Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsRundle DChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-WL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122Avg.ChangeRPI
ClarkT493717-04-0337100.0%+1.5100.0%+1.58317001.2+0.345ClarkT49
HartleyK3516-05-034092.7-3.492.7-3.417552072.2-0.312HartleyK
ChapmanA3414-04-062758.3+5.058.3+5.001544423.3+0.031ChapmanA
ContosH3415-05-042549.0-3.049.0-3.001336513.4-0.063ContosH
DremeauxL2812-08-0417OutNo594105.4+0.634DremeauxL
PattersonBen2711-08-058OutNo415171005.7+1.546PattersonBen
BowerLR2511-010-03-6OutNo534149141770008.7+2.0012BowerLR
PriceE2511-08-14-8OutNo3281715191440008.8-1.077PriceE
ParkerC22410-010-042OutNo010221810121610309.9-1.329ParkerC2
McMahonB249-07-17-1OutNo014191291217125110.1+1.8713McMahonB
FischD249-09-06-1OutNo071919116111610210.4-1.6310FischD
ClarkTS239-010-058OutNo6171712121615511.4+1.8014ClarkTS
GeringA239-010-05-14OutNo21116105142616012.3-1.358GeringA
FaunceF229-011-040OutNo031318132026813.4-1.6711FaunceF
AltrudaC732210-010-13-10OutNo014121817311714.1-0.2315AltrudaC73
BehrendtM207-011-06-7OutNo06206213015.8+0.1616BehrendtM
SzymanskiG187-013-04-14OutNo13492810017.4+0.6520SzymanskiG
CarlsonS176-013-05-7OutNo0314819217.9-0.2922CarlsonS
O'FarrellB167-011-24-16OutNo7214922018.9-0.8619O'FarrellB
OlivieriG157-016-01-23OutNo0222581719.9-0.3517OlivieriG
NewlandM137-08-54-17OutNo01782120.8+0.5218NewlandM
WalkerT115-016-12-40OutNo19922.0-0.4021WalkerT

Playoffs = promoted to D

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday
ChapmanA 4 GeringA 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkT49-1.7
-1.7
HartleyK-3.3
-3.3
ChapmanA+20.0
+20.0
+0.5
ContosH-13.5
-13.5
-0.2
DremeauxL-1.0
-1.0
ParkerC2-0.1
-0.1
GeringA-1.2
BehrendtM 1 ContosH 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkT49-1.7
-1.7
HartleyK-3.2
-3.2
ChapmanA-13.5
-13.5
-0.2
ContosH+19.9
+19.9
+0.5
DremeauxL-1.1
-1.1
ParkerC2-0.1
-0.1
GeringA*Out
*No
BehrendtM-1.2
WalkerT 2 HartleyK 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
HartleyK+5.8
+5.8
+0.4
ChapmanA-2.6
-2.6
ContosH-2.5
-2.5
WalkerT-0.2
ClarkT49 2 PattersonBen 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkT49+2.8
+2.8
+0.3
ChapmanA-1.1
-1.1
ContosH-1.1
-1.1
PattersonBen-0.2
-0.2
-0.9
NewlandM 3 DremeauxL 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
DremeauxL-1.7
-1.7
-0.7
FischD 5 PriceE 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
PriceEOut
No
-1.0
FischD+1.5
AltrudaC73 6 ParkerC2 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ParkerC2Out
No
-1.2
AltrudaC73+1.3
McMahonB 3 ClarkTS 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
McMahonB+1.5
ClarkTS-1.5
GeringA*Out
*No
OlivieriG 1 FaunceF 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
FaunceF+1.4
OlivieriG-0.7
CarlsonS 4 O'FarrellB 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
CarlsonS+0.9
O'FarrellB-1.2
BowerLR 0 SzymanskiG 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
BowerLR+0.0
Tuesday
OlivieriG 0 ContosH 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkT49-1.4
-1.4
HartleyK-2.9
-2.9
ChapmanA-19.0
-19.0
-0.2
ContosH+23.3
+23.3
+0.4
OlivieriG-0.5
ChapmanA 2 ParkerC2 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkT49-1.4
-1.4
HartleyK-2.9
