"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
6/21PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPISunday
BotafogoLCuiaba 0-1248-0-31024.3%-4.374.8%-4.8241612976543322211100004.6-0.531.0%+0.51at PalmeirasBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
FlamengoWBragantino 1-0227-1-31115.9+5.964.4+9.8161311987655433222111005.7+1.062.2-1.37at SantosClube de Regatas do Flamengo
PalmeirasLBahia 0-1226-4-11314.9-3.162.6-6.1151311987655443322111005.9-0.672.5+1.02BotafogoSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-MGTFluminense 1-1195-4-267.2-0.145.8-1.9788887766555443322117.9-0.286.2+1.14at FortalezaClube Atletico Mineiro
FluminenseTAtletico-MG 1-1185-3-355.9-0.240.9-2.0677777766655544332218.5-0.317.9+1.43BahiaFluminense Football Club
Sao PauloWAthletico-PR 2-1185-3-355.8+2.440.9+8.9677777766655544332218.5+1.117.8-3.211at CruzeiroSao Paulo Futebol Clube
GremioLAmerica-MG 0-1175-2-4-24.6-1.336.0-6.7566677666665554433219.1-0.919.9+3.35CoritibaGremio Football Porto Alegrense
FortalezaWCruzeiro 1-0174-5-254.3+1.834.5+8.2456666666666555443219.3+1.1010.6-3.96Atletico-MGFortaleza Esporte Clube
Athletico-PRLSao Paulo 1-2165-1-503.6-1.131.7-6.4455666666666555544329.7-0.9412.2+4.010CorinthiansClub Athletico Paranaense
CuiabaWBotafogo 1-0154-3-4-42.5+1.125.7+6.73445556666666665554310.6+1.0516.1-4.88at VascoCuiaba Esporte Clube
CruzeiroLFortaleza 0-1144-2-532.0-0.722.2-5.62344555566666666655311.2-1.0119.1+5.613Sao PauloCruzeiro Esporte Clube
InternacionalLCoritiba 0-1144-2-5-42.0-0.722.1-5.62344555566666666655311.2-1.0019.3+5.718at America-MGSport Club Internacional
BragantinoLFlamengo 0-1143-5-301.8-0.720.7-5.52334455566666666665411.5-1.0220.6+6.012GoiasRed Bull Bragantino
SantosLCorinthians 0-2133-4-4-11.4-0.517.5-5.01233445556666777776512.1-1.0324.3+6.816FlamengoSantos Futebol Clube
BahiaWPalmeiras 1-0123-3-5-41.0+0.514.6+4.41223344455666777787612.7+0.9328.4-6.317at FluminenseEsporte Clube Bahia
CorinthiansWSantos 2-0123-3-5-41.0+0.514.5+4.41223344455666777777612.7+0.9328.5-6.39at Athletico-PRSport Club Corinthians Paulista
GoiasWVasco 1-0113-2-6-80.7+0.411.9+3.71122334445566778889813.3+0.9033.0-6.615at BragantinoGoias Esporte Clube
America-MGWGremio 1-0113-2-6-100.7+0.411.9+3.71122334445566778889813.3+0.8933.0-6.514InternacionalAmerica Futebol Clube-MG
CoritibaWInternacional 1-071-4-6-110.2+0.14.1+1.50011112223345568911152115.9+0.6456.4-6.420at GremioCoritiba Football Club
VascoLGoias 0-161-3-7-100.1-0.13.2-1.60001111222334567912162516.3-0.9161.2+9.919CuiabaClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/21
Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-5.6
-5.5
+0.4
-0.6
Flamengo+0.6
Palmeiras+1.0
Atletico-MG+0.5
+0.2
Fluminense+0.4
+0.2
Gremio+0.3
+0.2
Athletico-PR+0.4
+0.2
Cuiaba+0.9
+6.3
-6.1
+1.1
Santos+0.4
Bahia+0.4
Corinthians+0.5
Goias+0.5
America-MG+0.5
Coritiba+0.5
Vasco+0.6
Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+1.1
Flamengo+0.4
Palmeiras-4.2
-6.8
+0.8
-0.7
Atletico-MG+0.4
+0.2
Fluminense+0.3
+0.2
+0.2
Gremio+0.3
+0.2
Cuiaba+0.5
Cruzeiro+0.2
+0.2
+0.4
Internacional+0.4
Bragantino+0.4
Santos+0.2
+0.5
Bahia+0.4
+4.2
-7.9
+1.0
Corinthians+0.7
Goias+0.6
America-MG+0.7
Coritiba+0.6
Vasco+0.7
Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-0.7
Flamengo+3.7
+9.1
-1.7
+1.0
Palmeiras-0.5
Sao Paulo-0.3
Bragantino-1.0
-6.4
+4.2
-1.0
Gremio 0 America-MG 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.4
Flamengo+0.2
+0.3
Palmeiras+0.3
+0.3
Atletico-MG+0.2
+0.4
Fluminense+0.2
+0.3
Gremio-1.9
-7.3
+2.6
-0.9
Athletico-PR+0.2
+0.2
Cuiaba+0.5
Bahia+0.6
Corinthians+0.6
Goias+0.6
America-MG+0.3
+3.6
-8.4
+1.0
Coritiba+0.5
Vasco+0.6
Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+1.7
+8.4
-4.1
+1.1
Athletico-PR-1.7
-7.4
+2.9
-0.9
Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.5
+0.2
Atletico-MG-0.9
-2.2
+0.4
-0.2
Fluminense-0.9
-2.4
+0.5
-0.3
Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza+1.2
+7.5
-4.9
+1.1
Cruzeiro-1.1
-6.4
+4.2
-1.0
Coritiba 1 Internacional 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.3
Palmeiras+0.3
Atletico-MG+0.4
Fluminense+0.4
Gremio+0.4
Fortaleza+0.2
+0.3
Athletico-PR+0.4
+0.2
Internacional-1.0
-6.0
+4.4
-0.9
Bragantino+0.3
+0.2
Bahia+0.4
Corinthians+0.5
Goias+0.4
Coritiba+1.4
-8.6
+0.8
Vasco+0.4
Santos 0 Corinthians 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-0.8
-5.5
+5.2
-1.0
Corinthians+0.3
+4.1
-8.3
+1.1
Vasco 0 Goias 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias+0.3
+3.5
-8.9
+1.0
Vasco-1.8
+7.7
-0.8
Week of 6/25
Palmeiras vs BotafogoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo18.022.531.7
68.573.382.1
1.61.10.5
5.34.83.8
Flamengo16.016.715.3
64.264.8*64.4
Palmeiras20.713.510.0
71.460.555.1
1.22.63.6
5.06.26.8
Santos vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo25.124.723.2
*74.975.174.6
Flamengo11.814.321.1
57.262.573.0
3.32.31.0
6.56.04.8
Palmeiras15.415.214.2
*62.762.962.3
Santos2.21.10.7
23.615.612.5
17.425.930.2
10.912.413.0
Coritiba56.9*56.356.0
Fortaleza vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG4.96.310.2
38.043.555.2
8.66.63.5
8.88.16.8
Fortaleza6.33.62.6
43.232.327.2
6.611.214.2
8.29.610.3
Fluminense vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense8.45.03.9
49.838.633.5
4.68.310.9
7.38.79.4
Bahia0.50.81.6
10.112.920.1
34.930.320.8
13.613.011.5
Cruzeiro vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo3.95.08.4
33.438.550.0
10.78.44.5
9.48.77.3
Cruzeiro3.11.61.2
29.320.116.4
13.120.424.3
10.011.512.2
Gremio vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo15.616.116.2
63.9*64.564.9
Gremio6.73.83.0
44.533.629.1
5.910.513.5
8.09.410.1
Coritiba0.10.10.3
2.43.46.2
63.958.847.4
16.616.115.0
Athletico-PR vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR5.33.02.3
40.029.424.9
7.513.016.3
8.510.010.7
Corinthians0.50.81.6
10.112.819.9
35.030.220.8
13.613.011.6
Vasco vs CuiabaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba1.62.03.8
19.923.433.1
21.117.110.5
11.610.99.4
Vasco0.20.10.0
4.82.61.8
52.263.768.5
15.516.617.0
America-MG vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional1.21.63.0
16.520.128.9
24.920.412.9
12.211.510.0
America-MG1.20.60.4
16.610.48.1
24.734.840.1
12.213.614.2
Bragantino vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino2.71.41.0
27.318.715.3
14.021.726.3
10.311.812.4
Goias0.40.61.2
8.210.416.7
40.034.824.7
14.213.612.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you mva87 for adding this league.