"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Friday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Sydney FCmake playoffs86.1%+15.6Roar 0 - 2 Sky BluesA-League
Lieferingwin title19.0+11.2Liefering 1 - 0 LinzErste Liga
Hammarby Fotbollwin title58.8+11.1Syrianska 1 - 1 LjungskileSuperettan
Colorado Avalanchemake playoffs22.8+7.8Colorado 7 - 3 VancouverNHL
Edmonton Oilersmake playoffs26.2+6.8Edmonton 6 - 3 CarolinaNHL
Tampa Bay Lightningmake playoffs79.7+5.9Winnipeg 2 - 4 Tampa BayNHL
HartbergRegionalliga56.6-5.6Liefering 1 - 0 LinzErste Liga
St. PöltenRegionalliga12.5-5.3Innsbruck 0 - 1 St. PöltenErste Liga
GIF Sundsvallwin title29.9+4.6Syrianska 1 - 1 LjungskileSuperettan
Montreal Alouettesmake playoffs84.5+3.9Ottawa 17 - 23 MontrealCFL
Down
Ljungskile SKwin title11.3-15.7Syrianska 1 - 1 LjungskileSuperettan
Brisbane RoarWooden Spoon44.1+15.2Roar 0 - 2 Sky BluesA-League
Vancouver Canucksmake playoffs51.0-13.9Colorado 7 - 3 VancouverNHL
Mattersburgwin title14.7-9.1Wien 2 - 2 MattersburgErste Liga
Winnipeg Jetsmake playoffs19.8-8.3Winnipeg 2 - 4 Tampa BayNHL
Wacker InnsbruckRegionalliga7.2+6.3Innsbruck 0 - 1 St. PöltenErste Liga
Carolina Hurricanesmake playoffs8.8-4.8Edmonton 6 - 3 CarolinaNHL
Toronto Argonautsmake playoffs42.5-3.3Ottawa 17 - 23 MontrealCFL
HornRegionalliga19.2+2.5Innsbruck 0 - 1 St. PöltenErste Liga
Austria LustenauRegionalliga3.5+2.0Horn 1 - 0 LustenauErste Liga

Saturday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
VeracruzvsChiapas123Liga MX
TorontovsHamilton4:00 PM104CFL
WhitecapsvsRapids96MLS
FC DallasvsTimbers92MLS
Georgia_StatevsGeorgia_Southern73Sun Belt
MelbournevsCanberra4:30 PM66W-League
Penn_StatevsOhio_State64Big Ten
NewcastlevsBrisbane1:00 PM61W-League
UtahvsUSC60Pac-12
Cruz AzulvsMorelia59Liga MX