Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Wednesday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Albany Great Daneswin conf75.8%+28.4Vermont 44 - 47 AlbanyAm. East
William & Mary Tribewin conf68.9+22.8William&Mary 100 - 79 HofstraCAA
Bucknell Bisonwin conf33.9+13.3Bucknell 68 - 62 LehighPatriot
Radford Highlanderswin conf21.1+13.2Charleston_Southern 77 - 84 RadfordBig South
Kansas Jayhawkswin conf28.0+9.9TCU 61 - 64 KansasBig 12
Winthrop Eagleswin conf11.6+8.7Coastal_Carolina 68 - 75 WinthropBig South
Notre Dame Fighting Irishwin conf31.4+6.2Notre_Dame 77 - 73 DukeACC
Lafayette Leopardswin conf11.0+5.9Colgate 54 - 59 LafayettePatriot
High Point Pantherswin conf18.4+5.8Coastal_Carolina 68 - 75 WinthropBig South
North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawkswin conf10.5+5.5NC-Wilmington 82 - 65 ElonCAA
Down
Vermont Catamountswin conf10.2-27.0Vermont 44 - 47 AlbanyAm. East
Coastal Carolina Chanticleerswin conf33.4-22.7Coastal_Carolina 68 - 75 WinthropBig South
Hofstra Pridewin conf16.1-20.8William&Mary 100 - 79 HofstraCAA
Colgate Raiderswin conf23.6-15.4Colgate 54 - 59 LafayettePatriot
Charleston Southern Buccaneerswin conf10.1-8.1Charleston_Southern 77 - 84 RadfordBig South
Northeastern Huskieswin conf3.5-7.5Drexel 65 - 60 NortheasternCAA
Indiana Hoosierswin conf5.8-5.1Purdue 83 - 67 IndianaBig Ten
West Virginia Mountaineerswin conf31.9-4.4TCU 61 - 64 KansasBig 12
Iowa State Cycloneswin conf19.2-4.0TCU 61 - 64 KansasBig 12
Oregon State Beaverswin conf2.1-3.6Arizona_State 73 - 55 Oregon_StatePac-12

Thursday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
Louisiana_TechvsWestern_Kentucky115C-USA
Ohio_StatevsMaryland56Big Ten
MercervsChattanooga54SoCon
UC_DavisvsUC_Santa_Barbara52Big West
St_Francis_NYvsMount_St_Marys47Northeast
Georgia_SouthernvsAppalachian_State46Sun Belt
North_FloridavsKennesaw_State44Atlantic Sun
UNC-GreensborovsWofford39SoCon
UCLAvsUtah38Pac-12
UC_IrvinevsCal_Poly37Big West