Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleChance will finish season at seed
WednesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPISaturday
United SC1023-1-01035.1%-1.6352316117421002.6-0.062at South MississipUnited SC
Hattiesburg FC732-1-0619.2-1.11918161512963103.6-0.064Louisiana FireHattiesburg FC
Louisiana Fire732-1-0519.3-0.81918161412964103.6-0.035at Hattiesburg FCLouisiana Fire
Birmingham UnitedWVHSC Steamers 5-0912-3-0710.8+5.311151718161273103.9+1.223at Real Athletic DBirmingham United
Real Athletic D632-0-1310.8-0.411151615141296214.3-0.038Birmingham UnitedReal Athletic Development FC
Germantown Lege621-3-013.9-0.44812141616139625.3-0.041Germantown Legends Black
VHSC SteamersLBirmingham United 0-562-0-4-90.0-1.0002491524251647.1-1.019Tallahassee FCVHSC Steamers
South Mississip130-1-2-60.7-0.1123469131922207.610United SCSouth Mississippi SC
Tallahassee FC030-0-3-110.2-0.0011358121724298.27at VHSC SteamersTallahassee FC
Lobos Premier020-0-4-60.0-0.000012481426448.9+0.026Lobos Premier

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/10
United SC 5 Real Athletic D 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
United SC+16.0
+1.0
Hattiesburg FC-0.5
-0.0
Louisiana Fire-0.5
-0.0
Birmingham United-0.2
Real Athletic D-14.0
-0.9
Germantown Lege-0.7
VHSC Steamers-0.3
South Mississip+0.1
VHSC Steamers 0 Birmingham United 5
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
United SC-1.6
-0.1
Hattiesburg FC-1.1
-0.1
Louisiana Fire-0.8
-0.0
Birmingham United+5.4
+1.2
Real Athletic D-0.4
-0.0
Germantown Lege-0.4
-0.0
VHSC Steamers-1.0
-1.0
South Mississip-0.1
Week of 3/17
Hattiesburg FC vs United SCIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
United SC16.231.856.9
3.32.61.7
Hattiesburg FC36.415.55.2
2.63.74.5
Louisiana Fire19.721.616.9
Birmingham United10.112.99.6
4.03.93.9
Real Athletic D12.312.58.0
Germantown Lege4.44.72.7
South Mississip0.70.80.5
Hattiesburg FC vs Louisiana FireHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
United SC33.938.233.7
2.62.52.6
Hattiesburg FC34.115.97.2
2.63.74.5
Louisiana Fire7.416.133.9
4.53.82.6
Birmingham United9.412.3*10.7
4.03.94.0
Real Athletic D10.411.910.3
4.34.24.3
Germantown Lege4.04.53.3
5.35.25.3
South Mississip0.60.80.6
South Mississip vs United SCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
United SC22.630.951.2
3.22.61.9
Hattiesburg FC22.020.415.4
3.63.53.6
Louisiana Fire22.220.515.4
3.63.63.7
Birmingham United12.511.78.2
3.93.94.0
Real Athletic D13.611.77.2
4.24.24.3
Germantown Lege5.04.42.4
VHSC Steamers7.37.17.0
South Mississip1.70.20.0
6.77.98.3
Tallahassee FC0.20.20.1
8.38.18.1
Lobos Premier9.08.88.8
Tallahassee FC vs United SCHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
United SC22.830.851.1
3.22.61.9
Hattiesburg FC22.220.315.3
3.53.53.7
Louisiana Fire22.320.415.4
3.53.63.7
Birmingham United12.711.68.1
3.93.94.0
Real Athletic D13.711.77.2
4.24.24.3
Germantown Lege5.04.42.4
VHSC Steamers7.37.17.1
South Mississip0.90.70.5
7.77.67.6
Tallahassee FC0.50.00.0
7.48.48.7
Lobos Premier9.08.88.8
Real Athletic D vs Birmingham UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
United SC34.437.433.9
2.62.52.6
Hattiesburg FC18.920.818.1
3.63.53.6
Louisiana Fire18.720.618.8
3.63.53.6
Birmingham United2.87.321.6
4.94.12.8
Real Athletic D20.48.43.3
3.24.45.2
Germantown Lege4.14.33.4
5.25.25.3
South Mississip0.60.80.6
Louisiana Fire vs South MississipHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
United SC31.036.638.1
2.72.52.5
Hattiesburg FC16.820.020.9
3.73.53.6
Louisiana Fire30.416.111.0
2.73.74.4
Birmingham United9.211.411.8
4.03.93.9
Real Athletic D9.411.311.8
4.34.24.2
Germantown Lege3.04.24.5
5.35.25.3
VHSC Steamers7.17.17.2
South Mississip0.00.21.7
8.47.96.7
Tallahassee FC0.10.20.2
8.18.18.3
Lobos Premier8.88.89.0
Tallahassee FC vs Birmingham UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
United SC37.236.232.1
2.52.52.7
Hattiesburg FC20.620.117.0
3.53.53.7
Louisiana Fire20.519.917.6
3.53.63.7
Birmingham United4.47.719.7
4.84.13.0
Real Athletic D11.511.29.9
4.24.24.4
Germantown Lege4.44.13.2
5.25.25.3
VHSC Steamers7.27.17.1
South Mississip0.80.70.5
7.77.67.6
Tallahassee FC0.50.00.0
7.48.48.8
Lobos Premier9.08.88.8
Real Athletic D vs VHSC SteamersHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
United SC32.236.137.2
2.72.52.5
Hattiesburg FC17.519.820.5
3.73.53.5
Louisiana Fire17.619.920.5
3.73.63.6
Birmingham United9.611.111.5
4.03.93.9
Real Athletic D18.98.25.0
3.34.45.2
Germantown Lege3.54.04.2
5.35.25.3
VHSC SteamersNo0.00.1
7.97.46.1
South Mississip0.50.70.8
7.67.67.7
Tallahassee FC8.18.18.2
Lobos Premier8.88.88.9
VHSC Steamers vs Tallahassee FCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Louisiana Fire3.73.63.6
Birmingham United10.8*10.810.7
4.03.94.0
Real Athletic D4.34.24.2
Germantown Lege5.35.25.3
VHSC Steamers0.10.0No
6.17.38.1
South Mississip7.77.67.6
Tallahassee FC0.00.00.4
8.98.47.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Arrigo for adding this league.