GYSA U16 Athena A Title Chances Fall2016 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed														Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Inter Atlanta F	40	2	8	-	0	-	0	26	88.7	%	+20.7	99.9	%	+10.6	89	11	0										1.1	+0.35	No			1	Inter Atlanta FC 01G Blues Elite
UFA Norcross 01	30	3	6	-	0	-	1	8	10.9		-6.8	63.6		+8.2	11	53	16	11	6	3	0						2.6	+0.05	No			3	UFA Norcross 01G Premier

Ambush SC G01 Red	34		6	-	2	-	2	13	No		-12.9	22.5		-19.5		22	35	31	11	1							3.3	-0.53	No			5	Ambush SC G01 Red
AFC Lightning 0	29	1	5	-	2	-	2	11	No		-0.2	6.3		+1.0		6	25	28	20	14	6						4.3	+0.11	No			4	AFC Lightning 01 Gold
UFA 01G Red	22	3	4	-	1	-	2	2	0.4		+0.1	6.5		+3.7	0	6	13	14	27	21	15	3	1	0			5.0	+0.80	No			2	UFA 01G Red
SSA Savannah Ut	22	2	4	-	1	-	3	0	No		-0.9	0.8		-4.3		1	6	10	20	33	22	6	2	0			5.8	-0.70	No			6	SSA Savannah Utd 01G Premier
ATHENS UNITED 0	20	2	4	-	0	-	4	7	No			0.4		+0.2		0	5	6	16	26	36	8	3	0			6.2	+0.02	No			7	ATHENS UNITED 01 GIRLS GOLD
NTH TopHat 01 W	19		3	-	2	-	5	0	No			No							0	2	14	53	26	5			8.2	-0.05	No			8	NTH TopHat 01 White QP
Impact SC 01G E	17		3	-	1	-	6	-13	No			No								0	4	22	54	20			8.9	-0.03	No			9	Impact SC 01G Elite
CFC Red Star -	5	3	1	-	0	-	6	-11	No			No							0	1	3	7	15	38	22	15	10.1	-0.02	36.7	%	-0.0	11	CFC Red Star - GU16 Elite

SSA Chelsea 01G	10		2	-	0	-	8	-20	No			No												33	46	20	10.9		66.8			10	SSA Chelsea 01G Premier
Concorde Fire C	7		1	-	1	-	8	-23	No			No												3	32	65	11.6		96.5		+0.0	12	Concorde Fire Central Black

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 10/29
Ambush SC G01 Red 0 Inter Atlanta F 2
6:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Inter Atlanta F	+21.2		+10.3				+0.4
UFA Norcross 01	-7.7		+7.8
Ambush SC G01 Red	No		-21.4				-0.6
AFC Lightning 0	No		+2.0				+0.1
UFA 01G Red	-0.2		+0.8
SSA Savannah Ut	-0.3		+0.4
ATHENS UNITED 0			+0.2

UFA 01G Red 2 Ambush SC G01 Red 0
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Inter Atlanta F	+9.0		+2.8
UFA Norcross 01	+1.8		+6.4
Ambush SC G01 Red	-12.6		-17.9				-0.5
AFC Lightning 0	+1.4		+6.1
UFA 01G Red	+0.2		+1.7		No		+0.7
SSA Savannah Ut	+0.2		+0.8
ATHENS UNITED 0							-0.1
NTH TopHat 01 W							-0.2
Impact SC 01G E							-0.1
SSA Chelsea 01G					+0.2
Concorde Fire C					+0.4

UFA Norcross 01 5 AFC Lightning 0 1
2:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Inter Atlanta F	-2.9
UFA Norcross 01	+6.7		+17.6				+0.7
Ambush SC G01 Red	-0.8		-1.1
AFC Lightning 0	-3.0		-16.0				-0.7
SSA Savannah Ut			-0.4

SSA Savannah Ut 0 UFA 01G Red 1
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Inter Atlanta F	+0.2		+0.6
UFA Norcross 01	+0.2		+0.4
Ambush SC G01 Red			+0.5
AFC Lightning 0			-0.2
UFA 01G Red	+0.5		+3.0				+0.8
SSA Savannah Ut	-0.9		-4.4				-0.8

SSA Savannah Ut 3 Impact SC 01G E 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Inter Atlanta F	-0.2		-0.7
UFA Norcross 01			-0.6
Ambush SC G01 Red			-0.7
AFC Lightning 0			-0.3
SSA Savannah Ut	+0.4		+2.4				+0.8
NTH TopHat 01 W							+0.1
Impact SC 01G E							-0.6

