National Football League Playoff Chances

Carolina +20.9, Cleveland -16.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
10/13GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Kansas CityWOakland 24-76-0-01.0008798.8%+4.120.8%+4.6499203531000000002.8+0.399.712Kansas City Chiefs
DenverWJacksonville 35-196-0-01.00010796.4+5.612.6+1.4297205162100000003.7+0.168.677Denver Broncos
SeattleWTennessee 20-135-1-0.8336394.9+1.716.6+2.148221228421100000002.4+0.424.659Seattle Seahawks
New OrleansLNew England 27-305-1-0.8335893.0-4.913.5-5.531281857432110000002.8-0.851.645New Orleans Saints
Indianapolis14-1-0.8006090.3+3.410.0-1.5103028171442211000003.3+0.192.643at San DiegoIndianapolis Colts
New EnglandWNew Orleans 30-275-1-0.8332887.6+10.75.8+0.282827162753211000003.6+0.827.585New England Patriots
DetroitWCleveland 31-174-2-0.6672267.8+13.33.3+1.36141751213118632100005.2+1.0111.554Detroit Lions
CincinnatiWBuffalo 27-244-2-0.6671061.2+20.21.9+0.5110162518109754211005.7+1.706.530Cincinnati Bengals
Green BayWBaltimore 19-1713-2-0.6002357.4+6.52.8+0.351114510131210854211005.9+0.575.557Green Bay Packers
DallasWashington 0-0 (8:30 PM ET)12-3-0.4001649.8-7.71.7-0.6148331346898643107.0-0.5019.536Dallas Cowboys
PhiladelphiaWTampa Bay 31-203-3-0.500-1348.4+11.90.9+0.31373223578108642107.1+1.2814.471Philadelphia Eagles
San FranciscoArizona 32-20 (2:09 4th Qtr)13-2-0.6001545.4-10.41.5-0.83321211513111086431007.2-0.593.542San Francisco 49ers
Chicago4-2-0.6671143.9-9.81.5-0.62610491213121086421006.9-0.6215.526Chicago Bears
CarolinaWMinnesota 35-1012-3-0.4004143.7+20.93.0+2.12673131413121086421007.1+2.0125.620Carolina Panthers
Miami13-2-0.600-339.3+3.80.8-0.216643191512976432107.5+0.3310.492Miami Dolphins
TennesseeLSeattle 13-203-3-0.5001338.5-5.31.0-0.9046432118141075321007.3-0.2516.538Tennessee Titans
BaltimoreLGreen Bay 17-193-3-0.500537.6-8.10.8-0.7048170911121197542107.5-0.5412.514Baltimore Ravens
ArizonaSan Francisco 20-32 (2:09 4th Qtr)13-2-0.600-430.3-8.40.6-0.312211212131312119642008.1-0.4813.488Arizona Cardinals
ClevelandLDetroit 17-313-3-0.500-722.9-16.80.3-0.90141116912131210864318.8-1.3017.479Cleveland Browns
WashingtonDallas 0-0 (8:30 PM ET)21-3-0.250-2112.4-4.10.2-0.100110012369121515148411.1-0.2818.449Washington Redskins
NY JetsLPittsburgh 6-193-3-0.500-317.6-10.20.0-0.2001105681011121212118210.9-1.2429.411New York Jets
St. LouisWHouston 38-133-3-0.500-137.6+3.70.1+0.100102457912141614104110.8+1.3626.467St. Louis Rams
San Diego12-3-0.400-47.4+0.80.1-0.0000016781011121312108210.9+0.4128.490IndianapolisSan Diego Chargers
BuffaloLCincinnati 24-272-4-0.333-214.0-3.50.0-0.1000103468101214141311411.6-0.5020.447Buffalo Bills
PittsburghWNY Jets 19-611-4-0.200-283.7+2.50.0+0.00002013467911131620712.3+1.6427.421Pittsburgh Steelers
Atlanta11-4-0.200-123.6-2.20.1-0.000001234691215171610411.9-0.3221.470Atlanta Falcons
OaklandLKansas City 7-242-4-0.333-273.3-4.20.0-0.1000003568101213141412211.6-0.7122.421Oakland Raiders
MinnesotaLCarolina 10-3511-4-0.200-331.6-9.00.0-0.20000012347913182214712.7-2.0432.427Minnesota Vikings
HoustonLSt. Louis 13-382-4-0.333-711.2-2.80.0-0.00000012346912151920912.9-0.9424.337Houston Texans
NY Giants0-6-0.000-1060.1-0.10.0000000000012511275315.2+0.1531.297New York Giants
Tampa BayLPhiladelphia 20-3110-5-0.000-370.1-1.20.0-0.0000000001135917343014.6-1.1330.385Tampa Bay Buccaneers
JacksonvilleLDenver 19-350-6-0.000-1280.0-0.0No-0.00000000001136157415.5-0.1523.265Jacksonville Jaguars

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/10
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit+10.7
+0.5
Cincinnati+3.0
