"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

National Football League Playoff Chances

New Orleans +20.0, Carolina -18.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Denver26-1-0.8578292.8%+0.116.9%-0.052157212532110000002.6+0.011.678at New EnglandDenver Broncos
Detroit16-2-0.7503691.6+0.010.2-0.3272318213952100000003.2-0.0115.612Detroit Lions
Arizona26-1-0.8572588.7+0.07.5-0.330221739863110000003.2-0.022.569at DallasArizona Cardinals
Indianapolis15-3-0.6256386.7+0.08.1-0.072022341223322100003.9+0.016.641Indianapolis Colts
New OrleansWCarolina 28-1014-4-0.5002985.5+20.03.8+1.91413670012333210004.7+1.5219.569New Orleans Saints
Dallas16-2-0.7504685.5+0.18.9-0.32218121211284210000003.9-0.0112.616ArizonaDallas Cowboys
New England16-2-0.7506175.9+0.18.0-0.015181815456654310004.3+0.019.642DenverNew England Patriots
Baltimore15-3-0.6258674.7-0.511.9-0.271820156875543100004.7-0.0416.711at PittsburghBaltimore Ravens
Philadelphia25-2-0.7144774.3+0.66.6-0.211151541514117421000004.7+0.025.611at HoustonPhiladelphia Eagles
Green Bay15-3-0.6253161.9+0.03.4-0.25911416171510632100005.7-0.0211.575Green Bay Packers
Kansas City24-3-0.5714852.6+0.23.4+0.0643123151210876410006.6+0.017.627NY JetsKansas City Chiefs
San Diego15-3-0.6255647.2+0.23.2+0.04321211714121086400006.9+0.0110.646at MiamiSan Diego Chargers
Seattle24-3-0.5712246.0+0.02.0-0.13582121617151063210006.6+0.018.558OaklandSeattle Seahawks
Pittsburgh15-3-0.625937.8-0.71.1-0.03663911131211109610007.3-0.0617.523BaltimorePittsburgh Steelers
San Francisco24-3-0.571-731.9-0.70.7-0.11342913141513107431107.8-0.023.481St. LouisSan Francisco 49ers
Buffalo15-3-0.6251330.5+0.10.9136957891213141310008.1+0.0113.536Buffalo Bills
Houston14-4-0.5001928.4+0.10.9+0.01348589111112131320008.2+0.0118.552PhiladelphiaHouston Texans
Cincinnati24-2-1.643-327.8-0.50.6-0.024437910101112131510008.2-0.044.492JacksonvilleCincinnati Bengals
Miami24-3-0.5712326.3+0.11.02356479101213141320008.3+0.0120.560San DiegoMiami Dolphins
Cleveland24-3-0.5711119.2+0.70.5+0.01332478101213152020009.0+0.0725.530Tampa BayCleveland Browns
NY Giants23-4-0.429-1510.3+0.00.1-0.00010369131515121075319.8+0.0714.460New York Giants
CarolinaLNew Orleans 10-283-5-1.389-598.0-18.00.0-0.200080013710141515149411.5-1.8723.361Carolina Panthers
Atlanta12-6-0.250-297.0-2.00.1-0.000070012461013161916712.330.430Atlanta Falcons
Minnesota13-5-0.375-343.7+0.20.0-0.0000012710141414131284110.6+0.1424.400WashingtonMinnesota Vikings
Chicago13-5-0.375-422.7-0.10.0-0.0000012471012131414117411.4+0.0122.397Chicago Bears
Washington13-5-0.375-292.3+0.00.0-0.000000136912131414129411.6+0.0921.424at MinnesotaWashington Redskins
Tampa Bay21-6-0.143-900.3-0.20.000000000012359176315.2+0.0232.306at ClevelandTampa Bay Buccaneers
St. Louis22-5-0.286-740.3+0.00.00000000123581219341613.9+0.0626.331at San FranciscoSt. Louis Rams
Tennessee12-6-0.250-650.1+0.00.000000000012658219213.327.329Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville11-7-0.125-1000.00.0000000000011130392014.729.260at CincinnatiJacksonville Jaguars
NY Jets11-7-0.125-840.00.0000000000011736301514.428.300at Kansas CityNew York Jets
Oakland20-7-0.000-760.00.000000000000312226315.431.307at SeattleOakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/30
Carolina 10 New Orleans 28
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit-0.1
Arizona-0.1
New Orleans+13.6
+0.5
Dallas-0.1
Philadelphia-0.1
Green Bay-0.1
Carolina-12.7
-0.1
Atlanta-0.9
Tampa Bay-0.1
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore55.573.885.5
7.5*11.914.4
Pittsburgh59.136.525.8
2.20.90.5
Cincinnati27.931.027.8
0.70.70.5
Houston vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis82.983.590.5
7.97.88.4
Philadelphia65.878.582.7
5.37.07.9
Green Bay63.561.060.2
3.5*3.43.3
Seattle47.445.744.6
2.1*2.02.0
San Francisco33.530.330.3
Houston37.827.119.0
1.30.80.6
