Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIThursday
Warhawks1261-002498.8%-0.032.2%-0.1322216118532102.8-0.0111Warhawks
MorleysDog1261-001998.7-0.030.7+0.0312316117532102.9+0.017Morleys Dog
Renegades1261-001398.0+0.038.1-0.03825161063202.422Renegades
Rogues1261-00598.0-0.036.3+0.03627161063202.412Rogues
Chiefs21360-012297.3-0.162.3+0.1622194211.66Chiefs 2
Firebirds1052-00796.5-0.015.0-0.11517181512964213.9-0.0110Firebirds
WhiskeyShots1151-012196.0-0.132.1-0.13222161285312.7-0.013Whiskey Shots
HighGlass10151-001195.7-0.023.8+0.1242016131085313.34High Glass
AngerManagement1151-011095.4-0.250.7+0.75125137311.9+0.0114Anger Management
MiddlesexOffenders10151-001395.4+0.124.4+0.0241916131075313.35Middlesex Offenders
MilwaukeeChargers10151-00895.4-0.123.4-0.2232016131075313.3-0.011Milwaukee Chargers
JunkyardDogs1052-00994.4+0.122.8-0.023211815117413.218Junkyard Dogs
Shamrocks1041-02694.1-0.022.7+0.123211814117423.22Shamrocks
StevesPizza10140-022092.1-0.242.2+0.942251510622.2+0.029at MapleLeafsSteves Pizza
Hagen10151-001592.0-0.044.6+0.24524159532.223MeatballsHagen
Hellfish843-00-691.8-0.17.0+0.071113141413118534.941Hellfish
SilverBullets843-00691.8+0.07.3-0.071113141413119634.934Silver Bullets
BeerCats942-01689.4-0.127.7+0.928301912732.5+0.0329Beer Cats
ProTransmission1052-001089.4-0.230.3+0.330281912732.5+0.0128Pro Transmission
2ndShift8142-001889.2+0.111.5-0.112141514131210744.4162nd Shift
Hogs1041-021488.6-0.134.4-0.034241813832.5-0.0113Hogs
Phoenix843-00288.2+0.19.1-0.191519181512844.026Phoenix
BeerThrashers843-00687.9-0.08.6-0.091519181512844.020Beer Thrashers
Spartans843-00-886.8-0.110.9-0.0111416171513944.130Spartans
GoldenSeals843-00986.5-0.17.3+0.17111314151412954.831Golden Seals
Lux942-011485.7-0.120.0-0.320312114952.8-0.0125Lux
JustTheTip931-03683.6+0.226.2-0.0262319151162.8+0.018Just The Tip
PurplePandasWinterhawks8142-00183.6-0.124.4-0.2242520151062.8-0.0119Purple Pandas
Mermen634-00582.2+0.02.8+0.035811131414141176.1-0.0127Mermen
Wolves634-00-1082.2-0.03.2+0.136811131414131176.039Wolves
GVC6133-00079.2+0.15.1-0.15810121415151285.417GVC
LoneWolves832-02-276.9-0.218.3-0.1182120181493.2-0.0124Lone Wolves
ElderSkatesmen623-02-475.8+0.13.9-0.0481316181715104.943Elder Skatesmen
Pirates634-00-474.4+0.24.7+0.058111517181695.0+0.0138Pirates
OldSchool634-00073.8-0.04.7+0.0581114171816105.032Old School
Eagles634-00-272.9+0.23.0+0.13581013161716115.9+0.0149Eagles
MapleLeafs6122-02270.5-1.012.3+0.51217212017123.540StevesPizzaMaple Leafs
YYZat DragonSlayers6133-00-569.8-0.112.5-0.11318201917133.550YYZ
Jackals722-03-569.2-0.213.2+0.11317192018133.537Jackals
BluesBrothers524-01167.2+0.22.7+0.1361013171919145.4+0.0147Blues Brothers
PondScum425-00-665.9+0.11.1-0.01246912151718167.262Pond Scum
NorthernLights634-00-264.9+0.16.2+0.1616212119163.8+0.0115Northern Lights
WormtownHockeyLBladesofSteel 4-7524-01-463.5-8.47.1-3.3714202220163.8-0.3342Wormtown Hockey
MightyGoats4124-00-1263.4-0.48.0+0.3815202120173.8+0.0152Mighty Goats
BoondockSaintsLWolverines 2-6634-00-662.5-8.77.6-3.6814202221173.8-0.3333Boondock Saints
Winterhawksat PurplePandas5123-01-261.1+0.18.5+0.1915182021183.8+0.0135Winterhawks
Misfits315-01-956.7+0.10.6+0.01135710131722227.7+0.0159Misfits
Mulligans524-01054.5+0.14.3+0.0412182123234.153Mulligans
Nordiques425-00-1054.2-0.11.8+0.024610141925215.955Nordiques
Chiefs1524-01-1554.1-0.04.2+0.0412172122234.258Chiefs 1
WolverinesWBoondockSaints 6-2524-01-852.1+9.95.6+1.8611162024244.2+0.3248Wolverines
