Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleStateChance will finish season at seedRelegated
ThursdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829Avg.Change%ChangeRPI5/31
TonkaWFusion 2 30-5 Fusion 231-0-0255.5%+2.331.0%+9.7655555544444443333333322222111.9+2.589.1%-8.31Tonka
EaganEclipse at Eclipse010-0-003.2+0.021.2-0.03344444433444433344444444333014.5+0.0117.4-0.12Eagan
Oronoat Rev Academy 13010-0-003.2+0.021.3+0.13344444333444433344444444333014.5+0.0117.5-0.02Orono
Maplebrook010-0-003.2+0.021.3+0.03344444433444433344444444333014.5+0.0117.5-0.02Maplebrook
Edina010-0-003.2+0.021.3+0.13344444433444433344444444333014.5+0.0117.4-0.02Edina
EPSCat CC United CC United010-0-003.2+0.021.3+0.03344444433444433344444444333014.517.5+0.02EPSC
KeliixFusion 1 at STMA010-0-003.2+0.021.3+0.13344444433444433344444444333014.5+0.0117.4-0.02Keliix
SCV010-0-004.2-0.020.6-0.04443323455322345543233443444014.5+0.0118.6-0.02SCV
Rev Academy 13Orono010-0-003.3+0.021.2-0.03344444433444433344444444333014.517.5-0.02Rev Academy 13 Green
Fusion 1at Keliix010-0-003.2-0.021.2-0.13344444433444433344444444333014.517.5+0.02Fusion 1
North MetroMTA at Rev Academy 12010-0-004.3+0.020.5-0.14443323455322345543233443444014.5-0.0118.7+0.02North Metro
BlaineMU at MU010-0-003.2-0.121.2-0.13344444433444433344444444433014.517.4-0.02Blaine
Gitchi Gummi010-0-004.2+0.020.6+0.04443323455322345543233443444014.5-0.0118.7+0.12Gitchi Gummi
Prior Lake010-0-003.221.3+0.03344444333444433344444444333014.517.5+0.02at LakevillePrior Lake
Rev Academy 13Shakopee at Shakopee010-0-003.221.2-0.03344444433444433344444444333014.517.5+0.02Rev Academy 13 Black
Eclipseat Eagan Eagan010-0-003.2+0.021.2-0.13344444433444433344444444333014.5-0.0117.5+0.02Eclipse
North Oaksat Blackhawks010-0-004.2-0.120.6-0.04443323455322345543233443444014.5-0.0118.7+0.02North Oaks
RYSA010-0-003.2-0.021.2-0.13344444333444433344444444333014.5-0.0117.5+0.02RYSA
Shakopeeat Rev Academy 13 Rev Academy 13010-0-003.2-0.021.2-0.13344444433444433344444444333014.5-0.0117.5+0.02Shakopee
STMAKeliix010-0-003.2-0.021.2-0.03344444333444433344444444433014.5-0.0117.5+0.02STMA
Three Rivers010-0-003.2+0.021.2-0.03344444433444433344444444433014.5-0.0117.4-0.02Three Rivers
Lakeville010-0-003.2-0.021.2-0.13344444433444433344444444333014.5-0.0117.5-0.02Prior LakeLakeville
CC UnitedEPSC at EPSC010-0-003.2-0.021.2-0.03344444333444433344444444333014.5-0.0117.5+0.02CC United
MTAat North Metro010-0-005.1-0.023.7+0.05433444333333433333444333455014.519.5+0.02MTA
MUat Blaine Blaine010-0-003.2-0.021.1-0.13344444333444433344444444433014.5-0.0317.5+0.02MU
Rev Academy 12North Metro010-0-005.1-0.023.7+0.05433444333333433334444333455014.519.5-0.02Rev Academy 12 Black
BlackhawksNorth Oaks010-0-005.1-0.023.7-0.05433444333333433333444333455014.5-0.0119.5+0.02Blackhawks
Fusion 2LTonka 5-30 at Tonka00-0-1-251.2-2.112.2-9.11222233333344433444444555555017.0-2.4925.7+8.32Fusion 2
Woodbury Kind:010-0-00NoNo029829.0Yes2Woodbury Kind: High School

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/2
Edina vs TonkaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tonka2.13.99.2
19.227.643.3
14.59.73.6
14.412.59.3
Edina5.52.11.1
31.118.212.1
9.218.825.5
11.915.117.0
SCV*14.514.414.5
Fusion 117.7*17.417.3
Blaine3.3*3.33.1
Gitchi Gummi14.514.414.5
Prior Lake*3.33.43.1
Rev Academy 1314.514.4*14.5
Shakopee*3.23.43.1
*14.514.414.5
Lakeville*3.23.43.1
17.6*17.617.3
MTA5.2*5.25.0
MU3.3*3.33.1
Fusion 212.3*12.312.0
North Metro vs Gitchi GummiHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
North Metro7.23.11.5
30.716.111.1
9.520.027.7
11.715.417.2
Gitchi Gummi1.53.17.2
11.316.130.8
27.719.89.5
17.115.411.7
Keliix vs Three RiversHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Keliix5.52.21.2
30.918.112.2
9.118.725.6
11.915.217.0
Three Rivers1.12.25.5
12.218.030.9
25.518.99.1
17.015.211.9
Lakeville vs RYSAHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
RYSA1.12.15.5
12.218.030.8
25.618.79.2
17.015.211.9
Lakeville5.42.11.2
30.717.712.2
9.118.725.6
11.915.217.0
Lakeville vs EaganHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Eagan1.22.25.5
12.317.830.8
25.418.79.1
16.915.211.9
Lakeville5.42.11.2
30.718.012.1
9.118.725.6
11.915.217.0
Rev Academy 13 vs CC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Rev Academy 135.52.31.2
30.817.912.2
9.118.925.6
11.915.217.0
CC United1.12.15.5
12.217.730.9
25.618.99.1
17.015.211.9
