Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPI
Houston5-0-01.0004799.0%+5.3918101.1+0.181Houston Roughnecks
DC3-2-0.600-768.3+14.8392921112.0+0.405DC Defenders
St Louis3-2-0.6002060.2-14.6293125152.3-0.392St. Louis Battlehawks
New York3-2-0.600-655.7+10.4272832122.3+0.313New York Guardians
Dallas2-3-0.400-1247.1-10.444336172.7-0.214Dallas Renegades
LA2-3-0.400737.9+14.553334282.9+0.306Los Angeles Wildcats
Seattle1-4-0.200-3216.0-9.411529553.4-0.277Seattle Dragons
Tampa Bay1-4-0.200-1715.8-10.651122633.4-0.328Tampa Bay Vipers

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/8
Dallas 12 New York 30
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston+1.2
+0.1
DC-4.2
-0.1
St Louis-3.2
-0.1
New York+10.8
+0.3
Dallas-9.8
-0.2
LA+4.3
+0.1
Seattle+4.3
+0.1
Tampa Bay-3.4
-0.1
DC 15 St Louis 6
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston-0.2
DC+16.1
+0.4
St Louis-13.9
-0.4
New York-2.6
-0.0
Dallas+0.3
LA+0.2
Seattle-0.3
Tampa Bay+0.5
-0.0
LA 41 Tampa Bay 34
9:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston-0.2
DC+2.9
+0.1
St Louis+2.6
+0.1
New York+2.2
+0.1
Dallas-5.2
-0.1
LA+7.8
+0.2
Seattle-2.4
-0.1
Tampa Bay-7.7
-0.2
Houston 32 Seattle 23
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston+5.5
+0.2
DC-0.1
St Louis-0.4
New York+0.4
Dallas+3.9
LA+1.6
+0.1
Seattle-11.0
-0.3
Tampa Bay+0.2
Week of 3/15
DC vs DallasIf winner is:HomeTieAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston99.5*99.098.5
DC79.164.257.4
1.82.12.3
St Louis56.862.963.6
2.42.22.2
New York50.660.660.7
2.42.22.2
Dallas36.341.257.9
2.92.82.5
LA45.142.630.8
2.72.83.0
Seattle19.1*17.212.9
3.3*3.43.4
Tampa Bay13.412.418.3
3.53.53.3
Seattle vs LAHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston99.1*99.498.9
DC68.6*69.667.9
St Louis60.5*59.559.9
New York55.0*55.056.3
Dallas50.443.343.8
2.62.82.7
LA23.941.352.0
3.22.82.5
Seattle26.7*16.05.4
3.1*3.43.7
Tampa Bay vs St LouisHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston98.9*99.199.1
DC68.6*69.467.9
St Louis46.462.774.0
2.62.21.9
New York58.558.552.8
Seattle16.3*16.715.8
Tampa Bay26.59.35.2
3.13.63.7
New York vs HoustonHomeTieAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston98.099.799.9
1.21.11.0
DC63.564.473.0
2.12.11.9
St Louis55.257.565.3
2.42.32.2
New York68.263.643.1
2.02.12.6
Dallas47.2*46.247.0
LA38.2*37.237.6
Seattle16.5*16.815.5
Tampa Bay13.0*14.418.7
3.53.53.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Luke Millner for adding this league.