Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIThursday
Warhawks630-00599.9%-0.046.3%-0.24623148531002.26Warhawks
Nordiques630-001599.747.5+0.148191296321002.312Nordiques
OldSchool630-00699.6-0.058.3-0.158231053001.74Old School
Wolves421-00596.7+0.025.4+0.1251817121086303.328Wolves
Chiefs2520-01795.9-0.041.6-0.042241776402.22Chiefs 2
BluesBrothers520-01295.3+0.035.7-0.13621141095322.76Blues Brothers
ThornyDevils421-00494.3-0.110.5-0.111161514121097514.435Thorny Devils
Shamrocks421-00494.0+0.015.2-0.11515141411997424.322Shamrocks
LoneWolves421-00192.7-0.08.9-0.0918161411997434.45Lone Wolves
SilverBullets421-00792.6+0.07.7+0.0819181515118624.116Silver Bullets
HagenWYYZ 9-5520-011092.6+10.741.6+18.142251511532.2+0.6921Hagen
Pirates410-02291.1+0.120.8-0.02121201811723.123Pirates
MapleLeafs4120-00690.5-0.937.4+2.637261710732.3+0.033GhilaniElectricMaple Leafs
GhilaniElectric4120-00490.4-0.936.2+2.136261711722.3+0.0225at MapleLeafsGhilani Electric
ProTransmission421-00790.2+0.118.0-0.01824211710633.111Pro Transmission
GVC421-00590.2-0.021.2-0.1211817131110633.59GVC
BeerThrashers421-00289.9+0.021.0-0.0211817131110743.513Beer Thrashers
Rogues421-00389.8+0.019.0-0.1191718151110743.619Rogues
MilwaukeeChargers4120-00289.7-0.125.1+0.225181611109643.41Milwaukee Chargers
ElderSkatesmen421-00489.5+0.117.2+0.2172018141111733.6+0.0118Elder Skatesmen
Chiefs13110-01486.6-0.121.1+0.02121191313853.28Chiefs 1
Jackals311-01-186.3+0.16.1-0.06101110131411111045.439Jackals
Beastmode311-01-286.3-0.06.8+0.07101110131311121045.444Beastmode
MorleysDog311-01-185.5-0.13.2-0.0391217141615955.134Morleys Dog
YYZLHagen 5-9421-00083.5-7.019.7-21.0202622161162.9-0.6210YYZ
Mermen2111-00080.4+0.13.6+0.04912131414141555.338Mermen
ThirstyTurtles311-01-279.7-0.012.7+0.11313111515131284.346Thirsty Turtles
Phoenix311-01-579.6-0.19.5-0.11012121615141374.545Phoenix
StevenSeagals311-01079.3-0.04.0-0.04162118211474.025Steven Seagals
Hellfish2111-00078.7+0.15.4+0.15911121414131395.352Hellfish
GoldenSeals311-10078.1+0.09.3+0.09131316151212104.536Golden Seals
BeerCats311-01478.0-0.03.9+0.14172118191394.014Beer Cats
MightyGoats311-01-278.0-0.010.0+0.01013121515131394.537Mighty Goats
PondScum201-02-777.7+0.06.3+0.06810111314141575.451Pond Scum
2ndShift2111-00-375.5-0.111.2+0.011141518171684.0422nd Shift
Mulligans2111-00074.7-0.211.0+0.0111315181713124.030Mulligans
WolverinesWIceDogs 5-2311-01273.6+17.510.8+5.1111823222063.4+0.6630Wolverines
WildTurkeysLNorthernLights 7-8311-01071.2-12.310.8-9.81117212219103.5-0.6043Wild Turkeys
NEProgeny212-00-1170.8-0.11.0+0.014691112141415146.729NE Progeny
JustTheTip212-00-370.0+0.02.1-0.02579911131415156.7-0.0140Just The Tip
Fireballs212-00-170.0-0.11.8+0.124691011141515156.824Fireballs
Meatballsat DragonSlayers2111-00268.4-0.514.4+1.11416182017143.550Meatballs
StevesPizza2111-00-267.6-1.412.5+0.61217201918153.6-0.0420at WinterhawksSteves Pizza
Eagles212-00-464.0-0.15.1-0.1581010151619175.3-0.0159Eagles
Blazers212-00-163.0-0.13.4-0.1371012141617205.425Blazers
Brewers201-02-162.9-0.14.7+0.0571010141718195.457Brewers
Misfits1101-01-162.5-0.22.1+0.02461010131818196.4-0.0161Misfits
Renegades212-00162.2-0.02.4-0.0261012141717215.517Renegades
ShootinBlanks212-00-1159.2+0.12.2-0.02612192024174.932Shootin Blanks
Lux212-00-457.9+0.13.4-0.03711162125174.955Lux
NorthernLightsWWildTurkeys 8-7212-00-654.3+15.34.2+2.0411172225204.1+0.5015Northern Lights
