National Football League 5 Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	D	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI

Dallas	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	11	63.0	%	+0.9	13	12	13	14	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	5.8	+0.07	9	Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	18	61.0		+0.2	13	12	12	11	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	5.9	+0.01	21	Green Bay Packers
Arizona	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	37	57.7		+0.1	13	11	9	7	9	8	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	6.2	+0.01	21	Arizona Cardinals
Atlanta	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	6	56.6		+0.2	13	10	7	5	12	9	8	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	6.3	+0.01	9	Atlanta Falcons
Cincinnati	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	25	56.3		+0.0	13	11	10	7	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	6.3	+0.01	2	Cincinnati Bengals
Denver	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	13	56.3		+0.1	13	11	9	7	9	8	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	6.3	+0.01	8	Denver Broncos
New England	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	15	55.0		-0.1	14	9	7	4	12	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	6.5	-0.01	1	New England Patriots
NY Jets	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	34	54.0		+0.1	13	9	6	4	12	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	6.5	+0.01	5	New York Jets
Carolina	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	18	53.7		+0.1	12	10	8	6	10	8	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	2	6.7	-0.01	5	Carolina Panthers
Jacksonville	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-8	40.7		-0.2	5	7	8	12	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	8.2	-0.02	7	Jacksonville Jaguars
Minnesota	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-7	39.5		+0.1	5	6	7	9	6	6	6	6	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5	8.2	+0.01	31	Minnesota Vikings
Tennessee	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	14	39.3		+0.2	4	6	8	14	3	4	4	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	8.5	+0.01	12	Tennessee Titans
San Francisco	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-8	38.5		+0.2	6	6	6	5	8	7	8	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	8.2	+0.01	16	San Francisco 49ers
St. Louis	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-11	38.0		+0.2	5	6	7	7	6	7	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	8.3		30	St. Louis Rams
Tampa Bay	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-21	37.4		+0.1	6	6	5	4	9	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	4	8.3	-0.02	27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cleveland	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-7	34.9		+0.0	5	6	7	6	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	8.6	+0.01	4	Cleveland Browns
Oakland	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-16	34.5		-0.1	5	6	6	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	8.7		14	Oakland Raiders
Pittsburgh	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	18	34.1		+0.1	4	6	7	7	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	8.8	+0.02	3	Pittsburgh Steelers
San Diego	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	0	33.3		+0.1	4	5	6	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	8.9	+0.01	16	San Diego Chargers
Kansas City	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	0	33.0		-0.0	5	5	5	3	8	7	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	8.8	-0.01	16	Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	5	32.6		-0.1	5	5	4	2	9	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	8.8	-0.01	14	Buffalo Bills
Miami	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	4	32.4		-0.0	5	5	4	4	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	9.0		20	Miami Dolphins
Washington		1	-	0	-	2	.333	-4	29.0		-10.7	3	4	5	6	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	9.3	-1.16	26	Washington Redskins
NY Giants		1	-	0	-	2	.333	6	28.1		+8.2	2	4	5	6	5	6	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	9.5	+1.13	13	New York Giants
Houston	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-14	23.4		+0.0	2	3	5	8	2	3	4	5	5	6	7	8	8	9	11	13	10.4	+0.01	23	Houston Texans
Indianapolis	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-26	22.0		+0.1	1	3	5	9	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	15	10.7		23	Indianapolis Colts
Detroit	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-15	20.7		-0.0	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	10	12	10.5	-0.03	32	Detroit Lions
Philadelphia	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-12	20.1		+0.5	1	2	3	5	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	12	10.6	+0.01	11	Philadelphia Eagles
Chicago	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-33	19.7		-0.1	1	2	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	12	10.7	-0.04	16	Chicago Bears
Seattle	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-13	19.0		+0.1	2	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	12	10.7	-0.01	27	Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-10	18.4		-0.1	1	3	4	4	3	4	4	5	6	7	7	8	9	10	12	14	10.9	-0.02	23	Baltimore Ravens
New Orleans	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-19	18.1		+0.1	2	2	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	12	10.8	-0.01	27	New Orleans Saints

Week of 9/24
NY Giants 32 Washington 21
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	+0.8		+0.1
Washington	-10.9		-1.2
NY Giants	+8.3		+1.1
Philadelphia	+0.4		+0.0
Chicago			-0.0

Green Bay vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	68.8*61.753.2		5.1*5.96.7
Denver	57.4*55.455.1		6.2*6.46.4
Minnesota	37.6*37.441.5		8.4*8.48.1
Kansas City	25.4*33.840.5		9.6*8.77.9
Detroit	19.6*20.321.9		10.610.510.4
Chicago	18.6*21.720.9		10.810.510.6

St. Louis vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona	56.4*58.558.9		6.3*6.26.1
Cincinnati	57.7*57.054.9		6.2*6.26.4
San Francisco	37.2*41.239.8		8.3*8.08.1
St. Louis	45.8*35.930.1		7.58.49.2
Pittsburgh	26.9*33.241.4		9.7*8.88.0

Minnesota vs San DiegoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	59.3*62.562.7		6.1*5.85.8
Denver	57.5*57.055.0		6.2*6.36.4
Minnesota	47.4*38.531.7		7.4*8.39.1
San Diego	26.0*33.340.6		9.88.88.1

Detroit vs DenverHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	59.8*61.262.2		6.0*5.85.8
Denver	48.2*54.964.3		7.1*6.45.5
Oakland	35.8*34.533.1		8.58.68.8
San Diego	34.529.732.1		8.8*9.19.0
Kansas City	34.3*32.531.7		8.7*8.88.9
Detroit	26.6*20.314.9		9.7*10.611.3

New England vs JacksonvilleHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	65.0*52.945.0		5.5*6.67.5
Jacksonville	31.5*39.649.9		9.3*8.47.1
Tennessee	41.0*39.037.7		8.4*8.68.7
Houston	24.5*23.622.2		10.4*10.510.5

NY Jets vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	64.2*64.161.7		5.7*5.75.9
New England	53.9*54.856.1		6.6*6.56.4
NY Jets	62.1*54.445.9		5.8*6.57.3
Philadelphia	14.2*21.125.9		11.5*10.59.8

Dallas vs AtlantaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	72.4*60.353.6		4.86.06.8
Atlanta	46.8*58.266.5		7.3*6.25.3
NY Giants	26.9*29.029.2		9.6*9.59.4

Houston vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	57.9*58.755.4		6.2*6.26.4
Carolina	55.0*53.952.4		6.6*6.76.8
Jacksonville	39.5*40.941.9		8.3*8.28.1
Tennessee	38.0*41.740.6		8.7*8.38.4
Tampa Bay	29.7*36.445.0		9.18.37.5
Houston	29.220.317.5		9.6*10.711.3

Arizona vs San FranciscoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona	69.4*58.945.9		5.06.27.3
San Francisco	27.2*38.649.9		9.4*8.37.0

Cleveland vs OaklandHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cleveland	44.0*34.525.9		7.5*8.79.7
Oakland	25.2*34.943.6		9.8*8.77.5

Tennessee vs IndianapolisHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tennessee	50.4*40.928.3		7.3*8.39.8
Indianapolis	12.9*21.131.0		11.9*10.89.5

Baltimore vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cincinnati	45.1*57.167.4		7.46.35.2
Baltimore	26.3*18.610.4		9.710.812.1

Miami vs BuffaloHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo	22.2*33.342.9		10.08.87.7
Miami	42.5*30.522.2		7.89.110.2

Carolina vs New OrleansHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	64.5*56.742.9		5.66.27.8
New Orleans	10.2*16.925.9		11.910.79.6

Seattle vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	12.9*20.126.6		11.8*10.59.6
Seattle	25.7*18.812.2		9.6*10.611.8

Week of 10/1
Denver vs MinnesotaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	62.7*60.359.2		5.8*6.06.1
Denver	64.3*54.148.2		5.5*6.47.1
Minnesota	31.6*39.147.5		9.1*8.27.4
Oakland	33.3*35.435.6		8.8*8.68.6
San Diego	32.0*31.634.6		9.0*9.18.8
Kansas City	31.8*35.334.1		8.98.68.7

Buffalo vs NY GiantsHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	64.5*62.161.4		5.7*5.85.9
Buffalo	40.0*35.525.1		8.08.69.6
Washington	30.3*30.727.7		9.2*9.29.4
NY Giants	20.9*26.635.2		10.4*9.58.6

Atlanta vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	64.8*56.348.5		5.5*6.37.1
Carolina	52.3*52.755.1		6.9*6.86.6
Jacksonville	42.0*40.739.5		8.1*8.38.3
Tennessee	40.6*40.538.0		8.4*8.38.7
Tampa Bay	36.2*36.838.5		8.4*8.48.2
Houston	17.4*22.829.3		11.310.69.6

Chicago vs OaklandHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Denver	57.4*56.455.1		6.2*6.36.4
Oakland	27.0*33.841.9		9.5*8.77.8
Chicago	25.4*18.414.1		9.9*10.711.5

San Francisco vs Green BayHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	51.5*60.470.5		6.9*6.04.9
Minnesota	40.9*38.038.2		8.2*8.48.3
San Francisco	48.0*36.429.1		7.1*8.49.3

Cincinnati vs Kansas CityHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cincinnati	65.9*56.146.6		5.3*6.37.3
Kansas City	23.7*34.342.3		9.98.77.7

Arizona vs St. LouisHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona	69.4*58.745.9		5.0*6.27.3
St. Louis	26.2*35.849.8		9.6*8.57.1

Tampa Bay vs CarolinaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	42.2*55.065.1		7.96.55.6
Tampa Bay	48.6*34.526.2		7.1*8.69.5

San Diego vs ClevelandHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cleveland	25.7*35.444.2		9.7*8.57.5
San Diego	42.3*32.824.3		7.88.810.0

Miami vs NY JetsHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Jets	42.4*54.865.7		7.7*6.65.4
Miami	42.8*32.021.9		7.88.910.2

Indianapolis vs JacksonvilleHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville	29.4*39.152.1		9.4*8.46.9
Indianapolis	31.1*21.212.8		9.5*10.811.9

New Orleans vs DallasHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	53.8*61.572.1		6.85.94.8
Washington	30.2*29.027.8		9.2*9.39.3
NY Giants	29.4*27.826.7		9.4*9.59.6
New Orleans	24.8*17.911.3		9.7*10.811.8

Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh	44.1*35.324.1		7.68.610.0
Baltimore	10.6*18.126.1		12.0*10.99.8

Washington vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Washington	38.8*27.419.2		8.1*9.410.5
Philadelphia	11.8*19.628.3		11.8*10.69.5

Seattle vs DetroitHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit	13.8*20.827.7		11.6*10.69.4
Seattle	25.7*18.812.3		9.6*10.711.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

National Football League 5 Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Big Games