"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/8100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Cardiff 3 Fulham 1 -13.0
+0.7
West Brom 0 Man United 3 -1.6
+0.1
Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1 -1.2
+0.1
Norwich 1 Stoke 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton vs Cardiff+12.1+3.3-14.3
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Southampton vs Norwich-1.6-0.2+1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fulham vs Newcastle+1.3-0.3-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Swansea vs West Brom-1.0-0.5+1.3
Hull vs Man City+0.9*-0.1-0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Aston Villa vs Chelsea+0.6*-0.0-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Stoke vs West Ham+0.5*-0.1-0.4
Sunderland vs Crystal Palace*+0.1-0.5+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardiff finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
529-0-0NoNo949384No1,181
508-1-0NoNo121542130No3,865
498-0-1NoNo0105032710No5,707
487-2-0NoNo05394014200No10,149
477-1-1NoNo01234127810No30,673
467-0-2NoNo010313518510No22,887
6-3-0NoNo012353415300No15,719
456-2-1NoNo042035271120000.0%71,004
446-1-2NoNo01824332492000.0106,487
5-4-0NoNo0110273420610No15,872
435-3-1NoNo03132931185100.194,351
6-0-3NoNo021025322181000.153,347
425-2-2NoNo004152930164100.5212,856
4-5-0NoNo016183228123000.210,259
415-1-3NoNo0015163030153003.6213,249
4-4-1NoNo0016203227112002.378,602
404-3-2NoNo001722342691010.3235,539
5-0-4NoNo0015183329122014.180,650
3-6-0NoNo02102633227107.34,726
394-2-3NoNo00292535236028.8354,794
3-5-1NoNo0002112834194023.241,744
384-1-4NoNo000212313716154.5267,145
3-4-2NoNo000315333413148.4158,179*
373-3-3NoNo0015224128472.9314,321
4-0-5NoNo004194032577.580,917
2-6-1NoNo017254024367.213,793
363-2-4NoNo0011035441189.2355,586
2-5-2NoNo02123740986.463,077*
353-1-5NoNo00323532296.8213,739
2-4-3NoNo000425511995.7157,435
1-7-1NoNo00530491694.92,688
342-3-4NoNo00114533399.0235,864
3-0-6NoNo0112523599.253,606
1-6-2NoNo0216523198.413,983*
332-2-5NoNo006474799.8213,107
1-5-3NoNo007484599.742,173*
322-1-6NoNo023761100.0106,447
1-4-4NoNo033859100.079,624*
311-3-5NoNo012871100.094,500
2-0-7NoNo12773Yes22,860
0-6-3NoNo12969Yes4,678
301-2-6NoNo02080Yes70,985
0-5-4NoNo02079Yes10,392
291-1-7NoNo01387Yes30,795
0-4-5NoNo01387Yes15,529
280-3-6NoNo991Yes15,814
1-0-8NoNo0793Yes5,683
270-2-7NoNo595Yes9,890
260-1-8NoNo298Yes3,776
250-0-9NoNo199Yes1,233
Total:NoNo00112457101317231656.5%4,321,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship