Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change1234567891011Avg.ChangeRPIMonday
Nordiques221101-0231In58.5%+0.15826113100001.63Nordiques
ProTransmission222111-0053100.0%+0.074.2+0.1742141001.34Chiefs2Pro Transmission
Shamrocks2192-0322100.0-0.026.6+0.027382193100002.36at ThornyDevilsShamrocks
Hagen23112-0139100.0+0.092.6-0.093610001.112Hagen
Jackals18183-0212100.0+0.011.9-0.11223321794210003.18JustTheTipJackals
BeerThrashers212101-012999.9-0.078.4-0.17816410001.31BlazersBeer Thrashers
Warhawks18282-021299.9+0.036.9-0.137241711731002.4-0.019PondScumWarhawks
Chiefs218282-022499.8+0.021.4-0.121512161002.25at ProTransmissionChiefs 2
SilverBullets18183-022599.8+0.026.4-0.026262014941002.710Silver Bullets
BluesBrothers1994-011999.5-0.040.5+0.14126171052002.215MightyGoatsBlues Brothers
Hellfish16284-001199.4-0.019.2+0.1192020171382103.216at WolvesHellfish
Wolves16174-021499.3+0.011.3-0.01116192017124103.722HellfishWolves
ThornyDevils15175-01399.2-0.02.3+0.02817272013842104.6-0.0141ShamrocksThorny Devils
MapleLeafsTWildTurkeys 4-4 (ot)2071-061399.0+0.371.5+0.7711773101.4+0.0211Maple Leafs
Brewers1884-02898.7+0.028.6+0.12927191284102.67at PhoenixBrewers
Phoenix1785-01297.9-0.019.5-0.119212117127203.114BrewersPhoenix
Beastmode1466-02-297.8-0.00.3+0.00281822191494205.618Beastmode
MilwaukeeChargers17283-011097.4-0.015.6-0.1164422115212.52at GVCMilwaukee Chargers
Chiefs114264-02897.0+0.03.4+0.032042249213.229Chiefs 1
Spartans1356-03-695.7-0.00.2+0.001512182018137316.246LoneWolvesSpartans
Mermen13254-03195.7+0.04.3+0.1481318212110414.7+0.0119at MisfitsMermen
Pirates15263-03994.9-0.030.9-0.1312418139412.626Pirates
OldSchool14374-00893.8-0.030.9-0.0312318139512.724at BeerCatsOld School
MorleysDog13144-05193.3-0.01.7-0.025915222614615.243LordStanleysCupMorleys Dog
Mulligans12266-00-292.9-0.11.0-0.017254217623.939Mulligans
ElderSkatesmen1565-03092.5+0.06.0-0.161218232014614.138BullsElder Skatesmen
JustTheTip11146-03191.3+0.00.2+0.001371317201811636.8+0.0121at JackalsJust The Tip
DragonSlayers1576-011688.3-0.04.1+0.14432615832.923Dragon Slayers
BeerCats13265-011187.2-0.114.0-0.014182019171023.547OldSchoolBeer Cats
GoldenSeals14165-11386.8-0.03.6+0.1418272315943.732Golden Seals
StevenSeagals13265-01286.5-0.113.6+0.114171919181133.528Steven Seagals
Renegades1477-00786.5+0.13.5+0.048131822211124.744Renegades
Fireballs10158-00-284.6+0.00.0-0.0002510151819151057.440NEProgenyFireballs
IceDogs1576-011083.4+0.012.1-0.3122824191343.0-0.0130Ice Dogs
StevesPizza1466-02-1181.8+0.02.4-0.022730221353.333Steves Pizza
Rogues1367-01-580.0+0.11.7-0.125101521271645.155Rogues
2ndShift12266-00-779.2+0.28.6+0.09131720211654.0+0.0127at OrangeCrush2nd Shift
GVC13155-03478.5+0.11.7+0.02132323181384.220MilwaukeeChargersGVC
Wolverines1466-02373.7+0.27.2-0.072023232073.531Wolverines
NorthernLights1466-02472.9+0.35.7-0.262024242253.517Northern Lights
Misfits8237-02-864.4+0.10.1+0.00124816352696.951MermenMisfits
ShootinBlanks8237-02-2660.5-0.10.1+0.0016173725145.235Shootin Blanks
GhilaniElectric1356-03-660.4-0.13.5-0.1413192529114.0-0.0113Ghilani Electric
