GYSA U15 Athena B Title Chances Fall2016 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed														Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

AFC Lightning 0	37		7	-	1	-	1	11	62.5	%	+19.1	88.0	%	+18.8	62	25	10	2	0								1.5	+0.57	No			2	AFC Lightning 02 Red
DSC 02G Revolut	30	1	6	-	0	-	2	14	19.2		+3.6	48.5		+14.5	19	29	21	16	9	5	0						2.8	+0.75	No			5	DSC 02G Revolution White

Ga Revolution G	32		6	-	1	-	2	-1	8.6		-14.3	31.3		-17.2	9	23	35	23	9	1	0						3.0	-0.32	No			1	Ga Revolution Girls 02
UFA 02G Gold	27	1	5	-	1	-	2	16	8.4		-3.7	25.3		-4.1	8	17	20	26	17	8	3	0	0				3.6	-0.04	No			3	UFA 02G Gold
YMCA Arsenal Ro	24	1	4	-	2	-	2	5	1.3		-3.8	6.2		-7.7	1	5	10	20	29	17	9	6	2	0			5.0	-0.18	No		-0.0	6	YMCA Arsenal Rome - GU15
SSA Chelsea 02G	20	1	2	-	5	-	1	6	No		-0.6	0.6		-2.4		1	3	8	18	30	20	11	7	2			6.2	+0.10	No		-1.0	4	SSA Chelsea 02G Select Yellow 1
Augusta Arsenal	19		3	-	2	-	4	-2	No		-0.1	No		-0.9				1	7	13	23	27	22	7	0		7.6	-0.68	0.4	%	-0.2	9	Augusta Arsenal 02 Gold
Alliance SC 02G	14	2	2	-	2	-	3	0	No		-0.3	0.1		-1.1		0	1	3	8	14	20	19	19	13	3	0	7.7		3.3		-2.5	8	Alliance SC 02G Elite
NTH Top Whi TH	17		3	-	1	-	5	-7	No			No		-0.0				0	1	7	16	24	28	20	3	0	8.5	+0.01	3.2		-2.7	7	NTH Top Whi TH
NTH Top Whi QP	9	2	1	-	2	-	4	-6	No		-0.0	No		-0.0				0	1	5	9	12	17	38	14	3	9.2	+0.04	17.1		-6.2	10	NTH Top Whi QP

GS 02G Gold	4	1	0	-	2	-	6	-12	No			No									0	0	2	13	51	33	11.1	-0.36	83.9		+13.8	12	GS 02G Gold
UFA South Georg	2	1	0	-	1	-	7	-24	No			No										0	1	7	29	63	11.5	+0.10	92.2		-1.3	11	UFA South Georgia 02G Premier

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 10/29
Augusta Arsenal 1 AFC Lightning 0 2
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 0	+21.7		+19.4				+0.6
DSC 02G Revolut	-5.9		-4.1
Ga Revolution G	-8.6		-6.1				-0.2
UFA 02G Gold	-4.5		-4.5
YMCA Arsenal Ro	-2.0		-2.7
Augusta Arsenal	No		No		+0.7		-0.9
NTH Top Whi TH							+0.2
NTH Top Whi QP	No

Ga Revolution G 2 DSC 02G Revolut 1
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 0	+3.2		-0.4
DSC 02G Revolut	-14.3		-19.0				-0.8
Ga Revolution G	+10.3		+19.5				+1.0
UFA 02G Gold	+0.6

UFA 02G Gold 0 Alliance SC 02G 2
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 0	+5.8		+5.2
DSC 02G Revolut	+3.0		+4.1
Ga Revolution G	+1.9		+3.4
UFA 02G Gold	-12.3		-16.9				-0.7
YMCA Arsenal Ro	+1.0		+2.1
SSA Chelsea 02G			+0.8
Alliance SC 02G			+0.7		-8.2		+0.8
NTH Top Whi TH					+0.8
NTH Top Whi QP					+1.8
GS 02G Gold					+3.1
UFA South Georg					+2.2

DSC 02G Revolut 4 GS 02G Gold 0
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 0	-5.3		-4.4
DSC 02G Revolut	+11.3		+17.2				+0.8
Ga Revolution G	-3.9		-6.1				-0.2
UFA 02G Gold	-1.3		-3.5
YMCA Arsenal Ro	-0.6		-1.8		No
Alliance SC 02G					-2.1
NTH Top Whi TH			No		-2.9
NTH Top Whi QP					-7.1
GS 02G Gold					+14.8		-0.4
UFA South Georg					-1.7

NTH Top Whi TH 0 Ga Revolution G 0
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 0	+3.6		+2.2
DSC 02G Revolut	+0.8		+0.5
Ga Revolution G	-7.4		-7.0				-0.2
UFA 02G Gold	+2.0		+2.5
YMCA Arsenal Ro	+0.9		+1.3
Augusta Arsenal	+0.1
NTH Top Whi TH			*No		+0.3		-0.2
GS 02G Gold					+0.2
UFA South Georg					-0.3

