Premier Leagee Title Chances 2016-2017 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												UEFA CL			Chance will finish season at seed																						Championship
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Chelsea	55		18	-	1	-	3	32	70.1	%	+10.7	98.4	%	+2.0	70	18	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0										1.5	+0.25	No			2	Chelsea
Arsenal	47		14	-	5	-	3	27	11.2		+1.9	76.1		+10.4	11	25	22	17	12	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				3.3	+0.45	No		-0.0	5	Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur	46		13	-	7	-	2	29	7.8		-3.9	70.8		-1.6	8	22	22	19	14	9	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				3.6	-0.15	No			1	Tottenham Hotspur
Liverpool	45		13	-	6	-	3	24	6.2		-5.9	63.2		-8.9	6	17	20	20	17	12	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				4.0	-0.47	No		-0.0	6	Liverpool

Manchester City	43		13	-	4	-	5	15	3.0		-1.8	46.8		-2.9	3	10	15	19	20	17	9	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		4.7	-0.18	0.0	%	-0.0	4	Manchester City
Manchester United	41		11	-	8	-	3	12	1.4		-1.0	32.1		-2.9	1	6	10	15	19	22	15	7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.4	-0.19	0.0		-0.0	3	Manchester United

Everton	36		10	-	6	-	6	10	0.2		+0.0	9.0		+3.2	0	1	3	5	9	16	24	17	10	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3	+0.60	0.0		-0.1	7	Everton
West Brom	32		9	-	5	-	8	2	0.0		+0.0	2.2		+0.9	0	0	1	1	3	7	14	19	16	12	9	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	9.1	+0.74	0.3		-0.8	8	West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City	28		7	-	7	-	8	-6	0.0		-0.0	0.4		-0.2	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	10	13	13	12	11	9	7	6	4	2	1	1	0	11.1	-0.20	2.1		-0.5	9	Stoke City
West Ham	28		8	-	4	-	10	-7	0.0		-0.0	0.4		+0.2	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	10	13	13	12	11	9	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	11.1	+0.92	2.1		-3.6	10	West Ham United
Southampton	27		7	-	6	-	9	-4	0.0		-0.0	0.2		+0.1	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	11	12	12	12	10	9	7	5	3	2	1	0	11.6	+0.97	3.2		-4.7	11	Southampton
Bournemouth	26		7	-	5	-	10	-7	0.0		-0.0	0.1		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	9	11	12	12	11	10	8	6	4	3	1	1	12.2	-0.16	4.7		-0.9	13	AFC Bournemouth
Burnley	26		8	-	2	-	12	-9	0.0		-0.0	0.1		-0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	9	11	12	12	11	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	12.2	-0.73	4.9		+0.9	12	Burnley
Watford	24		6	-	6	-	10	-13	0.0		-0.0	0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	6	8	10	11	12	12	11	9	7	5	3	1	13.3	-0.12	9.7		-1.3	14	Watford
Leicester City	21		5	-	6	-	11	-13	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	4	6	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	8	5	15.0	-0.66	22.4		+3.7	16	Leicester City
Middlesbrough	20		4	-	8	-	10	-7	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	6	8	10	12	13	13	12	9	6	15.4	-0.62	27.5		+4.3	19	Middlesbrough
Swansea City	18		5	-	3	-	14	-25	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	12	14	15	15	13	16.6	+0.88	43.5		-15.9	15	Swansea City

Crystal Palace	16		4	-	4	-	14	-11	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	10	13	16	19	21	17.4	-0.46	56.6		+6.3	20	Crystal Palace
Hull City	16		4	-	4	-	14	-27	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	9	13	16	20	23	17.5	-0.45	58.5		+6.4	17	Hull City
Sunderland	15		4	-	3	-	15	-22	No			0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	8	12	15	21	29	17.8	-0.42	64.7		+6.1	18	Sunderland