Winterhawks1101-01-351.8-0.68.1+0.7810151824244.1-0.0149StevesPizzaWinterhawks
UnionTavern1101-01-245.4+0.22.2+0.124610101420346.2+0.0156Union Tavern
Bulls102-01-242.7+0.11.4-0.01359111422366.354Bulls
OrangeCrush0102-00-439.1-0.10.5-0.0157121424375.547Orange Crush
Hogs0102-00-537.3+0.11.3+0.0146111525375.658Hogs
DragonSlayersMeatballs0102-00-736.0-1.13.7+0.547101626384.7-0.0233Dragon Slayers
Spartans003-00-635.8+0.10.0-0.000124791221448.647Spartans
AlbinoRhinos0102-00-335.4-0.12.9346101319455.760Albino Rhinos
LordStanleysCup003-00-826.0+0.0No002571221538.041Lord Stanleys Cup
IceDogsLWolverines 2-5003-00-619.9-18.80.5-1.90251222585.3-0.6153Ice Dogs

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/14
IceDogs 2 Wolverines 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Wolverines+20.2
+4.1
+0.7
IceDogs-19.8
-2.1
-0.6
Lux 5 Mulligans 7
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mulligans+19.0
+5.7
+0.8
Lux-17.3
-6.9
-0.8
Eagles 4 UnionTavern 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Eagles+19.4
+1.5
+0.8
UnionTavern-18.5
-3.7
-0.9
Pirates 5 Hogs 3
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Pirates+16.0
+7.5
+0.8
Hogs-17.9
-4.3
-0.8
MorleysDog 1 Hellfish 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks+2.7
MorleysDog+17.6
+2.1
+1.0
Hellfish-10.1
-8.4
-1.0
Renegades 5 MightyGoats 2
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers-0.9
+2.3
MightyGoats-9.1
-9.1
-0.8
Renegades+16.9
+1.6
+0.7
Warhawks 3 LordStanleysCup 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks+4.2
+13.7
+0.9
SilverBullets+2.4
-2.0
Mermen+1.3
-3.3
LordStanleysCup-16.6
No
-0.8
NorthernLights 8 WildTurkeys 7
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs-0.8
+2.9
GhilaniElectric-0.9
+3.1
WildTurkeys-12.2
-9.4
-0.6
NorthernLights+16.4
+2.3
+0.5
BeerCats 6 2ndShift 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool-0.8
+3.3
BeerCats+16.4
+4.2
+0.7
2ndShift-11.0
-10.5
-0.8
Blazers 5 ThirstyTurtles 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers-0.5
+3.1
ThirstyTurtles-8.9
-9.2
-0.8
Blazers+16.3
+1.4
+0.7
ProTransmission 8 ShootinBlanks 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ProTransmission+15.4
+7.2
+0.9
ShootinBlanks-15.6
-6.5
-0.9
JustTheTip 3 Shamrocks 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques-0.5
+3.1
Shamrocks-3.9
-12.3
-0.9
NEProgeny-2.4
JustTheTip+16.1
+1.4
+0.9
Nordiques 3 Spartans 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques+3.1
+12.0
+0.9
Shamrocks+0.5
-3.1
Spartans-15.2
-1.0
-0.9
PondScum 1 SilverBullets 8
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SilverBullets+13.6
+6.0
+1.2
PondScum-10.5
-9.4
-1.1
ThornyDevils 7 Fireballs 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThornyDevils+10.9
+5.8
+1.2
Fireballs-11.6
-5.2
-1.2
NEProgeny 2 LoneWolves 8
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
LoneWolves+11.2
+4.8
+1.2
NEProgeny-11.2
-4.7
-1.2
GoldenSeals 0 GVC 3
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC+11.4
+8.4
+0.9
GoldenSeals-8.1
-10.3
-0.9
Rogues 6 Phoenix 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rogues+11.4
+6.7
+0.9
Phoenix-8.4
-10.2
-0.9
BeerThrashers 5 MilwaukeeChargers 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers-4.5
-16.6
-0.8
MilwaukeeChargers+10.8
+10.3
+0.9
GoldenSeals-0.5
+3.4
Hagen 9 YYZ 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen+10.8
+18.3
+0.7
YYZ-7.2
-20.9
