GYSA U19/20 Athena A Title Chances Fall2016 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed																	Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

UFA 98G Red	47		9	-	1	-	0	28	82.3	%	+2.4	Yes		+0.4	82	18														1.2	+0.03	No			4	UFA 98G Red
2 Augusta Arsen	37	2	7	-	1	-	0	27	17.7		-1.6	86.3	%	+11.2	18	69	13	1												2.0	+0.21	No			1	2 Augusta Arsenal 98 Gold

1 Atlanta Fire	30	2	6	-	0	-	2	20	No			12.6		-0.7		13	45	25	12	5	0									3.5	+0.56	No			9	1 Atlanta Fire - 98/99 Elite Black
Con Fir Cen El	30	1	6	-	0	-	3	12	No			No		-3.4			21	36	29	13	0									4.3	-0.33	No			5	Con Fir Cen El
Georgia FC 98 G	24	3	4	-	2	-	1	5	No		-0.8	1.2		-7.1		1	16	22	22	24	12	3	0							5.0	-0.44	No			2	Georgia FC 98 Girls Elite
AFC Lightning 9	24	2	4	-	2	-	2	9	No			No		-0.3			4	12	24	34	20	5	0							5.7	+0.94	No			8	AFC Lightning 98 Gold
SAF 98-99 Elite	14	4	2	-	2	-	2	-2	No			No		-0.1			0	2	8	14	27	18	10	8	6	4	2	1		7.8	+0.21	0.6	%	-0.4	3	SAF 98-99 Elite
TSC 98G Elite	12	4	2	-	1	-	3	-6	No			No		-0.0			0	1	4	9	23	21	11	10	9	6	5	2		8.6	+0.28	2.2		-0.4	6	TSC 98G Elite
SSA Savannah UT	14	2	2	-	2	-	4	-1	No			No							0	2	12	18	22	16	9	11	9	1		9.6	-0.69	1.0		-0.1	10	SSA Savannah UTD 98G Premier
Ga Revolution G	16	1	2	-	3	-	4	-7	No			No									3	19	20	17	23	14	3	0		9.9	-0.68	0.0		-0.0	12	Ga Revolution Girls U19
Con Fir Sou Bl	14	1	2	-	2	-	5	-12	No			No									0	2	14	20	15	19	22	7		11.3	+0.39	7.3		-3.9	7	Con Fir Sou Bl
2 Atlanta Fire	11	2	1	-	3	-	4	-12	No			No									1	8	11	11	17	20	22	10		11.4	+0.16	10.5		-4.5	14	2 Atlanta Fire - 98/99 Elite White
Lanier Sharks 9	7	3	1	-	1	-	5	-12	No			No									2	5	7	11	12	13	20	29		11.9	-0.79	29.4		+11.5	11	Lanier Sharks 97/99

1 Augusta Arsen	5	3	1	-	0	-	6	-15	No			No									0	1	5	6	9	13	17	49		12.7	+0.26	49.0		-2.8	13	1 Augusta Arsenal 97 Gold
Georgia FC 99 G	4		0	-	2	-	8	-34	No			No																	100	15.0	-0.13	Yes		+0.6	15	Georgia FC 99 Girls Premier

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 10/29
UFA 98G Red 3 Con Fir Cen El 1
9:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA 98G Red	+22.5		+11.1				+0.3
2 Augusta Arsen	-14.0		+6.6
1 Atlanta Fire	No		+1.0
Con Fir Cen El	No		-18.6				-0.6
AFC Lightning 9	No
SAF 98-99 Elite			+0.1
TSC 98G Elite	No
SSA Savannah UT	No

Lanier Sharks 9 0 2 Augusta Arsen 5
2:45 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA 98G Red	-16.6						-0.2
2 Augusta Arsen	+16.8		+15.8				+0.4
1 Atlanta Fire			-7.3
Con Fir Cen El			No
Georgia FC 98 G			-4.5
AFC Lightning 9			No
SAF 98-99 Elite			No
TSC 98G Elite			No
Con Fir Sou Bl					-3.9		+0.2
2 Atlanta Fire					-2.4		+0.2
Lanier Sharks 9					+11.9		-1.0
1 Augusta Arsen					-4.3

Ga Revolution G 0 UFA 98G Red 2
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA 98G Red	+13.9		Yes
2 Augusta Arsen	-13.1
Georgia FC 98 G	No
Ga Revolution G					+0.1		-1.1

Georgia FC 98 G 1 SSA Savannah UT 0
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
2 Augusta Arsen			-2.2
Georgia FC 98 G	+1.4		+5.2				+1.1
SSA Savannah UT	No		-0.6		+1.2		-1.1

