Norcal Girls U14 NPL 1 West Title Chances 2017Fall 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												NPL Champions League			Chance will finish season at seed											NPL 2
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

MVLA 04G Barcel	9	3	3	-	0	-	0	3	62.6	%	+3.4	94.0	%	+0.1	63	17	9	5	3	2	1	0	0	1.8	+0.06	0.2	%	+0.0	1	MVLA 04G Barcelona White
Pleasanton RAGE	8	1	2	-	2	-	1	1	6.4		-3.2	63.9		-2.9	6	21	19	18	14	11	7	3	0	3.9	-0.17	3.6		-0.9	3	Pleasanton RAGE 04 ECNL
Palo Alto SC 04	9		2	-	3	-	1	0	6.8		-3.6	58.7		-4.8	7	13	19	19	19	15	6	1	0	4.1	-0.21	1.0		-1.1	6	Palo Alto SC 04G Blue
Santa Rosa Unit	5	3	1	-	2	-	0	1	12.3		+0.8	56.6		-0.3	12	16	15	13	12	11	9	7	4	4.2	-0.01	10.5		+0.8	2	Santa Rosa United 04G ECNL

San Jose Earthq	6	2	2	-	0	-	2	4	5.2		+3.2	51.9		+21.5	5	16	16	15	14	13	11	8	2	4.5	+1.30	10.0		-18.8	4	San Jose Earthquakes Pre-DA 05G
California Thor	5	2	1	-	2	-	1	1	4.9		+0.7	36.8		-0.6	5	9	10	13	14	16	17	13	4	5.2		16.3		-0.5	7	California Thorns U14 Academy 2
Barcelona Bay A	4	2	1	-	1	-	2	0	1.2		+0.2	24.4		-0.2	1	6	8	10	12	16	19	19	9	6.0		28.2		-0.2	5	Barcelona Bay Area 04G NPL

Santa Clara Spo	2	2	0	-	2	-	2	-5	0.3		-1.5	7.3		-12.6	0	1	2	4	6	10	17	26	34	7.5	-0.98	60.3		+20.1	8	Santa Clara Sporting 04G Green
Force North 04G	0	3	0	-	0	-	3	-5	0.4		+0.0	6.5		+0.0	0	1	2	3	5	7	12	23	47	7.8	+0.01	69.9		+0.5	9	Force North 04G NPL

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 10/7
Santa Clara Spo 3 California Thor 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	NPL Champions League	100.0*	NPL 2	100.0*	Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel	+1.7		+0.4				+0.0
Pleasanton RAGE	+0.4		+1.5		-0.3		+0.1
Palo Alto SC 04	+0.5		+1.3		-0.1		+0.1
Santa Rosa Unit	+0.2		+1.1		-0.3
San Jose Earthq	+0.2		+1.1		-0.2
California Thor	-2.0		-2.8		-0.6		-0.1
Barcelona Bay A			+1.1		-0.4
Santa Clara Spo	-1.1		-4.0		+2.4		-0.2
Force North 04G			+0.3		-0.6		+0.0

Week of 10/14
MVLA 04G Barcel vs Santa Rosa UnitIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	NPL Champions League	100.0*	NPL 2	100.0*	Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel	85.861.940.1		99.795.087.2		No0.00.5		1.21.82.4
Pleasanton RAGE	3.07.68.5		66.564.460.8		3.03.64.3		3.93.94.0
Palo Alto SC 04	3.87.98.5		61.159.155.8		0.91.01.0		4.04.04.1
Santa Rosa Unit	1.18.327.7		39.753.177.2		18.410.72.3		5.24.43.0
San Jose Earthq	2.66.46.7		54.152.249.3		9.3*10.010.7		4.44.54.6
California Thor	3.05.86.0		38.137.334.9		15.4*16.317.2		5.25.25.3
Barcelona Bay A	0.41.41.7		26.324.722.1		26.5*28.230.0		5.96.06.1
Santa Clara Spo	0.10.40.4		7.67.56.6		58.2*60.362.3		7.47.47.5
Force North 04G	0.20.40.5		6.86.76.0		68.269.871.7		7.77.77.8

Force North 04G vs Santa Clara SpoHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	NPL Champions League	100.0*	NPL 2	100.0*	Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel	62.462.862.4		93.994.493.6
Pleasanton RAGE	6.36.4*6.4		62.864.964.0		4.23.03.6		4.03.93.9
Palo Alto SC 04	*6.86.86.7		59.159.757.2		0.90.71.3		4.04.04.1
Santa Rosa Unit	12.212.4*12.2		56.357.555.8		10.79.611.1		4.34.24.3
San Jose Earthq	5.25.35.3		51.152.751.8		11.18.610.5		4.64.54.5
California Thor	*4.95.04.9		36.937.635.8		16.213.919.1		5.25.25.3
Barcelona Bay A			24.325.123.8		28.125.531.3		6.05.96.1
Santa Clara Spo	0.00.00.9		1.44.016.6		82.064.134.5		8.37.66.4
Force North 04G	1.00.10.0		14.14.21.4		46.574.588.4		6.87.98.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Geoff Stahl for adding this league.