Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change1234567891011121314Avg.ChangeRPI
Babylon7-0-01.000148In1001.01Babylon Panthers
Miller Place6-1-0.85794In1002.02Miller Place Panthers
SWR5-2-0.714125In583383.5-0.253Shoreham-Wading River Wildcats
Glenn4-3-0.57143100.0%+26.7830181916905.3+1.794Glenn Knights
Port Jefferson4-3-0.57131100.0+27.533885232205.4+1.505Port Jefferson Royals
BBP4-3-0.57165100.0+4.081319194206.8-0.369Bayport-Blue Point Phantoms
Mt. Sinai4-3-0.5714093.7-2.7112322221666.3-0.516Mt. Sinai Mustangs
Center Moriches4-3-0.5712756.2-12.46171788447.3-0.368Center Moriches Red Devils
Mercy4-3-0.571-5450.0-15.631319133507.5-0.3711Mercy Monarchs
Hampton Bays2-5-0.286-118Out37441910.8-0.0910Hampton Bays Baymen
Wyandanch2-5-0.286-52Out-1.637253811.0+0.8812Wyandanch Warriors
Amityville2-5-0.286-95Out-26.02531311211.3-1.317Amityville Warriors
Southampton1-6-0.143-95Out128812.9-0.5413Southampton Mariners
GSM0-7-0.000-159Out10014.0-0.3814Greenport-Southold-Mattituck Porters

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/13
Mercy 14 Hampton Bays 7
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BBP+3.1
Center Moriches+1.3
Mercy+18.1
+1.1
Hampton Bays-22.4
-1.1
Glenn 45 Port Jefferson 8
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Glenn+22.7
+1.2
Port Jefferson-16.2
-1.4
Center Moriches-3.0
Mercy-1.8
Mt. Sinai 38 BBP 16
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BBP-15.9
-1.3
Mt. Sinai+16.1
+1.4
Mercy-1.8
Amityville+3.7
+0.2
Babylon 46 Center Moriches 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Babylon+0.4
Glenn+2.7
+0.2
Port Jefferson+2.8
+0.2
Center Moriches-13.3
-1.2
Hampton Bays+3.2
+0.2
Amityville+2.4
GSM 12 Amityville 39
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BBP-2.0
Center Moriches-1.8
Amityville+9.7
+1.1
GSMOut
-0.6
Southampton 8 Wyandanch 42
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Port Jefferson+2.0
Wyandanch+0.2
+0.7
Southampton-4.9
-0.9
Miller Place 21 SWR 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miller PlaceIn
+0.9
SWR-0.6
Week of 10/20
Glenn 41 Amityville 13
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Glenn+26.7
+1.9
Port Jefferson+2.5
BBP+4.0
Mt. Sinai-1.2
-0.3
Center Moriches-1.4
Mercy-3.1
WyandanchOut
AmityvilleOut
-1.4
Mercy 6 BBP 41
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Glenn-1.1
Port Jefferson-0.2
BBP+32.9
+1.6
Mt. Sinai-0.4
Center Moriches-5.0
-0.2
Mercy-18.5
-1.3
Hampton Bays-3.2
Amityville-4.6
-0.2
Center Moriches 48 Hampton Bays 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Port Jefferson-4.0
-0.2
BBP+2.5
Center Moriches+22.3
+1.3
Hampton Bays-22.8
-1.1
Port Jefferson 42 Southampton 13
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SWR-0.2
Port Jefferson+24.5
+1.7
BBP-0.3
Center Moriches-8.4
-0.2
Mercy-9.4
-0.3
WyandanchOut
Amityville-1.8
Southampton-0.6
Miller Place 28 Mt. Sinai 14
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miller Place+0.8
Mt. Sinai-1.1
-1.2
Wyandanch 32 GSM 6
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wyandanch+1.6
+1.0
Amityville-1.6
-0.2
GSM-0.4
SWR 26 Babylon 29
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Babylon+0.4
SWR-0.8
Week of 10/27
Center Moriches vs MercyIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
GlennIn93.2In
5.25.75.4
Port JeffersonIn69.7In
5.66.25.3
BBPIn61.0In
6.87.26.7
Mt. SinaiIn82.487.5
6.26.56.3
Center MorichesIn96.912.5
5.66.58.9
MercyOut96.9In
9.06.56.0
GSM vs Mt. SinaiHomeTieAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
GlennIn*In100.0
5.15.75.5
Port Jefferson5.15.55.7
BBP6.56.47.0
Mt. Sinai87.5InIn
7.46.55.1
Center Moriches62.549.450.0
7.07.17.5
Mercy7.27.27.7
BBP vs Miller PlaceHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Glenn100.0*100.0In
5.65.55.0
BBPIn*In100.0
5.76.57.8
Mt. Sinai87.587.7In
6.66.76.0
Center Moriches62.562.150.0
7.47.07.1
Mercy7.77.37.2
Port Jefferson vs SWRHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SWR4.03.03.0
Glenn100.0*100.0In
5.65.65.1
Port JeffersonIn*In100.0
3.56.57.3
BBP7.16.56.4
Mt. Sinai6.66.15.9
Center Moriches7.57.07.0
Mercy7.77.27.2
Hampton Bays vs GlennHomeTieAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Glenn100.0*InIn
6.66.54.1
Port Jefferson5.25.15.6
BBP6.56.67.0
Mt. Sinai6.06.16.5
Center Moriches7.07.07.5
Mercy7.27.27.7
Hampton Bays10.211.011.4
Wyandanch11.311.010.8
Amityville11.611.111.0
Amityville vs WyandanchHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wyandanch11.711.510.2
Amityville10.510.512.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Luke Millner for adding this league.