GHSA AAA Boys Varsity Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Avg.	Change	RPI

North Murray Hi	27	3	9	-	0	-	1	34	84.0	%	+9.5	63	21	16																		1.5	+0.30	5	North Murray High School Boys Varsity
Coahulla Creek	27	1	9	-	0	-	3	41	64.3		+21.3	26	39	36																		2.1	+0.48	18	Coahulla Creek High School Boys Varsity

Cartersville Hi	27		9	-	0	-	4	20	51.7		-29.9	11	40	48																		2.4	-0.59	3	Cartersville High School Boys Varsity
North Oconee Hi	21	6	7	-	0	-	0	37	Out						46	10	4	6	12	13	7	2	0	0	0							6.1	+2.19	2	North Oconee High School Boys Varsity
Savannah Arts A	21	6	7	-	0	-	0	47	Out						3	19	34	28	13	3	0	0	0									6.4	+2.92	7	Savannah Arts Academy Boys Varsity
Oconee County H	18	7	6	-	0	-	0	31	Out						24	7	5	7	10	12	10	6	3	2	4	5	4	2	0	0	0	8.5	-0.06	4	Oconee County High School Boys Varsity
West Hall High	18	6	6	-	0	-	1	20	Out		-0.4				12	15	4	4	9	12	11	8	5	2	3	5	5	3	1	0	0	9.1	-2.16	6	West Hall High School Boys Varsity
East Jackson Co	18	5	6	-	0	-	2	-2	Out						7	16	7	2	5	12	15	11	5	1	1	4	6	5	2	0	0	9.6	-0.31	16	East Jackson Comprehensive HS Boys Varsity
Islands High Sc	18	6	6	-	0	-	1	41	Out						2	9	13	11	6	5	7	8	11	12	9	4	1	0	0	0		9.8		20	Islands High School Boys Varsity
St. Pius X Boys	18	7	6	-	0	-	0	38	Out						1	7	12	12	9	7	6	5	7	11	12	8	3	0	0	0		10.1	-0.03	10	St. Pius X Boys Varsity
North Hall High	18	4	6	-	0	-	3	31	Out						1	4	8	12	11	8	7	6	6	9	12	10	5	1	0	0	0	10.6	-0.08	22	North Hall High School Boys Varsity
Woodward Academ	18	7	6	-	0	-	0	27	Out						0	2	7	12	12	8	6	6	6	9	12	12	6	2	0	0	0	11.0	-0.09	10	Woodward Academy Boys Varsity
Peach County Hi	18	6	6	-	0	-	1	42	Out										0	2	9	23	32	23	9	2	0	0				12.0	-0.29	23	Peach County High School Boys Varsity
Sonoraville Hig	15	2	5	-	0	-	6	7	Out		-0.5				5	8	3	2	5	9	11	9	5	2	3	7	10	9	4	1	8	12.4	-2.85	36	Sonoraville High School Boys Varsity
Dawson County H	15	7	5	-	0	-	1	19	Out						0	1	3	4	5	5	5	6	5	7	9	11	10	7	3	1	18	14.7	+3.06	1	Dawson County High School Boys Varsity
Callaway High S	15	6	5	-	0	-	2	22	Out										0	0	1	3	8	12	11	7	6	6	4	2	40	17.6	-0.27	8	Callaway High School Boys Varsity
Dodge County Hi	15	6	5	-	0	-	2	-2	Out												0	0	0	2	6	12	16	13	7	2	42	19.1	-0.21	19	Dodge County High School Boys Varsity
Ringgold High S	12	4	4	-	0	-	5	-10	Out						0	0	0	1	2	3	4	4	3	2	3	6	10	11	8	3	42	19.2	+3.11	21	Ringgold High School Boys Varsity
Central High Sc	15	7	5	-	0	-	1	28	Out																0	0	1	7	19	29	43	19.3	-0.12	14	Central High School Boys Varsity
Buford High Sch	15	6	5	-	0	-	2	17	Out																		0	0	1	5	94	21.6	-0.46	13	Buford High School Boys Varsity
Jackson County	12	8	4	-	0	-	1	9	Out										0	0	1	2	3	4	4	3	4	5	4	2	67	21.8	-3.78	15	Jackson County High School Boys Varsity
Gordon Central	9	4	3	-	0	-	6	-20	Out						0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	1	2	3	6	8	6	3	63	23.0	-0.35	43	Gordon Central High School Boys Varsity
Chapel Hill Hig	12	7	4	-	0	-	2	22	Out																0	0	1	5	10	11	73	23.4	-0.14	30	Chapel Hill High School Boys Varsity
Cross Keys High	12	6	4	-	0	-	3	20	Out																0	0	1	4	9	11	74	23.6	+3.41	37	Cross Keys High School Boys Varsity
East Hall High	12	5	4	-	0	-	4	16	Out																0	0	1	3	6	8	81	24.0	+3.33	35	East Hall High School Boys Varsity
Blessed Trinity	12	7	4	-	0	-	2	15	Out																	0	0	2	5	7	85	24.3	-0.36	9	Blessed Trinity High School Boys Varsity
Pike County Hig	12	6	4	-	0	-	3	13	Out																0	0	0	2	4	6	88	24.6	-0.39	28	Pike County High School Boys Varsity
Rockmart High S	9	8	3	-	0	-	2	9	Out																0	0	1	3	4	3	89	27.8	-0.28	49	Rockmart High School Boys Varsity
