ML PM League Title Chances 2013-2014 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												UEFA CL			Chance will finish season at seed																						Down to Championship
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Chelsea	66		20	-	6	-	3	34	58.4	%	+12.1	99.4	%	+2.3	58	25	12	5	1	0	0														1.6	+0.32	No			1	Chelsea
Man City	57	3	18	-	3	-	5	42	17.0		-4.5	89.6		+1.1	17	28	24	21	7	2	1	0	0	0											2.8	-0.06	No			2	Manchester City
Liverpool	59	1	18	-	5	-	5	38	12.6		-3.5	88.0		+1.5	13	23	28	24	8	3	1	0	0												3.0	-0.05	No			3	Liverpool
Arsenal	59	1	18	-	5	-	5	24	11.5		-3.1	86.5		+1.7	12	22	27	26	9	3	1	0	0												3.1	-0.04	No			4	Arsenal

Tottenham	53		16	-	5	-	8	0	0.2		-1.0	18.6		-10.1	0	1	5	12	33	28	15	4	1	0	0										5.5	-0.47	No			6	Tottenham Hotspur
Everton	48	2	13	-	9	-	5	11	0.1		-0.1	11.0		+0.5	0	1	3	7	22	27	25	12	4	0	0	0	0	0							6.1	-0.05	No			5	Everton
Man United	48	1	14	-	6	-	8	15	0.0		+0.0	6.2		+2.9	0	0	1	5	16	25	31	16	5	0	0	0	0	0							6.5	+0.39	No			7	Manchester United
Newcastle	43	1	13	-	4	-	11	-2	0.0			0.5		+0.0	0	0	0	0	3	8	17	37	27	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			8.0	-0.13	0.0	%		9	Newcastle United
Southampton	42		11	-	9	-	9	4	No			0.1		+0.0		0	0	0	1	3	10	27	42	11	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			8.6	+0.43	0.0		-0.0	8	Southampton
West Ham	31	1	8	-	7	-	13	-4	No			No		-0.0					0	0	0	1	5	17	16	14	12	10	8	7	5	3	2	0	12.7	+0.12	5.5		-0.7	14	West Ham United
Aston Villa	31	1	8	-	7	-	13	-7	No			No							0	0	0	1	5	17	16	14	12	10	8	7	5	3	2	1	12.8	+0.13	5.5		-0.8	12	Aston Villa
Hull	30	1	8	-	6	-	14	-5	No			No							0	0	0	0	3	14	14	13	12	11	10	8	7	5	3	1	13.3	+0.15	8.3		-1.0	11	Hull City
Stoke	31		7	-	10	-	12	-14	No			No								0	0	0	2	10	12	13	13	12	11	9	8	5	3	1	13.6	-0.05	9.7		-0.8	10	Stoke City
Swansea	29	1	7	-	8	-	13	-4	No			No							0	0	0	0	2	10	12	12	12	11	11	10	8	7	4	1	13.9	+0.16	12.0		-1.3	13	Swansea City
Norwich	29		7	-	8	-	14	-22	No			No								0	0	0	1	4	7	9	10	11	12	12	12	10	7	3	15.0	-0.08	20.9		-0.6	15	Norwich City
Crystal Palace	27	1	8	-	3	-	17	-19	No			No								0	0	0	1	4	6	8	9	10	11	12	12	12	9	5	15.3	-0.68	25.7		+6.3	18	Crystal Palace
Sunderland	24	3	6	-	6	-	14	-16	No			No							0	0	0	0	1	5	7	8	9	10	10	11	11	12	11	6	15.4	+0.16	28.9		-2.0	17	Sunderland

West Brom	25	1	4	-	13	-	11	-11	No			No									0	0	0	2	4	5	6	8	9	11	13	15	16	9	16.3	-0.66	40.4		+8.8	16	West Bromwich Albion
Cardiff	25		6	-	7	-	16	-28	No			No										0	0	1	1	2	4	5	7	10	13	17	23	16	17.3	+0.85	56.5		-15.4	20	Cardiff City
Fulham	21		6	-	3	-	20	-36	No			No											0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	10	21	56	19.0	-0.45	86.6		+7.4	19	Fulham

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 3/8
Chelsea 4 Tottenham 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	+12.4		+2.4				+0.3
Man City	-4.6		+1.7
Liverpool	-3.5		+2.2
Arsenal	-3.2		+2.3
Tottenham	-1.0		-9.8				-0.4
Everton			+0.8
Man United			+0.4

