National Football League Playoff Chances

Pittsburgh +10.9, Houston -15.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Indianapolis5-2-0.7148097.1%+1.514.6%+0.2242925170111100000002.6+0.104.678Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore5-2-0.7148992.0-0.217.0+0.0222526124432110000003.1-0.0111.712Baltimore Ravens
Dallas6-1-0.8574991.4-0.010.4-0.0321770231252100000003.4-0.017.619Dallas Cowboys
Denver15-1-0.8336888.2+0.510.3+0.031157321953211000003.6+0.021.650San DiegoDenver Broncos
Green Bay5-2-0.7145283.9-0.09.0-0.01621161151584210000004.010.625Green Bay Packers
Detroit5-2-0.7143582.6-0.07.4-0.01418111211894210000004.313.610Detroit Lions
Philadelphia15-1-0.8335181.8+0.38.0+0.1201481231695211000004.3+0.035.616Philadelphia Eagles
San Diego5-2-0.7147078.4+0.88.4+0.1121183291596321000004.8+0.0217.677at DenverSan Diego Chargers
Arizona15-1-0.8332177.5-0.05.0-0.015202734896321100004.03.558Arizona Cardinals
New England5-2-0.7143369.4+0.33.4+0.05916313567653200005.1+0.0115.583New England Patriots
Carolina3-3-1.500-3749.3+0.30.4+0.0014440013689865317.7+0.0216.410Carolina Panthers
Kansas City13-3-0.5002138.5+1.01.1+0.02331141615121097521007.56.557Kansas City Chiefs
New Orleans12-4-0.333-1033.8-0.30.5-0.0003300024810111097428.9-0.0328.476New Orleans Saints
Seattle13-3-0.5001832.9-0.01.3-0.01411251016161286432107.49.545Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco4-3-0.571-730.5-0.10.7-0.0139251016161396432107.72.481San Francisco 49ers
Miami13-3-0.500926.7+0.40.6+0.012413358101213121162108.5-0.0118.523Miami Dolphins
Buffalo4-3-0.571-726.2+0.30.3+0.00141425791113131262008.6-0.0114.479Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati13-2-1.583-625.1-0.20.4-0.0122281112121212121141008.5-0.068.484Cincinnati Bengals
PittsburghWHouston 30-234-3-0.571-824.0+10.90.3+0.212217111313131211841008.5+1.2119.478Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland13-3-0.500117.1+0.20.301114910121213141452009.1+0.0123.503Cleveland Browns
HoustonLPittsburgh 23-303-4-0.429516.5-15.60.3-0.401124810121313131283109.2-1.2520.514Houston Texans
Atlanta2-5-0.286-2816.3-0.10.2-0.0001150012471012141412711.2-0.0230.433Atlanta Falcons
Chicago3-4-0.429-148.4-0.00.1-0.001102510141513111086429.921.463Chicago Bears
NY Giants3-4-0.429-156.8-0.00.1-0.000002491214141210974210.212.460New York Giants
Tampa Bay11-5-0.167-841.8+0.00.0000200001235812204714.5+0.0131.329Tampa Bay Buccaneers
St. Louis12-4-0.333-471.2-0.00.000100013579111417211313.022.390St. Louis Rams
Minnesota2-5-0.286-401.2-0.00.00000013581011131414121012.225.386Minnesota Vikings
Tennessee2-5-0.286-510.7+0.00.00000001235814342010312.824.363Tennessee Titans
Washington2-5-0.286-320.6-0.00.000000013468111417191613.126.418Washington Redskins
NY Jets1-6-0.143-640.20.00000000011361733261314.0-0.0427.338New York Jets
Jacksonville1-6-0.143-860.0+0.00.00000000000131024372414.7+0.0329.293Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland10-6-0.000-660.00.0000000000001412245915.3-0.0132.335Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/16
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego-9.8
-2.9
Kansas City+15.1
+0.6
Cleveland-1.0
Chicago 14 Miami 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay+1.2
Detroit+1.3
New England-2.6
-0.2
Miami+6.6
+0.2
Chicago-7.3
-0.3
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore+1.8
+0.3
Denver+1.7
Kansas City+1.6
Cincinnati+2.8
Cleveland-13.9
-0.7
Houston+1.7
Denver 42 San Francisco 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+5.8
+0.8
Green Bay+0.8
Detroit+1.1
Philadelphia+1.2
Arizona+1.4
Kansas City-1.1
Seattle+1.3
San Francisco-7.5
-0.5
Cincinnati-0.9
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+1.1
+0.2
San Diego+0.8
Kansas City+1.4
Pittsburgh+7.3
Houston-12.5
-0.3
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay+1.4
+0.2
Detroit+1.2
+0.2
Arizona+2.4
+0.2
Seattle-12.6
-1.0
San Francisco+2.7
+0.2
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas-0.6
Green Bay+7.0
+0.8
Detroit-0.9
-0.3
Arizona-0.7
Carolina-6.2
-0.2
New Orleans+2.5
Seattle-0.8
San Francisco-0.8
Atlanta+2.4
Chicago-0.8
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay-1.1
-0.2
Detroit+6.2
+1.1
Carolina+2.9
New Orleans-5.3
-0.2
San Francisco-0.6
Atlanta+1.2
Chicago-0.7
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+4.5
+1.2
Baltimore+0.9
Cincinnati-8.3
-0.7
Cleveland+1.3
Houston-0.8
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore+4.3
+1.0
Carolina+2.1
New Orleans+1.2
Cincinnati-0.8
Cleveland-0.7
Houston-0.5
Atlanta-3.8
Oakland 13 Arizona 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+6.8
+0.5
Seattle-1.3
San Francisco-1.7
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+6.6
+1.0
NY Giants-5.8
-0.2
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England-1.7
Miami-0.7
Buffalo+4.6
Minnesota-1.0
New England 27 NY Jets 25
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+4.7
+0.4
Miami-1.3
Buffalo-1.7
NY Jets-0.5
Washington 19 Tennessee 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Tennessee-0.9
Week of 10/23
Carolina vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina60.447.841.2
0.5*0.40.3
New Orleans27.8*34.138.1
0.4*0.50.6
Seattle22.629.840.4
0.81.11.6
Atlanta12.518.219.1
New Orleans vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay74.986.390.1
7.19.410.2
Carolina42.548.053.9
New Orleans44.536.626.5
0.7*0.60.4
Atlanta vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit72.879.488.7
5.86.68.4
Carolina45.647.051.5
New Orleans30.635.335.8
Atlanta24.116.811.5
0.2*0.20.1
New England vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England75.067.657.8
3.83.12.5
Miami24.926.330.3
0.6*0.60.7
Buffalo24.327.730.0
0.3*0.40.4
Chicago5.77.013.9
0.1*0.10.2
Arizona vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia73.085.690.6
6.3*8.19.7
Arizona86.478.568.6
6.24.83.8
Cincinnati vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore83.692.295.9
13.517.618.6
Cincinnati39.526.518.4
0.7*0.40.2
Denver vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver94.288.981.1
12.89.67.4
San Diego69.682.288.8
5.98.911.4
Kansas City vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City43.930.625.0
1.30.80.6
Pittsburgh vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh36.724.316.9
0.6*0.30.2
NY Jets vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England72.7*69.367.1
3.5*3.43.3
Buffalo15.725.233.5
0.2*0.30.5
Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami16.121.631.5
0.30.50.7
Tennessee vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston7.412.722.6
0.10.20.4
Cleveland vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland20.615.68.0
0.30.20.1
Dallas vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas94.2*91.483.0
11.1*10.28.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.