Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI11/27
Flamengo8125-6-34399.7%-0.2Yes10001.0No1CearaClube de Regatas do Flamengo
PalmeirasWGremio 1-07120-11-3280.3+0.2Yes088122.1+0.17No2at FluminenseSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
SantosTCruzeiro 0-06619-9-620NoYes128802.9-0.14No3at FortalezaSantos Futebol Clube
GremioLPalmeiras 0-15616-8-1021No92.5%-1.7053241561004.8-0.15No7at Athletico-PRGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Athletico-PRTAtletico-MG 0-05415-9-1014No78.2+3.002330261560005.5+0.12No8GremioClube Athletico Paranaense
Sao PauloTCeara 0-05414-12-89No71.5+2.31828261891005.8+0.12No5Vasco da GamaSao Paulo Futebol Clube
InternacionalTFortaleza 0-05114-9-115No33.8-0.7412182828820007.0+0.06No6GoiasSport Club Internacional
CorinthiansTBotafogo 0-05112-15-77No23.4-1.8271528351031007.3+0.02No4AvaiSport Club Corinthians Paulista
BahiaTGoias 0-04511-12-112No0.3-0.500272521171410300010.4-0.020.0%-0.09Atletico-MGEsporte Clube Bahia
GoiasTBahia 0-04412-8-14-16No0.2-0.400151822201712410010.8-0.010.0-0.011at InternacionalGoias Esporte Clube
Vasco da Gama4411-11-12-6No0.2+0.100141620211813510011.0+0.230.0-0.010at Sao PauloClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
FortalezaTInternacional 0-04312-7-15-1No0.0-0.200031518191915731011.3-0.010.1-0.213SantosFortaleza Esporte Clube
Atletico-MGTAthletico-PR 0-04211-9-14-5No0.0-0.1000271217192113621012.1-0.020.5-0.512at BahiaClube Atletico Mineiro
BotafogoTCorinthians 0-03711-4-19-13NoNo012510212221171014.9-0.0518.7-1.115at ChapecoenseBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
CearaTSao Paulo 0-03710-7-17-1NoNo00249202223191015.1-0.0820.6-0.917at FlamengoCeara Sporting Club
CruzeiroTSantos 0-0377-16-11-10NoNo00126162425224015.4-0.0726.5-0.716CSACruzeiro Esporte Clube
FluminenseTCSA 0-0369-9-16-11NoNo00125111925325015.8-0.0737.2+0.714PalmeirasFluminense Football Club
CSATFluminense 0-0307-9-18-30NoNo001387216018.0-0.0796.4+2.618at CruzeiroCentro Sportivo Alagoano
ChapecoenseTAvai 0-0265-11-18-22NoNo0001680418.9100.0+0.219BotafogoAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
AvaiTChapecoense 0-0193-10-21-34NoNo049620.0-0.04Yes20at CorinthiansAvai Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/23
Palmeiras 1 Gremio 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-0.2
Palmeiras+0.2
Gremio-4.4
-0.3
Sao Paulo+0.9
Internacional+1.3
Corinthians+1.3
Internacional 0 Fortaleza 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.6
Athletico-PR+1.8
Sao Paulo+1.7
Internacional-5.3
Corinthians+1.1
Fortaleza-0.2
Botafogo 0 Corinthians 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.6
Athletico-PR+1.5
Sao Paulo+1.5
Internacional+1.1
Corinthians-4.9
Botafogo+1.7
-0.2
Ceara-0.3
Cruzeiro-0.6
Fluminense-0.6
Ceara 0 Sao Paulo 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.2
Athletico-PR+0.7
Sao Paulo-2.6
Internacional+0.7
Corinthians+1.0
Botafogo-0.3
Ceara+1.9
-0.2
Cruzeiro-0.6
Fluminense-0.8
Atletico-MG 0 Athletico-PR 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.2
Athletico-PR-2.4
Sao Paulo+0.6
Internacional+0.9
Corinthians+0.7
Atletico-MG-0.2
-0.3
Goias 0 Bahia 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia-0.5
-0.1
Goias-0.2
CSA 0 Fluminense 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-1.5
Ceara-1.9
Cruzeiro-1.7
Fluminense+2.6
-0.2
CSA+2.8
Santos 0 Cruzeiro 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-0.4
Ceara-0.6
Cruzeiro+2.2
-0.2
Fluminense-0.8
CSA-0.3
Fluminense vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FlamengoYesYes99.1
PalmeirasNoNo0.9
2.22.12.0
Botafogo24.217.513.9
15.114.914.8
Ceara27.119.015.2
15.315.014.9
Cruzeiro32.525.721.0
15.615.415.3
Fluminense17.641.254.3
15.016.016.3
Flamengo vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FlamengoYes99.799.3
PalmeirasNo0.30.7
Ceara32.722.47.3
15.715.314.3
Cruzeiro22.525.930.9
15.315.415.6
Fluminense32.736.442.2
15.615.715.9
Internacional vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR72.980.082.3
5.75.55.4
Sao Paulo64.973.476.8
5.95.75.7
Internacional52.627.818.8
6.37.17.6
GoiasNo0.00.5
0.00.0No
11.511.09.9
Corinthians vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR72.879.882.5
5.75.55.4
Sao Paulo66.973.075.0
5.95.75.7
Internacional29.535.037.3
7.27.06.8
Corinthians40.518.09.8
6.77.57.9
