National Football League Playoff Chances

Baltimore +10.2, New Orleans -9.7
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
New England9-2-0.81813097.8%-0.124.9%-0.2731551321100001.6-0.013.725New England Patriots
Arizona9-2-0.8184596.8+0.010.6+0.05614616421002.31.606Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis7-4-0.6367793.8-0.06.2-0.12923600001111103.9-0.0212.642Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay8-3-0.72710892.8+0.015.6+0.11834250795200003.0+0.014.690Green Bay Packers
Denver8-3-0.7277289.0-0.68.3-0.212361651284321103.5-0.032.633Denver Broncos
Philadelphia8-3-0.7276777.3-0.16.2+0.081832910139100004.28.621at DallasPhiladelphia Eagles
Dallas8-3-0.7275276.3-0.05.2+0.08151802015157100004.617.606PhiladelphiaDallas Cowboys
Kansas City7-4-0.6366664.4-1.24.4-0.1510732515119753105.8-0.066.647Kansas City Chiefs
Seattle7-4-0.6366161.0+0.04.1+0.06660222215203100005.87.629at San FranciscoSeattle Seahawks
Detroit7-4-0.636759.7+0.01.6+0.0210110132421135100005.710.518ChicagoDetroit Lions
BaltimoreWNew Orleans 34-277-4-0.6368759.5+10.24.9+1.01715111212128675306.0+0.7313.676Baltimore Ravens
New OrleansLBaltimore 27-344-7-0.364255.0-9.71.0-0.40055000091110743107.1-0.7623.504New Orleans Saints
Cincinnati7-3-1.6821252.4-1.71.4-0.13101051311121297536.3-0.179.527Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh7-4-0.6362543.9-1.51.3-0.12612491214131296206.7-0.1218.550Pittsburgh Steelers
Atlanta4-7-0.364-1934.8+6.80.4+0.1003500003812151310409.3+0.4629.461Atlanta Falcons
San Francisco7-4-0.636334.7-0.00.7+0.022214152533710006.85.507SeattleSan Francisco 49ers
Miami6-5-0.5456633.1-1.61.6-0.1122111171515141084007.6-0.0711.637Miami Dolphins
Cleveland7-4-0.6362326.5-1.50.7-0.002735811121214121208.2-0.1021.553Cleveland Browns
San Diego7-4-0.6362922.5-0.80.7-0.01222799111515161108.5-0.0515.566San Diego Chargers
Houston5-6-0.4551610.5-0.60.2-0.00015226101115222510009.7-0.0619.536Houston Texans
Carolina3-7-1.318-8510.1+2.80.0+0.00100026812162017912.3+0.2225.330Carolina Panthers
Buffalo6-5-0.545316.5-0.50.2-0.0000024471115203600010.3-0.0416.573Buffalo Bills
Chicago5-6-0.455-671.4+0.00.0000001493319151063009.9+0.0320.367at DetroitChicago Bears
Tampa Bay2-9-0.182-930.1+0.00.000000149226415.4+0.0232.314Tampa Bay Buccaneers
St. Louis4-7-0.364-760.1+0.00.000000027151719161310112.0+0.0214.342St. Louis Rams
Minnesota4-7-0.364-420.0-0.00.0000001424261813851010.6+0.0124.403Minnesota Vikings
NY Giants3-8-0.273-610.0No000391215191917612.922.376New York Giants
Washington3-8-0.273-560.0No00013691420282014.030.380Washington Redskins
Tennessee2-9-0.182-101OutNo00001612311413.627.295Tennessee Titans
NY Jets2-9-0.182-126OutNo00000284322714.126.255New York Jets
Jacksonville1-10-0.091-144OutNo000721403215.031.227Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland1-10-0.091-109OutNo00313275715.428.276Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/20
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+6.6
+0.3
Baltimore-2.3
-0.3
Cincinnati+17.3
+0.5
Pittsburgh-2.8
Miami-0.3
Cleveland-1.6
Houston-16.7
-0.6
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore-1.2
New Orleans+7.5
Cincinnati-1.8
Pittsburgh-2.1
Atlanta-8.9
Miami-1.1
Cleveland+9.3
+0.3
Carolina+1.3
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City-1.1
Baltimore+10.2
+1.0
New Orleans-7.8
-0.2
Cincinnati-1.7
Pittsburgh-1.8
Atlanta+5.6
Miami-1.5
Cleveland-1.4
Carolina+2.2
