How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday, 6/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
JeziorskiM 8 HudsonB 0 (ot)-13.8
-8.8
+13.0
-2.8
TavelP 0 HudsonB 5 (ot)+7.4
+4.4
-7.5
+1.6
HommeyerM 2 HudsonB 1 -6.8
-3.4
+7.8
-1.5
HudsonB 4 MuttrejaR 7 -6.4
-1.3
+9.6
-1.4
BowmanD 4 HudsonB 3 -6.1
-2.6
+7.9
-1.5
HudsonB 1 CurtinT 3 -6.1
-0.6
+10.3
-1.4
HudsonB 3 FreezeB 4 -5.7
-0.2
+10.9
-1.4
HudsonB 7 GelfandJ 4 +5.3
+0.9
-10.3
+1.5
GrecoD 9 HudsonB 6 -5.2
-1.8
+8.0
-1.4
SamaK 2 HudsonB 0 -5.1
-1.4
+8.9
-1.4
HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 +4.8
+0.5
-10.7
+1.4
HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 +4.7
+0.2
-11.8
+1.4
EsneaultG 4 HudsonB 5 +4.4
+1.1
-8.8
+1.4
HudsonB 7 BourkeR 4 +4.1
+0.7
-9.6
+1.5
HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 -3.8
+11.7
-1.3
HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 -2.4
No
+12.4
-1.2
HudsonB 2 HartleyK 1 +2.0
-13.7
+1.4
HudsonB 4 BrowneL 1 +1.7
-13.9
+1.2
HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 +1.5
-14.6
+1.2
HudsonB 1 ErnstS 0 +0.9
-16.2
+1.3
SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot)-0.6
SkardonS 1 HudsonB 1 -0.5
-0.3
*+0.1
CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot)+0.4
+1.2
GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 -0.4
+0.7
ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot)*-0.3
+0.8
BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 -0.3
-0.6
ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 +0.2
+2.1
GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 +0.2
-0.4
MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 -0.2
-1.2
EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 -0.2
-0.6
LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 +0.2
-0.8
GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 -0.5
GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 -0.9
SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 -0.7
BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 +0.7
RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 +0.9
LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 -0.3
SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 -0.2
BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 -2.1
PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 +0.3
GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot)*+0.5
MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 -2.0
ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 -0.6
SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 +0.6
ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 -0.7
HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.6
BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4 +0.9
BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 +1.3
SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 +1.0
GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 +1.6
PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 -0.9
BourkeR 0 RizzoA 3 -0.4
GrecoG 1 HommeyerM 1 *+0.4
EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 -0.5
EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 *-0.1
AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 -0.7
ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 -0.4
GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 -0.6
ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 -0.6
ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 -0.8
SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 -0.8
MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 +1.0
ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 -0.9
RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 -1.6
BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 -1.5
BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 -1.2
BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 +1.2
BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 +1.1
PriceE 3 TavelP 0 (ot)+1.0
BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.9
SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 -0.9
SamaK 2 BreedingT 1 +0.8
SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 -0.7
LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 -0.6
BourkeR 2 FreezeB 2 *+0.4
GelfandJ 5 HartleyK 3 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
SharpJ vs HudsonB-3.7-3.8-2.1+4.1+4.1
+6.5+17.0-2.6-6.8-7.1
-1.1-1.9+0.0+1.2+1.2
PriceE vs HudsonB-3.4-3.7-1.5+3.0+3.9
+6.4+17.0-2.5-6.8-7.1
-1.1-1.9+0.0+1.0+1.2
BourkeR vs SharpJ+0.8+1.3*-0.1-0.7-0.8
+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
GrecoG vs SkardonS-0.8-0.6-0.1+1.0+0.7
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1
MuttrejaR vs ErnstS-0.6-0.5-0.2+1.0+0.5
-0.9-1.1-0.2+0.8+1.0
ConeCW vs HartleyK-0.5-0.3+0.1+0.6+0.4
-1.6-2.2+0.1+1.1+1.7
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
FreezeB vs WatsonKR+0.1+0.5*-0.1-0.2-0.2
+1.5+1.3*-0.0-2.3-1.4
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
CurtinT vs AndrewsS-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2
+0.5+0.5*+0.1-1.1-0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.3+0.1
GelfandJ vs BrowneL-0.2*-0.1*+0.0+0.2+0.2
-0.7-1.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.9
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1
CurtinT vs HartleyK-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2
-1.3-2.1+0.2+0.3+1.4
-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.0
GelfandJ vs LeeD2-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.5+0.5+0.2-1.2-0.5
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1
SamaK vs FreezeB-0.9-2.0-0.2+0.8+1.2
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1
BourkeR vs BrowneL-1.1-1.4-0.2+1.1+1.2
+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0
RizzoA vs ErnstS-1.0-1.3-0.1+0.8+1.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the HudsonB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRundleChance will finish regular season at seedRundle
TPWL-OTTplayoffsB12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728ECount
2840-0063.9%No031843278100No199,251
2730-0120.9No00318352912200No173,658
2631-002.4No002132832186100No703,430
20-021.9No0212283319610No56,614
2521-010.1No0019243423810No462,437
30-100.2No00313303217410No90,056
10-030.0No018253423710No8,314
2422-000.0No001519332912200.0%938,509
11-02OutNo01519342911100.0101,696
20-110.0No002925342271No59,047
00-04OutNo04213428111No483
2312-01OutNo0004163433121001.1409,730
21-10OutNo00162236277000.4238,286
10-12OutNo016233627700.312,975
01-03OutNo00417353211101.07,426
2213-00OutNo0021437361010010.5554,687
11-11OutNo00052140285005.6104,866
02-02OutNo00314373691010.145,042
20-20OutNo0172541234003.715,314
00-13OutNo16204228404.0999
2112-10OutNo00321432661033.0211,374
03-01OutNo002154032101043.9121,138
01-12OutNo0320432661032.511,339
10-21OutNo0052646203023.56,683
2004-00OutNo021838301010079.6123,105
02-11OutNo0425392571071.346,401
11-20OutNo00629402040064.827,190
00-22OutNo063140193062.0744
1903-10OutNo00624382561093.962,664
01-21OutNo0193038194090.85,943
10-30OutNo1113337162088.31,232
1802-20OutNo192938194099.211,985
00-31OutNo212343515197.9241
1701-30OutNo0213323615299.81,016
1600-40OutNo314542253Yes37
Total:3.8%No00135710121415141152100009.0%4,813,912
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs