National Football League Playoff Chances

New Orleans +15.2, Carolina -10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
12/15GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
New England11-3-0.786162In27.5%+0.07819211.32.746New England Patriots
Denver11-3-0.786104In14.4+0.02176211.81.671Denver Broncos
Arizona11-3-0.78643In7.2-0.150404422.93.591Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis10-4-0.714107In6.3+0.00466303.36.670Indianapolis Colts
Seattle10-4-0.7149795.6%-0.113.1-0.2385342843.44.683Seattle Seahawks
Detroit10-4-0.7144393.1+0.45.1+0.0136744474.3+0.017.592Detroit Lions
Green Bay10-4-0.71411191.0-0.111.4-0.0746253093.8-0.015.673Green Bay Packers
Baltimore9-5-0.64310982.0-0.04.6+0.022130308024315.715.690Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati9-4-1.6792279.91.2+0.0011025242016405.19.543Cincinnati Bengals
Dallas10-4-0.7145379.8-0.13.4-0.04853411204.1-0.0114.590Dallas Cowboys
Pittsburgh9-5-0.6435077.5+0.01.7+0.0118231620795105.317.584Pittsburgh Steelers
New OrleansWChicago 31-156-8-0.429-1060.1+15.20.7+0.360016978106.5+1.6119.483New Orleans Saints
Philadelphia9-5-0.6436940.5-0.11.7-0.0035055825.58.611Philadelphia Eagles
Kansas City8-6-0.5716833.4-0.01.0+0.024102420761017.412.633Kansas City Chiefs
Atlanta5-9-0.357-2126.6-5.10.2-0.027141318142510.3-0.4226.464Atlanta Falcons
San Diego8-6-0.571915.70.151061422162338.913.518San Diego Chargers
Carolina5-8-1.393-7013.2-10.10.0-0.01314122814171110.6-0.5624.374Carolina Panthers
Buffalo8-6-0.571486.2+0.00.106141427231529.011.598Buffalo Bills
Houston7-7-0.500475.1+0.00.105181415241769.120.590Houston Texans
Miami7-7-0.500260.10.0072419212269.410.549Miami Dolphins
Cleveland7-7-0.500-240.00.000136108011.721.452Cleveland Browns
San Francisco7-7-0.500-34OutNo28412208.1+0.0516.428San Francisco 49ers
Minnesota6-8-0.429-20OutNo84623911309.8+0.0823.460Minnesota Vikings
St. Louis6-8-0.429-6OutNo41533171015710.9+0.0918.488St. Louis Rams
ChicagoLNew Orleans 15-315-9-0.357-113OutNo2461421272612.4-0.9922.315Chicago Bears
NY Giants5-9-0.357-22OutNo2121319233112.4+0.1425.460New York Giants
NY Jets3-11-0.214-130OutNo89110013.127.267New York Jets
Tennessee2-12-0.143-159OutNo547361214.631.235Jacksonville 7-0 (5:00 1st Qtr)Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville2-12-0.143-165OutNo541431014.629.220Tennessee 0-7 (5:00 1st Qtr)Jacksonville Jaguars
Washington3-11-0.214-113OutNo712915.3+0.0130.301Washington Redskins
Tampa Bay2-12-0.143-113OutNo297115.7-0.0132.300Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Oakland2-12-0.143-168OutNo11217715.728.218Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/11
Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona*In
Detroit-1.2
+0.2
Green Bay-4.7
Dallas+37.3
+1.5
Philadelphia-32.8
-2.3
Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore-4.1
-0.5
Cincinnati-4.6
Pittsburgh+13.9
+0.6
New Orleans+10.3
Atlanta-13.4
Carolina+3.1
Cleveland 0 Cincinnati 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore-2.9
-0.2
Cincinnati+25.2
+0.4
San Diego-3.0
Houston-2.3
Miami-3.0
Cleveland-8.1
San Diego 10 Denver 22
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
DenverIn
+1.3
Baltimore+6.5
+0.3
Cincinnati+4.3
Pittsburgh+2.2
San Diego-16.3
-0.2
Indianapolis 17 Houston 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
IndianapolisIn
+0.8
Baltimore+3.7
+0.2
Cincinnati+2.5
San Diego+2.0
Houston-15.7
-0.5
Miami+1.5
New England 41 Miami 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New EnglandIn
+1.1
Baltimore+1.6
Cincinnati+3.3
Pittsburgh+2.3
San Diego+3.0
Houston+1.3
Miami-14.3
-0.4
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans+12.4
Atlanta-3.2
Carolina-9.2
Detroit 16 Minnesota 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle-2.4
Detroit+9.0
+0.7
Dallas-4.3
-0.2
Philadelphia-1.7
-0.2
Seattle 17 San Francisco 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle+7.6
+1.5
Dallas-3.9
San Francisco-2.9
Carolina 19 Tampa Bay 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans-2.1
Atlanta-3.0
Carolina+5.1
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo+2.6
Baltimore 20 Jacksonville 12
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore+3.8
+0.3
Cincinnati-0.9
Pittsburgh-0.5
Kansas City-0.4
San Diego-0.4
Houston-0.9
Miami-0.4
Kansas City 31 Oakland 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore-0.7
Cincinnati-0.9
Pittsburgh-0.5
Kansas City+3.3
St. Louis 6 Arizona 12
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+3.0
+1.1
MinnesotaOut
No
St. LouisOut
No
Week of 12/18
New Orleans vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans93.852.711.4
1.00.60.1
AtlantaOut23.965.2
No0.20.6
Carolina6.223.423.4
Pittsburgh vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore84.587.679.5
4.55.34.7
Cincinnati88.371.371.3
1.31.01.1
PittsburghIn68.754.1
2.41.41.0
Kansas City0.740.767.2
0.01.12.0
San Diego12.715.618.8
Buffalo8.114.94.2
0.20.30.1
Cleveland0.0*OutOut
Washington vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
DetroitIn90.790.7
5.35.15.1
Green Bay99.495.988.1
11.911.711.2
Dallas92.892.875.2
4.04.03.1
Philadelphia8.525.851.6
0.40.92.2
Dallas vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay96.996.985.7
11.811.711.1
Dallas92.192.168.6
4.54.32.4
Philadelphia22.923.056.5
0.90.92.5
Cincinnati vs DenverHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore73.673.688.2
4.14.15.0
CincinnatiIn86.865.2
1.61.20.9
Pittsburgh72.581.181.1
1.61.91.8
Buffalo2.22.29.2
0.00.00.2
Houston vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore64.488.896.2
3.25.05.7
Pittsburgh81.274.474.4
1.91.61.6
Houston11.5OutOut
0.2NoNo
Miami0.3OutOut
0.0NoNo
Cleveland0.0*OutOut
Chicago vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit75.578.4In
3.63.85.7
Dallas87.188.076.9
4.24.33.0
Philadelphia46.846.838.1
1.81.91.6
San Francisco vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore85.885.878.7
4.84.84.4
Cincinnati84.376.076.0
San Diego3.515.426.6
0.00.10.2
Cleveland0.0*OutOut
Tampa Bay vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay75.988.294.7
6.010.412.7
Dallas89.479.277.4
5.04.53.0
Carolina vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans51.551.668.1
0.60.60.8
Carolina21.821.85.2
ClevelandOut*Out0.0
Arizona vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona10.88.34.2
Seattle90.492.9100.0
7.69.917.8
Dallas82.780.277.3
3.43.83.3
Oakland vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo0.02.67.6
0.00.10.2
Cleveland0.00.0Out
Miami vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami0.2OutOut
0.0NoNo

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.