Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678Avg.ChangeRPI
GER93-00-01193.1%+10.493.1%+10.4472314952002.1+0.593Germany
LAT72-00-1478.2+16.878.2+16.820222016138203.1+0.804Latvia
KAZ410-20-0262.0-0.862.0-0.8111618171512833.9-0.081Kazachstan
FIN411-00-1061.1-0.661.1-0.6111517181612733.9-0.052Finland
USA311-01-0347.5-1.847.5-1.8611141619181244.5-0.026United States
NOR311-01-0-148.1-1.348.1-1.3512151718181144.5-0.025Norway
ITA00-03-0-115.0-11.75.0-11.7001371530437.0-0.627Italy
CAN00-03-0-85.0-11.25.0-11.2001371530437.0-0.608Canada

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday, 5/24
LAT 3 ITA 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
GER-0.8
-0.8
-0.1
LAT+17.3
+17.3
+0.9
KAZ-1.0
-1.0
-0.1
FIN-0.6
-0.6
USA-1.0
-1.0
NOR-1.4
-1.4
ITA-11.7
-11.7
-0.7
CAN-0.7
-0.7
GER 3 CAN 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
GER+11.0
+11.0
+0.7
LAT-0.5
-0.5
KAZ+0.4
+0.4
FIN+0.2
+0.2
USA-0.6
-0.6
NOR+0.3
+0.3
ITA+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
CAN-10.8
-10.8
-0.7
Tuesday, 5/25
FIN vs NORIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
GER93.3*93.1*93.193.093.093.0
93.3*93.1*93.193.093.093.0
LAT78.577.977.977.877.778.1
78.577.977.977.877.778.1
KAZ61.561.561.6*62.1*62.062.6
61.561.561.6*62.1*62.062.6
FIN82.570.870.754.053.938.6
82.570.870.754.053.938.6
3.03.63.64.34.34.9
USA47.347.147.247.2*47.447.9
47.347.147.247.2*47.447.9
NOR27.339.639.655.855.869.4
27.339.639.655.855.869.4
5.44.94.94.24.23.6
ITA4.9*5.05.0*5.0*5.05.1
4.9*5.05.0*5.0*5.05.1
CAN4.75.15.05.25.15.2
4.75.15.05.25.15.2
USA vs KAZHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
GER92.992.892.893.093.093.5
92.992.892.893.093.093.5
LAT78.477.877.877.877.878.2
78.477.877.877.877.878.2
KAZ39.955.255.171.571.582.9
39.955.255.171.571.582.9
4.94.34.33.53.52.9
FIN60.960.960.9*61.1*61.061.4
60.960.960.9*61.1*61.061.4
USA69.455.155.138.538.626.1
69.455.155.138.538.626.1
3.64.24.24.94.95.4
ITA5.15.15.25.1*5.04.8
5.15.15.25.1*5.04.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Zbyna-CK for adding this league.