CONCACAF Champions League Playoff Chances 2015-16 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Highest Seed			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	OT		L		D	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Avg.	Change	RPI

América	9	1	3	-	0	0		0		7	In		+0.0	35.0	%	+1.6	35	26	19	13	6	1	0	0																	2.3	+0.20	4	América

D.C. United	9	1	3	-	0	0		0		6	100.0	%	+0.0	29.5		+0.8	29	23	17	16	10	3	1	0	0																2.7	+0.22	1	D.C. United
Querétaro	7		2	-	0	1		1		9	86.4		+54.9	No					1	6	17	24	23	16	9	4	1	0	0	0											6.7	+5.38	16	Querétaro
LA Galaxy	6	2	2	-	0	0		0		9	78.5		-0.6	21.4		+0.7	21	13	14	12	7	3	3	5	6	6	5	3	1	0	0	0	0								4.8	+0.14	3	LA Galaxy
Real Salt Lake	4	2	1	-	0	0		1		1	56.6		+1.6	3.5		+0.5	3	7	6	5	7	9	10	10	7	3	1	1	2	4	5	5	5	5	4	1	0	0			9.2	+0.15	8	Real Salt Lake
Saprissa	6	1	2	-	0	1		0		4	56.1		-0.3	1.1		+0.4	1	6	13	14	9	5	3	4	6	9	10	9	6	3	1	0	0								7.4	+0.10	13	Saprissa
Vancouver White	4	2	1	-	0	0		1		1	54.3		+1.5	3.5		+0.5	4	7	6	5	7	8	9	9	8	4	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	4	2	1	0	0			9.0	+0.13	5	Vancouver Whitecaps FC
UANL	4	2	1	-	0	0		1		1	54.3		+0.5	3.5		+0.2	4	7	6	5	7	8	9	9	8	4	2	1	3	4	5	5	5	5	3	1	0	0			9.2	-0.10	8	UANL

Herediano	4	1	1	-	0	1		1		1	34.8		-20.2	No		-3.7			1	3	7	9	8	7	5	2	1	3	6	10	12	11	9	5	2	1	0	0			11.8	-2.85	19	Herediano
Seattle Sounder	4	2	1	-	0	0		1		1	34.8		+0.1	No					1	3	7	9	8	7	5	2	1	2	4	8	11	13	11	6	3	1	0	0			12.0	+0.09	5	Seattle Sounders FC
Municipal	4	1	1	-	0	1		1		0	33.9		+0.2	No					0	2	6	9	9	8	5	2	1	2	4	7	10	11	11	7	3	1	0	0			12.1	+0.06	23	Municipal
Santos Laguna	3	2	1	-	0	1		0		3	32.5		+0.8	0.6		+0.2	1	3	6	6	4	3	4	6	8	9	8	6	5	5	4	3	2	2	2	4	5	4	2	0	11.4	+0.04	11	Santos Laguna
San Francisco	3	2	1	-	0	1		0		-1	30.1		+2.3	0.4		+0.1	0	2	5	6	5	4	5	4	3	5	7	8	8	6	4	3	4	3	3	3	5	5	3	1	12.3	-0.10	2	San Francisco
Motagua	3	2	1	-	0	1		0		-2	23.9		-0.2	1.6		+0.5	2	5	6	4	1	1	2	3	5	6	7	9	9	7	5	4	5	6	6	5	2	1	0		12.0	-0.13	11	Motagua
Verdes	1	2	0	-	0	1		1		-8	14.1		-17.4	No		-1.6				0	1	3	5	4	2	1	1	1	3	5	6	7	9	9	6	3	3	10	13	6	16.9	-4.10	20	Verdes
Central	3	1	1	-	0	2		0		-4	3.1		+0.4	No						0	0	0	1	2	6	8	9	8	6	4	4	5	7	8	8	8	8	6	3	0	15.6	+3.14	17	Central
Comunicaciones	3	1	1	-	0	2		0		-5	2.4		-22.9	No		-0.4				0	0	0	0	2	5	8	9	8	6	4	4	5	7	8	8	8	8	6	3	1	15.8	-3.65	17	Comunicaciones
W Connection	3	1	1	-	0	2		0		-7	1.8		-0.1	No						0	0	0	0	1	4	7	9	9	7	5	4	4	4	3	3	7	13	13	6	1	16.4	-0.26	10	W Connection
Árabe Unido	3	1	1	-	0	2		0		0	1.1		-0.2	No								0	0	1	4	9	10	9	7	6	6	4	3	5	8	10	9	5	2	0	15.5	-0.14	7	Árabe Unido
Isidro Metapán	3	1	1	-	0	2		0		-2	1.0		-0.2	No								0	0	1	4	8	10	9	7	5	5	5	4	3	6	11	12	8	3	1	16.1	+2.80	22	Isidro Metapán
Montego Bay Uni	0	2	0	-	0	2		0		-6	0.4		-0.1	No								0	0	0	2	3	4	4	3	3	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	10	20	18.9	-0.18	15	Montego Bay United
Santa Tecla	2	1	0	-	0	1		2		-1	0.0		-0.0	No									0	0	0	0	2	5	10	12	8	4	1	2	4	6	11	18	13	4	18.3	-0.34	21	Santa Tecla
Walter Ferretti	0	1	0	-	0	3		0		-5	Out			No																0	0	1	4	7	10	10	7	7	18	37	21.8	-0.27	14	Walter Ferretti
Olimpia	0	2	0	-	0	2		0		-2	Out			No																			1	5	10	13	9	10	24	29	21.9	-0.33	24	Olimpia

