D2 AA 2018 Title Chances 2018Summer 50/50

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title											Div 1			Chance will finish season at seed												Div 3
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

BSP	45		15	-	0	-	2	46	Yes		Yes			100										1.0		No			1	BSP
Phenix	33		11	-	0	-	6	4	No		53.7	%	-26.3		54	46								2.5	-0.26	No			2	Phenix

HSC	31	1	10	-	1	-	5	15	No		46.3		+26.3		46	54								2.5	+0.26	No			3	HSC
Royal Beauport	23		7	-	2	-	8	-15	No		No						46	16	21	14	3			5.1	+1.13	No		-5.9	4	Royal Beauport
CRSA	22		7	-	1	-	9	-2	No		No						15	32	22	21	11			5.8	-0.22	No			6	CRSA
TroisRivieres	22		7	-	1	-	9	-3	No		No						27	16	19	25	13			5.8	+0.83	No		-11.6	7	TroisRivieres
ChauOuest	21		6	-	3	-	8	1	No		No						4	21	21	22	30	1		6.6	-1.26	1.3	%	+0.8	5	ChauOuest
Charlesbourg	19	1	5	-	4	-	7	-2	No		No						8	15	17	17	19	24		7.0	+0.70	24.0		-21.4	8	Charlesbourg

LevisEst	18		6	-	0	-	11	-15	No		No									2	23	75		8.7	-1.13	74.7		+38.1	9	LevisEst
LacBeauport	12		4	-	0	-	13	-29	No		No												100	10.0	-0.05	Yes			10	LacBeauport

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 6/12
TroisRivieres 3 Charlesbourg 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
BSP	+0.6		+0.3
Phenix			+0.2		+0.4
HSC			+0.2		+0.5
Royal Beauport			+0.2		+0.3
CRSA					+0.6
TroisRivieres	+2.7		+6.2		-8.9		+0.8
ChauOuest					+0.6
Charlesbourg	-3.9		-7.7		+5.9		-0.7
LevisEst			+0.3		+0.2
LacBeauport			+0.2		+0.5

HSC 4 LacBeauport 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
BSP	-0.2
HSC	+2.3		+5.3		-9.9		+0.8
Royal Beauport			-0.2		+0.3
CRSA					+0.2
ChauOuest					+0.2
Charlesbourg			*-0.1
LacBeauport	-2.1		-4.9		+9.0		-0.7

Charlesbourg 1 ChauOuest 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
BSP	+0.9		+0.7
Phenix	+0.2		+0.4		-0.3
HSC			+0.3		-0.3
Royal Beauport	+0.2		+0.5		-0.2
CRSA			+0.2		-0.4
TroisRivieres			+0.4		-0.3
ChauOuest	-0.5		-1.2		+1.9		-0.2
Charlesbourg	-1.4		-2.3		+0.2		-0.1
LevisEst	+0.3		+0.7		-0.2
LacBeauport			+0.3		-0.3

Week of 6/19
LevisEst 3 TroisRivieres 7
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
BSP	+0.4		*+0.1
Phenix			*+0.1		+0.3
HSC			+0.1		+0.2
Royal Beauport			+0.2		+0.2
CRSA					+0.3
TroisRivieres	+4.0		+8.4		-7.1		+0.8
ChauOuest					+0.4
Charlesbourg					+0.3
LevisEst	-4.7		-9.1		+4.9		-0.7
LacBeauport					+0.4

TroisRivieres 3 HSC 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
BSP	-0.5		-0.3
Phenix			-0.3
HSC	-2.9		-6.6		+7.3		-0.7
TroisRivieres	+3.9		+8.0		-7.3		+0.8
Charlesbourg			-0.2
LevisEst			-0.2

Charlesbourg 3 Phenix 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
BSP	+0.2
Phenix	-3.2		-6.9		+7.0		-0.7
Royal Beauport					+0.2
CRSA					+0.3
ChauOuest					+0.3
Charlesbourg	+2.9		+6.9		-8.4		+0.8
LacBeauport					+0.2

Royal Beauport 0 CRSA 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
BSP	+0.5		+0.3
Phenix			+0.2		+0.4
HSC			+0.2		+0.4
Royal Beauport	-2.7		-6.1		+7.8		-0.7
CRSA	+1.7		+4.4		-11.1		+0.8
TroisRivieres			+0.3		+0.4
ChauOuest					+0.7
Charlesbourg			+0.2		+0.5
LevisEst			+0.3		+0.3
LacBeauport					+0.6

LacBeauport 0 ChauOuest 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
HSC					+0.2
Royal Beauport					+0.2
CRSA					+0.3
TroisRivieres					+0.2
ChauOuest	+1.0		+3.1		-12.8		+0.8
Charlesbourg					+0.2
LacBeauport	-1.2		-3.4		+11.3		-0.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Alex Soulard for adding this league.