Thomson High Sc	9	7	3	-	0	-	3	2	Out																	0	0	1	2	3	95	28.4	-0.30	39	Thomson High School Boys Varsity
Lakeview-Ft Ogl	9	1	3	-	0	-	9	-23	Out																		0	0	0	0	100	29.9	-3.82	46	Lakeview-Ft Oglethorpe High School Boys Varsity
White County Hi	9	3	3	-	0	-	7	-29	Out																			0	0	0	100	30.2	-0.44	33	White County High School Boys Varsity
Hart County Hig	9	5	3	-	0	-	5	-9	Out																						100	31.9	-0.22	31	Hart County High School Boys Varsity
Elbert County H	6	6	2	-	0	-	5	-15	Out																0	0	0	0	1	1	98	32.2	-0.18	40	Elbert County High School Boys Varsity
Morgan County H	9	5	3	-	0	-	5	-20	Out																						100	32.7	-0.24	12	Morgan County High School Boys Varsity
Washington Coun	6	8	2	-	0	-	3	1	Out																						100	36.8	+0.17	41	Washington County High School Boys Varsity
Southeast Bullo	3	11	1	-	0	-	1	5	Out																						100	37.1	+0.21	17	Southeast Bulloch High School Boys Varsity
Douglass High S	6	8	2	-	0	-	3	-5	Out																						100	37.2	+0.22	45	Douglass High School Boys Varsity
Henry County Hi	6	9	2	-	0	-	2	-5	Out																						100	37.3	+0.23	50	Henry County High School Boys Varsity
Jefferson Count	3	9	1	-	0	-	3	-8	Out																						100	40.2	+0.44	44	Jefferson County High School Boys Varsity
Jackson High Sc	3	10	1	-	0	-	2	-8	Out																						100	40.3	+0.43	54	Jackson High School Boys Varsity
Decatur High Sc	3	7	1	-	0	-	5	-20	Out																						100	41.4	+0.49	32	Decatur High School Boys Varsity
Adairsville Hig	3	3	1	-	0	-	9	-52	Out																						100	42.4	+0.55	47	Adairsville High School Boys Varsity
Franklin County	3	6	1	-	0	-	6	-18	Out																						100	43.7	+0.58	38	Franklin County High School Boys Varsity
Central Macon H	3	7	1	-	0	-	5	-23	Out																						100	44.2	+0.62	48	Central Macon High School Boys Varsity
McNair High Sch	0	10	0	-	0	-	3	-30	Out																						100	45.2	+0.49	29	McNair High School Boys Varsity
Towers High Sch	3	7	1	-	0	-	5	-18	Out																						100	46.4	-2.65	42	Towers High School Boys Varsity
Cedar Grove Hig	0	9	0	-	0	-	4	-32	Out																						100	48.6	+0.50	34	Cedar Grove High School Boys Varsity
Fannin County H	3	6	1	-	0	-	6	-36	Out																						100	49.3	+0.42	51	Fannin County High School Boys Varsity
Banks County Hi	0	3	0	-	0	-	10	-42	Out																						100	49.5	-3.37	56	Banks County High School Boys Varsity
Pierce County H	0	11	0	-	0	-	2	-2	Out																						100	49.9	-2.96	24	Pierce County High School Boys Varsity
Carver High Sch	0	9	0	-	0	-	4	-15	Out																						100	50.8	+0.50	57	Carver High School Boys Varsity
Brantley County	0	11	0	-	0	-	2	-19	Out																						100	51.2	+0.48	24	Brantley County High School Boys Varsity
Johnson High Sc	0	11	0	-	0	-	2	-21	Out																						100	51.5	+0.45	24	Johnson High School Boys Varsity
Maynard Jackson	0	7	0	-	0	-	6	-37	Out																						100	52.9	+0.30	55	Maynard Jackson High School Boys Varsity
Haralson County	0	13	0	-	0	-	0	0	Out																						100	53.1	+0.35	58	Haralson County High School Boys Varsity
B.E.S.T Academy	0	8	0	-	0	-	5	-43	Out																						100	53.5	+0.28	53	B.E.S.T Academy High School Boys Varsity
Coretta Scott K	0	13	0	-	0	-	0	0	Out																						100	54.1	+0.35	58	Coretta Scott King YWLA Boys Varsity
Beach High Scho	0	11	0	-	0	-	2	-20	Out																						100	55.5	+0.09	24	Beach High School Boys Varsity
Savannah High S	0	10	0	-	0	-	3	-30	Out																						100	57.2	+0.06	52	Savannah High School Boys Varsity

