Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
7/14PGWL-OTGD%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIWednesday
Rebels16182-01696.0%-0.96419943101.7-0.091RaidersRebels
SpartansWPiranhas 5-31573-1883.1+13.915322016106103.0+0.692Spartans
Chaos C3WBulldogs 4-31474-0568.3+16.092020191711303.6+0.785Chaos C3
KnightsWKodiaks 5-31463-2159.1+16.341221222013714.1+0.704Knights
RaidersLVikings 3-512164-01652.9-22.2612171819149404.4-1.003at RebelsRaiders
Angry Beavers11154-1-227.3-3.92591215212214105.6-0.196at VikingsAngry Beavers
BulldogsLChaos C3 3-41155-1-610.7-19.8003712243516106.3-0.939Bulldogs
VikingsWRaiders 5-38146-0-72.7+0.60024920421747.6+0.597Angry BeaversVikings
KodiaksLKnights 3-5638-0-14Out-0.0021852289.1-0.308Kodiaks
PiranhasLSpartans 3-5528-1-17Out-0.00429689.6-0.2410Piranhas

Spring

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/14
Bulldogs 3 Chaos C3 4
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Spartans-0.5
-0.0
Chaos C3+19.7
+0.9
Knights-0.5
-0.0
Raiders-0.2
-0.0
Angry Beavers-0.4
Bulldogs-18.2
-0.8
Vikings+0.1
Knights 5 Kodiaks 3
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels-0.6
Spartans-3.3
-0.1
Chaos C3-3.6
-0.1
Knights+16.6
+0.7
Raiders-2.9
-0.1
Angry Beavers-3.0
-0.1
Bulldogs-2.8
-0.1
Vikings-0.4
+0.1
KodiaksOut
-0.4
Piranhas+0.1
Raiders 3 Vikings 5
5:55 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels+0.4
+0.1
Spartans+2.3
+0.1
Chaos C3+2.5
+0.1
Knights+2.9
+0.1
Raiders-15.1
-0.8
Angry Beavers+2.3
+0.0
Bulldogs+2.5
+0.1
Vikings+2.2
+0.5
Kodiaks-0.1
Piranhas-0.1
Piranhas 3 Spartans 5
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels-0.5
-0.1
Spartans+15.0
+0.7
Chaos C3-3.2
-0.1
Knights-3.3
-0.1
Raiders-2.2
-0.1
Angry Beavers-3.0
-0.1
Bulldogs-2.4
-0.1
Vikings-0.4
+0.1
Kodiaks+0.1
Piranhas-0.3
Rebels vs RaidersIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:20 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels100.099.999.996.196.191.3
1.21.21.21.71.72.2
Spartans85.982.682.780.580.580.9
2.93.13.13.03.03.0
Chaos C371.869.969.963.763.665.3
3.63.63.63.83.83.7
Knights64.062.362.354.054.154.5
4.04.14.14.24.24.2
Raiders32.547.147.170.470.471.5
5.34.64.63.63.63.5
Angry Beavers30.026.126.224.324.325.1
5.55.75.75.75.75.7
Bulldogs12.79.59.58.88.79.2
6.26.46.46.46.46.4
Vikings3.22.62.52.22.22.2
7.67.77.77.77.77.7
Vikings vs Angry BeaversHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:55 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels96.696.496.495.395.495.4
Spartans85.685.185.180.680.780.7
2.92.92.93.13.13.0
Chaos C371.970.770.964.764.864.8
3.53.63.63.73.73.7
Knights61.960.260.256.556.556.5
4.04.14.14.24.24.2
Raiders55.554.254.250.550.450.5
4.34.34.44.44.44.4
Angry Beavers12.018.118.041.741.741.7
6.46.06.04.84.84.8
Bulldogs11.010.510.410.410.410.4
6.36.56.56.46.46.3
Vikings5.44.84.80.20.20.0
7.17.27.28.08.08.2
Kodiaks9.19.19.19.19.19.0
Week of 7/21
Spartans vs Chaos C3If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels96.195.795.795.795.795.9
Spartans97.997.497.482.482.466.3
2.12.12.13.33.33.9
Chaos C347.163.063.086.386.387.5
4.64.14.12.82.82.7
Knights60.758.758.652.452.558.6
4.14.14.24.44.44.1
Raiders56.148.348.648.748.651.1
4.34.54.54.44.44.4
Angry Beavers27.826.025.922.722.827.6
5.65.65.65.75.75.6
Bulldogs12.08.78.79.29.29.9
6.36.46.46.46.46.4
Vikings2.32.12.1*2.62.63.2
Knights vs BulldogsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
5:35 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels95.695.695.695.495.496.5
1.71.71.71.71.71.6
Spartans80.480.380.484.184.486.1
3.13.13.12.92.92.8
Chaos C365.465.365.265.665.572.1
3.73.73.73.73.73.5
Knights80.679.279.156.156.034.8
3.33.33.44.34.35.1
Raiders50.049.849.949.949.856.8
4.44.44.44.54.54.3
Angry Beavers25.325.225.228.028.029.4
Bulldogs0.42.32.319.019.121.0
7.06.86.85.85.85.7
Vikings2.32.22.21.91.93.3
7.57.67.67.87.87.7
Piranhas vs RaidersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
4:50 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels96.796.296.295.395.395.3
1.61.61.61.71.71.7
Spartans86.4*83.2*83.280.380.480.3
2.82.92.93.13.13.1
Chaos C372.570.770.764.264.464.3
3.53.53.53.83.83.8
Knights64.462.762.654.054.154.1
4.04.04.04.34.34.3
Raiders33.247.948.070.870.570.6
5.24.54.53.63.63.6
Angry Beavers30.526.726.724.524.524.5
5.45.65.65.75.75.7
Bulldogs13.010.010.08.78.78.7
6.26.46.46.46.46.4
Vikings3.22.6*2.62.22.22.2
7.67.77.77.77.77.6
Kodiaks9.29.29.29.09.08.9
Piranhas9.49.49.49.89.89.8
Rebels vs Angry BeaversHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
4:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels99.899.799.896.596.591.5
1.31.31.31.71.72.1
Spartans85.384.784.880.580.581.2
Chaos C371.069.869.764.464.565.9
3.63.63.73.83.83.6
Knights62.160.160.156.156.256.4
4.14.14.14.24.24.2
Raiders56.054.354.449.249.350.2
4.34.34.34.54.54.4
Angry Beavers12.018.318.340.740.641.8
6.35.95.94.94.94.9
Bulldogs10.810.210.210.210.2*10.7
6.26.46.46.46.46.4
Vikings3.12.92.92.32.32.3
7.57.67.67.77.77.7
Kodiaks vs VikingsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:40 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Spartans83.6*83.2*83.282.882.882.8
Knights59.859.859.858.458.458.4
Raiders53.953.753.651.951.951.9
4.34.34.34.44.44.4
Angry Beavers27.6*27.1*27.327.027.027.0
5.55.65.65.75.75.7
Bulldogs10.910.910.910.510.510.5
6.26.36.36.46.46.4
Vikings0.00.91.05.25.25.2
8.37.87.87.17.17.1
Kodiaks8.78.98.99.29.29.5
Piranhas9.79.89.89.89.89.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Drew Bragg for adding this league.