YYZat Winterhawks11157-01-1860.1-0.00.5-0.0013212624164.125YYZ
UnionTavern9247-01-847.9-0.12.0-0.0258132135175.234Union Tavern
Blazers10158-00-1146.9+0.10.2+0.0028152226275.437at BeerThrashersBlazers
WinterhawksYYZ10147-02-1446.8-0.10.4+0.008162228264.557Winterhawks
ThirstyTurtles10147-02-1146.0+0.10.1-0.0039142025295.436Thirsty Turtles
Hogs6239-00-2245.9+0.10.00000137122226289.453Hogs
Eagles9247-01-1044.4-0.20.4+0.0038142025305.549Eagles
LoneWolves61310-00-2343.5-0.1No000136122026309.448at SpartansLone Wolves
NEProgeny61310-00-2642.1+0.0No000137111925329.545at FireballsNE Progeny
Bulls1048-02-738.7-0.10.2-0.00125102147146.552at ElderSkatesmenBulls
LordStanleysCup6239-00-2136.8-0.20.0+0.00001382437267.754at MorleysDogLord Stanleys Cup
Lux5229-01-2525.3+0.10.000151934406.159Lux
AlbinoRhinos5229-01-3224.4+0.10.0-0.000151832436.156Albino Rhinos
Meatballs949-01-1223.0+0.20.1+0.00371427505.242Meatballs
PondScum41110-02-3511.4+0.1No00002926638.560at WarhawksPond Scum
WildTurkeysTMapleLeafs 4-4 (ot)839-02-2410.5-0.70.0-0.1013716735.6-0.0250Wild Turkeys
OrangeCrush5229-01-1710.3+0.00.1+0.00013619716.5612ndShiftOrange Crush
MightyGoats6210-02-246.2-0.00.000001416787.758at BluesBrothersMighty Goats

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/13
Wolverines 4 GhilaniElectric 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Wolverines+12.5
+2.6
+0.4
GhilaniElectric-11.5
-3.1
-0.4
BeerCats 2 UnionTavern 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Pirates-0.6
+1.9
BeerCats-5.1
-6.3
-0.4
UnionTavern+10.3
+0.9
+0.3
Eagles 3 MilwaukeeChargers 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers-3.5
MilwaukeeChargers+3.9
+5.2
+0.4
Eagles-10.2
-1.0
-0.4
Bulls 4 BluesBrothers 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers+1.2
+8.4
+0.4
Brewers-4.3
Rogues+3.5
Bulls-10.0
-0.6
-0.4
ThornyDevils 4 Hogs 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThornyDevils+1.3
+1.1
+0.5
Fireballs+2.0
Hogs-9.6
-0.4
LoneWolves+3.1
NEProgeny+2.1
IceDogs 6 NorthernLights 4
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
IceDogs+9.5
+4.1
+0.4
NorthernLights-8.4
-4.5
-0.4
ThirstyTurtles 2 BeerThrashers 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers+7.4
MilwaukeeChargers+0.7
-3.7
GVC+1.9
-0.9
Blazers+2.4
-0.3
ThirstyTurtles-9.5
-1.0
-0.4
Eagles+2.2
-0.5
Spartans 2 NEProgeny 9
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Spartans-2.0
-0.5
-0.5
Hogs-2.6
NEProgeny+9.2
+0.3
Hagen 8 Meatballs 4
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen+4.8
DragonSlayers+2.0
-1.4
StevesPizza+1.3
-2.3
YYZ+2.5
-0.4
Winterhawks+2.7
Meatballs-8.7
-0.4
-0.3
DragonSlayers 10 StevesPizza 3
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
DragonSlayers+8.0
+2.2
+0.4
StevesPizza-6.4
-3.0
-0.4
PondScum*No
Fireballs 7 JustTheTip 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JustTheTip-3.3
-0.4
-0.6
Fireballs+7.9
+0.5
LoneWolves-1.9
Warhawks 3 Misfits 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks+0.4
+8.4
+0.4
SilverBullets-2.8
Misfits-7.9
-0.5
-0.4
LordStanleysCup+3.7
PondScum+2.1
