Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPIWednesday
LOWMEL 24-13 W QE 1-0168-1-086In+1.44437135001.8+1.022Lillian
SPA1236-0-02898.8%-0.339241511631002.4-0.191at ECSt Peter
JPP1216-2-02296.5-1.0121315192017303.9-0.207J Percy Page
SAL1216-2-09692.3-1.5213302215106204.0-0.184at BFSalisbury
BFLHA 13-181025-2-05390.2-3.73101718192382004.5-0.765MEL SALBev Facey
HAWBF 18-131015-3-04174.9+15.101718272220505.4+0.593Harry Ainlay
OS633-3-0333.4-4.70124101629279206.9-0.096at ECOld Scona
RS623-4-0-5113.0-3.200238284114307.6+0.018Ross Shep
EC221-6-0-420.0-0.1021031322069.8+0.1711OS SPAEdmonton Christian
MELLLO 13-24 QE040-5-0-390.8-2.1001313262519149.8-0.3410at BFME Lazerte
EG020-7-0-76Out-0.0011524303110.8+0.159Eastglen
QELLO 0-1 at MEL010-8-0-121Out0415315011.3-0.1912Queen Elizabeth

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 4/3
BF 13 HA 18
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LO-0.3
+0.1
SPA-0.3
+0.1
JPP-1.0
-0.0
SAL-1.4
BF-5.7
-0.7
HA+15.7
+0.7
OS-3.6
RS-3.4
-0.1
EC-0.1
LO 24 MEL 13
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LO+1.4
+0.5
SPA+0.1
-0.1
JPP+0.1
-0.1
SAL-0.1
BF+0.6
-0.1
HA+0.4
OS-0.7
-0.0
RS+0.3
+0.1
EC+0.1
MEL-2.2
-0.4
EG+0.1
QE+0.1
LO 1 QE 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LO+1.4
+0.5
SPA-0.1
-0.1
JPP-0.1
SAL-0.1
-0.1
BF-0.1
OS-1.0
-0.1
EC+0.1
MEL-0.3
+0.1
EG+0.1
QE-0.3
MEL vs QEIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SPA98.7*98.898.9
BF89.790.790.8
RS12.9*13.013.1
7.77.57.5
MEL1.50.30.1
9.39.710.4
QE11.611.410.9
Wednesday, 4/4
BF vs SALIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SPA99.198.698.5
JPP96.196.896.8
3.83.73.9
SAL84.597.799.8
4.93.83.0
BF98.190.082.3
3.74.75.4
HA72.173.077.9
5.55.55.4
OS35.031.931.9
RS14.511.511.5
MEL0.30.41.3
EC vs OSHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SPA99.098.798.7
JPP97.996.195.1
SAL93.693.490.9
3.93.94.0
BF93.288.787.4
4.54.54.6
HA78.978.370.8
5.35.45.5
OS22.631.444.4
7.46.96.4
RS13.8*12.712.2
7.57.67.6
EC0.1OutOut
9.49.810.1
MEL1.0*0.80.6
9.99.89.8
EG10.810.810.7
QE11.311.211.2
BF vs MELHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SPA98.999.098.8
2.52.32.3
JPP96.3*96.496.6
4.03.83.8
SAL4.03.93.9
BF97.1*90.483.3
4.04.65.0
HA71.773.378.2
5.65.55.3
OS32.134.134.7
RS11.614.014.3
7.57.57.6
EC9.79.89.8
MELOut0.21.7
10.29.89.5
EG10.710.810.8
QE11.211.311.4
EC vs SPAHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LO1.61.72.0
SPA97.799.699.9
2.82.41.9
JPP3.83.94.0
SAL92.4*92.392.2
3.93.94.0
BF90.4*90.190.1
4.44.64.6
OS6.96.86.8
RS13.812.412.2
EC0.1OutOut
9.49.810.1
MEL9.99.89.7
EG10.810.810.7
QE11.311.311.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Carr4 for adding this league.