MYSA 2004 Boys C1 Title Chances 2017 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												State			Chance will finish season at seed																												C3
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

NW Kickers	6		2	-	0	-	1	3	4.5	%	+0.1	32.6	%	+0.1	4	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1		10.5		7.9	%	+0.1	4	NW Kickers
Blackhawks 2	3	2	1	-	0	-	0	26	8.3		+0.1	33.4		-0.0	8	7	6	5	4	4	5	6	6	4	3	3	4	5	5	4	3	2	2	3	3	3	2	2	2		10.5	-0.02	11.5		+0.1	6	Blackhawks 2
Edina	3	2	1	-	0	-	0	23	6.4		+0.0	34.2		+0.1	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1		10.7		10.9		+0.1	6	Edina
Maplebrook	3	2	1	-	0	-	0	13	6.3		+0.1	34.1		+0.1	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1		10.8	-0.01	11.1		+0.1	1	Maplebrook
Tonka Blue	3	2	1	-	0	-	0	1	6.1		+0.1	33.7		+0.1	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1		10.8		11.3		+0.1	1	Tonka Blue
Shakopee	3	2	1	-	0	-	0	3	6.1		+0.1	33.7		+0.2	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1		10.8	+0.01	11.2		+0.1	1	Shakopee

Keliix	3	1	1	-	0	-	1	14	2.7		+0.1	22.1		+0.1	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	2		12.9		16.7		+0.1	5	Keliix
MTA	3	1	1	-	0	-	1	0	2.6		+1.1	21.8		+7.5	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	4	4	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	2		12.9	+2.23	17.0		-11.4	6	MTA
TwinStars	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.9		+0.1	24.0		+0.1	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	0	13.0	+0.01	20.0		+0.1	11	TwinStars
Coon Rapids	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.8		+0.1	23.9		+0.2	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	0	13.0		20.1		+0.1	11	Coon Rapids
Fusion 2	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.9		+0.1	23.9		-0.0	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	0	13.0	-0.02	20.1		+0.1	11	Fusion 2
Obrien Rebels	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.8		+0.1	23.8		-0.0	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	0	13.0	-0.01	20.1		+0.1	11	Obrien Rebels
EPSC	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.8		-0.0	23.7		-0.0	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	0	13.0	-0.02	20.1		+0.1	11	EPSC
MU 2	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.8		+0.0	23.7		+0.1	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	0	13.1		20.1		+0.1	11	MU 2
Valley United	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.8		-0.0	23.7		-0.0	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	0	13.1	-0.02	20.1		+0.1	11	Valley United
Lakeville	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.8		+0.0	23.8		+0.1	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	0	13.1		20.2		+0.2	11	Lakeville
SCV Elite	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	5.8		+0.1	26.6		+0.1	6	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	5	6	0	13.1	-0.01	22.2		+0.2	11	SCV Elite
Blackhawks 1	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	5.8		+0.1	26.5		+0.1	6	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	5	6	0	13.1		22.1		+0.1	11	Blackhawks 1
North Oaks	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	5.8		+0.1	26.5		+0.1	6	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	5	6	0	13.1	-0.01	22.1		+0.1	11	North Oaks
RYSA	0	2	0	-	0	-	1	-3	1.5		-2.2	14.5		-9.1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	0	15.2	-2.12	28.6		+8.5	11	RYSA

MU 1	0	2	0	-	0	-	1	-15	1.5		+0.0	14.4		+0.1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	0	15.2		28.7		+0.1	11	MU 1
Blaine	0	2	0	-	0	-	1	-10	1.5		+0.0	14.3		+0.0	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	0	15.2	-0.02	28.7		+0.2	6	Blaine
Fusion 1	0	2	0	-	0	-	1	-23	1.5		+0.0	14.2		+0.1	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	0	15.2	+0.01	28.8		+0.2	11	Fusion 1
Gitchi Gummi	0	2	0	-	0	-	1	-6	1.4		+0.0	14.2		+0.0	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	0	15.2	-0.01	28.8		+0.2	6	Gitchi Gummi
SCV Academy	0	2	0	-	0	-	1	-26	1.8		+0.0	12.7		+0.1	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	5	4	3	2	2	4	6	6	5	3	3	4	5	6	5	6	7	8	0	15.4		31.7		+0.1	11	SCV Academy
Woodbury Kind:	0	3	0	-	0	-	0	0	No			No																										0	2	98	26.0		Yes			11	Woodbury Kind: High School

