Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPI
Warhawks221113-0041100.0%44.1%+0.14430157310002.031Warhawks
MorleysDog221102-0234100.041.7-0.04234156210002.07Morleys Dog
Hogs241111-0242100.0-0.093.5-0.09361001.15Hogs
Chiefs2231112-0139100.0+0.176.2+7.276222001.3+0.096Chiefs 2
StevesPizza22290-0447100.0+0.084.2+0.1841330001.22Steves Pizza
MiddlesexOffenders222112-0022100.0+0.070.0+0.270197310001.51Middlesex Offenders
JunkyardDogs19194-011599.9+0.024.2-0.024292913310002.510Junkyard Dogs
WhiskeyShots19271-053299.9-0.043.8-0.04427197210002.03Whiskey Shots
SilverBullets18184-021399.9-0.07.7+0.0816252215941003.719Silver Bullets
Hagen212102-012799.9-0.083.8-0.0841231001.220Hagen
Phoenix2094-02999.8+0.335.3+11.63526191262002.3+0.5311Phoenix
Shamrocks18272-041099.827.427302312521002.44Shamrocks
Firebirds17185-011299.7-0.03.4-0.03102125201362004.225Firebirds
BeerThrashers1995-011999.6-0.223.0-10.42324231893002.8-0.3318Beer Thrashers
Misfits16175-02499.3+0.02.4-0.02715212319103104.723Misfits
Rogues18195-00-299.3-0.223.1+0.923232117114102.8+0.0636Rogues
Lux18283-021899.1+0.222.4-6.62260143102.0-0.088Lux
MilwaukeeChargers18294-00899.0-0.015.8-0.11633231593102.815Milwaukee Chargers
BluesBrothers17185-011799.0-0.215.7+0.516192122166103.2+0.0528Blues Brothers
WormtownHockey18184-021698.8-0.040.9-0.14131215102.012Wormtown Hockey
BeerCats17185-01197.7+0.025.9+0.02631329202.338Beer Cats
AngerManagement17174-031097.4+0.031.4+0.13131269202.216Anger Management
ProTransmission16285-00297.0+0.08.8-0.09453212302.639Pro Transmission
OldSchool14265-02696.9+0.03.8+0.0410183119105314.222Old School
Wolves14177-00-896.5-0.00.7-0.0137132025199305.733Wolves
HighGlass16285-00796.2+0.04.6-0.051723221811303.89High Glass
2ndShift16274-022795.5-0.06.3-0.061621211912413.8212nd Shift
LoneWolves16175-02-394.8-0.03.9+0.04502911412.630Lone Wolves
GoldenSeals15275-011194.7-0.02.9+0.031217232416514.234Golden Seals
MapleLeafs15264-031393.86.4-0.06343717512.829Maple Leafs
ElderSkatesmen1566-03092.8-3.32.2-2.72611203122614.7-0.4340Elder Skatesmen
PurplePandas15275-01092.6-0.09.8+0.010402814622.732Purple Pandas
JustTheTip15165-03891.2+0.02.5+0.02333817723.013Just The Tip
Hellfish12168-00-1290.6-0.00.1-0.0012511213119906.749Hellfish
NorthernLights14166-02388.5+11.71.1-0.01135024923.3+0.3414Northern Lights
YYZ14276-00-687.4-0.04.7+0.05313219933.126YYZ
Nordiques12146-04-1084.5+0.10.5+0.0126162520161145.750Nordiques
Renegades12168-00-977.6-3.00.8+0.11251021381855.653Renegades
GVC12256-02174.7+0.10.4+0.00261221331965.624GVC
Spartans10148-02-2067.2+0.00.1+0.0002715212219136.643Spartans
Pirates9248-01-1965.1-0.20.1-0.0012915182020156.655Pirates
Mermen9138-03-465.0+0.00.0+0.000013818353147.941Mermen
GhilaniElectric11257-01-2064.5-0.10.5-0.01618392884.117Ghilani Electric
MightyGoats10258-00-1361.0+0.01.5-0.025134126134.248Mighty Goats
DragonSlayers11246-03760.0-0.01.1-0.019183227134.145Dragon Slayers
Mulligans10247-02-557.2+3.30.2-0.103213328154.3+0.0557Mulligans
NEProgeny11147-03-1955.5-0.00.1-0.007173126184.360NE Progeny
BladesofSteel8238-02-1955.4+0.00.0-0.0001511172123217.062Blades of Steel
PondScum8139-02-1946.3+0.0No-0.00001412284498.452Pond Scum
Meatballs10247-02-944.6+0.00.6-0.016142432234.527Meatballs
IceDogs10148-02-2241.6-9.90.1-0.402112938204.6-0.2646Ice Dogs
BoondockSaints9248-01-1338.4+0.10.1-0.00292744184.735Boondock Saints
Blazers9248-01031.7-0.00.0-0.0001381944246.742Blazers
ThornyDevils6229-02-1631.2+0.00.000015101523467.947Thorny Devils