DragonSlayersYYZ4113-02-651.3+0.26.0+0.1611151923264.251Dragon Slayers
Beastmode524-01750.2+0.15.7-0.0610152025254.221Beastmode
Bulls315-01-1747.4-0.10.8+0.01259131823296.2-0.0154Bulls
BlackstoneValleyBravest315-01-1444.3-0.03.1+0.238142026304.5-0.0160Blackstone Valley Bravest
BladesofSteelWWormtownHockey 7-42115-00-1844.0+9.23.4+1.238141924324.5+0.2965Blades of Steel
IceDogs414-02-1943.5-0.03.0+0.039141824324.544Ice Dogs
Blazers2115-00-143.3-0.10.8-0.012357101624337.363Blazers
ThirstyTurtles2115-00-2442.5-0.10.7-0.012357101523357.3-0.0145Thirsty Turtles
Meatballs3114-01-342.1-0.04.0-0.048121824344.546at HagenMeatballs
Brewers216-00-637.4-0.20.5+0.00236101625386.656Brewers
Wings106-01-3035.5-0.10.2+0.001123691423428.664Wings
GhilaniElectric315-01-1833.5+0.22.0+0.125101625424.8-0.0136Ghilani Electric
NEProgeny315-01-2031.4+0.22.3+0.02591524454.957NE Progeny
ThornyDevils106-01-1426.3+0.10.3-0.0012471222527.061Thorny Devils

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/10
BluesBrothers 5 Brewers 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers+10.3
+1.0
+0.4
Brewers-10.5
-0.5
-0.4
PondScum 6 Wings 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PondScum+10.2
+0.4
+0.5
Wings-10.4
-0.2
-0.5
BlackstoneValleyBravest 1 MightyGoats 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MightyGoats+10.2
+2.3
+0.3
BlackstoneValleyBravest-10.2
-2.0
-0.3
IceDogs 2 Mulligans 10
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mulligans+9.8
+1.7
+0.3
IceDogs-10.0
-2.3
-0.4
Pirates 5 ThornyDevils 4
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Pirates+9.5
+1.4
+0.4
ThornyDevils-9.5
-0.4
-0.4
GVC 3 Blazers 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC+8.8
+1.7
+0.5
Blazers-10.1
-0.8
-0.5
Wolverines 6 BoondockSaints 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza-0.3
+0.7
BoondockSaints-8.7
-3.6
-0.3
Wolverines+9.8
+1.8
+0.3
GoldenSeals 3 ThirstyTurtles 0
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GoldenSeals+7.3
+2.2
+0.5
ThirstyTurtles-9.5
-0.7
-0.5
LoneWolves 1 Beastmode 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs-0.5
+1.4
JustTheTip-0.8
+1.1
LoneWolves-6.3
-6.2
-0.3
Jackals-0.6
+1.3
Beastmode+8.9
+2.1
+0.3
NEProgeny-0.7
+0.3
BladesofSteel 7 WormtownHockey 4
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
AngerManagement+0.9
BeerCats+0.8
WormtownHockey-8.5
-3.3
-0.3
BladesofSteel+8.8
+1.1
+0.3
NEProgeny 2 Hogs 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs+6.3
+6.5
+0.3
JustTheTip+0.7
-1.1
LoneWolves+0.5
-1.8
Jackals+0.8
-1.1
NEProgeny-8.7
-2.1
-0.3
SilverBullets 3 Misfits 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SilverBullets+5.4
+2.2
+0.6
PondScum+0.7
Misfits-8.6
-0.6
-0.5
Wings+1.0
OldSchool 8 Spartans 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WhiskeyShots-0.2
+1.2
JunkyardDogs-0.3
+0.7
Shamrocks-0.2
+0.9
Spartans-4.2
-4.8
-0.4
Pirates-1.0
OldSchool+8.1
+1.7
+0.4
Nordiques-1.1
ThornyDevils-1.0
Wolves 3 Mermen 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mermen-5.1
-2.0
-0.6
Wolves+7.3
+1.0
+0.5
Misfits-0.7
Jackals 1 JustTheTip 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JustTheTip+7.0
+6.5
+0.4
Jackals-7.1
-6.4
-0.4
Chiefs2 4 NorthernLights 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs2+2.5
+9.3
+0.3
Lux+1.0
-1.8
NorthernLights-7.0
-5.7
-0.3
Mulligans+1.4
-0.4
Chiefs1+0.9
-0.9
IceDogs+1.2
-0.6
Eagles 1 MiddlesexOffenders 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders+3.3
+5.5
+0.5
MilwaukeeChargers-1.0
2ndShift+0.3
