Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
3/25PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011Avg.Change%ChangeRPIFriday
TimbersLCrew 2-393-0-1673.8%-4.19.5%-3.317141311109865434.5-0.371.1%+0.35Portland Timbers
Orlando622-0-0270.9-1.39.4+0.31714121099876544.7-0.101.5+0.04Orlando City SC
FC Dallas712-1-0269.8+1.38.2+0.215131211109876544.8+0.111.6+0.02FC Dallas
Earthquakes612-0-1165.7+1.46.7+0.113121111109987655.2+0.112.1+0.021San Jose Earthquakes
Dynamo612-0-1165.5+1.36.6+0.113121111109987655.2+0.102.2+0.11Houston Dynamo
Atlanta612-0-1865.1-1.46.7+0.213121110109987655.2-0.102.1+0.09at SoundersAtlanta United FC
CrewWTimbers 3-272-1-1162.7+7.35.7+1.912111110109988755.4+0.562.3-1.76Columbus Crew
Red BullsTReal Salt Lake 0-072-1-1062.7-3.55.7-0.711111110109988765.4-0.282.3+0.17New York Red Bulls
Sporting KC511-2-0159.3+1.44.9+0.2101010101010998865.7+0.113.1+0.13at Toronto FCSporting Kansas City
Toronto FC511-2-0258.5-1.44.9+0.110101010109998875.7-0.103.0-0.017Sporting KCToronto FC
Sounders411-1-1154.6+1.33.9+0.18999101010109986.0+0.104.0+0.08AtlantaSeattle Sounders
Rapids411-1-1054.6+1.23.9+0.18999101010109986.0+0.104.0+0.113Colorado Rapids
NYCFC411-1-1353.9-1.43.9+0.18999991099996.1-0.103.9-0.012New York City FC
Fire411-1-1-253.8-1.33.9+0.1899999999996.1-0.104.0+0.011Chicago Fire
Galaxy311-0-2-149.9+1.53.1+0.1688991010101010106.4+0.115.1+0.010Los Angeles Galaxy
RevolutionWMinnesota 5-2311-0-2149.2+7.33.1+1.178899910101010116.4+0.545.0-3.116New England Revolution
Impact210-2-1-142.6-1.42.2+0.156788910101112146.9-0.117.0+0.118Montreal Impact
Union210-2-1-142.6-1.52.1+0.156788910101112146.9-0.117.0+0.014Philadelphia Union
Whitecaps110-1-2-338.8+1.51.7+0.045678910111213167.2+0.118.7+0.122Vancouver Whitecaps
DC United110-1-2-637.9-1.41.7+0.04567889101214177.3-0.118.8+0.115DC United
Real Salt LakeTRed Bulls 0-020-2-2-336.3-1.21.4-0.335678910111214177.4-0.089.5+0.820Real Salt Lake
MinnesotaLRevolution 2-510-1-3-1231.7-5.41.0-0.63456789111315207.7-0.4011.7+3.019Minnesota United FC

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/3
Rapids 1 Revolution 0
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta+0.7
Crew+0.7
Sounders-0.9
Rapids+7.8
+2.0
-1.9
+0.6
Fire+0.8
Galaxy-0.9
Revolution-6.4
-1.6
+1.6
-0.5
Union+0.8
Earthquakes 1 Impact 0
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers-1.0
FC Dallas-0.9
Earthquakes+8.0
+2.1
-1.9
+0.6
Crew+0.7
Sporting KC-0.9
Impact-6.2
-1.6
+1.6
-0.5
Union+0.7
Timbers 5 Minnesota 1
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers+8.5
+2.0
-1.9
+0.7
Minnesota-7.1
-1.5
+1.6
-0.5
Galaxy 1 FC Dallas 2
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas+8.6
+2.0
-1.9
+0.7
Galaxy-7.2
-1.6
+1.7
-0.5
Orlando 1 NYCFC 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando+8.5
+2.0
-1.8
+0.7
NYCFC-6.9
-1.5
+1.6
-0.5
Atlanta 1 Red Bulls 2
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta-7.0
-1.6
+1.6
-0.5
Red Bulls+8.4
+2.0
-1.9
+0.6
Dynamo 2 Sounders 1
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo+8.4
+2.0
-1.9
+0.6
Sounders-7.1
-1.5
+1.7
-0.5
Real Salt Lake 0 Toronto FC 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo*+0.3
Toronto FC-2.0
-0.7
+0.2
-0.2
Sounders*+0.2
NYCFC*+0.3
Galaxy*+0.2
+0.2
Revolution*+0.3
Real Salt Lake-2.1
-0.6
+0.3
-0.2
DC United 0 Sporting KC 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando*+0.2
Sporting KC-2.0
-0.6
+0.3
-0.2
Rapids+0.4
DC United-2.0
-0.6
+0.3
-0.2
Real Salt Lake*+0.2
Whitecaps 0 Union 0
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo*+0.1
+0.2
Sounders+0.4
Union-2.0
-0.6
+0.4
-0.2
Whitecaps-2.0
-0.7
+0.2
-0.2
Crew 1 Fire 1
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew-1.7
-0.6
+0.3
-0.1
Fire-1.7
-0.6
+0.3
-0.1
Week of 3/11
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas+0.7
Toronto FC-0.8
Sounders+0.7
Fire+8.0
+1.8
-2.0
+0.6
Galaxy+0.7
Impact-0.8
Union-0.9
DC United-0.9
Real Salt Lake-6.4
-1.4
+1.7
-0.5
Dynamo 3 Crew 1
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo+7.6
+2.6
-1.2
+0.6
Atlanta+0.7
Crew-6.5
-1.4
+1.7
-0.5
Sounders-0.8
NYCFC+0.7
Impact+0.7
Union+0.7
Real Salt Lake-0.9
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Red Bulls+7.3
+2.8
-1.2
+0.6
Sounders+0.7
Rapids-6.2
-2.2
+1.1
-0.5
Whitecaps+0.7
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes+8.5
+2.8
-1.2
+0.7
Whitecaps-7.3
-1.4
+1.7
-0.5
Impact 2 Sounders 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta*+0.3
Sounders-2.1
-0.5
+0.4
-0.2
NYCFC*+0.3
Impact-2.1
-0.5
+0.3
-0.2
Real Salt Lake*+0.2
Minnesota*+0.3
Union 2 Toronto FC 2
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC-1.9
-0.6
+0.3
-0.1
Union-1.8
-0.6
+0.3
-0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas-1.5
-0.9
+0.2
-0.1
Sporting KC-1.8
-0.6
+0.3
-0.1
Revolution vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando64.569.478.4
6.78.312.9
2.21.60.7
5.24.84.1
Revolution58.047.141.9
4.62.61.9
2.95.36.8
5.76.67.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Oxenreider for adding this league.