Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleNPL Champions LeagueChance will finish season at seedNPL 2
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789Avg.Change%ChangeRPI11/4
MVLA 04G Barcel933-0-0362.6%+3.494.0%+0.1631795321001.8+0.060.2%+0.01Palo Alto SC 04MVLA 04G Barcelona White
Pleasanton RAGETPalo Alto SC 04 0-0812-2-116.4-3.263.9-2.9621191814117303.9-0.173.6-0.93at Force North 04GPleasanton RAGE 04 ECNL
Palo Alto SC 04TPleasanton RAGE 0-092-3-106.8-3.658.7-4.8713191919156104.1-0.211.0-1.16at MVLA 04G BarcelPalo Alto SC 04G Blue
Santa Rosa Unit531-2-0112.3+0.856.6-0.31216151312119744.2-0.0110.5+0.82at California ThorSanta Rosa United 04G ECNL
San Jose EarthqWSanta Clara Spo 5-1622-0-245.2+3.251.9+21.55161615141311824.5+1.3010.0-18.84San Jose Earthquakes Pre-DA 05G
California Thor521-2-114.9+0.736.8-0.65910131416171345.216.3-0.57Santa Rosa UnitCalifornia Thorns U14 Academy 2
Barcelona Bay A421-1-201.2+0.224.4-0.2168101216191996.028.2-0.25Santa Clara SpoBarcelona Bay Area 04G NPL
Santa Clara SpoLSan Jose Earthq 1-5220-2-2-50.3-1.57.3-12.601246101726347.5-0.9860.3+20.18at Barcelona Bay ASanta Clara Sporting 04G Green
Force North 04G030-0-3-50.4+0.06.5+0.00123571223477.8+0.0169.9+0.59Pleasanton RAGEForce North 04G NPL

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/7
Santa Clara Spo 3 California Thor 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel+1.7
+0.4
+0.0
Pleasanton RAGE+0.4
+1.5
-0.3
+0.1
Palo Alto SC 04+0.5
+1.3
-0.1
+0.1
Santa Rosa Unit+0.2
+1.1
-0.3
San Jose Earthq+0.2
+1.1
-0.2
California Thor-2.0
-2.8
-0.6
-0.1
Barcelona Bay A+1.1
-0.4
Santa Clara Spo-1.1
-4.0
+2.4
-0.2
Force North 04G+0.3
-0.6
+0.0
Week of 10/14
MVLA 04G Barcel vs Santa Rosa UnitIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel85.861.940.1
99.795.087.2
No0.00.5
1.21.82.4
Pleasanton RAGE3.07.68.5
66.564.460.8
3.03.64.3
3.93.94.0
Palo Alto SC 043.87.98.5
61.159.155.8
0.91.01.0
4.04.04.1
Santa Rosa Unit1.18.327.7
39.753.177.2
18.410.72.3
5.24.43.0
San Jose Earthq2.66.46.7
54.152.249.3
9.3*10.010.7
4.44.54.6
California Thor3.05.86.0
38.137.334.9
15.4*16.317.2
5.25.25.3
Barcelona Bay A0.41.41.7
26.324.722.1
26.5*28.230.0
5.96.06.1
Santa Clara Spo0.10.40.4
7.67.56.6
58.2*60.362.3
7.47.47.5
Force North 04G0.20.40.5
6.86.76.0
68.269.871.7
7.77.77.8
Force North 04G vs Santa Clara SpoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel62.462.862.4
93.994.493.6
Pleasanton RAGE6.36.4*6.4
62.864.964.0
4.23.03.6
4.03.93.9
Palo Alto SC 04*6.86.86.7
59.159.757.2
0.90.71.3
4.04.04.1
Santa Rosa Unit12.212.4*12.2
56.357.555.8
10.79.611.1
4.34.24.3
San Jose Earthq5.25.35.3
51.152.751.8
11.18.610.5
4.64.54.5
California Thor*4.95.04.9
36.937.635.8
16.213.919.1
5.25.25.3
Barcelona Bay A24.325.123.8
28.125.531.3
6.05.96.1
Santa Clara Spo0.00.00.9
1.44.016.6
82.064.134.5
8.37.66.4
Force North 04G1.00.10.0
14.14.21.4
46.574.588.4
6.87.98.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Geoff Stahl for adding this league.