Prior Lake vs ShakopeeHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Prior Lake5.52.21.2
30.917.912.2
9.118.925.6
11.915.217.0
Shakopee1.22.15.5
12.218.130.8
25.718.99.1
17.015.211.9
STMA vs MUHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
STMA5.42.21.1
30.818.012.2
9.218.725.5
11.915.117.0
MU1.22.15.4
12.117.930.7
25.719.09.1
17.015.211.9
Keliix vs MUHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Keliix5.52.11.2
30.918.212.3
9.118.825.6
11.915.217.0
MU1.22.15.4
12.217.830.7
25.518.99.2
17.015.211.9
Fusion 1 vs STMAHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Fusion 15.42.21.1
30.818.012.2
9.118.825.7
11.915.217.0
North Oaks*14.514.414.5
STMA1.12.05.4
12.117.730.9
25.719.09.1
17.015.211.9
Blaine vs MaplebrookHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Maplebrook1.22.25.5
12.317.930.9
25.618.79.1
16.915.211.9
Blaine5.42.11.1
30.717.812.2
9.118.725.5
11.915.217.0
Fusion 2 vs OronoHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tonka9.2*9.29.0
Eagan14.514.4*14.5
Orono1.22.15.5
12.418.230.9
25.718.79.0
17.015.211.9
SCV*14.514.414.5
Fusion 13.3*3.33.1
North Metro*14.514.414.5
Rev Academy 1317.716.9*17.4
14.514.414.5
North Oaks14.514.414.5
Three Rivers17.7*17.217.2
Lakeville*21.221.621.0
Fusion 22.10.60.3
19.29.45.7
14.628.036.4
14.417.719.4
Week of 5/9
Blackhawks vs MTAIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
MTA1.73.08.8
13.018.135.5
29.422.49.2
17.515.311.4
Blackhawks8.73.01.8
35.318.413.0
9.222.429.3
11.415.317.5
Orono vs TonkaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tonka2.23.89.2
19.227.343.4
14.59.73.6
14.412.59.3
Eagan*3.33.53.2
*14.514.414.5
Orono5.52.01.2
31.117.712.2
9.218.925.4
11.915.217.0
Keliix17.6*17.417.3
*14.514.414.5
SCV*4.34.54.1
18.8*18.518.5
*14.514.414.5
Rev Academy 1321.4*21.621.0
Blaine*21.321.621.0
Gitchi Gummi*14.514.414.5
Rev Academy 133.3*3.33.1
Eclipse17.7*17.617.3
North Oaks4.3*4.34.1
STMA*3.23.43.1
*21.321.721.0
*14.514.414.5
Three Rivers*3.33.53.2
Rev Academy 12*5.15.44.9
*14.514.414.5
Blackhawks*5.15.35.0
Fusion 212.3*12.312.0
SCV vs North MetroHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
SCV7.23.21.5
30.716.311.1
9.520.127.6
11.715.417.2
North Metro1.53.27.2
11.116.130.8
27.620.09.5
17.115.411.7
Three Rivers vs MaplebrookHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Maplebrook1.12.15.5
12.217.931.0
25.618.79.1
17.015.211.9
Three Rivers5.52.21.1
30.917.912.2
9.118.825.6
11.915.217.0
MTA*14.514.414.5
Eagan vs Prior LakeHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Eagan5.52.11.2
30.818.112.2
9.018.725.5
11.915.216.9
Prior Lake1.12.25.5
12.118.330.9
25.719.09.0
17.015.211.9
EPSC vs Rev Academy 13HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
EPSC5.52.11.2
30.918.012.2
9.119.125.6
11.915.217.0
Rev Academy 131.22.25.5
12.218.030.8
25.618.99.0
17.015.211.9
Eclipse vs LakevilleHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Eclipse5.52.21.2
30.817.812.2
9.118.825.6
11.915.217.0
Lakeville1.12.15.5
12.117.730.8
25.618.89.1
17.015.211.9
Eclipse vs ShakopeeHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gitchi Gummi14.514.414.5
Eclipse5.52.11.1
30.817.912.1
9.118.825.6
11.915.217.0
Shakopee1.12.15.5
12.217.930.9
25.619.09.1
17.015.211.9
Keliix vs STMAHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Keliix5.52.11.2
31.017.812.3
9.018.825.6
11.915.217.0
North Metro14.514.4*14.5
STMA1.12.15.5
12.117.930.8
25.618.99.1
17.015.211.9
CC United vs EdinaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Edina1.22.25.5
12.218.130.9
25.518.89.2
17.015.211.9
CC United5.52.11.1
30.918.012.2
9.118.725.7
11.915.117.0
MU vs STMAHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
STMA1.12.25.4
12.218.130.8
25.719.09.1
17.015.211.9
MU5.52.11.2
30.817.712.1
9.219.025.6
11.915.217.0
Three Rivers vs BlaineHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blaine1.12.15.4
12.117.830.8
25.618.99.1
17.015.211.9
Three Rivers5.52.11.2
30.818.112.2
9.118.925.5
11.915.217.0
Maplebrook vs Fusion 1HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Maplebrook5.52.21.2
30.917.912.2
9.119.025.6
11.915.217.0
Fusion 11.22.15.4
12.218.030.8
25.618.99.1
17.015.211.9
Rev Academy 13*14.514.414.5
Rev Academy 13 vs RYSAHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Rev Academy 135.52.21.2
30.818.112.2
9.218.825.7
11.915.217.0
RYSA1.22.25.4
12.318.030.8
25.619.09.0
17.015.211.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.