National Football League Playoff Chances

Denver +8.1, San Diego -14.9
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Indianapolis15-2-0.7148097.2%+0.114.0%-0.6203127181111100000002.7-0.074.678at PittsburghIndianapolis Colts
DenverWSan Diego 35-2116-1-0.8578296.3+8.116.8+6.551199310421100000002.3+1.251.678Denver Broncos
Baltimore15-2-0.7148992.5+0.516.4-0.7172728124432110000003.1-0.0411.712at CincinnatiBaltimore Ravens
Dallas16-1-0.8574991.3-0.110.3-0.1321770231252100000003.47.619Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay15-2-0.7145283.9-0.18.9-0.11621161151584210000004.010.625at New OrleansGreen Bay Packers
Detroit15-2-0.7143582.5-0.17.3-0.11418111211894210000004.313.610at AtlantaDetroit Lions
Philadelphia25-1-0.8335181.7-0.17.9-0.1201481231695211000004.35.616at ArizonaPhiladelphia Eagles
Arizona25-1-0.8332177.4-0.15.0-0.115202734896321100004.0-0.013.558PhiladelphiaArizona Cardinals
New England15-2-0.7143369.7+0.33.3-0.15917323567653200005.1-0.0115.583ChicagoNew England Patriots
San DiegoLDenver 21-355-3-0.6255663.5-14.93.7-4.734313320139642100006.1-1.3014.646San Diego Chargers
Carolina13-3-1.500-3749.2-0.00.4-0.0014440013689865317.716.410SeattleCarolina Panthers
Kansas City23-3-0.5002140.3+1.81.1-0.02221181614121087521007.5+0.026.557St. LouisKansas City Chiefs
New Orleans22-4-0.333-1033.8-0.00.5-0.0013300024810111097428.927.476Green BayNew Orleans Saints
Seattle23-3-0.5001832.8-0.11.3-0.01411251016161286432107.59.545at CarolinaSeattle Seahawks
San Francisco14-3-0.571-731.0+0.50.7+0.0149251016161296432107.6+0.042.481San Francisco 49ers
Miami23-3-0.500927.4+0.70.6-0.012413358101212121062108.5+0.0418.523at JacksonvilleMiami Dolphins
Buffalo14-3-0.571-726.1-0.10.3-0.00131435791113141262008.7-0.0317.479at NY JetsBuffalo Bills
Cincinnati23-2-1.583-625.5+0.40.3-0.0122181112121112121141008.5-0.018.484BaltimoreCincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh14-3-0.571-825.2+1.20.3-0.012219111312121211841008.4+0.0519.478IndianapolisPittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland23-3-0.500117.9+0.80.301115910121213141452009.1+0.0423.503OaklandCleveland Browns
Houston13-4-0.429517.4+1.00.301125810121313131283109.2+0.0520.514at TennesseeHouston Texans
Atlanta12-5-0.286-2816.3-0.00.2-0.0001150012471012141412711.230.433DetroitAtlanta Falcons
Chicago13-4-0.429-148.4-0.00.1-0.001102510141513111086429.921.463at New EnglandChicago Bears
NY Giants13-4-0.429-156.8-0.00.1-0.000002491214141210974210.212.460New York Giants
Tampa Bay21-5-0.167-841.8+0.00.0000200001235812204714.531.329MinnesotaTampa Bay Buccaneers
St. Louis22-4-0.333-471.2+0.00.000100013579111417211313.022.390at Kansas CitySt. Louis Rams
Minnesota12-5-0.286-401.2-0.00.00000013581011131414121012.225.386at Tampa BayMinnesota Vikings
Tennessee12-5-0.286-510.7+0.10.00000001235814342010312.8+0.0124.363HoustonTennessee Titans
Washington12-5-0.286-320.6-0.00.000000013468111417191613.226.418Washington Redskins
NY Jets11-6-0.143-640.2+0.00.00000000011361733261214.0+0.0128.338BuffaloNew York Jets
Jacksonville11-6-0.143-860.0+0.00.00000000000131024382414.6+0.0129.293MiamiJacksonville Jaguars
Oakland20-6-0.000-660.00.0000000000001311246015.4-0.0232.335at ClevelandOakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/23
Denver 35 San Diego 21
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+0.1
-0.1
Denver+6.0
+2.5
Baltimore+0.1
-0.1
New England+0.1
San Diego-8.8
-2.5
Kansas City+0.8
Miami+0.2
Buffalo+0.1
Cincinnati+0.3
Pittsburgh+0.5
Cleveland+0.3
Houston+0.4
Carolina vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay85.385.282.8
9.1*9.08.8
Detroit84.2*82.781.4
7.4*7.37.2
Arizona79.0*77.776.2
5.1*4.84.9
Carolina60.447.941.1
0.5*0.30.3
New Orleans27.8*34.238.1
0.4*0.60.6
Seattle22.629.440.3
0.81.01.6
San Francisco32.531.630.0
Atlanta12.518.119.1
New Orleans vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay74.986.390.0
7.09.210.2
Carolina42.447.753.9
New Orleans44.536.626.5
0.70.60.4
Seattle34.531.531.6
1.4*1.21.2
San Francisco32.730.429.9
0.7*0.60.6
Atlanta13.814.518.0
Atlanta vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit72.779.188.6
5.76.68.3
Carolina45.646.651.5
New Orleans30.635.535.8
Seattle34.7*32.931.7
1.4*1.31.2
Atlanta24.116.911.5
0.2*0.20.1
New England vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England75.368.058.2
3.72.92.4
Miami25.626.631.0
0.5*0.60.7
Buffalo24.227.829.8
0.3*0.40.4
Chicago5.76.813.9
0.1*0.10.2
Arizona vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia72.985.490.6
6.2*8.09.6
Arizona86.378.168.4
6.14.73.8
Cincinnati vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore84.692.896.2
13.017.117.9
San Diego61.9*63.664.3
3.8*3.83.6
Cincinnati40.026.618.8
0.7*0.30.2
Kansas City vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego62.366.766.8
3.64.03.9
Kansas City45.832.226.6
1.20.70.6
Cincinnati24.7*25.327.7
Pittsburgh vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis94.896.298.6
11.912.915.2
San Diego61.4*63.864.7
Kansas City38.8*40.141.2
Pittsburgh38.3*25.417.9
0.5*0.30.2
NY Jets vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England72.9*69.567.4
3.4*3.33.2
Miami29.6*27.725.8
Buffalo15.525.533.4
0.2*0.30.4
Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England73.071.668.1
3.4*3.43.2
Miami16.622.732.3
0.30.50.7
Tennessee vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego65.064.862.5
3.8*3.73.7
Kansas City42.041.339.2
Houston8.113.523.8
0.10.20.4
Cleveland vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City39.7*40.342.1
Cleveland21.516.78.5
0.30.20.1
Dallas vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas94.2*91.482.8
11.1*10.18.2
Week of 10/30
Miami vs San DiegoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England67.270.471.5
3.2*3.33.3
San Diego47.764.575.4
2.5*3.84.6
Kansas City42.138.039.0
1.1*1.01.0
Miami39.7*27.518.0
0.9*0.50.4
Cleveland18.719.917.2
Houston18.616.116.5
Carolina vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina65.447.933.5
0.5*0.40.3
New Orleans18.6*33.948.6
0.3*0.50.8
Atlanta15.317.817.2
Houston vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia74.485.087.8
6.6*8.08.9
San Diego62.264.464.6
San Francisco32.729.929.7
Houston24.715.711.5
0.4*0.30.2
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore84.392.896.3
12.917.117.9
San Diego61.3*63.264.6
3.8*3.73.7
Pittsburgh41.925.917.6
0.6*0.30.2
Kansas City vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego62.466.966.9
3.6*3.93.9
Kansas City45.631.324.3
1.20.70.6
Cincinnati24.8*25.627.7
Pittsburgh24.626.127.1
Cleveland17.219.219.9
San Francisco vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia80.883.283.5
7.9*7.98.0
Arizona76.178.579.6
4.9*5.05.1
Seattle31.734.534.9
1.2*1.41.3
San Francisco38.125.217.8
0.80.50.3
St. Louis0.40.82.9
New England vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver93.596.898.6
14.516.118.7
New England80.173.061.0
4.33.12.4
Miami24.625.229.6
0.5*0.50.6
Buffalo23.3*26.128.4
Dallas vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas95.892.783.9
11.6*10.48.1
Arizona71.479.987.2
4.0*5.16.5
Seattle33.732.131.2
1.3*1.31.2
Cincinnati vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego62.865.065.7
3.7*3.73.8
Kansas City39.642.342.5
Cincinnati29.719.513.3
0.40.20.1
Seattle vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona76.578.579.8
4.9*5.05.1
Seattle36.626.721.6
1.40.90.7
San Francisco30.431.633.1
Cleveland vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland20.916.69.6
0.3*0.30.1
Tampa Bay1.12.33.8
NY Giants vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis95.096.098.4
12.113.015.0
NY Giants11.88.54.3
0.2*0.10.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.