Chiefs2 5 AlbinoRhinos 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ProTransmission-4.9
Chiefs2+0.6
+5.9
+0.2
ShootinBlanks+3.3
Lux+1.9
AlbinoRhinos-7.6
-0.2
Phoenix 4 MightyGoats 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers-1.9
Brewers-2.0
Phoenix+3.2
+5.1
+0.4
MightyGoats-5.5
-0.2
PondScum 0 Hellfish 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks-2.0
Hellfish+1.3
+5.5
+0.4
Misfits+2.0
PondScum-5.5
-0.2
OldSchool 5 2ndShift 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool+4.4
+7.6
+0.4
2ndShift-5.6
-5.9
-0.4
MorleysDog 4 Wolves 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks+2.1
Wolves-0.4
-6.8
-0.5
MorleysDog+4.8
+1.1
+0.5
MapleLeafs 4 WildTurkeys 4 (ot)
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs+0.3
*+0.5
IceDogs*-0.2
WildTurkeys-0.7
Winterhawks 4 Meatballs 4 (ot)
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Winterhawks*+0.1
-0.0
Meatballs-0.7
-0.0
Beastmode 1 Shamrocks 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques-3.3
Shamrocks+7.3
+0.4
Jackals-2.5
Beastmode-0.9
-1.1
-0.5
Nordiques 5 Jackals 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques+14.3
+0.3
Shamrocks-2.3
Jackals-11.5
-0.4
Winterhawks vs YYZIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ46.6*60.273.7
0.2*0.40.8
4.54.13.7
Winterhawks60.5*47.033.1
0.70.20.1
4.14.54.8
Week of 1/21
ShootinBlanks vs AlbinoRhinosIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ShootinBlanks73.5*61.247.4
4.95.25.5
AlbinoRhinos13.123.536.0
6.46.15.8
Fireballs vs NEProgenyHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Fireballs92.485.876.4
6.87.48.0
NEProgeny29.9*41.954.5
9.99.59.0
YYZ vs MeatballsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ71.861.548.2
0.8*0.40.2
3.74.04.4
Meatballs12.620.933.9
5.55.24.8
ElderSkatesmen vs BullsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ElderSkatesmen97.793.787.0
9.05.43.1
3.64.14.6
Rogues82.8*80.277.2
1.5*1.81.9
Bulls27.337.450.5
0.00.10.3
6.86.56.1
Winterhawks vs DragonSlayersHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
DragonSlayers81.589.494.9
2.2*3.96.1
3.32.92.6
Winterhawks57.9*46.135.9
0.70.30.1
4.14.54.8
GhilaniElectric vs WildTurkeysHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GhilaniElectric71.4*60.849.4
5.43.11.7
3.64.04.3
WildTurkeys4.59.216.7
5.85.65.4
GoldenSeals vs EaglesHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GoldenSeals93.688.379.7
5.3*3.41.8
3.33.74.1
Eagles33.7*43.755.3
0.10.30.7
5.85.55.1
Wolverines vs NorthernLightsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Wolverines84.474.562.9
10.96.53.6
3.03.53.9
NorthernLights62.1*73.483.6
2.75.18.8
3.93.53.1
Spartans vs LoneWolvesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Spartans98.796.792.5
0.40.10.1
5.76.26.8
Hogs48.6*45.543.2
LoneWolves33.042.754.1
9.89.59.0
MorleysDog vs LordStanleysCupHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MorleysDog97.794.988.5
2.7*1.50.7
4.85.25.6
Misfits68.3*64.060.6
LordStanleysCup26.635.847.2
8.07.77.4
Nordiques vs HogsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques67.659.349.3
1.51.61.8
Shamrocks21.0*26.232.3
2.4*2.32.2