-0.6
Wolves 2 Mermen 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Wolves+8.2
+10.4
+1.0
Mermen-8.3
-9.1
-1.0
OldSchool 3 StevenSeagals 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool+5.1
+21.3
+0.7
StevenSeagals-8.8
-18.3
-0.9
BeerCats+0.6
-2.7
ElderSkatesmen 2 BluesBrothers 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers+7.3
+13.8
+0.9
ElderSkatesmen-4.0
-17.4
-0.8
Chiefs1 3 Chiefs2 3 (ot)
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs2+1.8
+0.1
ProTransmission+0.9
Chiefs1+1.6
-3.0
ShootinBlanks+0.8
Bulls 3 Brewers 3 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewers+2.1
-0.9
Bulls-1.6
Jackals 2 Beastmode 2 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Jackals+1.5
-1.2
Beastmode+1.6
-1.6
-0.0
DragonSlayers vs MeatballsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Meatballs50.272.185.7
6.3*14.322.6
4.23.42.9
DragonSlayers55.633.917.0
7.23.10.3
4.04.75.3
Winterhawks vs StevesPizzaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza51.269.783.8
4.811.620.4
4.23.52.9
Winterhawks70.7*51.433.0
13.86.62.7
3.54.24.8
MapleLeafs vs GhilaniElectricHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs97.192.483.5
61.7*37.013.2
1.72.33.0
GhilaniElectric83.491.997.1
12.633.160.5
3.02.41.7
Week of 10/21
Renegades vs BrewersIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewers40.8*62.485.3
0.43.69.2
6.55.54.3
Renegades83.1*62.441.2
5.01.50.1
4.55.56.5
OrangeCrush vs HogsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OrangeCrush60.540.917.3
1.20.1No
4.85.56.3
Hogs16.135.958.7
0.00.22.9
6.45.74.8
Misfits vs LordStanleysCupHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Misfits82.865.541.5
4.41.50.0
5.36.37.4
LordStanleysCup7.323.245.2
8.78.27.3
IceDogs vs NorthernLightsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NorthernLights32.758.575.0
0.73.97.9
4.94.03.5
IceDogs36.914.64.2
1.10.0No
4.75.45.8
Spartans vs NEProgenyHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NEProgeny51.973.489.2
0.00.52.2
7.96.75.6
Spartans55.932.316.6
0.0*NoNo
7.78.89.3
BeerCats vs StevenSeagalsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevenSeagals61.780.596.6
0.12.08.3
5.04.13.1
BeerCats96.079.359.8
8.21.90.0
3.04.05.1
Winterhawks vs StevesPizzaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza51.269.083.9
4.611.520.6
4.23.62.9
Winterhawks70.5*51.333.2
13.86.62.7
3.54.24.8
ProTransmission vs AlbinoRhinosHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs296.795.495.3
37.444.645.1
2.32.22.2
ProTransmission99.793.480.1
30.614.66.2
2.33.03.9
ShootinBlanks62.3*58.656.2
1.12.63.2
AlbinoRhinos16.4*34.954.5
No1.56.0
6.45.74.9
UnionTavern vs BeerThrashersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers80.992.398.4
9.6*20.832.5
4.43.32.6
UnionTavern63.5*45.127.3
4.70.50.0
5.36.37.0
Chiefs1 vs ShootinBlanksHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs296.696.695.1
35.843.246.9
2.32.22.2
Chiefs197.389.875.2
33.319.99.2
2.43.14.1
ShootinBlanks41.1*58.677.3
0.00.34.8
5.65.04.1
Rogues vs BullsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers96.0*95.294.7
32.836.538.5
Rogues98.592.780.3
29.7*18.68.3
2.73.44.5
Bulls24.7*42.260.9
No0.23.1
7.16.45.5
ThirstyTurtles vs GoldenSealsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThirstyTurtles94.483.164.3
22.511.63.2
3.24.35.4
GoldenSeals63.081.592.3
1.27.018.0
5.64.43.4
