HudsonB Playoff Chances LL65 50/50Lost to BowmanD 3-4, Plays at ColemanK 11:59 PM, Beat EsneaultG 5-4, Lost to GrecoD 6-9, Plays at GrecoG 11:59 PM, Lost to HommeyerM 1-2, Lost to AndrewsS 0-6, Beat BourkeR 7-4, Beat BrowneL 4-1, Beat ConeCW 7-5, Lost to CurtinT 1-3, Beat ErnstS 1-0, Lost to FreezeB 3-4, Beat GelfandJ 7-4, Beat HartleyK 2-1, Beat LeeD2 3-1, Lost to MuttrejaR 4-7, Beat RizzoA 3-1, Lost to WatsonKR 2-5, Lost to JeziorskiM 0-8 (ot), Plays at PriceE 11:59 PM, Lost to SamaK 0-2, Plays at SharpJ 11:59 PM, Tied SkardonS 1-1, Beat TavelP 5-0 (ot), playoff odds down 31.9 to 3.8% 20 points 10 9-1 1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | JeziorskiM 8 HudsonB 0 (ot) | -13.8 | | -8.8 | | +13.0 | | -2.8 | | TavelP 0 HudsonB 5 (ot) | +7.4 | | +4.4 | | -7.5 | | +1.6 | | HommeyerM 2 HudsonB 1 | -6.8 | | -3.4 | | +7.8 | | -1.5 | | HudsonB 4 MuttrejaR 7 | -6.4 | | -1.3 | | +9.6 | | -1.4 | | BowmanD 4 HudsonB 3 | -6.1 | | -2.6 | | +7.9 | | -1.5 | | HudsonB 1 CurtinT 3 | -6.1 | | -0.6 | | +10.3 | | -1.4 | | HudsonB 3 FreezeB 4 | -5.7 | | -0.2 | | +10.9 | | -1.4 | | HudsonB 7 GelfandJ 4 | +5.3 | | +0.9 | | -10.3 | | +1.5 | | GrecoD 9 HudsonB 6 | -5.2 | | -1.8 | | +8.0 | | -1.4 | | SamaK 2 HudsonB 0 | -5.1 | | -1.4 | | +8.9 | | -1.4 | | HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 | +4.8 | | +0.5 | | -10.7 | | +1.4 | | HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 | +4.7 | | +0.2 | | -11.8 | | +1.4 | | EsneaultG 4 HudsonB 5 | +4.4 | | +1.1 | | -8.8 | | +1.4 | | HudsonB 7 BourkeR 4 | +4.1 | | +0.7 | | -9.6 | | +1.5 | | HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -3.8 | | | | +11.7 | | -1.3 | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | -2.4 | | No | | +12.4 | | -1.2 | | HudsonB 2 HartleyK 1 | +2.0 | | | | -13.7 | | +1.4 | | HudsonB 4 BrowneL 1 | +1.7 | | | | -13.9 | | +1.2 | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | +1.5 | | | | -14.6 | | +1.2 | | HudsonB 1 ErnstS 0 | +0.9 | | | | -16.2 | | +1.3 | | SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.6 | | | | | | | | SkardonS 1 HudsonB 1 | -0.5 | | -0.3 | | *+0.1 | | | | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +0.4 | | | | +1.2 | | | | GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 | -0.4 | | | | +0.7 | | | | ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot) | *-0.3 | | | | +0.8 | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | -0.3 | | | | -0.6 | | | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | +0.2 | | | | +2.1 | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | +0.2 | | | | -0.4 | | | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | -0.2 | | | | -1.2 | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -0.2 | | | | -0.6 | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | +0.2 | | | | -0.8 | | | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 | | | | | +0.9 | | | | LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | | | | | -2.1 | | | | PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.5 | | | | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | | | | | -2.0 | | | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.6 | | | | BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4 | | | | | +0.9 | | | | BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 | | | | | +1.3 | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | | | | | +1.0 | | | | GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | +1.6 | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | BourkeR 0 RizzoA 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | GrecoG 1 HommeyerM 1 | | | | | *+0.4 | | | | EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | | | | | +1.0 | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 | | | | | -1.6 | | | | BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 | | | | | -1.5 | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -1.2 | | | | BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 | | | | | +1.2 | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | | | +1.1 | | | | PriceE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +1.0 | | | | BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.9 | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | SamaK 2 BreedingT 1 | | | | | +0.8 | | | | SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | BourkeR 2 FreezeB 2 | | | | | *+0.4 | | | | GelfandJ 5 HartleyK 3 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | SharpJ vs HudsonB | -3.7-3.8-2.1+4.1+4.1 | | | | +6.5+17.0-2.6-6.8-7.1 | | -1.1-1.9+0.0+1.2+1.2 | | PriceE vs HudsonB | -3.4-3.7-1.5+3.0+3.9 | | | | +6.4+17.0-2.5-6.8-7.1 | | -1.1-1.9+0.0+1.0+1.2 | | BourkeR vs SharpJ | +0.8+1.3*-0.1-0.7-0.8 | | | | | | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | GrecoG vs SkardonS | -0.8-0.6-0.1+1.0+0.7 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | -0.6-0.5-0.2+1.0+0.5 | | | | -0.9-1.1-0.2+0.8+1.0 | | | | ConeCW vs HartleyK | -0.5-0.3+0.1+0.6+0.4 | | | | -1.6-2.2+0.1+1.1+1.7 | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 | | FreezeB vs WatsonKR | +0.1+0.5*-0.1-0.2-0.2 | | | | +1.5+1.3*-0.0-2.3-1.4 | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1 | | CurtinT vs AndrewsS | -0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2 | | | | +0.5+0.5*+0.1-1.1-0.4 | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.3+0.1 | | GelfandJ vs BrowneL | -0.2*-0.1*+0.0+0.2+0.2 | | | | -0.7-1.