GYSA BU14 Classic III West Title Chances Fall2016 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed															Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

SA / CFA Dalton	50	1	10	-	0	-	0	58	81.6	%	+22.1	97.8	%	+4.5	82	16	2											1.2	+0.27	No			1	SA / CFA Dalton 03 Premier
SSA Che Pre	40	2	8	-	0	-	1	43	15.1		-20.8	57.2		-20.1	15	42	41	2	0									2.3	-0.39	No			3	SSA Che Pre

Rush 2003	42	1	8	-	1	-	1	29	3.4		-1.3	44.6		+17.4	3	41	53	3										2.5	+0.37	No			2	Rush 2003
UFA South Georg	30	1	6	-	0	-	4	8	No		-0.0	No		-1.5			1	41	31	19	7	1						4.9	-0.44	No			5	UFA South Georgia 03B Premier
CFC Red Star -	27	2	5	-	1	-	3	11	No		-0.0	0.5		-0.3		0	3	33	29	19	9	5	1	0				5.2	+0.07	No			4	CFC Red Star - BU14 Elite
Concorde Fire C	26	1	4	-	3	-	3	10	No			No						8	19	30	24	15	3	0				6.3	+0.08	No			6	Concorde Fire Central White
Inter Atlanta F	19	3	3	-	2	-	3	11	No			No		-0.0				7	13	19	21	20	12	8	1			7.1	-0.15	No		-0.1	7	Inter Atlanta FC 03B Blues Premier
MAYS Buckhead 0	17	3	3	-	1	-	4	-7	No			No						6	8	10	18	21	18	14	3	0		7.7	+0.80	0.3	%	-1.7	8	MAYS Buckhead 03B Premier
UFA Norcross Ea	19	1	3	-	2	-	5	-11	No			No							0	3	12	23	32	23	6			8.8	-0.17	No		-0.8	9	UFA Norcross Eagles 03B Red
NTH NASA 03 Sel	17	1	3	-	1	-	6	-7	No			No							0	1	7	15	29	33	14	1		9.3	-0.24	1.5		-0.3	10	NTH NASA 03 Select
SSA Che Sel Bl	15		3	-	0	-	8	-17	No			No											4	20	67	9		10.8	+0.41	8.8		-34.4	11	SSA Che Sel Bl

AFC Lightning 0	7	1	1	-	1	-	8	-35	No			No											0	2	9	89		11.9	-0.57	89.4		+37.2	12	AFC Lightning 03 Red
United - Excel	0		0	-	0	-	11	-93	No			No															100	13.0	-0.03	Yes			13	United - Excel 2003 Navy

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 10/29
SA / CFA Dalton 4 Concorde Fire C 1
4:15 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	+15.3		+10.9				+0.3
SSA Che Pre	-11.3		-2.1
Rush 2003	-3.9		-6.6
UFA South Georg			-1.5
CFC Red Star -			-0.6
Concorde Fire C			No				-0.6
Inter Atlanta F	No

UFA South Georg 0 SA / CFA Dalton 7
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	+14.9		+5.9				+0.2
SSA Che Pre	-11.9		-0.8
Rush 2003	-3.0		-3.5
UFA South Georg	No		No				-0.5
CFC Red Star -	No

Rush 2003 4 SSA Che Pre 2
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	+8.6		-3.9
SSA Che Pre	-14.6		-22.2				-0.4
Rush 2003	+5.9		+25.8				+0.5
CFC Red Star -			+0.3

CFC Red Star - 3 Inter Atlanta F 3
2:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton			+0.2
SSA Che Pre			+0.3
CFC Red Star -	No		-0.5				+0.0
Inter Atlanta F			No		No		-0.2

SSA Che Sel Bl 2 MAYS Buckhead 0 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
MAYS Buckhead 0			No		+1.2		-0.7
UFA Norcross Ea					+0.4
NTH NASA 03 Sel					+0.9
SSA Che Sel Bl					-14.8		+0.3
AFC Lightning 0					+12.1
United - Excel					Yes

SSA Che Sel Bl 1 AFC Lightning 0 0
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
MAYS Buckhead 0					+0.2
UFA Norcross Ea					+0.7
SSA Che Sel Bl					-36.3		+0.6
AFC Lightning 0					+35.4		-0.6

NTH NASA 03 Sel 1 UFA Norcross Ea 1
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA Norcross Ea					No		-0.1
NTH NASA 03 Sel					-1.1		-0.1
SSA Che Sel Bl					+1.2
AFC Lightning 0					+0.8