Eagles vs GVCHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC81.092.398.9
8.5*21.033.8
4.43.32.5
Eagles82.162.446.2
10.52.50.2
4.35.56.3
Blazers vs MilwaukeeChargersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC89.1*90.091.4
25.522.516.6
3.43.43.5
BeerThrashers88.7*89.991.1
25.322.116.6
3.43.53.5
MilwaukeeChargers80.391.498.8
10.822.539.9
4.43.32.4
Blazers80.462.145.8
7.02.20.1
4.55.56.4
Mermen vs HellfishHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mermen93.881.866.8
7.12.50.4
4.25.36.3
Hellfish63.482.493.3
0.83.610.4
6.55.34.1
LoneWolves vs JustTheTipHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
LoneWolves99.594.585.6
16.27.52.1
3.24.35.6
JustTheTip53.670.886.2
0.00.64.4
7.96.85.4
YYZ vs MeatballsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ95.785.870.9
33.916.86.1
2.22.93.6
Meatballs52.669.783.9
3.513.325.6
4.33.52.8
MapleLeafs vs WildTurkeysHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs97.893.382.6
53.338.221.4
1.72.22.9
GhilaniElectric91.290.089.7
32.837.439.3
WildTurkeys55.670.387.0
1.37.421.0
4.23.62.8
NorthernLights58.4*54.450.3
3.45.05.0
4.14.14.2
2ndShift vs PiratesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool99.399.899.9
60.464.054.9
1.71.71.8
Pirates81.295.9100.0
5.617.436.7
4.03.02.1
2ndShift90.2*75.161.0
22.17.21.2
3.04.14.9
Hagen vs DragonSlayersHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen99.394.385.4
58.042.325.1
1.72.12.8
YYZ85.683.081.6
13.518.726.0
2.92.92.8
StevesPizza69.5*67.565.9
9.213.015.7
DragonSlayers21.434.751.0
0.32.67.4
5.24.84.1
Nordiques vs FireballsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NordiquesIn100.099.3
64.3*46.930.9
1.62.23.1
ThornyDevils95.7*94.193.1
6.8*10.614.2
LoneWolves93.3*92.992.1
5.09.712.7
Fireballs55.271.684.3
No0.43.9
7.86.85.7
Spartans38.8*35.532.9
No*0.0*0.0
8.58.68.6
ElderSkatesmen vs MightyGoatsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rogues90.2*89.689.3
16.020.621.6
ElderSkatesmen97.691.081.0
29.614.35.5
2.63.54.6
MightyGoats64.080.991.4
1.77.218.9
5.54.53.4
Wolverines vs GhilaniElectricHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs89.5*90.791.5
40.838.833.8
GhilaniElectric82.392.898.0
20.5*36.051.8
2.92.31.8
Wolverines87.374.559.8
20.88.31.5
2.83.54.1
Wolves vs PondScumHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Wolves100.098.293.0
39.1*25.211.7
2.33.14.3
PondScum64.079.891.1
0.33.413.0
6.45.54.2
MorleysDog vs SilverBulletsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SilverBullets84.895.299.9
1.05.715.0
5.34.13.0
MorleysDog98.3*85.872.5
6.71.10.0
3.95.26.4
Mulligans vs Chiefs2HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs291.199.4In
17.142.665.7
3.12.11.5
ProTransmission88.889.591.9
24.916.311.5
3.13.23.1
Chiefs185.785.987.7
26.022.715.9
Mulligans87.975.861.4
21.68.01.0
3.24.14.9
ShootinBlanks56.457.862.2
3.51.71.0
4.94.94.8
BluesBrothers vs PhoenixHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers99.997.290.3
55.036.816.3
1.82.53.6
ElderSkatesmen90.288.888.9
12.8*16.921.7
Phoenix67.580.591.5
0.55.919.4
5.44.63.5
Jackals vs ThornyDevilsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThornyDevils88.995.899.5
2.78.918.7
5.54.33.3
Jackals96.488.775.8
12.04.90.5
4.25.46.7
Shamrocks vs BeastmodeHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Shamrocks99.496.188.1
25.113.45.6
3.14.15.4
Beastmode75.888.396.2
0.65.713.3
6.75.44.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.