"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Wednesday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Fijiwin title48.9%+47.9Japan 16 - 13 CanadaPacific Nations
Nigériamake playoffs90.1+40.0Itália 4 - 3 JapãoConfederations
Tongawin title21.3+19.9Japan 16 - 13 CanadaPacific Nations
Itáliamake playoffs29.6+15.4Itália 4 - 3 JapãoConfederations
Italymake playoffsIn+14.2Italy 4 - 3 JapanConfederations
Brazilmake playoffsIn+9.2Brazil 2 - 0 MexicoConfederations
Japãomake playoffs16.5+8.0Brasil 3 - 0 MéxicoConfederations
Brasilmake playoffs98.9+7.3Brasil 3 - 0 MéxicoConfederations
Åtvidabergs FFeuropean cup9.3+5.3Häcken 0 - 2 ÅtvidabergAllsvenskan
Espanhamake playoffs84.6+4.2Brasil 3 - 0 MéxicoConfederations
Down
Canadawin title29.8-67.8Japan 16 - 13 CanadaPacific Nations
Taitimake playoffs10.0-40.2Brasil 3 - 0 MéxicoConfederations
Méxicomake playoffs55.0-30.8Brasil 3 - 0 MéxicoConfederations
Mexicomake playoffsOut-14.2Brazil 2 - 0 MexicoConfederations
Japanmake playoffsOut-9.3Italy 4 - 3 JapanConfederations
IF Brommapojkarnarelegated42.9+4.6Brommapojkarna 1 - 1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
Uruguaimake playoffs15.2-4.0Brasil 3 - 0 MéxicoConfederations
BK Häckenrelegated7.1+3.5Häcken 0 - 2 ÅtvidabergAllsvenskan
IF Elfsborgeuropean cup68.5-3.2Elfsborg 0 - 0 GefleAllsvenskan
Mjällby AIFeuropean cup22.1-0.5Häcken 0 - 2 ÅtvidabergAllsvenskan

Thursday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
SpainvsThaiti4:00 PM119Confederations
NigeriavsUruguay7:00 PM118Confederations
EspanhavsTaiti118Confederations
NigériavsUruguai117Confederations
IFK NorrköpingvsIFK Göteborg13Allsvenskan
SyrianskavsMalmö10Allsvenskan
MjällbyvsKalmar4Allsvenskan