GYSA BU13 Classic IV West Title Chances Fall2016 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed															Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Atlanta City -	45	3	9	-	0	-	0	56	51.8	%	-8.2	84.1	%	-3.0	52	32	12	4										1.7	-0.12	No			1	Atlanta City - BU13
SA / CFA Dalton	40	4	8	-	0	-	0	64	36.1		+11.4	68.6		+14.7	36	32	24	8	0									2.0	+0.38	No			3	SA / CFA Dalton 04 Elite

Georgia Storm T	40	3	8	-	0	-	1	33	10.7		-2.3	38.8		-8.9	11	28	42	19	0									2.7	-0.13	No			2	Georgia Storm Troup U13
Oconee FC 04 Red	35	3	7	-	0	-	2	21	1.3		-0.8	8.5		-2.8	1	7	22	65	4	0								3.6	-0.07	No			4	Oconee FC 04 Red
NTH NASA 04 Sel	17	5	3	-	1	-	3	-13	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.1		0	0	3	37	20	16	13	6	2	2	1	0	6.4	+0.11	0.7	%	+0.3	10	NTH NASA 04 Select
All-In FC 04 Bo	22	2	4	-	1	-	5	-10	No			No							19	27	25	19	9	1	0			6.8	-0.44	No			6	All-In FC 04 Boys Blue
SAF 2004 Premier	17	4	3	-	1	-	4	-3	No			No						0	25	22	18	15	10	4	3	2	0	7.0	+0.21	2.0		+1.3	5	SAF 2004 Premier
Concorde Fire C	15	4	3	-	0	-	5	-10	No			No						0	12	19	18	17	17	8	5	3	0	7.7	+0.20	2.9		+1.2	7	Concorde Fire Central Red
Augusta Arsenal	18	2	2	-	4	-	4	-18	No			No							2	10	17	25	22	10	11	3		8.4	-0.03	2.5		+0.4	9	Augusta Arsenal 04 Blue
Atlanta Fire -	19		3	-	2	-	7	-24	No			No										0	13	53	30	4		10.2	+0.76	4.0		-29.5	8	Atlanta Fire - 2004 Silver
SSA Chelsea 04B	10	3	2	-	0	-	7	-33	No			No							0	1	4	7	15	13	26	28	7	10.6	-0.87	34.7		+18.1	11	SSA Chelsea 04B Select Black 1

Ga Revolution 0	5	4	1	-	0	-	7	-28	No			No							0	1	2	3	8	9	18	40	19	11.3	+0.58	59.1		-10.5	12	Ga Revolution 04 Silver
ATHENS UNITED 0	2	3	0	-	1	-	8	-35	No			No											0	1	5	20	74	12.7	-0.59	94.1		+18.7	13	ATHENS UNITED 04 BOYS BLACK

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/10
Georgia Storm T 2 SAF 2004 Premier 0
3:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	-0.4		-0.4
Georgia Storm T	+6.2		+9.8		-4.7		+1.1
SAF 2004 Premier	-4.0		-6.9		+6.9		-1.1

ATHENS UNITED 0 0 SA / CFA Dalton 10
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta City -	-0.5		-0.6
SA / CFA Dalton	+6.2		+9.6		-4.8		+1.1
Georgia Storm T	-0.5		-0.6
Oconee FC 04 Red			-0.3		-0.5
All-In FC 04 Bo	-0.5		-0.6
Concorde Fire C	-0.5		-0.6
Augusta Arsenal			-0.4		-0.5
Atlanta Fire -			-0.3		-0.6
SSA Chelsea 04B					-0.5
ATHENS UNITED 0	-2.3		-4.6		+9.0		-1.1

Concorde Fire C 0 Oconee FC 04 Red 1
4:50 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta City -	+0.4		+0.4
SA / CFA Dalton	+0.3		+0.3
Georgia Storm T	+0.3		+0.3
Oconee FC 04 Red	+2.7		+5.3		-9.3		+1.1
All-In FC 04 Bo	+0.4		+0.5
Concorde Fire C	-5.3		-8.6		+5.0		-1.1
Augusta Arsenal					+0.5
Atlanta Fire -					+0.5
ATHENS UNITED 0					+0.5

Atlanta City - 7 Atlanta Fire - 0
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta City -	+4.4		+7.5		-7.2		+1.1
Atlanta Fire -	-3.9		-6.8		+7.1		-1.1

Augusta Arsenal 0 SA / CFA Dalton 8
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	+4.4		+7.5		-7.2		+1.1
Augusta Arsenal	-4.0		-6.8		+7.1		-1.1