1 Atlanta Fire 4 Lanier Sharks 9 1
9:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
2 Augusta Arsen			-2.5
1 Atlanta Fire	+1.2		+6.2				+1.0
Con Fir Cen El			-2.0
Con Fir Sou Bl					-2.3
Lanier Sharks 9			No		+6.6		-1.1
1 Augusta Arsen					-1.9

Georgia FC 98 G 1 2 Atlanta Fire 1
11:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA 98G Red	+0.6		Yes
2 Augusta Arsen			+2.1
1 Atlanta Fire			+0.6
Georgia FC 98 G	No		-3.3
Con Fir Sou Bl					-0.2
2 Atlanta Fire					-2.0		-0.2
1 Augusta Arsen					+1.8

AFC Lightning 9 1 Ga Revolution G 1
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 9	No		-1.2
Ga Revolution G					-0.7		-0.2

Georgia FC 99 G 0 SSA Savannah UT 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Savannah UT	No		-0.5		-0.5		-0.2
2 Atlanta Fire					-0.8
1 Augusta Arsen					-1.2
Georgia FC 99 G					+4.0

TSC 98G Elite 1 Con Fir Sou Bl 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
TSC 98G Elite	No		-0.5		+1.8		-1.1
Con Fir Sou Bl					-20.7		+0.9
2 Atlanta Fire					+4.2
Lanier Sharks 9					+2.9
1 Augusta Arsen					+7.7
Georgia FC 99 G					+2.2

1 Atlanta Fire 5 Georgia FC 99 G 0
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
2 Augusta Arsen			-6.2
1 Atlanta Fire			+10.2				+0.7
Con Fir Cen El			-1.9				-0.2
Georgia FC 98 G			-1.7				-0.2
TSC 98G Elite			No
Georgia FC 99 G					Yes

AFC Lightning 9 4 SSA Savannah UT 3
11:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 9			+0.4				+1.1
SSA Savannah UT					+1.5		-1.2

Week of 11/5
2 Augusta Arsen vs 1 Atlanta FireIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA 98G Red	58.0YesYes						1.41.01.0
2 Augusta Arsen	42.0NoNo		Yes98.467.9				1.62.02.3
1 Atlanta Fire			NoNo29.9				4.13.72.8
Georgia FC 98 G			No1.62.2				4.95.05.1

AFC Lightning 9 vs 1 Atlanta FireHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
2 Augusta Arsen			98.283.675.4				1.82.02.1
1 Atlanta Fire			No14.624.4				4.23.42.9
AFC Lightning 9							4.95.86.4

TSC 98G Elite vs Georgia FC 98 GHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia FC 98 G			NoNo2.8				5.74.84.3
TSC 98G Elite					No1.24.6		7.58.99.6

Georgia FC 98 G vs Con Fir Cen ElHomeDrawAway
10:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Con Fir Cen El							5.24.33.5
Georgia FC 98 G			2.8NoNo				4.05.15.9

1 Augusta Arsen vs Con Fir Sou BlHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Ga Revolution G					No0.2No		9.79.810.1
Con Fir Sou Bl					17.30.5No		12.811.59.8
2 Atlanta Fire					16.011.34.6		11.311.311.5
Lanier Sharks 9					35.231.023.0		11.911.912.0
1 Augusta Arsen					26.152.970.4		11.813.013.6

TSC 98G Elite vs Lanier Sharks 9HomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
TSC 98G Elite					No0.94.8		7.58.89.7
Ga Revolution G					NoNo0.1		9.99.810.0
Con Fir Sou Bl					3.38.311.0		11.211.311.4
2 Atlanta Fire					6.8*10.414.1		11.311.311.5
Lanier Sharks 9					46.530.511.9		13.012.210.8
1 Augusta Arsen					43.048.155.4		12.712.712.8

SSA Savannah UT vs 2 Atlanta FireHomeDrawAway
11:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Savannah UT					No0.02.4		8.39.611.0
Con Fir Sou Bl					4.86.610.2		11.311.211.4
2 Atlanta Fire					22.07.60.0		12.611.89.9
Lanier Sharks 9					25.331.932.6		11.911.912.0
1 Augusta Arsen					46.151.151.1		12.712.812.8

SAF 98-99 Elite vs AFC Lightning 9HomeDrawAway
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 9							6.55.64.9
SAF 98-99 Elite					No0.01.5		6.77.98.9

Ga Revolution G vs SAF 98-99 EliteHomeDrawAway
4:15 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SAF 98-99 Elite					1.50.0No		8.97.86.8
Ga Revolution G					NoNo0.1		8.510.211.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you CT for adding this league.