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+3.0
+1.3
Kansas City-17.8
-3.8
Baltimore+2.2
+0.4
Miami+2.0
+0.3
San Diego+2.9
+0.2
Denver 39 Miami 36
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+10.9
+1.6
Miami-16.2
-1.4
Cleveland+1.0
Seattle 19 Arizona 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-0.8
-1.1
Philadelphia-1.7
Dallas-2.9
Seattle+13.7
+0.8
Detroit-3.6
San Francisco-3.3
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia-2.0
-0.2
Dallas+8.5
+0.8
Seattle-1.2
Detroit-2.6
San Francisco-1.6
NY GiantsOut
*No
San Francisco 17 Washington 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia-0.9
Dallas-1.4
Seattle-0.9
Detroit-1.9
San Francisco+6.3
WashingtonOut
New England 34 Detroit 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+2.1
+1.1
Dallas+0.2
Seattle+2.3
Detroit-4.1
-0.7
Miami-0.8
-0.4
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay+4.2
+1.4
Seattle-1.5
San Francisco-0.9
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay-0.5
Philadelphia+3.8
+0.4
Dallas-0.6
Seattle-0.8
Detroit-0.7
San Francisco-1.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City-0.6
Baltimore-0.4
Cleveland-0.6
San Diego+3.4
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+3.1
+0.3
Houston-1.7
JacksonvilleOut
No
Buffalo 38 NY Jets 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati-0.1
Buffalo+0.9
Week of 11/27
San Francisco vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle39.452.777.4
2.33.05.4
San Francisco57.532.517.3
1.30.60.3
Pittsburgh vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore57.461.763.0
4.65.25.3
New Orleans46.866.868.3
0.81.11.2
Pittsburgh53.137.729.1
1.70.90.7
Atlanta40.426.225.7
0.50.30.3
Carolina12.76.86.0
Baltimore vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore71.558.335.3
6.14.72.4
San Diego12.427.742.9
0.30.81.3
Detroit vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia75.682.281.2
6.16.46.4
Dallas74.283.581.0
5.15.55.4
Seattle58.558.167.0
4.03.84.2
Detroit70.548.234.3
1.91.00.7
San Francisco32.637.239.5
0.70.70.8
NY GiantsOut*Out0.0
Dallas vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia65.787.691.8
4.37.48.5
Dallas89.383.560.0
6.95.52.9
Detroit59.051.260.6
1.61.31.6
Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver82.489.998.4
6.4*8.311.0
Kansas City78.756.644.1
6.23.01.9
Tampa Bay vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore63.757.357.4
5.34.64.7
Cincinnati31.247.163.1
0.61.21.8
Pittsburgh48.0*43.841.9
1.4*1.31.2
NY Jets vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh48.147.243.0
1.41.41.3
Miami9.317.738.6
0.40.71.9
Buffalo vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland15.337.342.8
0.41.01.2
Buffalo10.54.70.6
0.30.10.0
Atlanta vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans45.660.861.6
0.81.01.1
Atlanta46.731.326.4
0.50.40.3
Green Bay vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay96.894.288.2
17.715.713.4
Minnesota vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans57.156.551.3
1.01.00.9
Atlanta37.036.930.8
Carolina5.86.617.8
Houston vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis92.3*93.898.8
6.16.16.4
Houston13.06.61.7
0.20.10.0
Indianapolis vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis95.588.287.4
6.55.75.1
Houston9.314.314.9
0.20.30.3
WashingtonOut*Out0.0
Jacksonville vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY GiantsOut*Out0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.