Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seedRelegated
4/4PGW-L-TGD%Change12345678Avg.Change%ChangeRPISunday
VollrathWMcEwen 6-31115-0-12595.8%+22.1573941.5+0.48No1DouglasVollrath
Douglas824-1-0951.7-4.924274352.3-0.02No5at Mantha at VollrathDouglas
Mantha733-0-11249.8-1.21832291472.6-0.03No2Douglas LynchMantha
McEwenLVollrath 3-6522-2-102.6-15.931939271204.3-0.640.2%+0.14GravelMcEwen
Lynch421-2-2-7Out3213528135.3+0.1112.9+0.06at ManthaLynch
Gravel231-3-0-11Out2202422325.6+0.0931.8-0.13at Coffey at McEwenGravel
Coffey311-4-1-7Out0737556.555.1-0.07GravelCoffey
Benard21-6-0-21Out1008.0Yes8Benard

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/3
Vollrath 6 McEwen 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vollrath+23.1
+0.5
Douglas-4.9
-0.0
Mantha-2.2
-0.1
McEwen-16.0
+0.1
-0.6
Lynch+0.1
Gravel-0.2
+0.1
Gravel 3 Vollrath 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vollrath+16.7
+0.5
Douglas-4.0
-0.1
Mantha-4.9
-0.4
-0.1
McEwen-2.5
-2.5
+0.0
LynchOut
-1.4
+0.1
GravelOut
+10.7
-0.6
CoffeyOut
-6.4
+0.1
Mantha 8 Benard 4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vollrath-5.5
-0.1
Douglas-5.9
-0.1
Mantha+15.2
-0.9
+0.6
McEwen-2.2
+0.6
-0.1
Lynch-0.2
-2.8
+0.0
Gravel-1.4
Coffey+0.1
BenardYes
-0.3
Coffey 3 McEwen 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vollrath-3.5
-0.1
Douglas-1.9
-0.1
Mantha-2.4
No
-0.1
McEwen+8.5
-15.0
+0.9
Lynch-0.2
-4.3
+0.0
Gravel-0.4
-2.4
-0.0
CoffeyOut
+24.9
-0.8
Benard-2.1
+0.1
Week of 4/10
Mantha vs DouglasIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
VollrathIn89.392.4
1.41.61.6
Douglas13.062.889.3
3.02.01.6
Mantha81.548.018.4
1.92.73.3
McEwen5.5OutOut
4.34.44.2
Lynch5.35.25.2
McEwen vs ManthaHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
VollrathInIn91.2
1.31.41.6
Douglas63.261.839.2
2.22.12.4
Mantha31.338.269.6
3.22.72.0
McEwen5.5OutOut
NoNo0.4
3.74.64.9
Lynch12.8*12.813.0
5.45.25.1
Gravel32.132.031.5
5.75.55.5
Mantha vs LynchHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vollrath91.2InIn
1.61.41.3
Douglas39.261.863.2
2.42.22.2
Mantha69.638.231.3
2.12.73.1
McEwenOutOut5.5
No0.40.4
4.24.24.3
Lynch25.911.8No
5.85.54.7
Gravel25.436.737.8
5.55.75.7
Coffey48.851.161.8
6.36.46.6
Vollrath vs DouglasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
VollrathInIn91.2
1.11.11.9
Douglas38.149.865.5
2.72.51.8
Mantha56.845.843.3
2.62.72.6
McEwen5.14.3Out
4.24.34.3
McEwen vs GravelHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Douglas2.32.22.2
Mantha46.952.452.5
2.72.52.5
McEwen5.5OutOut
NoNo0.4
3.64.34.9
Lynch11.8*13.013.9
5.35.15.2
Gravel39.538.023.6
6.16.05.1
Coffey48.749.062.1
6.46.46.6
Coffey vs GravelHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
McEwen0.4NoNo
4.24.44.4
Lynch24.722.6No
Gravel64.127.3No
6.35.55.0
Coffey10.750.1Yes
5.96.57.0
Lynch vs GravelHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Mantha2.72.52.6
McEwenNo3.9No
4.34.34.2
LynchNo9.026.2
4.55.56.0
Gravel50.237.013.0
6.35.75.0
Coffey49.850.160.8
6.56.26.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.