ATHENS UNITED 0 1 All-In FC 04 Bo 7
9:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
All-In FC 04 Bo	+4.4		+7.5		-7.2		+1.1
ATHENS UNITED 0	-3.9		-6.8		+7.1		-1.1

Georgia Storm T 5 Oconee FC 04 Red 2
4:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Georgia Storm T	+4.4		+7.5		-7.2		+1.1
Oconee FC 04 Red	-4.0		-6.8		+7.1		-1.1

Concorde Fire C 4 SSA Chelsea 04B 2
6:20 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Concorde Fire C	+4.4		+7.5		-7.2		+1.1
SSA Chelsea 04B	-3.9		-6.8		+7.1		-1.1

Augusta Arsenal 4 Ga Revolution 0 3
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Augusta Arsenal	+2.5		+5.1		-9.6		+1.1
Ga Revolution 0	-3.7		-6.5		+7.3		-1.1

Week of 9/17
All-In FC 04 Bo 3 Atlanta City - 6
11:45 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta City -	+8.8		+12.5		-2.2		+1.1
SA / CFA Dalton	-0.7		-0.6
Georgia Storm T	-0.6		-0.5
All-In FC 04 Bo	-5.8		-9.1		+4.3		-1.1
Augusta Arsenal	-0.3		-0.4

Georgia Storm T 7 SSA Chelsea 04B 0
2:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta City -	-1.2		-1.4
SA / CFA Dalton	-1.2		-1.4
Georgia Storm T	+7.6		+11.3		-2.6		+1.0
Oconee FC 04 Red	-0.5		-0.8		-0.7
NTH NASA 04 Sel	-0.6		-0.8		-0.7
All-In FC 04 Bo	-0.8		-1.0		-0.5
SAF 2004 Premier	-0.4		-0.6		-1.0
Concorde Fire C	-0.5		-0.7		-0.8
Augusta Arsenal	-0.7		-1.0		-0.4
Atlanta Fire -	-0.4		-0.7		-0.7
SSA Chelsea 04B	-1.0		-2.5		+10.6		-1.0
Ga Revolution 0			-0.3		-1.2
ATHENS UNITED 0					-1.5

Atlanta City - 8 SSA Chelsea 04B 0
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta City -	+6.0		+9.6		-4.8		+1.1
SA / CFA Dalton	-0.8		-0.8
Georgia Storm T	-0.7		-0.7
All-In FC 04 Bo	-0.4		-0.6
SAF 2004 Premier			-0.3		-0.5
Atlanta Fire -			-0.3		-0.5
SSA Chelsea 04B	-2.3		-4.7		+8.9		-1.1
Ga Revolution 0			-0.3		-0.5
ATHENS UNITED 0					-0.6

Augusta Arsenal 4 ATHENS UNITED 0 1
2:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	-0.6		-0.7
Georgia Storm T	-0.4		-0.6
SAF 2004 Premier					-0.5
Augusta Arsenal	+3.5		+6.8		-7.4		+1.2
Atlanta Fire -					-0.5
SSA Chelsea 04B					-0.6
Ga Revolution 0			-0.3		-0.5
ATHENS UNITED 0	-1.0		-2.4		+11.6		-1.0

Oconee FC 04 Red 1 SAF 2004 Premier 0
1:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta City -			-0.4
Georgia Storm T	-0.3		-0.4
Oconee FC 04 Red	+3.5		+6.7		-6.8		+1.2
SAF 2004 Premier	-2.0		-4.3		+8.9		-1.1

Ga Revolution 0 1 Atlanta Fire - 5
2:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta Fire -	+2.4		+4.9		-9.8		+1.1
Ga Revolution 0	-2.2		-4.5		+9.5		-1.1

SA / CFA Dalton vs Ga Revolution 0If winner is:HomeDrawAway
11:11 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta City -	40.955.861.2		81.085.086.9				1.81.61.6
SA / CFA Dalton	51.030.823.3		82.864.855.7				1.72.12.3
Georgia Storm T	7.511.913.5		29.941.446.7				2.82.72.6
Oconee FC 04 Red	0.51.52.0		6.48.710.7				3.73.63.6
NTH NASA 04 Sel			NoNo0.0		0.4*0.71.0
SAF 2004 Premier					1.12.13.0
Concorde Fire C					1.92.64.1		7.67.67.7
Augusta Arsenal					0.81.74.5		8.38.48.5
Atlanta Fire -					1.22.67.4		10.110.210.4
SSA Chelsea 04B					25.632.244.7		10.410.510.7
Ga Revolution 0					76.864.539.3		11.911.610.6
ATHENS UNITED 0					92.393.696.1		12.612.712.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you CT for adding this league.