Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Wednesday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance will:ChangeWhyLeague
Tampineswin title54.1%11.0S.League
Cincinnati Redsmake playoffs61.93.2Brewers 2 - 10 RedsMLB
San Diego Padresmake playoffs88.82.0Padres 6 - 1 DodgersMLB
Philadelphia Philliesmake playoffs26.32.0Phillies 7 - 1 D-BacksMLB
Atlanta Bravesmake playoffs81.41.8Nationals 1 - 3 BravesMLB
Oakland Athleticsmake playoffs2.81.1Rangers 1 - 3 AthleticsMLB
Minnesota Twinsmake playoffs50.60.7Royals 4 - 6 TwinsMLB
San Francisco Giantsmake playoffs60.90.7Giants 10 - 9 MarlinsMLB
New York Yankeesmake playoffs95.40.4Indians 0 - 8 YankeesMLB
Houston Astrosmake playoffs0.00.0Astros 8 - 1 CubsMLB
Down
Etoile FCwin title39.3%-8.8S.League
New York Metsmake playoffs7.7-4.3Mets 7 - 8 CardinalsMLB
Los Angeles Dodgersmake playoffs3.0-2.2Padres 6 - 1 DodgersMLB
Homewin title6.5-2.0S.League
Colorado Rockiesmake playoffs1.9-1.8Rockies 2 - 6 PiratesMLB
Texas Rangersmake playoffs96.2-1.0Rangers 1 - 3 AthleticsMLB
Florida Marlinsmake playoffs1.2-0.8Giants 10 - 9 MarlinsMLB
Detroit Tigersmake playoffs1.0-0.6Rays 7 - 4 TigersMLB
St. Louis Cardinalsmake playoffs66.8-0.4Mets 7 - 8 CardinalsMLB
Tampa Bay Raysmake playoffs93.3-0.2Rays 7 - 4 TigersMLB

Thursday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
MetsvsCardinals12:10 PM17MLB
GiantsvsMarlins3:45 PM17MLB
White SoxvsMariners8:10 PM14MLB
PhilliesvsD-Backs7:05 PM13MLB
NationalsvsBraves12:35 PM11MLB
PadresvsDodgers6:35 PM8MLB
RangersvsAthletics8:05 PM5MLB
RaysvsTigers12:10 PM5MLB
IndiansvsYankees7:05 PM3MLB
RockiesvsPirates3:10 PM1MLB