Week of 2/6
East Jackson Co 3 White County Hi 2
7:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
North Murray Hi	+0.3
Coahulla Creek	+0.4
Cartersville Hi	+0.4
East Jackson Co	+1.7		+4.4
Sonoraville Hig	+0.4
Ringgold High S	+0.1
Gordon Central	+0.3
Lakeview-Ft Ogl	+0.3
White County Hi	-4.4		-3.1
Elbert County H	+0.1
Adairsville Hig	+0.2
Banks County Hi	+0.1

Banks County Hi 0 East Hall High 5
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
North Murray Hi	+0.4
Coahulla Creek	+0.4
Cartersville Hi	+0.5
St. Pius X Boys			*-0.0
Sonoraville Hig	+0.5
Ringgold High S	+0.4
Jackson County			*-0.1
Gordon Central	+0.4
East Hall High	+0.7		+4.9
Blessed Trinity			-0.1
Lakeview-Ft Ogl	+0.5
Morgan County H			-0.1
Adairsville Hig	+0.2
Franklin County			-0.1
Central Macon H			*-0.1
Fannin County H			*-0.0
Banks County Hi	-4.4		-3.1

Pike County Hig 2 Morgan County H 3
7:30 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pike County Hig	-0.1		-4.9
Morgan County H	+0.7		+4.9
Adairsville Hig	*-0.2

Morgan County H 3 Pike County Hig 2
7:30 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
East Jackson Co			*-0.0
Buford High Sch			*-0.0
Pike County Hig	-0.1		-4.9
Morgan County H	+0.7		+4.9

Week of 2/17
East Jackson Co 2 Banks County Hi 1
7:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
East Jackson Co	+2.9		+3.9
Banks County Hi	-2.7		-3.6

White County Hi 0 North Hall High 10
5:30 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Coahulla Creek	*+0.1
Cartersville Hi	*+0.2
North Hall High	+1.7		+4.4
Sonoraville Hig	*+0.2
Lakeview-Ft Ogl	*+0.1
White County Hi	-2.7		-3.6

North Hall High 10 White County Hi 0
5:30 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Coahulla Creek	+0.2
North Hall High	+1.7		+4.4
White County Hi	-2.7		-3.6

Central Macon H 4 Dodge County Hi 5
7:30 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dodge County Hi	+0.2		+5.3
Lakeview-Ft Ogl			*-0.0
Morgan County H			*-0.0
Southeast Bullo			*+0.0
Central Macon H	Out		-5.0

McNair High Sch vs Cedar Grove HigIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hart County Hig			31.931.831.9
Morgan County H			32.832.732.7
Washington Coun			36.936.736.8
Southeast Bullo			37.237.137.1
Douglass High S			37.337.137.1
Henry County Hi			37.437.237.3
Jefferson Count			40.340.140.2
Adairsville Hig			42.542.242.4
Franklin County			43.843.643.7
Central Macon H			44.344.144.3
McNair High Sch			41.245.049.3
Towers High Sch			46.346.546.4
Cedar Grove Hig			53.348.144.1
Fannin County H			49.249.249.3
Banks County Hi			49.449.449.5
Pierce County H			49.850.150.0
Carver High Sch			50.751.050.9
Brantley County			51.151.451.3
Johnson High Sc			51.451.651.5
Maynard Jackson			52.953.052.9
Haralson County			52.953.353.1
B.E.S.T Academy			53.453.653.6
Coretta Scott K			53.954.354.1
Beach High Scho			55.355.755.6
Savannah High S			57.057.457.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

GHSA AAA Boys Varsity Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

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