SRWHBALL2018 Playoff Chances 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	L	-	T	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI

LO	16		8	-	1	-	0	86	In		+1.4	44	37	13	5	0	0							1.8	+1.02	2	Lillian
SPA	12	3	6	-	0	-	0	28	98.8	%	-0.3	39	24	15	11	6	3	1	0	0				2.4	-0.19	1	St Peter
JPP	12	1	6	-	2	-	0	22	96.5		-1.0	12	13	15	19	20	17	3	0					3.9	-0.20	7	J Percy Page
SAL	12	1	6	-	2	-	0	96	92.3		-1.5	2	13	30	22	15	10	6	2	0				4.0	-0.18	4	Salisbury
BF	10	2	5	-	2	-	0	53	90.2		-3.7	3	10	17	18	19	23	8	2	0	0			4.5	-0.76	5	Bev Facey
HA	10	1	5	-	3	-	0	41	74.9		+15.1	0	1	7	18	27	22	20	5	0				5.4	+0.59	3	Harry Ainlay

OS	6	3	3	-	3	-	0	3	33.4		-4.7	0	1	2	4	10	16	29	27	9	2	0		6.9	-0.09	6	Old Scona
RS	6	2	3	-	4	-	0	-51	13.0		-3.2		0	0	2	3	8	28	41	14	3	0		7.6	+0.01	8	Ross Shep
EC	2	2	1	-	6	-	0	-42	0.0		-0.1						0	2	10	31	32	20	6	9.8	+0.17	11	Edmonton Christian
MEL	0	4	0	-	5	-	0	-39	0.8		-2.1				0	0	1	3	13	26	25	19	14	9.8	-0.34	10	ME Lazerte
EG	0	2	0	-	7	-	0	-76	Out		-0.0							0	1	15	24	30	31	10.8	+0.15	9	Eastglen
QE	0	1	0	-	8	-	0	-121	Out										0	4	15	31	50	11.3	-0.19	12	Queen Elizabeth

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Tuesday, 4/3
BF 13 HA 18
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LO	-0.3		+0.1
SPA	-0.3		+0.1
JPP	-1.0		-0.0
SAL	-1.4
BF	-5.7		-0.7
HA	+15.7		+0.7
OS	-3.6
RS	-3.4		-0.1
EC	-0.1

LO 24 MEL 13
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LO	+1.4		+0.5
SPA	+0.1		-0.1
JPP	+0.1		-0.1
SAL			-0.1
BF	+0.6		-0.1
HA	+0.4
OS	-0.7		-0.0
RS	+0.3		+0.1
EC			+0.1
MEL	-2.2		-0.4
EG			+0.1
QE			+0.1

LO 1 QE 0
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LO	+1.4		+0.5
SPA	-0.1		-0.1
JPP			-0.1
SAL	-0.1		-0.1
BF			-0.1
OS	-1.0		-0.1
EC			+0.1
MEL	-0.3		+0.1
EG			+0.1
QE			-0.3

MEL vs QEIf winner is:HomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SPA	98.7*98.898.9
BF	89.790.790.8
RS	12.9*13.013.1		7.77.57.5
MEL	1.50.30.1		9.39.710.4
QE			11.611.410.9

Wednesday, 4/4
BF vs SALIf winner is:HomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SPA	99.198.698.5
JPP	96.196.896.8		3.83.73.9
SAL	84.597.799.8		4.93.83.0
BF	98.190.082.3		3.74.75.4
HA	72.173.077.9		5.55.55.4
OS	35.031.931.9
RS	14.511.511.5
MEL	0.30.41.3

EC vs OSHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SPA	99.098.798.7
JPP	97.996.195.1
SAL	93.693.490.9		3.93.94.0
BF	93.288.787.4		4.54.54.6
HA	78.978.370.8		5.35.45.5
OS	22.631.444.4		7.46.96.4
RS	13.8*12.712.2		7.57.67.6
EC	0.1OutOut		9.49.810.1
MEL	1.0*0.80.6		9.99.89.8
EG			10.810.810.7
QE			11.311.211.2

BF vs MELHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SPA	98.999.098.8		2.52.32.3
JPP	96.3*96.496.6		4.03.83.8
SAL			4.03.93.9
BF	97.1*90.483.3		4.04.65.0
HA	71.773.378.2		5.65.55.3
OS	32.134.134.7
RS	11.614.014.3		7.57.57.6
EC			9.79.89.8
MEL	Out0.21.7		10.29.89.5
EG			10.710.810.8
QE			11.211.311.4

EC vs SPAHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LO			1.61.72.0
SPA	97.799.699.9		2.82.41.9
JPP			3.83.94.0
SAL	92.4*92.392.2		3.93.94.0
BF	90.4*90.190.1		4.44.64.6
OS			6.96.86.8
RS	13.812.412.2
EC	0.1OutOut		9.49.810.1
MEL			9.99.89.7
EG			10.810.810.7
QE			11.311.311.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Carr4 for adding this league.