-0.7
Eagles-6.5
-2.7
-0.5
Blazers+0.7
ThirstyTurtles+0.7
ElderSkatesmen 2 BeerThrashers 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers+6.3
+2.9
+0.5
ElderSkatesmen-6.5
-3.1
-0.5
2ndShift 2 HighGlass 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
HighGlass+2.9
+6.4
+0.5
2ndShift-3.3
-6.3
-0.5
BeerCats 5 AngerManagement 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
AngerManagement+2.8
+11.6
+0.3
BeerCats-2.9
-11.3
-0.3
WhiskeyShots 8 Shamrocks 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WhiskeyShots+2.6
+8.6
+0.4
Shamrocks-1.9
-9.6
-0.4
Hellfish 0 MorleysDog 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks-0.8
MorleysDog+1.2
+7.5
+0.5
Firebirds-1.0
Hellfish-2.5
-5.0
-0.6
Warhawks 8 Firebirds 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks+1.2
+8.1
+0.5
MorleysDog-0.4
Firebirds-1.1
-7.7
-0.5
DragonSlayers vs YYZIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ60.9*70.278.7
8.4*12.416.6
3.93.53.1
DragonSlayers61.1*51.241.7
8.65.53.4
3.94.24.5
PurplePandas vs WinterhawksHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PurplePandas89.4*84.177.7
30.9*23.918.0
2.52.83.1
Winterhawks52.5*61.669.7
4.9*8.412.2
4.23.83.5
Hagen vs MeatballsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen95.792.788.2
52.5*44.836.6
1.92.12.4
Meatballs34.1*41.850.2
1.83.36.4
4.84.54.2
MapleLeafs vs StevesPizzaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza88.692.595.4
33.3*42.251.3
2.52.21.9
MapleLeafs77.6*70.763.3
17.811.57.0
3.23.53.8
Week of 11/17
Chiefs1 vs IceDogsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs164.3*54.543.8
6.0*3.92.4
3.84.24.5
IceDogs33.3*42.853.8
1.62.64.4
4.84.54.2
Nordiques vs PiratesHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Pirates65.675.383.1
2.7*4.66.7
5.45.04.5
Nordiques64.5*54.043.8
2.8*1.70.9
5.5*5.96.3
BluesBrothers vs BullsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers76.7*67.557.5
3.9*2.51.4
4.9*5.45.8
Bulls37.1*47.357.9
0.4*0.71.2
6.66.25.8
Jackals vs BeastmodeHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Jackals78.7*69.459.7
17.6*12.98.8
3.1*3.53.9
Beastmode40.1*50.260.3
3.15.38.3
4.64.23.9
Misfits vs MermenHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mermen75.183.089.1
1.6*2.64.1
6.66.05.5
Misfits66.6*56.846.8
0.9*0.50.2
7.27.78.2
Winterhawks vs DragonSlayersHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Winterhawks70.7*61.451.4
11.7*8.35.4
3.53.84.2
DragonSlayers41.3*51.261.4
3.5*5.68.5
4.5*4.23.9
Mulligans vs NorthernLightsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NorthernLights55.4*65.074.4
3.8*5.98.6
4.1*3.83.4
Mulligans64.5*54.444.6
6.34.02.4
3.84.24.5
BladesofSteel vs MightyGoatsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MightyGoats53.9*64.072.9
5.1*7.710.8
4.1*3.83.5
BladesofSteel53.9*43.434.3
4.93.01.9
4.24.54.8
PurplePandas vs MeatballsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PurplePandas89.884.377.3
30.5*24.218.4
2.52.83.1
Meatballs33.2*41.951.1
2.03.66.2
4.84.54.2
MapleLeafs vs GhilaniElectricHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs79.2*70.861.7
16.1*12.28.5
3.23.53.8
GhilaniElectric24.3*32.842.7
0.91.73.1
5.14.84.5
2ndShift vs ThirstyTurtlesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
2ndShift93.8*89.684.5
15.3*11.17.8
3.94.44.9
ThirstyTurtles33.6*42.451.5
0.3*0.61.1
7.7*7.36.9
ProTransmission vs WolverinesHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ProTransmission93.990.284.7
37.4*30.423.2
2.22.42.8
Wolverines43.2*52.061.0
