National Football League Playoff Chances

Green Bay +31.7, Jacksonville -58.8
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Baltimore13-4-0.765203In32.0%-0.81001.01.789Baltimore Ravens
San FranciscoLLA Rams 20-2112-5-0.706193In29.2-2.01001.03.773San Francisco 49ers
DallasWWashington 38-1012-5-0.706184In14.4+2.31002.0+0.356.758Dallas Cowboys
BuffaloWMiami 21-1411-6-0.647140In+30.310.8+4.91002.0+2.8810.715Buffalo Bills
DetroitWMinnesota 30-2012-5-0.70666In2.5-0.11003.0-0.038.599Detroit Lions
Kansas CityWLA Chargers 13-1211-6-0.64777In3.0-0.81003.011.636Kansas City Chiefs
Houston10-7-0.58824In1.2+0.21004.0+1.4614.541Houston Texans
Tampa BayWCarolina 9-09-8-0.52923In+25.71.4+0.51004.0+1.3318.541Tampa Bay Buccaneers
ClevelandLCincinnati 14-3111-6-0.64734In1.0-0.61005.02.556Cleveland Browns
PhiladelphiaLNY Giants 10-2711-6-0.6475In0.6-0.51005.0-0.339.508Philadelphia Eagles
MiamiLBuffalo 14-2111-6-0.647105In2.2-2.31006.0-2.0615.650Miami Dolphins
LA RamsWSan Francisco 21-2010-7-0.58827In+0.00.8+0.11006.0+0.505.544Los Angeles Rams
Pittsburgh10-7-0.588-20In+28.50.2+0.01007.0+0.074.462Pittsburgh Steelers
Green BayWChicago 17-99-8-0.52933In+31.70.7+0.11007.0+0.3917.556Green Bay Packers
CincinnatiWCleveland 31-149-8-0.529-18OutNo1008.0+2.737.470Cincinnati Bengals
SeattleWArizona 21-209-8-0.529-38Out-21.1No-0.01008.0+0.3213.438Seattle Seahawks
JacksonvilleLTennessee 20-289-8-0.5296Out-58.8No-0.61009.0-2.9412.510Jacksonville Jaguars
New OrleansWAtlanta 48-179-8-0.52975Out-25.4No-0.41009.0-0.7322.625New Orleans Saints
Indianapolis9-8-0.529-19OutNo10010.0-0.8916.470Indianapolis Colts
MinnesotaLDetroit 20-307-10-0.412-18Out-2.6No-0.010010.0+0.0620.469Minnesota Vikings
Las VegasWDenver 27-148-9-0.4711OutNo10011.019.502Las Vegas Raiders
ChicagoLGreen Bay 9-177-10-0.412-19OutNo10011.0-0.6628.468Chicago Bears
DenverLLas Vegas 14-278-9-0.471-56OutNo10012.0-1.2521.409Denver Broncos
AtlantaLNew Orleans 17-487-10-0.412-52Out-8.2No-0.110012.0-1.2031.409Atlanta Falcons
NY JetsWNew England 17-37-10-0.412-87OutNo10013.0+0.4223.340New York Jets
NY GiantsWPhiladelphia 27-106-11-0.353-141OutNo10013.024.267New York Giants
TennesseeWJacksonville 28-206-11-0.353-62OutNo10014.0+0.3025.390Tennessee Titans
WashingtonLDallas 10-384-13-0.235-189OutNo10014.0+0.3730.242Washington Commanders
LA ChargersLKansas City 12-135-12-0.294-52OutNo10015.0-0.1727.414Los Angeles Chargers
ArizonaLSeattle 20-214-13-0.235-125OutNo10015.0-0.3726.309Arizona Cardinals
New EnglandLNY Jets 3-174-13-0.235-120OutNo10016.0-0.5529.279New England Patriots
CarolinaLTampa Bay 0-92-15-0.118-180OutNo10016.032.212Carolina Panthers