Week of 5/1
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers	*4.54.84.3		*32.633.732.4				10.510.410.5
Blackhawks 2	3.36.613.6		20.528.447.1		18.4*11.64.7		12.911.38.0
Tonka Blue	*6.26.56.0		*33.834.333.6		11.5*11.211.1		10.810.710.8
TwinStars	*3.94.13.8		*24.024.623.8				13.012.913.0
Blackhawks 1	9.93.32.1		38.920.515.2		11.424.632.4		10.413.715.7

EPSC vs EdinaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers	4.64.74.3		*32.733.332.4				10.510.510.6
Edina	2.64.710.5		22.030.247.0		17.111.84.6		12.911.28.4
Maplebrook	*6.46.56.2		*34.234.733.9				*10.810.710.8
Shakopee	6.2*6.36.0		*33.734.233.5
EPSC	6.42.61.4		34.220.014.0		11.122.228.7		10.713.715.2

SCV Elite vs North OaksHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
SCV Elite	10.03.52.0		39.220.215.2		11.124.532.7		10.313.815.7
North Oaks	2.13.59.9		15.120.138.9		32.724.411.2		15.713.810.3

SCV Academy vs SCV EliteHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers	4.6*4.64.3		32.833.432.3				10.510.410.6
Edina	6.56.76.2		*34.334.733.9				10.710.610.7
Maplebrook	6.56.66.0		34.334.733.8				10.710.710.8
Keliix	2.8*2.82.6		22.322.821.9				12.912.812.9
MTA	2.62.72.5		22.022.421.6				12.912.913.0
TwinStars	3.9*4.03.7		*24.124.623.7				13.012.913.0
Lakeville	3.94.03.7		*23.924.523.5				13.113.013.1
SCV Elite	2.23.69.8		15.420.438.9		32.824.411.1		15.713.710.3
SCV Academy	3.31.30.4		20.59.15.5		18.633.144.5		12.916.317.8

Obrien Rebels vs MaplebrookHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers	4.64.74.4		32.833.132.3
Maplebrook	2.64.510.3		22.029.947.0		17.412.24.7		13.011.38.5
Shakopee			*33.734.233.5
Keliix	2.7*2.82.6		*22.322.621.9
Obrien Rebels	6.52.61.4		34.320.214.0		11.121.928.8		10.713.615.3

Shakopee vs Valley UnitedHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers	4.4*4.64.6		32.433.2*32.7
Edina	6.36.66.5		33.934.734.3
Shakopee	10.14.32.4		46.529.821.5		4.812.217.5		8.511.313.0
Valley United	1.42.56.4		13.920.034.1		28.822.111.0		15.313.710.7

Fusion 2 vs Tonka BlueHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks 2	*8.48.88.1		*33.434.133.2
Tonka Blue	2.54.410.1		21.629.946.5		17.612.44.8		13.011.38.5
Fusion 2	6.52.51.4		34.320.014.1		11.022.128.7		10.713.715.2

Lakeville vs MTAHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
MTA	0.71.54.6		11.717.832.7		25.818.87.8		15.313.610.5
Lakeville	6.32.61.4		34.120.314.0		11.022.029.1		10.713.615.3

RYSA vs MU 2HomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers			*32.733.232.4
Fusion 2			*24.024.423.7
MU 2	1.42.56.3		14.320.133.8		29.122.010.8		15.313.610.7
RYSA	2.80.90.4		22.511.27.1		16.731.339.9		12.815.817.4

Blaine vs Coon RapidsHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
Edina	6.5*6.66.2		*34.234.934.0				10.710.610.7
Keliix			*22.222.722.0				*12.912.812.9
Coon Rapids	1.52.76.3		14.320.434.0		29.022.010.8		15.213.610.7
Lakeville			*23.824.323.6
Blaine	2.70.80.4		22.110.97.0		16.931.340.0		12.915.817.4

Keliix vs MU 1HomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers	4.44.7*4.5		32.433.6*32.6				10.510.410.5
Blackhawks 2			33.233.9*33.5				10.610.410.5
Maplebrook			33.934.6*34.2
Keliix	4.81.60.8		32.918.012.0		7.518.125.7		10.513.515.2
MU 1	0.40.82.8		7.011.022.5		40.131.516.8		17.415.912.9

Week of 5/8
Edina vs Fusion 2If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks 2	8.18.6*8.4		33.234.0*33.5				10.610.5*10.5
Edina	10.54.62.6		47.130.121.9		4.612.017.1		8.411.312.9
TwinStars	3.84.0*3.9		23.824.5*24.0
Fusion 2	1.42.76.5		14.120.434.3		28.722.211.1		15.213.610.7

Blackhawks 1 vs SCV EliteHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
SCV Elite	2.13.59.9		15.120.339.2		32.824.211.2		15.713.710.3
Blackhawks 1	9.93.42.1		39.119.915.1		11.024.532.7		10.313.815.7

