GYSA BU19/20 Classic II West Title Chances Fall2016 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed												Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

CFC Red Star -	32	2	6	-	1	-	0	34	69.1	%	+2.4	99.1	%	+4.5	69	30	1								1.3	+0.07	No			1	CFC Red Star - BU19 Elite
NTH NASA 98 Sel	30	2	6	-	0	-	1	8	30.5		+2.2	94.6		+8.4	30	64	5								1.7	+0.11	No			2	NTH NASA 98 Select

Ambush SC B98 Red	24	1	4	-	2	-	2	4	No			No					34	31	21	11	2				4.2	+0.84	No			3	Ambush SC B98 Red
Smyrna Soccer C	22	2	4	-	1	-	2	2	0.4		-4.6	6.3		-12.9	0	6	35	23	15	15	6				4.2	-0.81	No			5	Smyrna Soccer Club Select 1998 White 2 - BU19
Bryson Park - U	22	1	4	-	1	-	3	2	No			No					23	22	18	26	11				4.8	-0.26	No			4	Bryson Park - U19 Premier
SSA Chelsea 98B	20	1	4	-	0	-	4	10	No			No					1	15	27	30	27				5.7	+0.57	No		-1.4	7	SSA Chelsea 98B Select White
MAYS Striker 99	19	1	3	-	2	-	3	3	No			No					1	9	19	18	53				6.1	-0.42	No			6	MAYS Striker 99B Blue
SAF 98-99 Select	10	1	2	-	0	-	6	-11	No			No										58	42		8.4	+0.24	42.0	%	-25.5	9	SAF 98-99 Select

AFC Lightning 9	12		2	-	1	-	6	-23	No			No										42	58		8.6	-0.34	58.0		+26.9	8	AFC Lightning 98 Black
Georgia Knights	0	1	0	-	0	-	8	-29	No			No												100	10.0		Yes			10	Georgia Knights - BU19

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/10
Smyrna Soccer C 3 Georgia Knights 1
12:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
CFC Red Star -			-0.1
Smyrna Soccer C	+6.2		+10.2		-9.8		+1.0
SSA Chelsea 98B			-0.1
Georgia Knights	-5.5		-9.3		+9.7		-0.9

SSA Chelsea 98B 5 SAF 98-99 Select 1
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Chelsea 98B	+6.2		+10.2		-9.8		+1.0
SAF 98-99 Select	-5.5		-9.3		+9.7		-0.9
AFC Lightning 9			-0.1

Bryson Park - U 0 CFC Red Star - 4
10:45 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
CFC Red Star -	+6.2		+10.2		-9.8		+1.0
Bryson Park - U	-5.5		-9.3		+9.7		-0.9

Week of 9/17
Ambush SC B98 Red 2 Smyrna Soccer C 3
8:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
CFC Red Star -	-0.6		-0.6		-0.2
NTH NASA 98 Sel	-0.4		-0.4		-0.3
Ambush SC B98 Red	-5.7		-9.5		+9.4		-0.9
Smyrna Soccer C	+8.8		+13.1		-6.6		+1.0
Bryson Park - U	-0.2		-0.3		-0.4
SSA Chelsea 98B	-0.6		-0.6		-0.3
MAYS Striker 99	-0.4		-0.5		-0.3
SAF 98-99 Select	-0.2		-0.3		-0.5
AFC Lightning 9	-0.4		-0.4		-0.3
Georgia Knights	-0.3		-0.4		-0.4

CFC Red Star - 9 Georgia Knights 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
CFC Red Star -	+8.5		+12.8		-6.7		+1.0
NTH NASA 98 Sel	-0.6		-0.7		-0.7
Ambush SC B98 Red	-0.6		-0.8		-0.7
Smyrna Soccer C	-0.9		-1.0		-0.5
Bryson Park - U	-0.5		-0.6		-0.8
SSA Chelsea 98B	-1.0		-1.1		-0.4
MAYS Striker 99	-0.6		-0.7		-0.7
SAF 98-99 Select	-0.4		-0.5		-0.8
AFC Lightning 9	-0.7		-0.8		-0.7
Georgia Knights	-3.3		-6.7		+11.9		-0.9

MAYS Striker 99 2 SSA Chelsea 98B 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
CFC Red Star -	+0.3		+0.3		+0.3
NTH NASA 98 Sel	+0.2		+0.2		+0.4
Ambush SC B98 Red	+0.2		+0.2		+0.3
Smyrna Soccer C	+0.3		+0.3		+0.2
Bryson Park - U			+0.1		+0.5
SSA Chelsea 98B	-8.1		-12.2		+6.7		-0.9
MAYS Striker 99	+6.5		+10.5		-9.5		+1.0
SAF 98-99 Select	+0.2		+0.2		+0.4
AFC Lightning 9	+0.2		+0.2		+0.4
Georgia Knights			+0.2		+0.4

AFC Lightning 9 0 NTH NASA 98 Sel 4
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
CFC Red Star -	-0.2		-0.2
NTH NASA 98 Sel	+6.1		+10.1		-9.9		+1.0
Ambush SC B98 Red			-0.1
Smyrna Soccer C	-0.1		-0.2
SSA Chelsea 98B			-0.1
AFC Lightning 9	-5.4		-9.1		+9.7		-0.9

SAF 98-99 Select 2 Bryson Park - U 4
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
CFC Red Star -	-0.2		-0.2
Bryson Park - U	+3.4		+7.0		-13.3		+1.0
SSA Chelsea 98B			*-0.1
SAF 98-99 Select	-3.0		-6.1		+13.0		-0.9

NTH NASA 98 Sel vs Ambush SC B98 RedIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
CFC Red Star -	46.982.586.2		98.799.399.5				1.51.21.1
NTH NASA 98 Sel	53.117.013.1		Yes92.889.8				1.51.92.0
Ambush SC B98 Red							5.14.13.2
Smyrna Soccer C	No0.50.7		1.38.010.7				4.04.04.4
Bryson Park - U							4.64.75.1
SSA Chelsea 98B							5.45.85.8
MAYS Striker 99							5.96.36.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you CT for adding this league.