National Football League Playoff Chances

Philadelphia +10.8, Indianapolis -7.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
9/15GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Houston2-0-01.0002778.8%+1.410.6%+0.2231715126544332211104.2+0.118.570Houston Texans
Carolina2-0-01.0002377.6-0.510.1-0.3221715145544332221104.3-0.068.565Carolina Panthers
Cincinnati2-0-01.0002171.0+0.48.2+0.0181513108765443221104.9+0.042.557Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo2-0-01.0002268.3+0.37.6-0.016141299866543321105.2+0.031.556Buffalo Bills
Denver2-0-01.0001466.8+0.26.1+0.0121314156665544322115.4+0.0318.535Denver Broncos
Arizona2-0-01.0001264.9-0.66.4-0.2161310810876544322115.5-0.067.536Arizona Cardinals
PhiladelphiaWIndianapolis 30-272-0-01.0002062.8+10.86.5+1.8151210810866554332215.8+1.0618.544Philadelphia Eagles
Washington1-1-0.5002050.3-2.25.0-0.4988611987665544327.0-0.2013.555Washington Redskins
San Diego1-1-0.500846.7+0.33.4+0.0579127777766654327.4+0.056.522San Diego Chargers
Seattle1-1-0.5001142.5-0.83.2-0.1666510998776654327.6-0.0711.526Seattle Seahawks
Chicago1-1-0.500542.0-0.53.0-0.167887787776655437.7-0.053.513Chicago Bears
Baltimore1-1-0.5001341.5+0.53.2+0.05665111098876654327.8+0.065.539Baltimore Ravens
Minnesota1-1-0.500541.1-0.52.9-0.167787787776665437.8-0.0518.515Minnesota Vikings
New England1-1-0.5001040.1+0.62.9+0.056659988877655427.9+0.0710.526New England Patriots
Detroit1-1-0.500439.2-0.52.6-0.146895777777765538.1-0.0513.512Detroit Lions
San Francisco1-1-0.500337.4-0.72.4-0.156658888877665438.2-0.0611.508San Francisco 49ers
Tennessee1-1-0.500036.8+1.22.1+0.045669888877765438.3+0.1027.500Tennessee Titans
Dallas1-1-0.500535.9-2.12.4-0.245658877777766548.5-0.1718.515Dallas Cowboys
NY Jets1-1-0.500-230.6+0.41.6+0.034448898888776538.8+0.0627.494New York Jets
Atlanta1-1-0.500-1130.1-0.41.4-0.034466777777777769.2-0.0513.474Tampa BayAtlanta Falcons
Miami1-1-0.500-628.3+0.41.3+0.023338888888876649.1+0.063.484Miami Dolphins
Cleveland1-1-0.500-128.2+0.41.5+0.034447788888877649.2+0.0731.498Cleveland Browns
Green Bay1-1-0.500-1324.4-0.51.1-0.023573556778899989.9-0.0618.470Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh1-1-0.500-1720.6+0.30.8+0.0223356778899998610.0+0.0713.457Pittsburgh Steelers
New Orleans0-2-0.000-517.2-0.30.8-0.0122345566788910111110.8-0.0532.489New Orleans Saints
St. Louis1-1-0.500-2616.7-0.40.5-0.0122345567789101011910.7-0.0427.435St. Louis Rams
IndianapolisLPhiladelphia 27-300-2-0.000-1014.5-7.10.6-0.41124345667891011121211.2-0.9813.477Indianapolis Colts
Tampa Bay0-2-0.000-810.9-0.20.4-0.00123234456781012141811.9-0.0324.475at AtlantaTampa Bay Buccaneers
Oakland0-2-0.000-219.9+0.10.3+0.00124123456791012151912.2+0.0624.444Oakland Raiders
Kansas City0-2-0.000-239.2+0.10.3+0.00113123456791012151912.2+0.0627.441Kansas City Chiefs
Jacksonville0-2-0.000-488.7+0.50.2+0.00112233456781012151912.2+0.0924.421Jacksonville Jaguars
NY Giants0-2-0.000-326.7-0.60.2-0.00112123345681012172512.8-0.0623.431New York Giants

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/11
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston+1.8
+0.3
Philadelphia-1.9
-0.2
Washington-1.0
Tennessee-9.5
-1.4
Dallas+7.5
+0.5
Indianapolis+1.3
Jacksonville+1.1
Minnesota 7 New England 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago+1.3
Minnesota-9.5
-1.5
New England+7.0
+0.4
Detroit+1.8
+0.4
Green Bay+1.1
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston+1.1
+0.2
Philadelphia+8.1
+1.0
Washington-1.6
-0.3
Tennessee+1.0
Dallas-1.4
Indianapolis-5.9
-0.3
San Diego 30 Seattle 21
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver-1.6
Arizona+1.1