Week of 1/31
Chelsea vs ArsenalIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	81.369.759.2		99.598.597.3				1.31.51.7
Arsenal	4.79.818.9		68.874.984.4				3.83.42.9
Tottenham Hotspur	5.88.59.2		71.971.069.4
Liverpool	4.76.77.1		64.663.561.7				3.93.94.0
Manchester City	2.23.33.6		48.447.045.1				4.64.74.7

Liverpool vs ChelseaHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	60.769.380.1		97.298.599.5				1.71.51.3
Arsenal	13.312.18.5		74.576.477.5
Tottenham Hotspur	9.48.45.7		68.971.172.4				3.73.63.6
Liverpool	10.95.12.3		73.661.554.3				3.54.04.4
Manchester City	3.73.32.2		44.547.248.8				4.74.74.6
Manchester United	1.71.61.0		30.132.533.8				5.45.45.3

Arsenal vs WatfordHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	66.871.172.6		98.298.598.5				1.51.51.4
Arsenal	16.19.97.5		84.374.868.9				2.93.43.7
Liverpool	5.66.36.6		61.563.564.7				4.03.93.9
Manchester City	2.73.13.3		44.847.148.6				4.74.74.6
Manchester United	1.3*1.41.6		30.432.433.6				5.45.45.3
Watford	NoNo0.0				13.910.25.1		14.113.512.5

Sunderland vs Tottenham HotspurHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	72.070.967.5		98.698.598.2
Tottenham Hotspur	4.96.711.7		62.869.380.0				4.03.73.2
Liverpool	6.56.35.8		64.963.661.2				3.93.94.1
Manchester City	3.23.12.8		48.747.244.6				4.64.74.8
Manchester United			33.932.430.1				5.35.45.5
Swansea City					45.443.142.0		16.616.516.5
Crystal Palace					58.256.355.2		17.417.317.3
Hull City					60.258.257.0		17.517.417.4
Sunderland			0.0NoNo		54.167.173.3		17.218.018.3

Tottenham Hotspur vs MiddlesbroughHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	67.670.872.0		98.298.598.6
Tottenham Hotspur	11.76.74.9		80.069.462.7				3.23.74.0
Liverpool	5.86.36.4		61.363.664.9				4.03.93.9
Manchester City	2.83.13.2		44.647.148.8				4.84.74.6
Manchester United			30.132.433.9				5.55.45.3
Middlesbrough					35.528.918.2		16.115.614.6
Swansea City					42.243.245.1		16.516.516.6
Crystal Palace					55.156.358.2		17.317.317.4
Hull City					57.158.360.0		17.417.417.5

Hull City vs LiverpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	71.670.768.1		98.698.598.2
Arsenal	11.611.410.7		77.676.474.3				3.33.33.4
Tottenham Hotspur	8.17.97.5		72.571.168.7				3.63.63.7
Liverpool	3.75.29.4		54.561.473.4				4.44.03.5
Manchester City	3.2*3.12.8		49.047.344.3				4.64.74.8
Manchester United			34.032.530.0				5.35.45.5
Middlesbrough					29.127.126.1		15.515.415.4
Swansea City					45.543.141.9		16.616.516.5
Crystal Palace					58.456.155.1		17.417.317.3
Hull City			0.0NoNo		47.560.967.6		16.817.618.0
Sunderland					66.464.363.3		17.917.817.7

Manchester City vs Swansea CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal	10.9*11.311.5		74.076.577.8				3.43.33.3
Tottenham Hotspur	7.67.98.0		68.471.372.7				3.73.63.6
Liverpool	6.0*6.26.3		60.663.765.4				4.03.93.9
Manchester City	4.92.51.6		57.844.537.7				4.24.85.1
Manchester United			29.832.634.0				5.55.45.3
Middlesbrough					26.127.129.1		15.415.415.5
Swansea City			No0.00.0		52.945.632.5		17.216.715.8
Crystal Palace					55.056.258.5		17.317.317.4
Hull City					57.058.160.3		17.417.417.5
Sunderland					63.264.366.5		17.717.817.9

