Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Saturday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Hamilton Bulldogsmake playoffs47.0%+15.0Toronto 3 - 4 (ot) HamiltonAHL
Portland Piratesmake playoffs70.4+12.0Bridgeport 2 - 3 PortlandAHL
Providence Bruinsmake playoffs32.9+11.8Springfield 1 - 2 ProvidenceAHL
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsmake playoffs69.3+11.4Norfolk 2 - 3 (ot) W-B/ScrantonAHL
Texas Starsmake playoffs30.4+10.0Texas 5 - 4 ChicagoAHL
Grand Rapids Griffinsmake playoffs80.3+9.8Grand Rapids 4 - 3 IowaAHL
Brighton and Hove AlbionLeague One8.5-9.2Wigan 0 - 1 HuddersfieldChampionship League
BrentfordPremier League26.2+8.0Norwich 1 - 2 BrentfordChampionship League
WatfordPremier League31.7+6.9Watford 7 - 2 BlackpoolChampionship League
Syracuse CrunchKilpatrick Trophy5.1+3.5Syracuse 3 - 2 HartfordAHL
Down
Chicago Wolvesmake playoffs69.7-17.2Texas 5 - 4 ChicagoAHL
Wigan AthleticLeague One69.5+14.5Wigan 0 - 1 HuddersfieldChampionship League
Bridgeport Sound Tigersmake playoffs7.8-13.9Bridgeport 2 - 3 PortlandAHL
Ipswich TownPremier League46.2-11.2Watford 7 - 2 BlackpoolChampionship League
Toronto Marliesmake playoffs10.5-10.2Toronto 3 - 4 (ot) HamiltonAHL
Binghamton Senatorsmake playoffs7.7-9.6Albany 1 - 2 (ot) WorcesterAHL
Norwich CityPremier League13.8-6.4Norwich 1 - 2 BrentfordChampionship League
San Antonio Rampagemake playoffs73.8-6.1Lake Erie 3 - 2 (ot) San AntonioAHL
Lehigh Valley Phantomsmake playoffs21.8-6.0Springfield 1 - 2 ProvidenceAHL
Worcester Sharksmake playoffs75.4-4.6Springfield 1 - 2 ProvidenceAHL

Sunday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
Arizona_StatevsOregon_State85Pac-12
USFvsTulane54The_American
GeorgetownvsSeton_Hall44Big East
TennesseevsGeorgia43SEC
Virginia_TechvsVirginia43ACC
NewcastlevsCoventry2:00 PM43FA WPL North
ButlervsSeton_Hall42Big East
IonavsNiagara41MAAC
UtahvsWashington41Pac-12
StokevsSheffield2:00 PM40FA WPL North