SRPL U13 Boys 2018 Title Chances Soring2018 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Chance will finish season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	RPI

United SC	10	2	3	-	1	-	0	10	35.1	%	-1.6	35	23	16	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	2.6	-0.06	2	United SC
Hattiesburg FC	7	3	2	-	1	-	0	6	19.2		-1.1	19	18	16	15	12	9	6	3	1	0	3.6	-0.06	4	Hattiesburg FC
Louisiana Fire	7	3	2	-	1	-	0	5	19.3		-0.8	19	18	16	14	12	9	6	4	1	0	3.6	-0.03	5	Louisiana Fire
Birmingham United	9	1	2	-	3	-	0	7	10.8		+5.3	11	15	17	18	16	12	7	3	1	0	3.9	+1.22	3	Birmingham United
Real Athletic D	6	3	2	-	0	-	1	3	10.8		-0.4	11	15	16	15	14	12	9	6	2	1	4.3	-0.03	8	Real Athletic Development FC
Germantown Lege	6	2	1	-	3	-	0	1	3.9		-0.4	4	8	12	14	16	16	13	9	6	2	5.3	-0.04	1	Germantown Legends Black
VHSC Steamers	6		2	-	0	-	4	-9	0.0		-1.0	0	0	2	4	9	15	24	25	16	4	7.1	-1.01	9	VHSC Steamers
South Mississip	1	3	0	-	1	-	2	-6	0.7		-0.1	1	2	3	4	6	9	13	19	22	20	7.6		10	South Mississippi SC
Tallahassee FC	0	3	0	-	0	-	3	-11	0.2		-0.0	0	1	1	3	5	8	12	17	24	29	8.2		7	Tallahassee FC
Lobos Premier	0	2	0	-	0	-	4	-6	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	14	26	44	8.9	+0.02	6	Lobos Premier

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 3/10
United SC 5 Real Athletic D 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
United SC	+16.0		+1.0
Hattiesburg FC	-0.5		-0.0
Louisiana Fire	-0.5		-0.0
Birmingham United	-0.2
Real Athletic D	-14.0		-0.9
Germantown Lege	-0.7
VHSC Steamers	-0.3
South Mississip	+0.1

VHSC Steamers 0 Birmingham United 5
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
United SC	-1.6		-0.1
Hattiesburg FC	-1.1		-0.1
Louisiana Fire	-0.8		-0.0
Birmingham United	+5.4		+1.2
Real Athletic D	-0.4		-0.0
Germantown Lege	-0.4		-0.0
VHSC Steamers	-1.0		-1.0
South Mississip	-0.1

Week of 3/17
Hattiesburg FC vs United SCIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
United SC	16.231.856.9		3.32.61.7
Hattiesburg FC	36.415.55.2		2.63.74.5
Louisiana Fire	19.721.616.9
Birmingham United	10.112.99.6		4.03.93.9
Real Athletic D	12.312.58.0
Germantown Lege	4.44.72.7
South Mississip	0.70.80.5

Hattiesburg FC vs Louisiana FireHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
United SC	33.938.233.7		2.62.52.6
Hattiesburg FC	34.115.97.2		2.63.74.5
Louisiana Fire	7.416.133.9		4.53.82.6
Birmingham United	9.412.3*10.7		4.03.94.0
Real Athletic D	10.411.910.3		4.34.24.3
Germantown Lege	4.04.53.3		5.35.25.3
South Mississip	0.60.80.6

South Mississip vs United SCHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
United SC	22.630.951.2		3.22.61.9
Hattiesburg FC	22.020.415.4		3.63.53.6
Louisiana Fire	22.220.515.4		3.63.63.7
Birmingham United	12.511.78.2		3.93.94.0
Real Athletic D	13.611.77.2		4.24.24.3
Germantown Lege	5.04.42.4
VHSC Steamers			7.37.17.0
South Mississip	1.70.20.0		6.77.98.3
Tallahassee FC	0.20.20.1		8.38.18.1
Lobos Premier			9.08.88.8

Tallahassee FC vs United SCHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
United SC	22.830.851.1		3.22.61.9
Hattiesburg FC	22.220.315.3		3.53.53.7
Louisiana Fire	22.320.415.4		3.53.63.7
Birmingham United	12.711.68.1		3.93.94.0
Real Athletic D	13.711.77.2		4.24.24.3
Germantown Lege	5.04.42.4
VHSC Steamers			7.37.17.1
South Mississip	0.90.70.5		7.77.67.6
Tallahassee FC	0.50.00.0		7.48.48.7
Lobos Premier			9.08.88.8

Real Athletic D vs Birmingham UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
United SC	34.437.433.9		2.62.52.6
Hattiesburg FC	18.920.818.1		3.63.53.6
Louisiana Fire	18.720.618.8		3.63.53.6
Birmingham United	2.87.321.6		4.94.12.8
Real Athletic D	20.48.43.3		3.24.45.2
Germantown Lege	4.14.33.4		5.25.25.3
South Mississip	0.60.80.6

Louisiana Fire vs South MississipHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
United SC	31.036.638.1		2.72.52.5
Hattiesburg FC	16.820.020.9		3.73.53.6
Louisiana Fire	30.416.111.0		2.73.74.4
Birmingham United	9.211.411.8		4.03.93.9
Real Athletic D	9.411.311.8		4.34.24.2
Germantown Lege	3.04.24.5		5.35.25.3
VHSC Steamers			7.17.17.2
South Mississip	0.00.21.7		8.47.96.7
Tallahassee FC	0.10.20.2		8.18.18.3
Lobos Premier			8.88.89.0

Tallahassee FC vs Birmingham UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
United SC	37.236.232.1		2.52.52.7
Hattiesburg FC	20.620.117.0		3.53.53.7
Louisiana Fire	20.519.917.6		3.53.63.7
Birmingham United	4.47.719.7		4.84.13.0
Real Athletic D	11.511.29.9		4.24.24.4
Germantown Lege	4.44.13.2		5.25.25.3
VHSC Steamers			7.27.17.1
South Mississip	0.80.70.5		7.77.67.6
Tallahassee FC	0.50.00.0		7.48.48.8
Lobos Premier			9.08.88.8

Real Athletic D vs VHSC SteamersHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
United SC	32.236.137.2		2.72.52.5
Hattiesburg FC	17.519.820.5		3.73.53.5
Louisiana Fire	17.619.920.5		3.73.63.6
Birmingham United	9.611.111.5		4.03.93.9
Real Athletic D	18.98.25.0		3.34.45.2
Germantown Lege	3.54.04.2		5.35.25.3
VHSC Steamers	No0.00.1		7.97.46.1
South Mississip	0.50.70.8		7.67.67.7
Tallahassee FC			8.18.18.2
Lobos Premier			8.88.88.9

VHSC Steamers vs Tallahassee FCHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Louisiana Fire			3.73.63.6
Birmingham United	10.8*10.810.7		4.03.94.0
Real Athletic D			4.34.24.2
Germantown Lege			5.35.25.3
VHSC Steamers	0.10.0No		6.17.38.1
South Mississip			7.77.67.6
Tallahassee FC	0.00.00.4		8.98.47.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Arrigo for adding this league.