Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Thursday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Clube Atletico ParanaenseSerie B4.6%-9.8Vitoria 2 - 3 Atletico-PRSerie A
Sociedade Esportiva PalmeirasLibertadores98.3+2.6Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Coritiba Football ClubSerie B57.1-2.4Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Sao Paulo Futebol ClubeSerie B26.8-2.0Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Avai Futebol ClubeSerie B74.2-1.5Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Sport Club do RecifeSerie B18.8-1.2Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Associacao Chapecoense de FutebolSerie B13.0-1.2Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Esporte Clube BahiaSerie B10.0-1.1Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Clube Atletico MineiroSerie B4.9-0.6Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Fluminense Football ClubSerie B4.2-0.6Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Down
Esporte Clube VitoriaSerie B38.7+11.4Vitoria 2 - 3 Atletico-PRSerie A
Associacao Atletica Ponte PretaSerie B51.9+9.7Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Botafogo de Futebol e RegatasLibertadores66.7-1.5Flamengo 4 - 1 BahiaSerie A
Sport Club Corinthians Paulistawin title89.9-1.0Palmeiras 2 - 0 Ponte PretaSerie A
Club de Regatas Vasco da GamaLibertadores47.5-0.9Flamengo 4 - 1 BahiaSerie A
Clube de Regatas do FlamengoLibertadores62.7-0.9Vitoria 2 - 3 Atletico-PRSerie A
Cruzeiro Esporte ClubeLibertadores89.9-0.6Flamengo 4 - 1 BahiaSerie A
Santos Futebol ClubeLibertadores98.8-0.1Sport Recife 1 - 1 SantosSerie A
Gremio Foot-Ball Porto AlegrenseLibertadores99.2-0.0Flamengo 4 - 1 BahiaSerie A

Friday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
CriciumavsInternacional4:00 PM49Serie B
America-MGvsParana4:00 PM39Serie B
New JerseyvsSan Jose7:00 PM33NHL
EVZAvsEHCW7:45 PM32LNB
BuffalovsVancouver7:00 PM31NHL
Eintracht FrankvsBorussia Dortmund31Bundesliga
CearavsFigueirense4:00 PM27Serie B
EHCBvsLHC7:45 PM27LNA
DetroitvsWashington7:30 PM27NHL
FloridavsPittsburgh7:30 PM26NHL