West Brom 0 Man United 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Man City			-0.6
Liverpool			-0.6
Arsenal			-0.5
Tottenham			-0.5
Everton			-0.2				-0.1
Man United			+2.5				+0.4
Newcastle							-0.1
West Ham					-0.6
Aston Villa					-0.6		+0.1
Hull					-0.7		+0.1
Stoke					-0.7		+0.1
Swansea					-0.9		+0.1
Norwich					-1.3		+0.1
Crystal Palace					-1.2		+0.1
Sunderland					-1.5		+0.1
West Brom					+10.1		-0.8
Cardiff					-1.6
Fulham					-1.1

Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton							+0.5
West Ham					-0.4
Aston Villa					-0.4
Hull					-0.5
Stoke					-0.6
Swansea					-0.7
Norwich					-1.1		+0.1
Crystal Palace					+8.0		-0.8
Sunderland					-1.0
West Brom					-1.1		+0.1
Cardiff					-1.2
Fulham					-1.0

Cardiff 3 Fulham 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Ham					+0.2
Hull					+0.2
Stoke					+0.3
Swansea					+0.4
Norwich					+0.4
Crystal Palace					+0.5
Sunderland					+0.7
West Brom					+0.7
Cardiff					-13.0		+0.7
Fulham					+9.4		-0.6

Norwich 1 Stoke 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Stoke					+0.2		-0.2
Swansea					-0.2
Norwich					+1.2		-0.2
Crystal Palace					*-0.2
Sunderland					-0.2
West Brom					*-0.1
Cardiff					-0.2
Fulham					*-0.2

Week of 3/15
Aston Villa vs ChelseaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	48.155.970.4		98.999.499.9				1.91.71.4
Man City	21.118.012.3						2.82.82.9
Liverpool	15.813.49.0						3.03.03.1
Arsenal	14.412.28.2						3.13.13.2
Aston Villa					1.95.69.0		11.912.913.5

Hull vs Man CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	62.559.953.5						1.61.61.7
Man City	10.914.824.6		84.889.194.8				3.22.92.5
Liverpool	13.713.011.4		88.688.187.4				3.03.03.1
Tottenham			20.218.817.0
Everton			12.211.29.8
Hull					3.38.613.0		12.413.514.1

Man United vs LiverpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	61.459.754.6						1.61.61.7
Man City	18.017.415.7		89.290.089.8				2.82.82.9
Liverpool	7.510.719.1		81.3*88.094.6				3.43.12.6
Arsenal	12.611.910.3		86.486.986.3				3.13.13.2
Tottenham			20.019.216.9				5.55.45.4
Man United			11.24.62.4				6.16.66.9

Tottenham vs ArsenalHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	61.259.654.9		99.299.599.5				1.61.61.7
Liverpool	13.613.011.4		86.388.789.2				3.03.03.1
Arsenal	6.79.717.6		77.787.294.9				3.53.22.7
Tottenham	0.50.10.0		30.215.59.1				5.05.65.9

Everton vs CardiffHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Man City			88.290.190.7
Liverpool			86.688.589.0
Arsenal			84.887.087.8
Everton			17.29.16.2				5.76.26.5
Swansea					10.911.713.3		13.813.813.9
Norwich					19.320.522.8		14.915.015.1
Crystal Palace					24.025.427.8		15.215.315.4
Sunderland					27.228.430.9		15.315.315.5
West Brom					38.439.842.9		16.216.316.4
Cardiff					68.659.842.2		18.017.516.5

Fulham vs NewcastleHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Newcastle			0.10.31.0				8.38.17.6
Cardiff					57.756.155.5		17.417.317.2
Fulham					78.489.293.1		18.619.219.4

Southampton vs NorwichHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton							8.38.79.0
Norwich					30.122.210.9		15.815.214.0
Crystal Palace					24.525.527.1		15.215.315.4
Sunderland					27.828.830.2		15.315.315.5
West Brom					39.040.342.0		16.216.316.4
Cardiff					54.956.358.3		17.217.317.4

Swansea vs West BromHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Swansea					4.6*12.019.5		12.914.014.8
West Brom					52.942.926.4		17.116.515.3

Sunderland vs Crystal PalaceHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Crystal Palace					37.226.813.6		16.215.514.3
Sunderland					17.030.239.9		14.415.516.3

Stoke vs West HamHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Down to Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Ham					9.2*5.51.7		13.612.911.8
Stoke					3.710.015.5		12.613.814.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you ml for adding this league.