0.2
Gulls2+0.4
Kings+0.2
Mariners+0.2
Gulls1 vs DucksIf winner is:HomeTieAway
4:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wave*65.866.265.6
Heat*64.665.464.6
*7.37.27.3
Empire*60.260.660.0
OC1*51.452.151.3
Gulls151.135.425.0
8.49.810.8
Ducks22.432.649.0
11.010.08.6
Flyers vs BearsHomeTieAway
5:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bears94.397.599.4
3.73.12.3
Oilers94.7*95.095.3
Goldrush191.7*92.292.6
OC282.7*83.483.9
Wave64.766.066.8
Heat63.465.165.8
7.37.27.2
Empire58.960.561.2
7.67.57.5
Flyers65.048.638.8
7.18.69.5
OC150.351.752.5
8.48.48.3
Gulls136.8*37.938.7
9.7*9.69.6
Ducks34.3*35.536.4
9.9*9.89.8
Leafs30.9*32.233.0
10.2*10.110.0
Gulls213.914.715.1
12.1*12.012.0
Goldrush28.7*9.39.8
12.9*12.912.8
Kings5.5*5.86.1
Mariners4.1*4.54.6
Goldrush2 vs KingsHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oilers94.9*95.195.1
Goldrush192.0*92.292.3
OC283.183.683.5
Wave65.566.166.0
Heat64.464.964.9
Empire59.9*60.360.3
OC151.251.8*51.6
Ducks35.135.735.5
Leafs31.832.3*32.1
Gulls214.414.8*14.6
12.112.012.0
Goldrush215.07.54.0
11.913.113.8
Kings2.44.59.6
14.413.812.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.