United - Excel 0 MAYS Buckhead 0 4
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
MAYS Buckhead 0					-1.8		+0.7
NTH NASA 03 Sel							-0.2
SSA Che Sel Bl					+0.8
AFC Lightning 0					+1.0

Week of 11/5
AFC Lightning 0 vs SA / CFA DaltonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
12:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	67.984.694.0		95.398.7Yes				1.41.21.1
SSA Che Pre	25.312.16.0		58.556.356.1				2.22.32.4
Rush 2003	6.83.2No		45.7*44.643.4
MAYS Buckhead 0					0.7NoNo
NTH NASA 03 Sel					3.5NoNo
SSA Che Sel Bl					21.0NoNo		10.910.710.7
AFC Lightning 0					74.8YesYes		11.712.012.0

SSA Che Pre vs Inter Atlanta FHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	70.487.290.5		96.498.498.9				1.31.11.1
SSA Che Pre	27.39.54.9		76.957.337.3				2.02.32.6
Rush 2003	2.23.24.5		26.643.862.8				2.72.62.4
UFA South Georg							4.84.95.0
CFC Red Star -			No0.50.9				5.15.15.3
Concorde Fire C							6.16.36.4
Inter Atlanta F							7.87.26.3
MAYS Buckhead 0							7.67.77.9
UFA Norcross Ea							8.68.88.9
NTH NASA 03 Sel							9.29.39.4

United - Excel vs Rush 2003HomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	83.983.978.3		YesYes94.8				1.21.21.3
SSA Che Pre	16.116.113.7		74.461.838.1				2.12.22.5
Rush 2003	NoNo8.0		24.538.267.1				2.82.62.2
CFC Red Star -			1.1NoNo

Rush 2003 vs CFC Red Star -HomeDrawAway
3:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	78.383.983.9		94.8YesYes				1.31.21.2
SSA Che Pre	13.716.116.1		38.261.874.3				2.52.22.1
Rush 2003	8.0NoNo		67.038.224.5				2.22.62.8
UFA South Georg							4.74.95.1
CFC Red Star -			NoNo1.1				5.85.34.5
Concorde Fire C							6.16.26.4
Inter Atlanta F							6.97.07.2
MAYS Buckhead 0							7.67.77.8

NTH NASA 03 Sel vs CFC Red Star -HomeDrawAway
11:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA South Georg							4.74.95.1
CFC Red Star -			NoNo1.1				5.85.34.5
Concorde Fire C							6.26.26.4
UFA Norcross Ea							9.08.88.6
NTH NASA 03 Sel					NoNo3.5		8.69.410.0
SSA Che Sel Bl							11.010.810.7
AFC Lightning 0					90.690.687.7

UFA Norcross Ea vs AFC Lightning 0HomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Concorde Fire C							6.46.36.2
Inter Atlanta F							7.27.06.9
MAYS Buckhead 0					NoNo0.7		7.97.67.6
UFA Norcross Ea							8.18.99.4
NTH NASA 03 Sel					NoNo3.5		9.59.39.2
SSA Che Sel Bl					NoNo20.9
AFC Lightning 0					YesYes74.8		12.012.011.7

SSA Che Sel Bl vs UFA South GeorgHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA South Georg							5.55.04.4
CFC Red Star -							5.05.15.4
Concorde Fire C							6.16.46.4
Inter Atlanta F							7.07.07.1
MAYS Buckhead 0					0.50.5No
UFA Norcross Ea							8.98.78.7
NTH NASA 03 Sel					2.62.4No		9.59.39.2
SSA Che Sel Bl					No8.617.7		10.410.911.2
AFC Lightning 0					96.988.482.3		12.011.911.8

MAYS Buckhead 0 vs UFA South GeorgHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA South Georg							5.54.84.3
CFC Red Star -							5.15.15.3
MAYS Buckhead 0					NoNo0.7		6.97.98.5
UFA Norcross Ea							8.98.78.6
NTH NASA 03 Sel							9.59.49.2

MAYS Buckhead 0 vs UFA Norcross EaHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA South Georg							5.04.94.8
MAYS Buckhead 0					NoNo0.7		6.77.88.7
UFA Norcross Ea							9.68.97.9

Concorde Fire C vs Inter Atlanta FHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA South Georg							5.04.84.9
Concorde Fire C							5.46.37.2
Inter Atlanta F							7.97.26.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you CT for adding this league.