Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Sunday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance will:ChangeWhyLeague
Vitoria Setubalbe demoted10.0%-28.5Leixoes 1 - 2 Vitoria SetubalLiga
Levadiakosbe demoted21.1-21.2Levadiakos 2 - 1 Skoda XanthiSuper League
CD Tenerifebe demoted69.8-15.6Tenerife 4 - 1 EspanyolLa Liga
Nashville Predatorsmake playoffs83.712.7Kings 2 - 3 PredatorsNHL
Willem II Tilburgbe demoted53.1-11.3Willem II 3 - 1 SpartaEredivisie
New York Rangersmake playoffs34.610.1Rangers 3 - 1 FlyersNHL
Ajax Amsterdamwin title25.09.5Ajax 4 - 1 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
Manchester Unitedwin title50.28.6Man. United 3 - 0 FulhamPremier League
AC Milanwin title31.08.1AC Milan 1 - 0 Chievo VeronaSerie A
Heerenveenbe demoted1.8-7.5Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 1 HeerenveenEredivisie
Down
Leixoesbe demoted83.1%26.0Leixoes 1 - 2 Vitoria SetubalLiga
Skoda Xanthibe demoted74.919.3Levadiakos 2 - 1 Skoda XanthiSuper League
Laziobe demoted41.214.0Lazio 0 - 2 BariSerie A
Vitesse Arnhembe demoted24.211.9Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 1 HeerenveenEredivisie
PSV Eindhovenwin title16.0-11.7Ajax 4 - 1 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
Calgary Flamesmake playoffs35.0-11.4Canucks 3 - 1 FlamesNHL
Sparta Rotterdambe demoted35.09.8Willem II 3 - 1 SpartaEredivisie
Wheeling Nailersmake playoffs18.5-8.9Wheeling 1 - 4 KalamazooECHL
Real Valladolidbe demoted74.48.6Valladolid 1 - 4 Real MadridLa Liga
St. Louis Bluesmake playoffs10.2-7.3Wild 4 - 2 BluesNHL

Monday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
FlamesvsRed Wings9:30 PM58NHL
DevilsvsBruins7:00 PM35NHL
Notts CountyvsBournemouth3:45 PM25League Two
DenizlisporvsBeşiktaş2:00 PM13Süper Lig
MetzvsFC Nantes3:45 PM4Ligue 2
RocketsvsNuggets8:30 PM3NBA
AGF AarhusvsSilkeborg IF2:00 PM2Superliga