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/15
Querétaro 8 Verdes 0
10:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
Querétaro	+43.2				+4.7
Real Salt Lake	-2.4
Saprissa	-1.7
Vancouver White	-2.8
UANL	-2.4
Herediano	-2.3
Seattle Sounder	-2.0
Municipal	-2.2
Santos Laguna	-2.2
Verdes	-19.2		No		-3.8

D.C. United 2 Árabe Unido 0
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
América			-2.8
D.C. United	+22.9		+17.3		+2.6
Querétaro			No
LA Galaxy			-2.9
Saprissa			-2.7
Seattle Sounder			No
Municipal			No
Árabe Unido	-28.4		No		-4.2

Vancouver White 1 Olimpia 0
10:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
Real Salt Lake	-2.5
Vancouver White	+24.0		+2.5		+3.9
Seattle Sounder	+2.8
Olimpia	Out				-3.1

Central 1 Comunicaciones 0
8:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
América	In
Real Salt Lake	+2.3
Vancouver White	+2.5
Central	+3.6				+3.8
Comunicaciones	-23.9		No		-4.0

W Connection 2 Saprissa 1
8:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
América			+2.4		+0.2
D.C. United			+5.5		+0.2
LA Galaxy			+2.6		+0.2
Saprissa	-22.6		-15.4		-2.5
Santos Laguna	+3.5
W Connection	+3.2				+3.3

Walter Ferretti 1 América 3
10:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
América	+21.8		+18.6		+2.6
D.C. United			-6.9		-0.3
LA Galaxy			-3.0		-0.2
Saprissa			-2.9		-0.2
Motagua	-3.0
Walter Ferretti	Out				-3.0

Isidro Metapán 2 Herediano 0
10:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
Real Salt Lake	+2.3
Vancouver White	+2.3
UANL	+1.2
Herediano	-21.2		No		-3.2
Isidro Metapán	+1.6				+3.4

Santa Tecla 0 Real Salt Lake 0
10:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
Real Salt Lake	+3.9		-3.6		-0.0
Municipal	+2.7				-0.2
Santa Tecla	-14.5				-1.6

