"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seedRelegated
PGW-L-TGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
O'Neills219-0-35298.0%+2.198.0%+2.124201613107421100000003.3+0.340.0%-0.02O'Neills
Young Guns219-0-35997.9+2.197.9+2.1242016131074211000000003.3+0.310.0-0.01Young Guns
Erie County Fusion209-1-27296.4+2.896.4+2.81717161412106421000000003.9+0.330.0-0.03Erie County Fusion
Nordiques2010-2-03596.4+3.296.4+3.21616161513107421000000003.9+0.340.0-0.07Nordiques
Hooligans199-2-13593.7+4.493.7+4.41013141514129632100000004.6+0.410.0-0.04Hooligans
Hardy188-2-22789.4-3.589.4-3.5691213151512853210000005.3-0.960.0-0.06Hardy
Shots on You156-3-32367.9+9.667.9+9.6135710131514118642100007.3+0.630.0-0.25Shots On You
High Sticks147-5-0357.0+10.257.0+10.2123571014161411853210008.1+0.710.1-0.48High Sticks
Blue Light Special126-6-0-635.1-12.335.1-12.300124691314141297431009.6-0.810.5-0.011Blue Light Special
Misfits115-6-1-925.5+6.325.5+6.30001247101314131196421010.3+0.861.0-2.19Misfits
Grey Hawks104-6-2-717.9-9.417.9-9.40001135811131413119631011.1-0.681.8+0.113Grey Hawks
Whalers94-7-1-1811.4-7.511.4-7.50000123581113141312952111.9-0.623.2+0.116Whalers
Blues72-7-3-194.5-4.14.5-4.10000001247912141514106313.2-0.518.9+0.810Blues
The Brothers73-8-1-294.4+1.44.4+1.40000001247911141515117213.2+0.918.9-10.714The Brothers
Damaged Goods73-8-1-164.1-4.34.1-4.30000001247912141514116213.2-0.518.8+0.712Damaged Goods
Purple Cobras31-10-1-410.3-0.60.3-0.6000000001124691523231715.7-0.3039.8+3.015Purple Cobras
Surge21-11-0-1020.1-0.30.1-0.300000000112471219272616.2-0.2453.1+4.017Surge
Lucas00-12-0-590.0-0.10.0-0.100000000123713254917.0-0.2073.9+4.618Lucas

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/27
Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shots on You+0.4
+0.4
High Sticks+0.6
+0.6
Blue Light Special-10.6
-10.6
+0.3
-0.8
Misfits+7.8
+7.8
-1.5
+0.8
Grey Hawks+0.3
+0.3
Whalers+0.3
+0.3
Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hooligans-0.3
-0.3
Shots on You-0.7
-0.7
High Sticks+9.9
+9.9
-0.3
+0.8
Blue Light Special-1.0
-1.0
Misfits-0.7
-0.7
Grey Hawks-0.8
-0.8
Whalers-0.6
-0.6
Blues-0.3
-0.3
-0.3
The Brothers-0.4
Damaged Goods-4.2
-4.2
+3.4
-0.7
Purple Cobras-0.6
Surge-0.8
Lucas-0.6
Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Erie County Fusion-0.3
-0.3
Nordiques-0.3
-0.3
Hooligans-0.5
-0.5
Hardy-0.4
-0.4
Shots on You+9.0
+9.0
+0.7
High Sticks-1.3
-1.3
Blue Light Special-1.3
-1.3
Misfits-0.8
-0.8
-0.3
Grey Hawks-1.0
-1.0
Whalers-0.8
-0.8
-0.3
Blues-0.5
-0.5
-0.7
The Brothers-1.5
Damaged Goods-0.4
-0.4
-0.8
Purple Cobras-0.6
-0.6
+8.4
-0.5
Surge-2.3
Lucas-1.9
Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns+2.3
+2.3
No
+0.5
Hooligans+0.4
+0.4
Shots on You+0.9
+0.9
High Sticks+0.8
+0.8
Blue Light Special+0.8
+0.8
Misfits+0.5
+0.5
Grey Hawks-7.9
-7.9
+1.0
-0.7
Whalers+0.5
+0.5
Blues+0.3
+0.3
Nordiques 6 Whalers 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Nordiques+3.4
+3.4
+0.6
Shots on You+0.5
+0.5
High Sticks+0.5
+0.5
Blue Light Special+0.6
