"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Thursday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Iranqualified67.5%+40.9Iran 6 - 0 GuamAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Saudi Arabiamake playoffs73.3+25.0Saudi Arabia 7 - 0 Timor-LesteAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
B. C. Lionsmake playoffs42.5+23.8Montreal 16 - 25 BCCFL
Australiamake playoffs74.5+21.4Australia 5 - 0 BangladeshAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Omanqualified77.5+20.9Oman 3 - 1 TurkmenistanAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Iraqqualified61.3+20.9Iraq 5 - 1 Chinese TaipeiAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
North Koreamake playoffs86.8+17.8Bahrain 0 - 1 North KoreaAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Kuwaitmake playoffs76.2+17.8Kuwait 9 - 0 MyanmarAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Charlotte Independencemake playoffs80.7+17.5Wilmington 0 - 1 CharlotteUSL PRO
Syriamake playoffs69.6+16.8Syria 1 - 0 SingaporeAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Down
Guamqualified14.7-60.2Iran 6 - 0 GuamAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Singaporemake playoffs45.0-25.9Syria 1 - 0 SingaporeAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Montreal Alouettesmake playoffs46.7-25.2Montreal 16 - 25 BCCFL
Palestinequalified27.7-18.9Saudi Arabia 7 - 0 Timor-LesteAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Jordanmake playoffs40.0-13.4Jordan 0 - 0 KyrgyzstanAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Lebanonqualified24.8-13.2South Korea 8 - 0 LaosAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Philippinesmake playoffs63.1-12.1Uzbekistan 1 - 0 YemenAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
China PRmake playoffs38.0-11.8China PR 0 - 0 Hong KongAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Bahrainqualified2.1-10.9Bahrain 0 - 1 North KoreaAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers
Chinese Taipeiqualified2.1-10.5Iraq 5 - 1 Chinese TaipeiAFC WC 2018 Qualifiers

Friday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
OtagovsTasman52ITM Cup 2015
VitóriavsBotafogo44Série B
HawaiivsColorado33NCAA FBS
NáuticovsSampaio Corrêa28Série B
SMUvsBaylor27NCAA FBS
AngelsvsRangers27MLB
Georgia_StatevsCharlotte27NCAA FBS
Western_MichiganvsMichigan_State27NCAA FBS
Boise_StatevsWashington26NCAA FBS
AstrosvsTwins25MLB