Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Saturday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Montreal Alouettesmake playoffs67.5%+22.4Ottawa 27 - 16 BCCFL
Pittsburgh Riverhoundsmake playoffs61.0+18.2Pittsburgh 3 - 0 New YorkUSL PRO
Santa Cruz Futebol ClubeSérie C14.7-16.5Bragantino 1 - 2 Santa CruzSérie B
New York City FCmake playoffs31.9+15.4Impact 1 - 2 NYCFCMLS
FC Dallasmake playoffs79.2+15.4FC Dallas 3 - 0 RevolutionMLS
Harrisburg City Islandersmake playoffs65.5+15.0Harrisburg 1 - 0 WilmingtonUSL PRO
Cruzeiro Esporte ClubeSerie B18.0-14.7Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Atlético-PRSerie A
Columbus Crewmake playoffs74.7+12.7Crew 2 - 1 Red BullsMLS
Louisville City FCfirst-round bye38.0+12.5Louisville 3 - 0 RichmondUSL PRO
Esporte Clube VitóriaSérie A39.9+11.9Vitória 4 - 1 BahiaSérie B
Down
Charlotte Independencemake playoffs23.6-19.4Charlotte 1 - 2 St LouisUSL PRO
B. C. Lionsmake playoffs50.2-18.7Ottawa 27 - 16 BCCFL
Seattle Sounders FC 2first-round bye28.7-14.9Vancouver 3 - 1 SeattleUSL PRO
Calgary Stampedersmake playoffs69.8-14.7Ottawa 27 - 16 BCCFL
NY Red Bulls IImake playoffs54.0-14.3Pittsburgh 3 - 0 New YorkUSL PRO
Esporte Clube BahiaSérie A38.5-14.3Vitória 4 - 1 BahiaSérie B
Montreal Impactmake playoffs48.5-14.2Impact 1 - 2 NYCFCMLS
Richmond Kickersmake playoffs66.1-13.9Louisville 3 - 0 RichmondUSL PRO
New England Revolutionmake playoffs54.8-13.8FC Dallas 3 - 0 RevolutionMLS
Clube Atlético ParanaenseLibertadores30.4-13.7Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Atlético-PRSerie A

Sunday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
Braddock RoadvsWashington2:00 PM74W-League
ArizonavsOrange County10:30 PM56USL PRO
CrowsvsCats2:50 PM51AFL
Sea EaglesvsSharks4:00 PM46NRL
PS KemivsTPS6:30 PM44Ykkönen
TimbersvsEarthquakes43MLS
Södertälje FKvsDalkurd FF5:00 PM39Div 1 Norra
TimbersvsEarthquakes38MLS
SaskatchewanvsToronto3:30 PM36CFL
Colo StormvsSeattle2:00 PM35W-League