2.95.18.4
4.54.23.9
BeerThrashers vs BrewersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers93.188.982.5
11.7*8.25.5
3.64.04.5
Brewers28.536.746.5
0.20.40.8
6.96.66.3
NEProgeny vs LoneWolvesHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
LoneWolves69.0*77.384.7
13.1*18.023.4
3.53.22.8
NEProgeny40.2*31.022.7
3.6*2.11.1
4.6*4.95.2
BeerCats vs BlackstoneValleyBravestHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
AngerManagement95.6*95.695.2
47.651.753.6
BeerCats94.090.084.6
34.2*27.221.4
2.22.52.8
BlackstoneValleyBravest35.7*44.153.1
1.42.85.0
4.84.54.2
Blazers vs MiddlesexOffendersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders92.995.897.7
18.4*24.230.5
3.83.32.9
Blazers51.8*43.434.8
1.2*0.70.3
6.97.37.6
ThornyDevils vs OldSchoolHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool65.374.682.0
2.84.36.7
5.45.04.6
ThornyDevils34.725.318.1
0.5*0.20.1
6.77.07.3
Firebirds vs WingsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Firebirds98.496.994.4
19.6*14.610.4
3.43.84.3
Wings27.2*35.243.9
0.0*0.10.3
8.98.68.2
StevesPizza vs BoondockSaintsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza95.6*92.588.5
50.5*42.234.0
1.9*2.22.5
BoondockSaints54.761.770.5
3.87.011.5
4.23.93.5
PondScum vs WarhawksHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks97.999.099.6
24.7*31.939.7
3.3*2.82.4
MorleysDog33.6*31.327.7
PondScum73.6*66.158.1
1.90.80.4
6.77.27.7
AngerManagement vs WormtownHockeyHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
AngerManagement97.795.892.9
59.3*50.942.1
1.71.92.2
BeerCats90.0*89.488.8
24.8*28.330.6
WormtownHockey55.8*63.671.1
3.46.311.0
4.13.83.5
Eagles vs MilwaukeeChargersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MilwaukeeChargers93.0*95.797.6
17.2*23.429.7
3.8*3.32.9
Eagles80.0*73.365.6
4.72.61.3
5.45.96.4
Hagen vs YYZHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen95.492.588.5
53.6*44.835.5
1.92.12.4
YYZ62.7*70.077.0
7.011.818.3
3.83.53.1
ElderSkatesmen vs PhoenixHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Phoenix83.5*88.592.9
5.8*8.712.5
4.5*4.03.6
ElderSkatesmen82.976.668.7
5.93.62.1
4.54.95.4
GVC vs HighGlassHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
HighGlass93.596.297.8
17.3*23.530.3
3.83.32.9
GVC85.1*79.573.3
7.74.72.6
4.95.45.9
MorleysDog vs WolvesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MorleysDog99.5*98.997.9
38.4*30.523.1
2.42.83.3
Wolves76.5*82.387.7
1.4*2.94.9
6.66.15.5
Hogs vs JustTheTipHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs92.9*88.984.1
44.3*34.224.5
2.12.42.8
JustTheTip78.1*84.289.1
17.425.435.2
3.12.82.4
Lux vs Chiefs2HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs295.897.598.6
51.3*62.973.2
1.91.61.4
Lux90.2*86.181.1
29.019.111.2
2.52.83.1
Shamrocks vs SpartansHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Shamrocks96.894.591.3
29.6*22.615.9
2.7*3.13.6
Spartans82.187.591.3
6.110.315.7
4.54.13.6
Hellfish vs SilverBulletsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hellfish95.392.388.3
10.06.44.1
4.45.05.5
SilverBullets88.3*92.295.2
4.36.710.4
5.55.04.4
WhiskeyShots vs JunkyardDogsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WhiskeyShots97.896.694.1
41.8*31.722.5
2.32.73.2
JunkyardDogs92.094.996.7
14.521.931.3
3.63.22.7
Rogues vs RenegadesHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Renegades97.0*98.199.0
26.5*38.149.7
2.8*2.42.0
Rogues99.098.396.9
48.0*36.224.7
2.02.42.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.