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.9 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | CurtinT vs HartleyK | -0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2 | | | | -1.3-2.1+0.2+0.3+1.4 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.0 | | GelfandJ vs LeeD2 | -0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | +0.5+0.5+0.2-1.2-0.5 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | SamaK vs FreezeB | | | | | -0.9-2.0-0.2+0.8+1.2 | | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | | BourkeR vs BrowneL | | | | | -1.1-1.4-0.2+1.1+1.2 | | +0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0 | | RizzoA vs ErnstS | | | | | -1.0-1.3-0.1+0.8+1.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the HudsonB finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 63.9 | % | No | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 199,251 | | 27 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 20.9 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 173,658 | | 26 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 2.4 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 703,430 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 1.9 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,614 | | 25 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 462,437 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 90,056 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,314 | | 24 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 938,509 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 101,696 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,047 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 483 | | 23 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1.1 | | 409,730 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.4 | | 238,286 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 27 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.3 | | 12,975 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.0 | | 7,426 | | 22 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 10.5 | | 554,687 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 40 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 5.6 | | 104,866 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 10.1 | | 45,042 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 7 | 25 | 41 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3.7 | | 15,314 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 28 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4.0 | | 999 | | 21 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 33.0 | | 211,374 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 43.9 | | 121,138 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 32.5 | | 11,339 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 46 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 23.5 | | 6,683 | | 20 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 79.6 | | 123,105 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 25 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 71.3 | | 46,401 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 64.8 | | 27,190 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 31 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 62.0 | | 744 | | 19 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 93.9 | | 62,664 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 90.8 | | 5,943 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 88.3 | | 1,232 | | 18 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 99.2 | | 11,985 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 12 | 34 | 35 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | 97.9 | | 241 | | 17 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 36 | 15 | 2 | | | | | 99.8 | | 1,016 | | 16 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 14 | 54 | 22 | 5 | 3 | | | | Yes | 37 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.8 | % | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 9.0 | % | 4,813,912 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |