National Football League Playoff Chances

San Diego +3.5, Kansas City -20.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
11/20GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Arizona19-1-0.9006199.0%+0.016.3%+0.277103062100001.6+0.011.645at SeattleArizona Cardinals
New England18-2-0.80010595.6+0.519.4+0.961145110421100002.2+0.143.695DetroitNew England Patriots
Green Bay17-3-0.70010590.5+0.013.8+0.183217019147200000003.76.692at MinnesotaGreen Bay Packers
Detroit17-3-0.7003284.4+0.05.1+0.1424140231910410000004.47.589at New EnglandDetroit Lions
Indianapolis16-4-0.6005782.0+0.34.3+0.4292149012344310004.6+0.079.610JacksonvilleIndianapolis Colts
Denver17-3-0.7006981.9+3.48.6+1.5133114599554211003.9+0.632.639MiamiDenver Broncos
Dallas17-3-0.7004975.5+0.14.7+0.04162401418166200000004.717.607at NY GiantsDallas Cowboys
Philadelphia17-3-0.7004874.6+0.14.2+0.031438061215820000004.45.595TennesseePhiladelphia Eagles
Kansas CityLOakland 20-247-4-0.6366665.2-20.85.3-4.97117322141197431005.5-1.728.647Kansas City Chiefs
New Orleans14-6-0.400957.5-0.01.1+0.000057000210108532106.822.519New Orleans Saints
Miami16-4-0.6006956.3+2.24.6+0.475322118131186410006.2+0.1110.657at DenverMiami Dolphins
Pittsburgh7-4-0.6362551.1+2.71.8+0.239156710131210851006.1+0.1318.550Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore16-4-0.6008050.9+2.44.5+0.5271211811119109730006.5+0.1015.676Baltimore Ravens
Seattle16-4-0.6004541.5+0.11.9+0.0222019162125831000006.713.599ArizonaSeattle Seahawks
Atlanta14-6-0.400-1736.30.4+0.00003600015111312107418.927.463ClevelandAtlanta Falcons
Cincinnati16-3-1.650334.4+1.80.8+0.126756811111112128007.5+0.1111.507at HoustonCincinnati Bengals
Houston15-5-0.5002533.2+1.71.1+0.113511671012111313800007.7+0.1220.559CincinnatiHouston Texans
San Francisco16-4-0.600-132.7-0.30.5-0.01110131724281031000007.1-0.024.498WashingtonSan Francisco 49ers
Cleveland16-4-0.6002125.0+2.00.8+0.1137437911131414140008.3+0.0924.552at AtlantaCleveland Browns
San Diego16-4-0.6002621.0+3.50.7+0.212225891215161890008.6+0.2216.564St. LouisSan Diego Chargers
Carolina3-7-1.318-856.0+0.00.00060000258111519191312.925.330Carolina Panthers
Buffalo15-5-0.500-43.4+0.20.0+0.0000012247122047400010.914.490NY JetsBuffalo Bills
Chicago14-6-0.400-750.8+0.00.000000127171516141195311.219.348Tampa BayChicago Bears
Minnesota14-6-0.400-390.5+0.00.00000003924201612852010.523.403Green BayMinnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay12-8-0.200-850.30.00000000123611205715.132.322at ChicagoTampa Bay Buccaneers
St. Louis14-6-0.400-730.20.00000001410151616151210211.8-0.0212.338at San DiegoSt. Louis Rams
NY Giants13-7-0.300-580.10.000000016111214161616612.621.373DallasNew York Giants
Washington13-7-0.300-520.00.00000001358111418231813.630.384at San FranciscoWashington Redskins
Tennessee12-8-0.200-820.00.00000000003552612413.6-0.0629.314at PhiladelphiaTennessee Titans
Jacksonville11-9-0.100-1240.00.00000000720422914.9-0.2031.250at IndianapolisJacksonville Jaguars
NY Jets12-8-0.200-910.00.00000000001314319514.0-0.0826.303at BuffaloNew York Jets
OaklandWKansas City 24-201-10-0.091-109OutNo00210276115.5+0.3528.276Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/20
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+0.1
New England+0.4
+0.7
Green Bay+0.1
Indianapolis+0.3
+0.3
Denver+3.0
+1.3
Kansas City-17.8
-3.8
Miami+2.0
+0.3
Pittsburgh+1.6
+0.1
Baltimore+2.2
+0.4
Cincinnati+1.7
+0.1
Houston+1.5
+0.1
Cleveland+1.8
+0.1
San Diego+2.9
+0.2
Buffalo+0.2
New Orleans vs BaltimoreIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans69.366.649.8
1.41.31.0
Pittsburgh54.450.649.0
2.01.81.7
Baltimore34.950.161.3
2.74.65.7
Atlanta27.328.642.2
0.30.30.5
Cincinnati37.337.332.5
0.90.90.7
Carolina3.44.57.6
Houston vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis77.878.388.5
4.24.24.6
Miami56.460.256.0
4.64.94.6
Pittsburgh52.949.748.3
1.91.71.7
Baltimore52.348.348.6
4.74.24.3
Cincinnati23.436.651.7
0.5*0.81.3
Houston43.827.516.5
1.40.80.5
Denver vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver92.478.269.0
10.47.56.4
Miami40.356.475.9
2.94.06.8
Atlanta vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans49.163.665.0
1.01.21.3
Pittsburgh53.551.549.1
1.91.91.7
Atlanta46.431.527.4
0.50.30.3
Cleveland14.529.734.2
0.40.91.1
Seattle vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit82.286.586.9
5.15.25.1
Dallas72.974.978.5
4.84.84.7
Philadelphia72.575.976.9
4.34.44.1
Seattle54.736.227.1
2.71.40.9
San Francisco29.233.636.4
NY Giants vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit87.383.483.1
5.54.94.9
Dallas59.977.382.9
3.14.85.5
Philadelphia79.173.672.5
4.64.24.1
San Francisco36.331.231.0
0.60.50.5
San Francisco vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas73.679.079.4
4.74.84.8
Philadelphia73.177.477.5
4.24.34.3
San Francisco39.623.218.7
0.60.30.2
New England vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England97.896.691.4
20.519.517.1
Detroit80.387.292.7
4.34.96.6
Seattle43.836.837.0
1.91.61.7
Indianapolis vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis85.169.864.7
4.63.62.9
Houston31.540.442.7
1.01.31.4
JacksonvilleOutOut0.0
No*No0.0
Philadelphia vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia78.473.859.0
4.64.12.8
San Francisco31.631.836.9
0.50.50.6
Minnesota vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay79.389.694.8
10.113.115.2
Seattle45.439.840.1
2.11.81.8
San Diego vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego24.616.69.7
0.90.60.3
Buffalo vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo4.42.10.5
NY JetsOut*Out0.0
No*No0.0
Week of 11/27
Pittsburgh vs New OrleansIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans49.866.669.2
1.01.31.4
Pittsburgh61.244.935.9
2.31.41.1
Baltimore48.253.254.9
4.24.95.0
Atlanta42.228.627.4
0.50.30.3
Cincinnati32.335.137.5
0.80.80.9
Cleveland23.326.727.5
0.70.80.8
Carolina7.64.53.4
San Francisco vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas74.578.676.4
4.74.84.7
Philadelphia74.279.074.9
4.34.44.2
Seattle23.236.056.7
0.91.42.6
San Francisco52.826.616.0
0.90.40.2
Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver72.383.895.2
6.38.711.7
Kansas City80.259.944.6
7.43.92.4
Baltimore vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore61.846.728.7
5.74.22.2
San Diego12.127.239.0
0.41.01.4
Dallas vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit84.380.084.6
5.14.65.1
Dallas87.279.759.0
6.14.92.7
Philadelphia63.583.590.3
3.05.26.0
San Francisco32.327.433.2
0.50.40.5
NY Jets vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami30.944.363.0
2.23.05.2
Pittsburgh55.053.550.1
1.91.91.8
NY Jets0.0*OutOut
0.0*NoNo
Detroit vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit90.277.865.1
5.73.83.1
Dallas74.879.778.0
4.65.25.1
Seattle39.639.547.9
1.81.72.1
San Francisco31.633.736.4
0.50.50.6
Houston vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis79.280.591.8
4.24.34.8
Houston38.825.013.7
1.20.70.4
TennesseeNo*No0.0
Tampa Bay vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh54.350.449.3
1.91.81.8
Baltimore54.148.949.0
4.84.34.4
Cincinnati19.031.443.4
0.30.71.1
Buffalo vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland13.530.436.3
0.40.91.1
Buffalo6.32.80.6
Atlanta vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans47.661.963.5
0.91.21.2
Atlanta48.233.429.2
0.50.40.3
Green Bay vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England93.597.898.5
17.920.521.4
Green Bay95.291.984.5
15.513.911.6
Seattle39.439.344.3
1.71.72.0
Indianapolis vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis85.872.070.0
4.73.83.2
Houston31.238.939.3
1.01.31.3
Minnesota vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta37.837.733.7
Carolina3.14.111.0
Jacksonville vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Jacksonville0.0Out0.0
0.0*NoNo

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.