We use the real NFL tiebreakers, except for net touchdowns (the last).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/21
LA Rams 30 New Orleans 22
8:15 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit-0.1
LA Rams+29.6
+0.2
Seattle-5.5
New Orleans-23.4
-0.4
Minnesota-1.7
Tampa Bay 30 Jacksonville 12
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo+3.9
+0.2
Tampa Bay+11.5
Jacksonville-14.5
-0.2
New Orleans-7.6
Atlanta-3.6
Pittsburgh 34 Cincinnati 11
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo+5.7
+0.3
Pittsburgh+5.0
Cincinnati-25.1
Indianapolis+5.1
Houston 22 Cleveland 36
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo+5.6
+0.4
Houston-24.1
-0.3
Cleveland+6.7
+0.3
Jacksonville+4.4
Minnesota 24 Detroit 30
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
DetroitIn
+0.2
LA Rams+5.0
Seattle+11.4
Minnesota-22.4
-0.3
Tennessee 17 Seattle 20
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit-0.3
LA Rams-9.0
Seattle+19.6
Minnesota-4.3
Atlanta 29 Indianapolis 10
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo+4.9
+0.3
Jacksonville+3.7
Indianapolis-13.6
Atlanta+4.1
Denver 23 New England 26
8:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver-14.7
Kansas City 14 Las Vegas 20
1:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City-2.3
-1.2
Las Vegas+12.9
LA Chargers 22 Buffalo 24
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo+12.3
+0.8
Houston-2.1
Indianapolis-2.5
LA Chargers*Out
Carolina 30 Green Bay 33
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay+6.2
Seattle-2.8
Miami 22 Dallas 20
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
MiamiIn
+1.3
Chicago 27 Arizona 16
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago+0.4
Philadelphia 33 NY Giants 25
4:30 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY GiantsOut
No
Week of 12/30
Seattle 23 Pittsburgh 30
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
LA Rams+11.5
Pittsburgh+10.2
Cincinnati-9.6
Seattle-28.5
Minnesota+7.8
Minnesota 10 Green Bay 33
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
LA Rams-3.2
Green Bay+38.0
+0.2
Seattle-6.1
Minnesota-27.6
-0.2
Indianapolis 23 Las Vegas 20
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston-0.6
Jacksonville-4.0
Indianapolis+20.8
Las VegasOut
No
Tampa Bay 13 New Orleans 23
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Tampa Bay-15.3
-0.2
New Orleans+14.7
+0.2
Minnesota-3.1
Atlanta+5.0
NY Giants 25 LA Rams 26
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
LA Rams+16.7
+0.2
Green Bay-2.2
Seattle-4.4
Minnesota-5.7
Chicago-0.4
Kansas City 25 Cincinnati 17
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas CityIn
Cincinnati-12.2
Jacksonville+2.8
Indianapolis+3.0
Houston 26 Tennessee 3
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston+13.3
Jacksonville-4.5
Indianapolis-5.1
Jacksonville 26 Carolina 0
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston-3.6
Jacksonville+9.3
Indianapolis-3.5
Buffalo 27 New England 21
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo+6.8
+0.6
Houston-1.7
Pittsburgh-1.0
Indianapolis-1.6
Denver 16 LA Chargers 9
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+3.6
Chicago 37 Atlanta 17
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago+0.4
Baltimore 56 Miami 19
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami-3.0
Week of 1/6
Tennessee 28 Jacksonville 20
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
BuffaloIn
+1.5
PittsburghIn
JacksonvilleOut
No
Indianapolis 19 Houston 23
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
HoustonIn
+0.4
IndianapolisOut
No
Baltimore 10 Pittsburgh 17
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo-25.9
-1.1
Pittsburgh+48.3
Jacksonville-22.4
Green Bay 17 Chicago 9
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green BayIn
+0.3
SeattleOut
No
New OrleansOut
No
Carolina 0 Tampa Bay 9
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Tampa BayIn
+0.3
New Orleans-14.7
-0.3
AtlantaOut
No
Arizona 20 Seattle 21
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle+15.8
New OrleansOut
No
New Orleans 48 Atlanta 17
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay-3.4
New Orleans+5.1
MinnesotaOut
No
Detroit 30 Minnesota 20
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
MinnesotaOut
No

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Patrick B for adding this league.