Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI5/4
Ceara00-0-005.0%30.0%5555555555555555555510.520.0%1at Sport RecifeCeara Sporting Club
Fortaleza00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01Athletico-PRFortaleza Esporte Clube
Fluminense00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01at GremioFluminense Football Club
Botafogo00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01BahiaBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Coritiba00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01InternacionalCoritiba Football Club
Vasco da Gama00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01at PalmeirasClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Flamengo00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01Atletico-MGClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Palmeiras00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01Vasco da GamaSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Sport Recife00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01CearaSport Club do Recife
Internacional00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01at CoritibaSport Club Internacional
Goias00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01Sao PauloGoias Esporte Clube
Athletico-PR00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01at FortalezaClube Athletico Paranaense
Atletico-GO00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01at CorinthiansAtletico Clube Goianiense
Bragantino00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01at SantosClube Atletico Bragantino
Bahia00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01at BotafogoEsporte Clube Bahia
Atletico-MG00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01at FlamengoClube Atletico Mineiro
Sao Paulo00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01at GoiasSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Gremio00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01FluminenseGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Santos00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01BragantinoSantos Futebol Clube
Corinthians00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.11Atletico-GOSport Club Corinthians Paulista

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/4
Botafogo vs BahiaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo7.04.43.4
37.028.124.3
14.621.124.7
9.410.811.4
Atletico-GO*5.05.14.9
*30.030.229.9
Bahia3.44.47.0
24.328.036.9
24.721.114.6
11.410.89.4
Gremio*30.030.229.9
Santos29.930.2*29.9
20.119.9*20.0
Corinthians*5.05.14.9
*29.930.329.9
Coritiba vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara29.930.3*30.0
Fortaleza29.930.3*30.0
20.119.8*20.0
Fluminense29.930.3*29.9
Coritiba7.04.33.4
36.928.124.4
14.621.124.6
9.410.811.4
Flamengo29.930.3*29.9
Palmeiras*29.930.329.9
Internacional3.44.37.0
24.328.136.9
24.721.114.6
11.410.89.4
Gremio*30.030.229.9
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza7.04.43.4
36.928.124.4
14.621.124.6
9.410.811.4
Coritiba29.930.3*30.0
Athletico-PR3.44.47.0
24.328.136.9
24.721.114.6
11.410.89.4
Bahia*29.930.229.9
Corinthians*29.930.229.9
Santos vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino3.54.47.0
24.328.136.8
24.621.114.6
11.410.89.4
Gremio29.930.3*29.9
Santos7.04.43.4
36.928.024.3
14.621.124.7
9.410.811.4
Goias vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza29.930.3*30.0
Vasco da Gama*30.030.329.9
Goias7.04.43.4
36.928.024.3
14.621.124.6
9.410.811.4
Sao Paulo3.44.47.0
24.328.136.9
24.721.214.7
11.410.89.4
Gremio29.930.3*29.9
Sport Recife vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara3.44.47.0
24.428.137.0
24.621.114.6
11.410.89.4
Sport Recife7.04.43.4