Green Bay-2.0
-0.2
San Francisco-1.2
Chicago-2.2
Carolina-1.3
Tennessee+1.0
Baltimore+2.8
Arizona-1.4
Cleveland-10.3
-0.4
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit-1.9
Cincinnati+2.5
Green Bay+9.5
+0.6
San Francisco-1.3
Chicago-1.9
Carolina-0.8
Tennessee+0.9
Baltimore-9.4
-0.4
Arizona-1.1
Cleveland+2.9
Minnesota-0.7
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati+9.8
+0.4
Baltimore-2.0
Cleveland-2.4
Buffalo-4.5
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+0.4
Seattle+2.8
+0.9
Indianapolis+1.2
+0.2
New England+0.5
Cincinnati+0.6
San Francisco-0.5
Miami+1.0
Tennessee-6.8
-0.3
Baltimore+0.7
Arizona-0.5
Cleveland+0.5
NY Jets+0.5
San Diego+0.5
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit-0.7
Chicago-0.7
Carolina+9.0
+0.4
Minnesota-5.0
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas-3.3
Philadelphia+8.4
+0.2
Washington-1.8
Tampa Bay-0.9
New England 30 New Orleans 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans-2.2
-1.1
New England+5.9
+0.8
Carolina+0.8
+0.2
Miami-1.7
Tennessee-0.9
NY Jets-0.8
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+1.5
Miami+1.3
Tennessee+0.9
NY Jets-7.4
Pittsburgh+0.9
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit-0.9
Green Bay-0.9
San Francisco-0.6
Chicago+5.1
+0.2
Carolina-0.5
Arizona-0.7
Minnesota-0.4
Houston 13 St. Louis 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
St. Louis+2.2
Houston-2.1
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City+1.8
+0.9
Denver-0.5
Miami+0.2
Tennessee+0.3
Oakland-3.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City-0.3
Denver+1.5
+0.4
Miami-0.3
Tennessee-0.3
Jacksonville*No
San Francisco vs ArizonaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Francisco55.740.029.1
2.0*1.50.8
Arizona20.331.946.2
0.4*0.61.0
Dallas vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas58.942.833.2
2.01.21.0
Philadelphia46.349.952.3
0.8*0.90.9
Washington6.415.123.3
0.1*0.20.3
San Diego vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis84.9*90.593.9
8.5*9.811.0
San Diego12.78.93.8
0.2*0.10.0
Week of 10/17
Tennessee vs San FranciscoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Francisco37.2*44.656.1
1.2*1.32.0
Tennessee46.434.228.2
1.3*1.00.7
Detroit vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit75.168.957.0
3.9*3.52.5
Cincinnati54.465.271.3
1.5*1.62.4
Baltimore39.935.534.4
0.9*0.80.7
Philadelphia vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas32.948.466.4
1.0*1.62.3
Philadelphia65.945.031.3
1.2*0.80.5
Green Bay vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay63.955.946.2
3.2*2.62.0
Cleveland17.524.432.4
0.2*0.30.5
Washington vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago32.847.954.3
1.0*1.51.9
Washington17.2*12.87.8
0.2*0.20.1
Carolina vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina50.737.727.0
3.62.51.7
St. Louis4.38.415.4
0.1*0.10.2
Miami vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami47.636.125.9
1.0*0.60.4
Buffalo1.44.78.3
Arizona vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle90.195.697.8
14.5*16.218.0
Arizona44.032.021.8
1.0*0.50.3
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati64.063.558.7
2.0*1.81.8
Baltimore25.732.648.1
0.5*0.71.1
Pittsburgh6.52.81.3
NY Jets vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England79.389.092.8
4.6*5.86.5
NY Jets13.9*7.23.7
Indianapolis vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis94.291.485.7
11.3*10.28.4
Jacksonville vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego3.06.49.5
0.0*0.10.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.