+0.2
San Diego+6.3
+0.5
Seattle-7.3
-0.9
San Francisco+1.0
+0.2
Oakland-1.1
Kansas City-0.9
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago+9.9
+0.7
San Francisco-11.9
-1.3
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+1.1
+0.3
Cincinnati+6.5
+0.8
Baltimore-1.3
-0.2
Atlanta-6.4
-0.6
Cleveland-1.0
Pittsburgh-0.9
Tampa Bay+0.7
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo+1.2
+0.2
Minnesota-1.1
New England+1.1
Detroit-1.1
NY Jets-7.5
-0.7
Miami+0.9
Green Bay+5.2
+0.2
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+9.9
+0.9
Philadelphia+1.1
Seattle-0.9
-0.2
San Francisco-0.9
-0.2
NY Giants-7.1
-0.4
Carolina 24 Detroit 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+8.8
+1.1
Minnesota+0.8
+0.2
Detroit-8.8
-1.3
Atlanta-1.1
Buffalo 29 Miami 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo+10.4
+1.1
Miami-10.6
-1.4
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+1.1
Cincinnati-1.0
Baltimore-0.9
Atlanta+1.0
Cleveland+5.1
+0.4
New Orleans-5.5
-0.4
Oakland 14 Houston 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston+8.6
+1.3
Tennessee-1.3
Indianapolis-1.1
Oakland-6.7
-0.4
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati+0.9
Baltimore+7.1
+0.4
Pittsburgh-10.1
-1.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston+1.0
Philadelphia-1.1
Washington+4.8
+0.3
Tennessee+0.8
Dallas-1.0
Jacksonville-5.0
-0.3
Denver 24 Kansas City 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+8.5
+0.8
San Diego-0.7
Kansas City-6.2
-0.3
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
St. Louis+6.7
+0.3
Tampa Bay-7.9
-0.4
Week of 9/18
Seattle vs DenverIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver60.668.674.7
5.2*6.37.3
Seattle49.340.233.7
3.9*3.12.4
NY Jets vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago35.040.950.7
2.3*2.83.8
NY Jets36.727.622.9
2.1*1.51.1
Arizona vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona73.8*65.551.4
7.7*6.54.5
San Francisco28.039.351.6
1.6*2.63.7
Philadelphia vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia73.065.049.8
8.1*6.74.5
Washington39.752.864.0
3.4*5.37.0
Buffalo vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo75.7*67.857.0
8.9*7.55.7
San Diego38.949.058.7
2.5*3.44.7
Carolina vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina81.874.969.4
11.19.58.4
Pittsburgh16.422.328.7
0.6*0.81.1
Cincinnati vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati77.969.560.0
9.47.56.3
Tennessee29.1*36.449.2
1.5*2.03.1
Cleveland vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore30.642.653.9
2.1*3.24.4
Cleveland37.5*28.417.6
2.1*1.30.9
Detroit vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit47.735.625.6
3.32.21.5
Green Bay16.926.036.4
0.7*1.11.8
New Orleans vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota32.639.551.4
2.2*2.93.9
New Orleans22.915.310.4
1.2*0.80.5
New England vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England46.739.228.2
3.5*2.81.9
Oakland6.7*10.215.7
0.2*0.30.5
St. Louis vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas26.3*36.344.9
1.7*2.53.2
St. Louis23.5*16.410.5
0.8*0.40.3
Atlanta vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta38.126.319.4
1.91.10.8
Tampa Bay6.111.517.4
0.2*0.50.7
Miami vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami34.626.218.3
1.7*1.20.8
Kansas City5.99.814.5
0.2*0.30.4
NY Giants vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston72.279.983.6
9.1*10.511.7
NY Giants9.9*6.94.4
0.3*0.20.1
Jacksonville vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis8.712.020.4
0.3*0.50.9
Jacksonville12.86.74.6
0.3*0.20.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.