Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPISunday
RebelsLRaiders 1-31683-01489.1%-6.341241696402.3-0.581Angry BeaversRebels
Spartans1573-1880.0-3.32123181712713.0-0.013Chaos C3Spartans
Chaos C31573-1574.7-4.719211817141013.2-0.056at SpartansChaos C3
RaidersWRebels 3-11474-01866.0+15.5101621191912303.7+0.682at PiranhasRaiders
Knights1463-2150.9-7.161016192220714.3-0.154BulldogsKnights
Angry BeaversWVikings 5-41364-1-136.1+9.537101620301314.9+0.615at RebelsAngry Beavers
Bulldogs1056-0-63.2-0.80037134626407.0+0.029at KnightsBulldogs
VikingsLAngry Beavers 4-5847-0-80.0-2.800324452268.0-0.647Vikings
Kodiaks638-0-14Out52144299.0+0.098Kodiaks
Piranhas528-1-17Out0630649.6+0.0410RaidersPiranhas

Spring

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/14
Rebels 1 Raiders 3
8:20 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels-5.1
-0.5
Spartans-2.4
Chaos C3-2.6
Raiders+18.8
+0.8
Knights-4.9
-0.1
Angry Beavers-2.3
-0.1
Bulldogs-1.0
Vikings-0.6
Knights 5 Kodiaks 3
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels-0.7
Spartans-3.5
-0.1
Chaos C3-3.6
-0.1
Raiders-3.2
-0.1
Knights+16.9
+0.7
Angry Beavers-3.3
-0.1
Bulldogs-2.2
-0.1
Vikings-0.4
+0.1
KodiaksOut
-0.4
Piranhas+0.1
Bulldogs 3 Chaos C3 4
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Spartans-0.5
Chaos C3+16.2
+0.7
Raiders-1.0
-0.1
Knights-1.1
Angry Beavers-0.4
Bulldogs-13.4
-0.7
Raiders 3 Vikings 5
5:55 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels+0.4
Spartans+2.5
+0.1
Chaos C3+2.8
+0.1
Raiders-15.3
-0.8
Knights+3.1
Angry Beavers+2.4
Bulldogs+1.8
Vikings+2.2
+0.5
Kodiaks-0.1
Piranhas-0.1
Piranhas 3 Spartans 5
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels-0.5
Spartans+14.8
+0.7
Chaos C3-2.2
-0.1
Raiders-2.4
-0.1
Knights-3.5
-0.1
Angry Beavers-3.2
-0.1
Bulldogs-2.5
Vikings-0.5
+0.1
Kodiaks+0.1
Piranhas*Out
-0.3
Vikings 4 Angry Beavers 5
9:55 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels-0.6
Spartans-1.9
Chaos C3-3.2
-0.1
Raiders-2.7
Knights-2.8
-0.1
Angry Beavers+14.5
+0.8
Bulldogs-0.3
Vikings-2.8
-0.6
Week of 7/21
Knights vs BulldogsIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
5:35 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels87.887.887.988.688.690.7
2.42.42.42.32.32.2
Spartans76.276.276.182.282.183.9
3.13.13.12.92.92.9
Chaos C370.670.670.777.577.579.0
3.33.43.43.13.13.1
Raiders61.661.661.764.164.271.3
3.83.83.83.83.83.6
Knights72.072.072.045.945.927.3
3.53.53.54.54.55.2
Angry Beavers31.731.731.638.938.940.8
4.95.15.14.94.94.8
BulldogsOut0.10.12.82.86.9
7.57.07.06.76.76.5
VikingsOutOutOutOutOut0.0
7.98.18.18.28.28.2
Kodiaks8.99.09.09.09.09.0
Rebels vs Angry BeaversHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
4:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels99.499.499.487.187.077.6
1.61.61.62.62.63.1
Spartans81.879.179.178.578.678.5
3.03.13.13.03.02.9
Chaos C377.174.6*74.772.872.772.7
3.23.33.33.23.23.2
Raiders68.766.766.860.760.863.9
3.73.73.73.93.93.7
Knights54.149.449.447.747.848.4
4.24.44.44.44.44.4
Angry Beavers15.327.627.451.651.555.9
5.75.25.34.34.34.1
Bulldogs3.6*3.23.31.61.63.0
6.97.07.07.17.17.1
Vikings0.00.0*0.0OutOutOut
Spartans vs Chaos C3HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels89.288.788.688.888.789.2
Spartans96.494.394.275.475.262.0
2.12.22.23.53.54.0
Chaos C355.972.172.089.489.591.6
4.23.63.62.42.42.3
Raiders66.463.863.963.863.966.2
3.73.83.83.83.83.7
Knights51.246.346.446.546.752.0
4.34.54.54.54.54.3
Angry Beavers37.732.132.133.233.135.6
4.95.05.05.05.04.9
Bulldogs3.12.82.83.02.93.4
Piranhas vs RaidersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
4:50 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels90.789.789.787.887.987.7
2.22.22.22.42.42.4
Spartans83.979.379.276.876.776.6
2.83.03.03.13.13.1
Chaos C379.473.273.271.071.070.9
3.03.33.33.43.43.4
Raiders43.967.367.484.184.284.9
4.63.83.83.03.02.9
Knights56.352.752.846.146.046.0
4.14.24.24.54.54.5
Angry Beavers41.434.534.531.831.831.7
4.74.94.95.05.05.0
Bulldogs4.43.33.32.32.32.1
Vikings0.0OutOutOutOutOut
8.18.18.18.08.08.0
Kodiaks9.19.19.18.98.98.8
Piranhas9.39.39.39.89.89.8
Kodiaks vs VikingsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:40 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs6.96.96.97.07.07.1
VikingsOutOutOut*0.00.00.0
8.68.28.27.67.67.5
Kodiaks8.58.78.79.39.39.4
Piranhas9.69.79.79.69.69.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Drew Bragg for adding this league.