A game can impact your playoff chances (or winning the title chances for sports without playoffs), and it can impact your final seed. I only show the former here, you can see both on a team’s page.
The games are ordered by total impact.
How do I know? First I get a baseline by running the simulation with the current standings. Then, for each upcoming game I:
- Pretend the home team wins 1-0 and run the simulation on the remaining games.
- Pretend the away team wins 1-0 and run the simulation on the remaining games.
- For soccer, pretend the teams draw 0-0 and run the simulation on the remaining games.
- For hockey, pretend each team loses in overtime 0-1 and run the simulation on the remaining games. I’m not yet showing these results here, you can see them on a team’s page.
- Compare each team’s new pretend chance of making the playoffs (and seed) with the actual baseline chance to see how much it goes up or down.