Athletico-PR vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio84.993.999.3
5.34.74.3
Athletico-PR93.876.363.7
4.85.76.2
Sao Paulo vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR74.378.881.6
5.75.55.4
Sao Paulo87.069.357.3
5.25.96.3
Internacional28.234.239.1
7.17.06.9
Corinthians19.224.327.0
7.47.37.3
Vasco da GamaNoNo0.4
0.00.0No
11.711.210.1
Bahia vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.70.0No
No0.00.0
9.610.611.3
Atletico-MGNoNo0.0
1.10.30.0
13.012.310.9
Fortaleza vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza0.1NoNo
10.411.512.0
Cruzeiro vs CSAHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro9.727.542.6
14.715.616.1
Fluminense43.235.632.3
15.915.715.7
CSA99.898.991.5
18.218.117.7
Chapecoense vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo30.020.36.3
15.615.214.2
Cruzeiro22.525.930.9
15.315.415.6
Fluminense32.736.542.2
15.615.715.9
Chapecoense99.9YesYes
18.718.919.0
Week of 11/30
Palmeiras vs GoiasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo99.1YesYes
Palmeiras0.9NoNo
2.02.12.2
GoiasNo0.00.5
0.00.0No
11.511.09.9
Palmeiras vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo99.1YesYes
Palmeiras0.9NoNo
2.02.12.2
Flamengo vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FlamengoYes99.799.3
PalmeirasNo0.30.7
Sao Paulo vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo92.772.549.6
5.15.86.4
Internacional12.627.159.2
7.77.26.2
Botafogo vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR82.479.972.8
5.45.55.7
Sao Paulo76.873.364.9
5.65.75.9
Internacional18.827.852.6
7.57.26.3
Botafogo6.320.430.0
14.215.215.6
Cruzeiro30.925.922.5
15.615.415.3
Fluminense42.236.532.7
15.915.715.6
Gremio vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio99.494.084.7
4.34.75.3
Sao Paulo55.669.288.7
6.45.95.1
Internacional37.8*33.829.7
6.97.07.1
Ceara vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR82.579.872.8
5.45.55.7
Sao Paulo75.073.066.9
5.75.75.9
Internacional37.335.029.5
6.87.07.2
Corinthians9.818.040.5
7.97.56.7
Ceara7.322.432.8
14.315.315.7
Cruzeiro30.925.922.5
15.615.415.3
Fluminense42.336.232.8
15.915.715.6
Atletico-MG vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR82.579.872.8
5.45.55.7
Sao Paulo75.073.166.9
5.75.75.9
Internacional37.335.029.5
6.97.07.2
Corinthians9.818.040.5
7.97.46.7
Atletico-MG0.0NoNo
0.00.31.1
11.112.312.8
Athletico-PR vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR92.776.065.1
5.05.76.0
Internacional29.234.438.0
7.17.06.9
Corinthians18.624.127.8
7.47.37.2
Ceara vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR65.175.992.7
6.05.75.0
Internacional38.034.529.2
6.97.07.1
Corinthians27.824.118.6
7.27.37.4
Ceara7.322.432.8
14.315.315.7
Cruzeiro30.925.922.5
15.615.415.3
Fluminense42.336.432.7
15.915.715.6
Gremio vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio98.692.786.4
4.44.85.1
Ceara16.620.224.9
14.915.015.3
Cruzeiro41.328.610.3
16.115.614.7
Fluminense31.236.343.8
15.615.715.9
Bahia vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.70.0No
No0.00.0
9.510.611.3
Vasco da GamaNoNo0.4
0.00.0No
11.911.210.0
CSA vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
BahiaNo0.00.7
0.00.0No
11.110.69.7
Goias vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias0.50.0No
No0.00.0
9.811.011.7
FortalezaNoNo0.1
12.211.510.2
Vasco da Gama vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama0.4NoNo
No0.00.0
10.111.211.7
Ceara16.620.224.9
15.015.015.2
Cruzeiro41.428.610.2
16.115.614.7
Fluminense31.236.343.8
15.615.715.9
Fluminense vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FortalezaNoNo0.1
0.20.0No
12.011.410.4
Botafogo24.217.513.9
15.114.914.9
Ceara27.119.015.2
15.215.015.0
Cruzeiro32.525.821.0
15.615.415.3
Fluminense17.641.154.3
15.016.016.4
Atletico-MG vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG0.0NoNo
0.00.11.2
11.012.312.9
Botafogo30.120.46.2
15.615.214.1
Cruzeiro22.525.930.9
15.315.415.6
Fluminense32.836.642.0
15.715.715.9
Avai vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo13.817.524.3
14.814.915.1
Ceara15.219.027.0
14.915.015.2
Cruzeiro21.025.732.5
15.315.415.6
Fluminense54.341.117.6
16.316.015.0
Chapecoense vs CSAHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense99.9YesYes
18.618.919.1
Santos vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
ChapecoenseYesYes99.9
19.018.918.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.