"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPI
Houston4-0-01.0003893.6%+14.37914521.3+0.441Houston Roughnecks
St Louis3-1-0.7502974.9+4.248271691.9+0.142St. Louis Battlehawks
Dallas2-2-0.500657.5-5.7114729132.5-0.243Dallas Renegades
DC2-2-0.500-1653.4-17.8252825222.4-0.448DC Defenders
New York2-2-0.500-2445.3+8.5172832232.6+0.154New York Guardians
Tampa Bay1-3-0.250-1026.4+5.191728463.1+0.166Tampa Bay Vipers
Seattle1-3-0.250-2325.4-4.461932423.1-0.107Seattle Dragons
LA1-3-0.250023.5-4.242034433.2-0.105Los Angeles Wildcats

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/1
New York 17 LA 14
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston+1.9
+0.1
St Louis-3.4
-0.1
Dallas+3.7
+0.1
DC-3.0
-0.1
New York+9.1
+0.2
Tampa Bay-2.8
-0.1
Seattle+2.3
+0.1
LA-7.8
-0.2
St Louis 23 Seattle 16
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston+3.2
+0.1
St Louis+8.3
+0.2
Dallas+3.0
+0.1
DC-2.3
-0.1
New York-4.1
-0.1
Tampa Bay-1.8
-0.0
Seattle-8.5
-0.2
LA+2.2
+0.1
Dallas 20 Houston 27
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston+11.1
+0.3
St Louis-0.4
Dallas-14.2
-0.4
DC+0.2
New York+0.3
Tampa Bay-0.1
-0.0
Seattle+1.3
LA+1.8
Tampa Bay 25 DC 0
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston+0.3
St Louis-1.1
Dallas-0.3
DC-12.2
-0.3
New York+2.5
Tampa Bay+10.9
+0.3
Seattle+0.6
LA-0.6
Week of 3/8
Dallas vs New YorkIf winner is:HomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston92.5*94.094.8
1.3*1.31.2
St Louis78.0*73.271.8
1.8*1.92.0
Dallas67.4*56.747.6
2.3*2.42.7
DC57.649.749.2
2.32.52.5
New York34.650.856.1
2.92.52.3
Tampa Bay29.8*26.323.0
3.0*3.13.2
Seattle21.1*24.829.7
3.2*3.13.0
LA19.1*24.527.8
3.2*3.23.1
DC vs St LouisHomeTieAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston93.3*94.093.9
St Louis62.077.087.8
2.21.81.5
Dallas57.9*56.957.2
DC68.9*51.937.8
2.02.52.8
New York42.850.147.9
2.62.52.6
Tampa Bay26.321.026.5
3.13.23.1
Seattle25.2*24.525.6
LA23.6*24.623.3
LA vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
9:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston92.7*93.894.5
St Louis77.6*76.772.2
1.81.81.9
Dallas53.6*56.961.4
2.5*2.52.4
DC56.857.449.9
2.32.32.5
New York47.4*44.643.3
2.5*2.62.7
Tampa Bay18.221.334.6
3.33.22.9
Seattle23.2*26.127.5
3.2*3.13.0
LA30.4*23.216.5
3.03.23.3
Houston vs SeattleHomeTieAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston99.195.088.2
1.11.31.5
St Louis74.5*74.675.3
Dallas61.4*56.853.6
DC53.2*54.553.5
New York45.7*45.445.0
Tampa Bay26.6*25.526.2
Seattle14.4*23.636.4
3.43.12.8
LA25.1*24.621.9
3.1*3.13.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Luke Millner for adding this league.