West Ham vs Manchester CityHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal	11.5*11.311.0		77.876.574.1				3.33.33.4
Tottenham Hotspur	8.0*7.97.6		72.671.368.5				3.63.63.7
Liverpool	6.3*6.26.0		65.363.960.6				3.93.94.0
Manchester City	1.72.44.9		37.744.657.8				5.14.84.2
Manchester United			34.032.629.8				5.35.45.5
West Ham			0.70.20.1		0.8*2.13.3		10.311.311.8

Leicester City vs Manchester UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal	11.4*11.311.1		77.676.674.2				3.33.33.4
Tottenham Hotspur	8.0*7.87.7		72.671.368.6				3.63.63.7
Liverpool			65.163.760.9				3.93.94.0
Manchester City			48.647.344.6				4.64.74.8
Manchester United	0.71.12.4		24.029.942.1		0.0NoNo		5.85.54.9
Leicester City					14.223.629.6		14.115.115.7

Manchester United vs Hull CityHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal	11.1*11.311.4		74.276.677.6				3.43.33.3
Tottenham Hotspur			68.771.272.5				3.73.63.6
Liverpool			61.063.865.0				4.03.93.9
Manchester City			44.547.448.7				4.84.74.6
Manchester United	2.41.10.7		42.129.824.0		NoNo0.0		4.95.55.8
Middlesbrough					26.127.129.1		15.415.415.5
Swansea City					42.043.145.4		16.516.516.6
Crystal Palace					55.156.158.4		17.317.317.4
Hull City			NoNo0.0		67.560.947.5		18.017.616.8
Sunderland					63.364.466.3		17.717.817.9

Stoke City vs EvertonHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Everton	0.10.10.3		5.47.713.8				7.97.46.6
Stoke City			0.70.20.1		0.8*2.13.4		10.211.311.9

Everton vs BournemouthHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Everton	0.30.10.1		13.87.75.4				6.77.47.8
Bournemouth	NoNo0.0		0.00.10.3		7.14.82.1		12.912.311.3

West Brom vs Stoke CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Brom			3.81.71.1		0.10.20.5		8.39.29.8
Stoke City			0.10.20.7		3.4*2.10.8		11.911.310.2

Middlesbrough vs West BromHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Brom			1.11.73.7		0.50.20.0		9.79.28.4
Middlesbrough					18.229.035.5		14.615.616.1
Crystal Palace					58.156.355.2		17.417.317.3

Southampton vs West HamHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Ham			0.10.20.7		3.4*2.10.7		11.911.310.2
Southampton	0.00.0No		0.50.10.1		1.33.35.0		10.711.812.4

Swansea City vs SouthamptonHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton			0.10.10.5		5.33.11.1		12.411.810.7
Swansea City			0.00.0No		32.245.753.1		15.816.717.2
Crystal Palace					58.256.255.3		17.417.317.3

Watford vs BurnleyHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Burnley	NoNo0.0		0.00.10.3		7.65.02.1		13.012.411.3
Watford	0.0NoNo				4.910.114.1		12.413.514.2

Burnley vs Leicester CityHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Burnley	0.0NoNo		0.30.10.0		2.0*4.97.8		11.312.413.0
Leicester City					30.023.513.9		15.715.114.0

Bournemouth vs Crystal PalaceHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Bournemouth	0.0NoNo		0.30.10.0		1.84.67.6		11.312.312.9
Swansea City					42.343.145.1
Crystal Palace			NoNo0.0		66.259.044.9		17.917.516.7

Crystal Palace vs SunderlandHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Crystal Palace			0.0NoNo		43.858.667.6		16.617.518.0
Sunderland			NoNo0.0		75.067.052.5		18.417.917.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Premier Leagee Title Chances 2016-2017 50/50

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