36.928.124.3
14.621.124.7
9.410.811.4
Internacional*30.030.329.9
Goias*29.930.229.8
Gremio*29.930.329.9
Corinthians vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza*30.030.329.9
Atletico-GO3.44.37.0
24.328.136.9
24.621.214.6
11.410.89.4
Santos*5.05.14.9
29.830.3*29.9
Corinthians6.94.43.4
36.928.124.3
14.621.224.7
9.410.811.4
Flamengo vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba*30.030.329.9
Flamengo6.94.43.4
36.928.124.3
14.621.124.7
9.410.811.4
Sport Recife29.930.3*29.9
Internacional*30.030.329.9
Atletico-MG3.44.47.0
24.328.136.9
24.721.214.6
11.410.89.4
Palmeiras vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense*30.030.329.9
Vasco da Gama3.54.47.0
24.428.136.9
24.621.114.6
11.410.89.4
Palmeiras7.04.33.5
36.928.124.3
14.621.124.7
9.410.811.4
Atletico-MG*29.930.329.9
Gremio vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense3.44.47.0
24.328.136.9
24.621.114.6
11.410.89.4
Botafogo29.930.3*30.0
Vasco da Gama29.930.3*30.0
Atletico-GO29.930.2*30.0
Atletico-MG29.930.2*30.0
Gremio7.04.43.4
36.928.124.3
14.621.224.7
9.410.811.4
Week of 5/11
Bragantino vs BotafogoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo3.54.37.0
24.328.136.9
24.621.214.6
11.410.89.4
Vasco da Gama29.930.3*30.0
Sport Recife29.930.3*30.0
Bragantino7.04.43.4
36.828.024.3
14.621.124.6
9.410.811.4
Fluminense vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza29.930.3*29.9
Fluminense7.04.43.4
36.928.024.4
14.621.224.6
9.410.811.4
Vasco da Gama29.930.3*30.0
Palmeiras3.44.47.0
24.428.236.8
24.721.114.6
11.410.89.4
Internacional*20.019.820.1
Santos*5.05.14.9
*29.930.229.9
Atletico-MG vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras29.930.3*29.9
Sport Recife*29.930.329.9
20.119.9*20.0
Bragantino5.05.1*5.0
29.830.2*29.9
Atletico-MG7.04.43.4
36.928.224.3
14.721.124.7
9.410.811.4
Corinthians3.44.36.9
24.428.136.8
24.721.214.7
11.410.89.4
Bahia vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense5.05.1*5.0
29.930.3*29.9
Coritiba3.44.37.0
24.328.136.9
24.721.114.6
11.410.89.4
Atletico-GO*29.930.329.9
Bahia7.04.43.5
36.828.124.3
14.621.124.7
9.410.811.4
Atletico-MG*30.030.229.8
*20.019.920.1
Vasco da Gama vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense*29.930.329.9
Vasco da Gama7.04.43.4
36.928.124.4
14.621.124.6
9.410.811.4
Sport Recife3.44.47.0
24.328.036.9
24.621.214.6
11.410.89.4
Goias*29.930.329.9
Bragantino5.05.1*5.0
*29.930.329.9
Bahia*29.930.329.9
Ceara vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara7.04.43.4
36.928.124.3
14.621.124.6
9.410.811.4
Goias*5.05.15.0
29.930.2*29.9
Atletico-MG29.930.3*29.9
Gremio3.44.47.0
24.328.136.9
24.721.114.6
11.410.89.4
Corinthians29.930.2*29.9
Internacional vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo*30.030.329.9
Coritiba4.95.1*5.0
29.930.3*30.0
Vasco da Gama*30.030.329.9
Internacional6.94.33.4
36.928.124.3
14.621.124.7
9.410.811.4
Atletico-MG29.930.3*30.0
Santos3.44.47.0
24.328.136.8
24.721.114.6
11.410.89.4
Sao Paulo vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza3.54.46.9
24.428.136.9
24.621.114.6
11.410.89.4
Sport Recife*29.930.329.9
*20.019.820.1
Internacional29.930.3*30.0
Athletico-PR*29.930.229.9
Sao Paulo7.04.43.5
36.928.124.3
14.621.224.7
9.410.811.4
Atletico-GO vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba29.930.3*30.0
Vasco da Gama29.930.3*30.0
20.119.8*20.0
Flamengo3.54.37.0
24.328.036.9
24.721.114.6
11.410.89.4
Atletico-GO7.04.43.4
36.928.124.3
14.621.124.7
9.410.811.4
Athletico-PR vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba*30.030.329.9
Goias3.54.37.0
24.328.036.9
24.621.114.6
11.410.89.4
Athletico-PR7.04.43.4
36.928.024.3
14.621.224.6
9.410.811.4
Gremio29.930.3*29.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.