NTH TopHat 01 W 1 CFC Red Star - 3
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA 01G Red					+0.2		+0.1
SSA Savannah Ut							+0.1
ATHENS UNITED 0							+0.1
NTH TopHat 01 W							-0.7
Impact SC 01G E							+0.1
CFC Red Star -					-16.3		+0.5
SSA Chelsea 01G					+11.9		-0.2
Concorde Fire C					+4.2		-0.2

Week of 11/5
UFA 01G Red vs UFA Norcross 01If winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Inter Atlanta F	95.392.280.8		99.8YesYes				1.01.11.2
UFA Norcross 01	3.77.819.2		45.555.884.7				3.12.72.0
Ambush SC G01 Red			29.031.912.4				3.33.23.3
AFC Lightning 0			9.18.72.6				4.44.24.2
UFA 01G Red	1.0NoNo		14.32.80.1				4.25.25.8
SSA Savannah Ut			1.30.80.2				5.95.85.7
ATHENS UNITED 0			1.0NoNo				6.36.26.1

Inter Atlanta F vs SSA Savannah UtHomeDrawAway
12:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Inter Atlanta F	96.489.180.9		Yes99.999.8				1.01.11.2
UFA Norcross 01	3.610.518.3		64.064.163.0
Ambush SC G01 Red			22.622.622.3				3.33.33.4
AFC Lightning 0							4.24.34.4
UFA 01G Red	No0.40.8		6.66.66.4				4.95.05.2
SSA Savannah Ut			NoNo1.9				6.55.95.1
ATHENS UNITED 0							6.06.26.4
NTH TopHat 01 W							8.18.28.2

Impact SC 01G E vs Inter Atlanta FHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Inter Atlanta F	80.989.196.3		99.899.9Yes				1.21.11.0
UFA Norcross 01	18.310.53.7						2.52.62.7
UFA 01G Red	0.80.4No
ATHENS UNITED 0							6.36.16.1
NTH TopHat 01 W							8.57.97.9
Impact SC 01G E							8.39.29.4
CFC Red Star -							10.310.110.0

Ambush SC G01 Red vs UFA Norcross 01HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Inter Atlanta F	95.791.880.5		100.099.999.8				1.01.11.2
UFA Norcross 01	3.87.819.1		37.766.788.3				3.32.61.9
Ambush SC G01 Red			50.38.3No				2.63.44.1
AFC Lightning 0			7.111.03.7				4.44.34.2
UFA 01G Red			4.911.56.2				5.15.05.0
SSA Savannah Ut			No2.50.9
ATHENS UNITED 0			NoNo1.0

ATHENS UNITED 0 vs UFA 01G RedHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Inter Atlanta F	89.189.188.2		YesYes99.8
UFA Norcross 01	10.9*10.910.8		65.565.960.9				2.62.52.7
Ambush SC G01 Red			24.523.320.2				3.23.33.4
AFC Lightning 0			6.86.65.6				4.34.24.4
UFA 01G Red	NoNo1.0		1.33.312.9				5.95.14.2
SSA Savannah Ut			0.90.80.6
ATHENS UNITED 0			1.0NoNo				5.46.47.0
NTH TopHat 01 W							8.28.18.1

AFC Lightning 0 vs SSA Savannah UtHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA Norcross 01			61.465.565.1				2.72.52.5
Ambush SC G01 Red			18.125.425.8				3.53.23.2
AFC Lightning 0			14.41.5No				3.44.35.2
UFA 01G Red			5.87.27.0				5.14.95.1
SSA Savannah Ut			NoNo1.9				6.66.04.9
ATHENS UNITED 0							6.16.26.2
NTH TopHat 01 W							8.18.28.2

ATHENS UNITED 0 vs AFC Lightning 0HomeDrawAway
12:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA Norcross 01			65.265.461.3				2.52.52.7
Ambush SC G01 Red			26.025.317.9				3.23.23.5
AFC Lightning 0			No1.514.4				5.14.43.4
UFA 01G Red			7.17.15.7
SSA Savannah Ut							5.85.75.7
ATHENS UNITED 0			1.0NoNo				5.46.36.9
NTH TopHat 01 W							8.38.18.1

CFC Red Star - vs SSA Chelsea 01GHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
NTH TopHat 01 W							8.38.18.1
Impact SC 01G E							9.08.98.7
CFC Red Star -					6.527.970.2		9.410.110.9
SSA Chelsea 01G					98.381.129.8		11.411.010.3
Concorde Fire C					95.290.9Yes		11.511.611.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you CT for adding this league.