MU 1 vs Tonka BlueHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers	4.6*4.64.3		*32.833.432.3		8.1*7.77.7		10.510.410.5
Blackhawks 2	8.5*8.58.0		33.633.933.1		11.8*11.411.4		10.510.510.6
Tonka Blue	2.54.310.0		21.929.746.3		17.712.34.7		13.011.38.5
Shakopee	6.3*6.35.9		33.934.133.4		11.4*11.111.1
MTA	2.6*2.72.5		*21.922.521.7		17.2*16.816.8		13.012.912.9
MU 2	3.94.03.7		*23.924.323.5		20.3*20.119.9		13.113.013.1
Lakeville	3.9*3.93.6		24.024.223.4		20.4*19.920.0
North Oaks	5.96.05.6				22.421.622.0		13.113.013.1
RYSA	1.6*1.61.5		14.6*14.714.3		28.928.228.3
MU 1	2.80.80.4		22.411.16.9		17.131.539.9		12.915.817.4
SCV Academy	1.9*1.81.7		12.8*12.912.5		32.031.331.4

Maplebrook vs Gitchi GummiHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers	4.3*4.64.6		32.1*32.833.1		7.6*7.98.1
Blackhawks 2	8.0*8.58.5		33.234.1*33.5		11.4*11.411.7		10.510.410.5
Maplebrook	10.34.52.6		46.830.122.1		4.612.017.5		8.511.313.0
Shakopee	5.9*6.26.3		33.434.2*33.8		11.0*11.211.4
MTA	2.5*2.62.7		21.522.322.1		16.7*16.917.3		13.012.913.0
MU 2	3.7*3.83.9		23.524.3*23.9		20.019.820.3		13.113.013.1
Valley United	3.6*3.83.9		23.424.223.9		19.919.720.4		13.113.013.1
North Oaks	5.6*5.96.0		26.2*26.826.7		22.021.522.4		13.113.013.1
Gitchi Gummi	0.40.82.7		6.811.022.1		39.931.517.1		17.415.912.9
SCV Academy	1.7*1.91.9		12.613.0*12.8		31.3*31.532.1		15.415.415.5

Coon Rapids vs NW KickersHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers	1.32.97.9		19.228.446.7		13.38.62.3		12.911.08.1
Tonka Blue			*33.934.233.5		11.4*11.211.2
Shakopee			*33.734.433.4
Keliix			*22.322.721.9				12.912.8*12.9
Coon Rapids	6.42.61.4		34.520.213.9		11.022.128.7		10.713.615.3
Fusion 2			24.024.523.6				13.013.013.1
RYSA			*14.515.014.3
Gitchi Gummi	1.5*1.51.4		14.414.613.9		29.0*28.928.5

Obrien Rebels vs TwinStarsHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
TwinStars	1.52.66.4		14.320.334.2		28.821.810.8		15.213.610.7
Obrien Rebels	6.42.71.4		34.120.414.1		10.922.029.0		10.713.615.2

Obrien Rebels vs Coon RapidsHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
Coon Rapids	1.42.66.4		14.320.134.2		28.821.811.0		15.213.610.7
Obrien Rebels	6.42.61.5		34.220.214.1		10.921.929.0		10.713.615.3

Valley United vs MU 2HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
MU 2	1.42.56.4		14.120.334.1		29.021.910.9		15.313.610.7
Valley United	6.32.61.4		33.920.014.1		11.021.828.9		10.813.615.3

Fusion 1 vs EPSCHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers	*4.54.74.4		*32.733.232.4
Maplebrook	6.4*6.46.2		*34.234.733.9				10.810.710.8
EPSC	1.52.66.3		14.320.233.8		29.021.810.8		15.213.610.7
SCV Elite	*5.96.05.7		*26.727.126.4		22.321.6*22.1		13.112.913.1
Fusion 1	2.70.80.4		22.110.96.9		16.931.740.3		12.915.917.4

Lakeville vs RYSAHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
Edina	6.3*6.56.5		34.034.7*34.3
Maplebrook			33.934.7*34.3				10.810.7*10.7
Lakeville	6.32.51.4		34.020.014.2		10.822.129.3		10.713.615.3
RYSA	0.40.92.8		7.111.022.5		39.931.216.7		17.415.812.8

Gitchi Gummi vs BlaineHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
Blaine	0.40.82.7		7.110.922.0		40.231.516.7		17.415.812.9
Gitchi Gummi	2.60.80.4		21.911.07.0		16.731.640.3		12.915.917.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

MYSA 2004 Boys C1 Title Chances 2017 50/50

Big Games