Beastmode9138-03-429.6+0.00.0+0.00272030405.044Beastmode
Jackals9138-03-2428.9+0.00.00272033385.061Jackals
ThirstyTurtles7239-01-3224.0-0.00.20141933435.151Thirsty Turtles
Brewers9410-01-1022.2+6.80.0+0.0000141749287.0+0.1837Brewers
BlackstoneValleyBravest8139-02-2021.0-0.00.1+0.00131736435.254Blackstone Valley Bravest
Winterhawks7239-01-1915.7+0.00.0+0.00141125595.456Winterhawks
Chiefs171310-01-3313.6-5.40.0-0.00031024635.5-0.1564Chiefs 1
Bulls61210-02-249.8-0.2No0002825667.5-0.0758Bulls
Eagles62310-00-178.3+0.00.000002624687.663Eagles
Wolverines52210-01-296.4-0.00.0001520745.759Wolverines
Wings21012-02-612.7-0.0No0000211869.865Wings

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/12
IceDogs 2 NorthernLights 8
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Lux+0.1
NorthernLights+10.4
+0.7
+0.3
Mulligans+1.3
IceDogs-12.3
-0.3
-0.3
Chiefs1+0.5
Chiefs1 3 Chiefs2 5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs2+0.1
+7.2
+0.1
Lux+0.1
-6.4
-0.1
NorthernLights+1.7
-0.5
Mulligans+2.0
-0.1
+0.1
IceDogs+2.1
-0.2
+0.1
Chiefs1-6.1
-0.2
BeerThrashers 2 Brewers 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Phoenix-0.2
+2.6
+0.1
BeerThrashers-0.2
-8.7
-0.3
Rogues-0.2
+2.9
+0.1
BluesBrothers-0.2
+2.0
+0.1
ElderSkatesmen-0.8
+1.0
Renegades-3.3
+0.2
Brewers+5.8
+0.2
Bulls-0.9
-0.1
ElderSkatesmen 4 Phoenix 5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Phoenix+0.4
+8.5
+0.5
BeerThrashers-2.5
Rogues-1.6
BluesBrothers-1.2
ElderSkatesmen-2.2
-3.1
-0.5
Renegades+0.4
-0.1
Brewers+0.6
Bulls+0.8
BoondockSaints vs GhilaniElectricIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GhilaniElectric49.9*65.079.5
0.20.40.9
4.44.13.8
BoondockSaints53.5*38.123.2
4.44.74.9
DragonSlayers vs MeatballsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
DragonSlayers61.7*48.234.6
1.10.60.3
4.14.54.8
Meatballs32.1*45.359.1
0.2*0.51.0
4.94.54.1
ThornyDevils vs SpartansHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Spartans52.666.978.1
7.26.76.2
ThornyDevils40.728.118.4
7.68.08.3
Hellfish vs PondScumHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hellfish97.293.083.4
6.26.67.1
Mermen69.564.260.7
PondScum33.744.459.0
8.78.48.0
Nordiques vs PiratesHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques91.684.775.0
0.90.40.2
5.15.76.2
Pirates52.4*64.175.4
7.16.76.1
NEProgeny vs JustTheTipHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JustTheTip85.892.196.4
1.22.23.8
3.33.02.7
NEProgeny66.5*54.944.4
4.04.34.6
Beastmode27.1*29.532.2
Jackals26.3*28.931.7
HighGlass vs BlazersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
HighGlass96.793.486.6
4.62.81.5
3.84.24.6
GVC76.3*73.771.0
Blazers21.629.941.8
7.16.86.5
Eagles vs GVCHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC63.775.183.3
0.10.30.7
5.95.55.1
Eagles22.512.86.9
7.17.47.6
Mermen vs WingsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mermen74.666.155.1
7.67.98.2
PondScum40.9*46.151.3
BladesofSteel vs WhiskeyShotsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JunkyardDogs28.2*24.820.9
2.4*2.42.5
WhiskeyShots35.1*44.053.4
2.22.01.7
Shamrocks32.2*28.023.4
2.3*2.42.5
BladesofSteel74.3*65.556.0
0.40.10.0
6.16.67.0
Jackals vs LoneWolvesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
LoneWolves91.295.798.2
2.23.65.8
2.92.62.4
NEProgeny52.9*55.157.9
Jackals38.128.320.0
4.75.05.2
Mulligans vs LuxHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs275.6*69.562.5
1.3*1.31.4
Lux97.999.399.8
21.8*28.636.1
2.11.91.8
Mulligans63.0*54.045.0