Week of 9/22
Seattle Sounder vs Vancouver WhiteIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
D.C. United	InIn100.0		30.030.128.7		2.62.62.8
Querétaro	82.190.989.0				6.86.56.7
LA Galaxy	76.582.079.2		21.921.820.7		4.84.54.8
Real Salt Lake	54.860.057.2		3.83.83.1		9.29.19.2
Saprissa	54.559.756.5				7.57.07.5
Vancouver White	31.042.681.8		NoNo8.3		12.79.45.2
UANL	51.958.055.3		3.83.83.1		9.29.19.2
Seattle Sounder	82.40.0Out				6.814.216.4
Municipal	31.536.935.1				12.212.212.0
Santos Laguna	30.637.032.7				11.511.211.3

Real Salt Lake vs Santa TeclaHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
D.C. United	100.0InIn		28.730.030.0		2.82.62.6
Querétaro	77.689.893.8				7.36.66.2
Real Salt Lake	94.642.623.9		8.2NoNo		4.810.013.2
Vancouver White	48.756.459.1		3.13.83.8		9.38.88.9
UANL	48.756.559.0		3.13.83.8		9.49.09.0
Herediano	31.136.138.1				11.811.511.8
Seattle Sounder	31.136.138.0				12.011.712.0
Municipal	41.828.128.0				11.512.312.7
Santos Laguna	29.234.335.1				11.511.311.3
Verdes	11.215.416.7				16.916.717.0
Santa Tecla	OutOut0.0				22.220.013.8

Isidro Metapán vs UANLHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
D.C. United	InIn100.0		30.130.128.6		2.62.62.8
Querétaro	93.789.677.9				6.26.67.3
Real Salt Lake	60.157.952.7		3.83.83.0		9.09.19.3
Vancouver White	58.556.049.3		3.83.83.1		8.99.09.2
UANL	24.042.888.8		NoNo8.3		13.19.95.0
Herediano	29.629.642.0				12.411.611.2
Seattle Sounder	37.836.231.2				11.912.112.0
Municipal	37.035.230.2				12.112.312.1
Santos Laguna	34.834.029.6				11.311.311.5
Isidro Metapán	2.4OutOut				11.516.020.7

Verdes vs San FranciscoHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
D.C. United	InIn100.0				2.62.62.8
Querétaro	91.591.379.4				6.36.57.2
San Francisco	0.637.856.8		NoNo0.9		16.812.47.8
Verdes	33.5OutOut				12.618.720.5

W Connection vs Santos LagunaHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
Querétaro	90.288.381.8				6.46.57.1
Saprissa	55.852.057.9				7.27.97.5
Vancouver White	56.955.151.3				9.09.09.1
UANL	57.055.051.3				9.19.19.3
Santos Laguna	9.431.755.9		NoNo1.4		15.411.27.4
W Connection	4.2OutOut				11.416.521.4

Walter Ferretti vs MotaguaHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
D.C. United	InIn100.0		29.829.729.1		2.62.62.8
Querétaro	89.288.582.8				6.56.56.9
Saprissa	57.4*56.254.9		1.91.9No		7.17.27.8
Santos Laguna	34.3*32.530.7		1.01.0No		11.211.211.6
San Francisco	30.830.629.2		0.70.7No		12.212.112.5
Motagua	0.318.549.4		NoNo3.8		15.913.07.8
Walter Ferretti					19.323.123.7

Central vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
América			43.139.925.1		2.12.22.6
D.C. United			36.034.421.1		2.42.52.9
Querétaro	89.287.583.1				6.46.67.0
LA Galaxy	55.881.9100.0		1.311.745.0		7.25.02.3
Central	7.3OutOut				11.016.119.9

Montego Bay Uni vs D.C. UnitedHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Highest Seed	100.0*	Average seed
América			46.142.021.2		2.02.32.7
D.C. United	100.0InIn		0.717.262.8		4.02.41.4
LA Galaxy			26.023.416.0		4.54.95.0
Real Salt Lake			6.15.8No
Saprissa			2.6NoNo		7.27.57.5
Vancouver White			6.15.8No
UANL			6.25.8No
Santos Laguna			1.4NoNo
San Francisco			0.9NoNo		12.412.312.3
Motagua			3.8NoNo
Montego Bay Uni	1.0OutOut				16.119.721.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league.