+0.6
Grey Hawks+0.3
+0.3
Whalers-6.6
-6.6
+1.5
-0.7
Surge-0.3
Hooligans 7 Blues 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hooligans+4.5
+4.5
+0.6
Blues-3.8
-3.8
+3.4
-0.7
The Brothers-0.4
Purple Cobras-0.7
Surge-0.9
Lucas-0.8
O'Neills 9 Hardy 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills+2.1
+2.1
No
+0.6
Hardy-3.3
-3.3
-0.7
Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Erie County Fusion+2.9
+2.9
No
+0.6
Shots on You-0.3
-0.3
High Sticks-0.4
-0.4
Misfits-0.3
-0.3
-0.4
Whalers-0.2
-0.2
-0.4
Blues-0.8
The Brothers-1.5
Damaged Goods-0.8
Purple Cobras-2.5
Surge-0.3
-0.3
+8.6
-0.4
Lucas-1.9
The Brothers 7 Lucas 4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
The Brothers+1.6
+1.6
-7.9
+0.6
Purple Cobras-0.7
Lucas+9.7
-0.4
Week of 12/4
Blue Light Special vs Shots on YouIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shots on You57.369.078.3
57.369.078.3
8.17.36.6
Blue Light Special46.133.924.3
46.133.924.3
0.20.40.8
8.89.610.3
Hooligans vs High SticksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hooligans97.294.590.1
97.294.590.1
NoNo0.0
3.94.55.2
High Sticks47.0*56.867.0
47.0*56.867.0
8.88.17.4
Purple Cobras vs MisfitsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shots on You69.1*67.966.8
69.1*67.966.8
7.3*7.37.4
High Sticks58.257.355.7
58.257.355.7
8.0*8.18.1
Blue Light Special36.3*35.133.8
36.3*35.133.8
9.5*9.69.6
Misfits17.924.933.2
17.924.933.2
1.80.70.3
11.010.39.7
Purple Cobras0.60.20.1
0.60.20.1
31.0*39.848.6
15.215.716.1
Surge55.7*53.250.5
16.2*16.216.1
Lucas75.9*74.071.9
17.017.016.9
Hardy vs Grey HawksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hardy94.390.484.3
94.390.484.3
4.75.25.9
Grey Hawks11.217.024.8
11.217.024.8
2.91.60.8
11.711.110.4
O'Neills vs WhalersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills99.298.496.7
99.298.496.7
2.83.33.8
Whalers6.810.716.2
6.810.716.2
4.82.91.6
12.511.911.2
Erie County Fusion vs The BrothersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Erie County Fusion98.396.894.4
98.396.894.4
No*No0.0
3.43.84.4
The Brothers2.24.06.8
2.24.06.8
12.68.35.3
13.813.312.7
Surge52.0*53.354.3
16.1*16.216.2
Surge vs BluesHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blues2.34.16.7
2.34.16.7
14.17.64.0
13.913.212.5
Purple Cobras42.040.137.5
Surge0.20.10.0
0.20.10.0
42.553.963.6
15.716.216.6
Nordiques vs Damaged GoodsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Nordiques98.396.894.4
98.396.894.4
No*No0.0
3.43.94.4
Damaged Goods2.03.66.4
2.03.66.4
12.48.25.3
13.813.312.6
Surge52.0*53.254.2
Young Guns vs LucasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns99.198.296.7
99.198.296.7
2.83.33.8
Purple Cobras37.5*39.742.1
15.6*15.715.7
Surge51.4*53.154.9
16.1*16.216.2
Lucas81.174.266.6
17.217.016.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Michael J Murphy Playoffs: There are two playoff pools; Pool A is the top 8 teams regardless of division and Pool B is teams 9-16 regardless of division. Games 17 and 18 miss the playoffs for adding this league.