NTH Top Whi QP 2 YMCA Arsenal Ro 2
11:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 0	+1.2		+1.6
DSC 02G Revolut			+1.1
Ga Revolution G	+0.7		+1.6
UFA 02G Gold			+0.8
YMCA Arsenal Ro	-2.6		-5.1				-0.2
NTH Top Whi TH					-0.2
NTH Top Whi QP	No		No		+1.3		-0.2
GS 02G Gold					-1.3
UFA South Georg					+0.2

SSA Chelsea 02G 2 Augusta Arsenal 2
2:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Chelsea 02G	-0.5		-1.3		-0.5		-0.0
Augusta Arsenal	-0.5		-1.7				-0.2

Alliance SC 02G 2 SSA Chelsea 02G 2
2:45 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Chelsea 02G			-1.4		-0.6		-0.0
Alliance SC 02G			-0.9		-0.3		-0.2
GS 02G Gold					+0.2
UFA South Georg					+0.4

UFA South Georg 0 NTH Top Whi QP 2
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Alliance SC 02G					-0.4
NTH Top Whi TH					-0.4
NTH Top Whi QP					-18.6		+0.7
GS 02G Gold					+3.2
UFA South Georg					+16.0		-0.5

Week of 11/5
AFC Lightning 0 vs UFA South GeorgIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 0	86.562.238.6		99.291.775.3				1.11.51.9
DSC 02G Revolut	7.820.530.3		45.547.851.8				3.02.82.7
Ga Revolution G	2.78.914.5		26.729.536.7				3.23.12.9
UFA 02G Gold	3.16.714.2		22.723.828.6				3.73.73.5
YMCA Arsenal Ro	No1.72.4		5.36.57.0
NTH Top Whi QP					14.315.920.3		9.29.29.3
UFA South Georg					99.196.483.6		11.811.711.2

AFC Lightning 0 vs Alliance SC 02GHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 0	86.562.138.6		99.291.775.3				1.11.51.9
DSC 02G Revolut	7.820.630.2		45.547.851.7				3.02.82.7
Ga Revolution G	2.68.914.5		26.629.636.7				3.13.12.9
UFA 02G Gold	3.16.714.2		22.723.828.5				3.73.73.6
YMCA Arsenal Ro	No1.82.4		5.36.56.9				5.05.05.1
Alliance SC 02G			NoNo0.1		6.62.40.2		8.57.86.9

UFA 02G Gold vs DSC 02G RevolutHomeDrawAway
9:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 0	66.767.156.5		88.189.587.3				1.51.41.6
DSC 02G Revolut	4.418.034.6		21.450.275.0				3.72.72.0
Ga Revolution G	9.59.77.3		33.935.327.3				3.13.03.1
UFA 02G Gold	18.03.60.5		49.416.24.7				2.73.84.6
Alliance SC 02G			0.10.1No

Ga Revolution G vs NTH Top Whi QPHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AFC Lightning 0	56.665.567.2		81.889.793.5				1.61.51.4
DSC 02G Revolut	16.920.421.1		39.151.356.8				3.02.82.6
Ga Revolution G	18.34.10.6		55.325.19.8				2.43.23.7
UFA 02G Gold	7.28.59.4		19.7*25.430.9				3.83.73.5
SSA Chelsea 02G			No0.81.1
Alliance SC 02G			No0.10.1		2.9*3.23.6		7.67.67.8
NTH Top Whi QP					28.416.06.1		9.89.48.6
GS 02G Gold					76.885.090.5		11.011.211.2
UFA South Georg					89.192.395.2		11.511.511.6

Alliance SC 02G vs YMCA Arsenal RoHomeDrawAway
10:45 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
YMCA Arsenal Ro	NoNo3.1		0.42.113.6				6.05.04.1
Alliance SC 02G			0.1NoNo		0.32.46.6		6.87.98.5

YMCA Arsenal Ro vs Augusta ArsenalHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
YMCA Arsenal Ro	3.1NoNo		13.62.10.4				4.15.06.0
Augusta Arsenal					0.9NoNo		8.57.86.7

SSA Chelsea 02G vs GS 02G GoldHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Chelsea 02G			1.40.1No				5.46.47.0
Augusta Arsenal					NoNo0.9		7.87.67.5
NTH Top Whi QP					10.414.224.8
GS 02G Gold					95.090.170.4		11.411.310.8

NTH Top Whi QP vs NTH Top Whi THHomeDrawAway
9:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
NTH Top Whi TH					7.30.9No		9.38.57.5
NTH Top Whi QP					5.716.228.8		8.49.410.0
GS 02G Gold					90.185.277.2		11.211.111.1

NTH Top Whi TH vs UFA South GeorgHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
NTH Top Whi TH					No1.77.0		7.78.79.1
NTH Top Whi QP					14.515.920.0		9.39.29.2
UFA South Georg					99.196.583.6		11.811.711.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you CT for adding this league.