Jackals9.4*11.714.4
3.2*3.13.1
Hogs35.9*45.955.8
9.79.49.0
LoneWolves46.6*43.840.3
9.4*9.49.5
NEProgeny45.1*42.139.1
9.4*9.59.6
BeerThrashers vs BlazersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers84.779.271.8
1.21.31.4
MilwaukeeChargers97.8*97.297.0
11.5*15.119.8
Blazers37.5*46.756.4
0.00.10.5
5.75.45.1
ThirstyTurtles48.9*45.743.2
5.3*5.45.5
Eagles47.2*44.641.6
5.4*5.55.5
Misfits vs MermenHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mermen92.796.398.5
2.23.86.4
5.24.74.2
Misfits73.6*64.655.2
6.67.07.3
LordStanleysCup33.0*36.640.6
Rogues vs RenegadesHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Renegades79.487.593.3
1.53.15.6
5.24.74.1
Rogues88.180.871.7
2.91.50.6
4.65.15.6
OrangeCrush vs 2ndShiftHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
2ndShift71.380.486.8
5.08.012.2
4.44.03.6
OrangeCrush15.89.15.1
6.46.66.7
Lux vs Chiefs1HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs194.997.799.0
1.93.15.1
3.53.23.0
ShootinBlanks57.6*60.563.5
Lux32.924.517.9
5.96.16.3
GVC vs MilwaukeeChargersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers82.079.074.5
MilwaukeeChargers95.697.899.1
10.215.021.2
2.92.52.2
GVC85.8*78.871.1
3.01.40.5
3.74.24.6
Hagen vs StevesPizzaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
HagenIn*100.0100.0
96.893.988.1
1.01.11.1
StevesPizza75.282.388.2
0.21.54.7
3.63.33.0
MapleLeafs vs IceDogsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs99.799.398.2
83.073.059.7
1.21.41.7
IceDogs77.184.089.7
4.210.220.4
3.43.02.7
BeerCats vs OldSchoolHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool90.594.497.0
20.9*30.940.8
3.12.62.2
BeerCats92.787.881.6
21.213.07.0
3.03.53.9
Pirates vs StevenSeagalsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Pirates97.795.592.1
41.1*30.720.7
2.22.63.0
StevenSeagals81.1*86.991.9
6.912.420.6
4.03.63.1
Warhawks vs PondScumHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks45.6*36.628.4
2.12.42.7
SilverBullets22.7*26.430.1
2.8*2.72.6
PondScum7.010.915.9
8.68.58.3
Jackals vs JustTheTipHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques55.7*58.961.2
1.7*1.61.6
Jackals16.511.47.4
2.73.13.5
JustTheTip87.292.295.2
0.00.10.3
7.46.96.3
BluesBrothers vs MightyGoatsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers99.999.799.2
50.0*40.431.1
1.92.22.5
Brewers24.3*28.732.9
2.72.62.5
Phoenix16.9*19.722.0
3.2*3.13.0
MightyGoats3.05.79.4
7.87.77.6
Phoenix vs BrewersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewers97.899.099.6
17.6*28.139.7
3.12.62.1
Phoenix99.298.296.6
29.218.59.9
2.63.13.6
Wolves vs HellfishHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hellfish99.099.699.8
12.0*18.726.6
3.73.22.7
Wolves99.799.498.8
17.310.65.5
3.23.74.2
ThornyDevils vs ShamrocksHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques63.059.353.8
Shamrocks18.3*26.234.9
2.62.22.0
ThornyDevils99.8*99.398.7
4.21.70.5
4.14.65.1
ProTransmission vs Chiefs2HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ProTransmission87.375.960.7
1.11.31.5
Chiefs29.219.533.9
2.42.21.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.