Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Saturday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
MillwallLeague One17.1%-32.1Middlesbrough 1 - 2 MillwallChampionship League
SunderlandDown to Championship58.0-27.2Chelsea 1 - 2 SunderlandPremier
Collingwood Magpiesmake playoffs63.6+22.6Magpies 93 - 58 KangaroosAFL
St. Kilda Saintsmake playoffs61.2+20.1Bombers 65 - 81 SaintsAFL
Chicago Red Starsmake playoffs63.5+20.0Stars 1 - 0 FlashNWSL
Washington Spiritmake playoffs45.0+14.9Spirit 3 - 1 KansasNWSL
Liverpoolwin title74.6+14.0Chelsea 1 - 2 SunderlandPremier
Sydneymake playoffs32.9+13.4Sharks 18 - 24 RoostersNRL
St George-Illawarramake playoffs61.3+13.1Dragons 20 - 10 WarriorsNRL
Port Adelaide Powermake playoffs89.2+12.5Eagles 56 - 70 PowerAFL
Down
Chelseawin title9.2-20.5Chelsea 1 - 2 SunderlandPremier
Essendon Bombersmake playoffs25.7-20.0Bombers 65 - 81 SaintsAFL
Fremantle Dockersmake playoffs58.3-18.7Swans 92 - 75 DockersAFL
BarnsleyLeague One91.9+18.5Barnsley 0 - 1 LeedsChampionship League
FC Kansas Citymake playoffs25.3-16.7Spirit 3 - 1 KansasNWSL
North Melbourne Kangaroosmake playoffs63.6-15.9Magpies 93 - 58 KangaroosAFL
Cronulla-SutherlandWooden Spoon49.4+15.7Sharks 18 - 24 RoostersNRL
FulhamDown to Championship82.4+15.5Tottenham 3 - 1 FulhamPremier
West Coast Eaglesmake playoffs63.4-15.3Eagles 56 - 70 PowerAFL
Western New York Flashmake playoffs51.6-8.9Stars 1 - 0 FlashNWSL

Sunday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
Atlético MadridvsElche70Liga BBVA
NorwichvsLiverpool69Premier
ValladolidvsReal Madrid53Liga BBVA
CrowsvsGiants12:40 PM35AFL
DemonsvsSuns3:20 PM34AFL
BreakersvsDash33NWSL
BulldogsvsBlues4:40 PM33AFL
BarcelonavsAthletic Bilbao33Liga BBVA
RaidersvsStorm3:00 PM26NRL
GAISvsLjungskile4:00 PM19Superettan