Miami vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England74.476.977.3
7.88.18.1
Kansas City53.850.651.5
3.63.33.3
San Diego31.547.661.2
1.9*3.34.3
Miami38.425.515.5
1.50.90.6
Kansas City vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City56.540.032.4
3.72.21.8
San Diego46.450.951.0
3.13.53.5
Pittsburgh37.438.940.1
Cincinnati27.428.330.1
NY Jets0.0Out0.0
NY Giants vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis79.681.591.0
6.57.09.1
Houston32.231.326.1
1.11.10.8
NY Giants16.211.56.7
0.2*0.20.1
New England vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver89.094.097.2
14.617.219.4
New England84.878.565.8
9.97.85.7
Buffalo28.429.932.9
0.8*0.91.0
Miami24.624.828.2
0.90.91.1
San Francisco vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia73.476.176.4
6.6*6.76.7
Green Bay60.864.064.4
3.4*3.53.5
Seattle44.748.349.0
2.02.12.1
San Francisco37.723.317.9
0.80.40.3
Seattle vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia73.675.776.5
6.6*6.76.8
Green Bay60.965.465.5
3.43.53.6
Seattle50.037.731.4
2.31.51.2
San Francisco31.232.434.4
OaklandNo*No0.0
Dallas vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona84.690.595.4
6.37.89.4
Dallas91.986.775.0
10.58.76.4
Cincinnati vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore73.973.977.3
11.811.712.3
Pittsburgh37.237.340.1
1.11.11.2
Cincinnati31.924.013.8
0.70.50.2
Cleveland vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh37.239.039.8
Cleveland22.016.910.0
0.60.50.3
Minnesota vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota5.82.41.2
Washington0.82.14.2
Week of 11/6
Buffalo vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England74.476.377.2
7.9*8.18.1
Kansas City36.649.566.6
2.12.94.6
Buffalo44.0*30.618.6
1.4*0.90.5
New Orleans vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans90.186.177.2
4.2*3.83.2
Philadelphia75.475.372.1
6.66.86.6
Green Bay63.662.858.8
3.43.53.4
Seattle47.346.843.6
San Francisco24.430.245.7
0.40.61.1
Carolina5.68.712.4
Atlanta5.35.410.2
Green Bay vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay69.360.542.2
4.03.11.9
Seattle44.744.449.4
2.0*2.02.2
San Francisco30.831.434.8
Chicago1.01.57.2
Philadelphia vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans87.184.480.3
3.9*3.83.7
Philadelphia78.472.959.8
7.26.14.6
Green Bay61.162.564.5
3.3*3.53.6
Seattle45.346.548.2
2.0*2.12.2
San Francisco31.230.934.4
0.6*0.60.7
Carolina5.99.415.5
Detroit vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit94.889.586.6
11.29.48.6
New England77.676.373.3
8.1*8.07.7
Green Bay60.761.563.7
3.2*3.53.8
Buffalo31.530.228.9
Miami19.626.936.9
0.7*1.01.5
Seattle vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay61.064.863.5
3.33.53.5
Seattle54.540.829.6
2.51.71.2
NY Giants5.111.520.2
0.10.20.3
Cincinnati vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore74.272.475.2
11.811.512.0
Cincinnati38.4*27.815.7
0.90.50.3
Cleveland9.722.430.0
0.20.60.9
NY Jets vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore76.7*74.873.7
12.2*11.911.7
San Diego49.648.446.0
3.3*3.23.1
Pittsburgh22.830.445.0
0.60.81.4
Cincinnati29.829.126.9
Baltimore vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore77.866.256.0
12.610.47.7
Kansas City52.2*52.455.0
3.4*3.53.8
Pittsburgh37.439.840.7
1.11.31.4
Cincinnati27.331.131.0
0.60.70.7
Cleveland18.721.021.7
0.50.60.7
Jacksonville vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas74.884.288.2
6.98.49.4
Philadelphia76.674.073.7
7.3*6.66.5
Arizona vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona91.784.778.7
8.06.65.7
Seattle45.346.348.2
2.0*2.12.3
San Francisco31.3*32.134.0
0.60.70.8
Oakland vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver84.190.395.0
13.415.517.7
Oakland0.0*NoNo
Tampa Bay vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans88.388.183.5
4.04.03.8
Atlanta3.34.49.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.