Valiant Co-Ed League Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												League Champion			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	RPI

SS Balls	9		3	-	0	-	0	16	98.1	%	+3.4	25.0	%	+5.2	25	21	16	13	9	7	5	3	1	0	3.2	+0.64	2	SS Balls

FC United	9		3	-	0	-	0	10	98.0		+3.6	24.3		+5.1	24	20	16	13	10	7	5	3	1	1	3.3	+0.65	1	FC United
Aeros	9		3	-	0	-	0	9	98.0		+3.7	24.3		+5.4	24	20	16	13	10	7	5	3	1	0	3.3	+0.65	6	Aeros
Bayside Tigers	6		2	-	0	-	1	4	92.5		-2.1	9.6		-9.8	10	12	14	14	13	12	10	8	5	2	4.7	-0.76	5	Bayside Tigers
Ball Busters	6		2	-	0	-	1	-2	92.1		+8.6	9.1		+2.0	9	12	13	14	13	12	10	8	5	3	4.8	+0.75	4	Ball Busters
Polar Bears	3		1	-	0	-	2	-4	78.3		+14.2	2.9		+0.7	3	5	7	10	12	13	14	14	12	9	6.3	+0.75	8	Polar Bears
Grass Stains	3		1	-	0	-	2	-5	78.2		-5.1	2.9		-4.1	3	5	7	10	12	13	14	14	13	9	6.3	-0.75	7	Grass Stains
Man Chest Hair	0		0	-	0	-	3	-7	55.4		-9.0	0.7		-1.6	1	2	3	5	7	10	13	16	20	25	7.7	-0.66	3	Man Chest Hair United

Hooligans	0		0	-	0	-	3	-8	55.2		-8.8	0.7		-1.5	1	2	3	5	7	10	12	16	20	25	7.7	-0.64	10	Hooligans
Thunder Down Un	0		0	-	0	-	3	-13	54.2		-8.5	0.6		-1.3	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	16	20	26	7.7	-0.62	9	Thunder Down Under

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 1/28
Polar Bears 2 Thunder Down Un 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	League Champion	100.0*	Average seed
SS Balls	-0.1		-0.1
FC United			-0.1
Aeros	-0.1		-0.1
Bayside Tigers	-0.1		-0.1
Ball Busters	-0.2		-0.1
Polar Bears	+13.0		+1.7		+0.8
Grass Stains	-0.2
Man Chest Hair	-0.2
Hooligans	-0.2
Thunder Down Un	-12.0		-1.2		-0.7

SS Balls 4 Man Chest Hair 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	League Champion	100.0*	Average seed
SS Balls	+3.5		+8.4		+0.8
FC United	+0.4		-1.7
Aeros	+0.4		-1.6
Bayside Tigers	+0.4		-1.5
Ball Busters	+0.9		-0.7
Polar Bears	+1.3		-0.3
Grass Stains	+0.9		-0.6
Man Chest Hair	-10.4		-1.5		-0.7
Hooligans	+1.3		-0.3
Thunder Down Un	+1.4		-0.2

Aeros 4 Hooligans 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	League Champion	100.0*	Average seed
SS Balls	+0.3		-1.7
FC United	+0.4		-1.4
Aeros	+3.6		+8.3		+0.8
Bayside Tigers	+0.4		-1.6
Ball Busters	+0.9		-0.6
Polar Bears	+1.3		-0.3
Grass Stains	+0.9		-0.7
Man Chest Hair	+1.3		-0.3
Hooligans	-10.4		-1.4		-0.7
Thunder Down Un	+1.3		-0.2

Ball Busters 4 Grass Stains 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	League Champion	100.0*	Average seed
SS Balls			-0.3
FC United			-0.2
Aeros			-0.1
Bayside Tigers	+0.1
Ball Busters	+7.5		+3.7		+0.8
Polar Bears	*-0.1
Grass Stains	-7.1		-2.9		-0.7
Man Chest Hair	-0.2
Hooligans	*-0.1
Thunder Down Un	*-0.1

Bayside Tigers 3 FC United 6
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	League Champion	100.0*	Average seed
SS Balls			-0.6
FC United	+3.3		+9.6		+0.8
Aeros			-0.2
Bayside Tigers	-3.2		-8.2		-0.7
Ball Busters			-0.3
Grass Stains			-0.2
Man Chest Hair			-0.1
Hooligans			-0.1
Thunder Down Un			-0.1

Week of 2/4
Thunder Down Un vs Man Chest HairIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	League Champion	100.0*	Average seed
SS Balls	98.198.298.1		*25.025.224.9
FC United	98.098.198.0
Aeros	98.098.298.0
Bayside Tigers	92.392.892.3
Ball Busters	92.092.592.0
Polar Bears	78.179.178.0
Grass Stains	77.978.977.9
Man Chest Hair	41.953.670.1		0.20.41.3		8.37.86.9
Hooligans	54.856.354.8
Thunder Down Un	68.952.340.8		1.20.40.2		7.07.98.4

Polar Bears vs HooligansHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	League Champion	100.0*	Average seed
SS Balls	98.298.298.0		24.625.325.3
FC United	98.198.197.9		23.924.524.5
Aeros	98.198.197.9		24.024.624.5
Bayside Tigers	92.792.792.1		9.49.79.7
Ball Busters	92.392.491.7		8.99.29.2
Polar Bears	88.977.868.0		5.02.21.3		5.46.47.0
Grass Stains	78.678.677.4		2.8*2.92.9
Man Chest Hair	55.856.154.5
Hooligans	42.653.069.3		0.20.41.3		8.37.86.9
Thunder Down Un	54.755.053.2

SS Balls vs Grass StainsHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	League Champion	100.0*	Average seed
SS Balls	99.698.396.6		35.022.616.6		2.63.33.9
FC United	98.298.097.8		21.725.326.2
Aeros	98.2*98.197.9		21.725.326.2
Bayside Tigers	93.092.691.9		8.510.010.3
Ball Busters	92.692.291.5		7.99.69.9
Polar Bears	79.378.577.1		2.53.03.2
Grass Stains	69.977.087.3		0.92.15.3		7.06.55.5
Man Chest Hair	56.955.553.8		0.60.70.8		7.67.67.7
Hooligans	56.755.553.5		0.60.70.8		7.67.77.7
Thunder Down Un	55.754.452.6		0.50.70.7		7.77.77.8

Ball Busters vs Bayside TigersHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	League Champion	100.0*	Average seed
SS Balls			24.625.824.8
FC United			24.025.323.9
Aeros			24.225.223.8
Bayside Tigers	88.192.396.9		4.98.015.3		5.54.83.9
Ball Busters	96.791.987.6		14.77.54.5		3.94.95.5
Polar Bears			2.93.12.8
Grass Stains			2.83.02.8
Thunder Down Un	54.154.3*54.2

Aeros vs FC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	League Champion	100.0*	Average seed
SS Balls			24.426.924.3
FC United	96.598.199.4		13.922.136.1		4.03.42.6
Aeros	99.498.196.6		36.122.114.0		2.63.44.0
Bayside Tigers			9.310.59.3
Ball Busters			8.99.98.7
Polar Bears			2.73.22.9
Grass Stains			2.73.22.8
Man Chest Hair			0.70.80.6
Hooligans			0.60.80.7
Thunder Down Un			0.60.70.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Andy A for adding this league.