-2.9
ChapmanA+23.1
+23.1
+0.4
ContosH-18.8
-18.8
-0.2
ParkerC2-1.6
BehrendtM 0 HartleyK 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
HartleyK+2.4
+2.4
ChapmanA-1.0
-1.0
ContosH-1.1
-1.1
BehrendtM+0.0
ClarkT49 5 FaunceF 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkT49+1.5
+1.5
+0.4
ChapmanA-0.6
-0.6
ContosH-0.7
-0.7
FaunceF-1.6
CarlsonS 0 BowerLR 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
BowerLR+1.7
CarlsonS-0.8
McMahonB 3 O'FarrellB 0 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
McMahonB+1.3
O'FarrellB-1.1
NewlandM 1 GeringA 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
GeringA-1.6
FaunceF+0.2
NewlandM+0.3
WalkerT-0.2
WalkerT 0 ClarkTS 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkTS+1.5
FischD 0 DremeauxL 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
DremeauxL+0.7
FischD-1.7
PattersonBen 3 PriceE 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
PattersonBen+1.4
PriceE-1.5
Wednesday
ChapmanA vs SzymanskiGIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkT49100.0*InIn*InIn
100.0*YesYes*YesYes
HartleyK82.782.698.9InIn
82.782.698.9YesYes
2.42.42.02.02.0
ChapmanA91.082.259.61.226.0
91.082.259.61.226.0
2.72.93.44.03.7
ContosH26.235.241.598.874.0
26.235.241.598.874.0
3.73.53.42.83.1
SzymanskiG18.018.417.416.816.7
CarlsonS17.617.317.818.218.2
FaunceF vs ContosHHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkT49In*InIn*In100.0
Yes*YesYes*Yes100.0
HartleyKInIn99.282.682.6
YesYes99.282.682.6
2.02.02.02.42.4
ChapmanA83.6In58.841.832.2
83.6Yes58.841.832.2
3.02.83.23.43.6
ContosH16.4Out42.075.785.2
16.4No42.075.785.2
3.84.03.63.02.8
FaunceF11.711.813.915.414.9
AltrudaC7314.414.414.013.413.8
OlivieriG vs HartleyKHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkT49In*In100.0*100.0100.0
Yes*Yes100.0*100.0100.0
1.01.01.01.41.4
HartleyK82.765.5100.0InIn
82.765.5100.0YesYes
2.83.22.01.61.6
ChapmanA62.269.355.555.755.5
62.269.355.555.755.5
3.02.93.43.43.4
ContosH55.165.344.544.344.5
55.165.344.544.344.5
3.13.03.63.63.6
OlivieriG19.419.619.820.620.4
ClarkT49 vs PriceEHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkT49In*InIn99.8In
Yes*YesYes99.8Yes
1.01.01.01.71.4
PriceE10.312.58.87.47.2
ParkerC29.79.39.810.310.3
McMahonB vs BowerLRHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
BowerLR10.612.48.27.37.0
McMahonB7.98.210.113.512.3
FischD vs GeringAHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
FischD8.38.69.613.912.9
GeringA14.215.213.410.310.0
NewlandM vs ParkerC2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ParkerC212.013.39.48.38.1
ClarkTS11.110.811.311.711.7
BehrendtM vs ClarkTSHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
ClarkTS13.414.211.29.49.4
GeringA12.011.612.212.612.6
BehrendtM15.215.416.016.816.3
AltrudaC73 vs CarlsonSHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
AltrudaC7312.713.214.215.615.4
CarlsonS18.519.017.717.417.4
PattersonBen vs DremeauxLHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
DremeauxL6.06.05.05.05.0
PattersonBen5.05.06.07.36.2
WalkerT vs O'FarrellBHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle D100.0*Average seed
O'FarrellB19.520.019.118.218.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you hartleyk for adding this league.