0.60.20.0
4.14.44.6
IceDogs48.0*51.255.3
4.4*4.44.3
MightyGoats vs WormtownHockeyHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WormtownHockey97.999.299.8
31.6*40.750.1
2.21.91.7
BeerCats97.3*97.898.1
29.8*26.322.2
AngerManagement97.1*97.497.9
35.3*31.727.2
MightyGoats69.7*60.852.1
2.91.00.3
4.04.34.5
ThirstyTurtles20.4*24.127.5
5.2*5.15.1
BlackstoneValleyBravest17.6*20.624.6
5.2*5.25.1
Winterhawks vs YYZHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ81.189.293.9
2.64.37.0
3.43.02.8
Winterhawks34.924.817.2
4.85.15.3
Hogs vs BeastmodeHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs96.394.090.5
NEProgeny59.2*55.751.4
4.24.34.4
Beastmode21.529.037.9
NoNo0.0
5.25.04.8
JunkyardDogs vs ThornyDevilsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JunkyardDogs32.424.117.0
2.22.42.7
WhiskeyShots40.2*44.348.2
2.1*2.01.9
Shamrocks24.7*28.230.8
2.5*2.42.3
ThornyDevils21.428.737.5
8.28.07.7
BeerCats vs ThirstyTurtlesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WormtownHockey99.1*98.998.6
37.241.544.4
2.01.91.9
BeerCats99.498.395.9
33.425.218.8
2.12.32.5
AngerManagement97.9*97.697.1
28.1*31.534.5
2.3*2.22.1
MightyGoats64.9*61.056.9
1.2*1.61.9
ThirstyTurtles16.623.031.6
5.35.24.9
AngerManagement vs BlackstoneValleyBravestHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WormtownHockey99.1*98.998.7
36.4*41.045.3
2.0*1.91.9
BeerCats98.2*97.997.3
22.8*26.129.2
2.4*2.32.2
AngerManagement99.398.295.5
39.4*31.123.2
2.02.22.5
MightyGoats63.7*60.858.1
1.3*1.61.8
BlackstoneValleyBravest14.020.528.3
5.45.25.0
Renegades vs RoguesHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers36.3*33.830.8
2.4*2.42.5
Rogues99.099.699.9
14.921.529.5
3.32.92.5
Renegades87.581.573.7
1.40.50.2
5.25.65.9
Brewers11.814.919.1
BluesBrothers vs BullsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers99.899.498.4
21.014.79.6
2.93.33.7
Bulls5.59.214.4
7.67.57.3
Shamrocks vs OldSchoolHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JunkyardDogs21.4*24.927.8
WhiskeyShots40.544.947.8
Shamrocks100.099.999.6
36.527.219.2
2.12.42.8
OldSchool89.693.596.1
0.92.04.1
5.14.74.2
Hagen vs PurplePandasHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen92.985.674.9
1.11.21.3
PurplePandas89.493.196.0
2.98.417.1
3.02.72.4
MapleLeafs vs ProTransmissionHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ProTransmission95.197.398.7
5.08.212.9
2.82.62.3
MapleLeafs96.794.190.7
9.75.83.2
2.52.83.1
Wolverines vs StevesPizzaHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza78.784.689.4
1.31.21.1
ProTransmission96.7*96.997.1
11.8*8.75.9
Wolverines9.35.93.6
0.0*NoNo
5.65.75.8
GoldenSeals vs MilwaukeeChargersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders73.571.568.0
MilwaukeeChargers98.299.199.7
10.4*15.821.8
3.22.72.4
GoldenSeals97.194.791.4
5.02.61.2
3.74.24.6
2ndShift vs MiddlesexOffendersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders60.172.081.3
1.71.41.2
MilwaukeeChargers19.6*16.312.5
2ndShift97.695.992.8
11.65.31.8
3.43.84.2
Wolves vs MisfitsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Misfits98.899.599.8
1.01.93.8
5.24.74.2
Wolves98.596.994.4
1.20.50.2
5.15.76.2
SilverBullets vs FirebirdsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SilverBullets12.27.44.2
3.23.74.2
Firebirds99.599.899.9
1.33.05.6
4.74.23.7
MorleysDog vs WarhawksHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks24.945.462.4
2.42.01.6
MorleysDog60.839.122.8
1.62.02.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.