Premier LeaguA Title Chances 2016-2017 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												UEFA CL			Chance will finish season at seed																						Championship
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Chelsea	55		18	-	1	-	5	29	36.7	%	-33.4	89.9	%	-8.5	37	25	17	11	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0									2.4	-0.89	No			2	Chelsea
Arsenal	53		16	-	5	-	3	33	23.5		+12.2	81.3		+5.2	24	23	20	16	11	6	2	0	0	0	0	0									2.9	+0.41	No			3	Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur	52		15	-	7	-	2	32	17.8		+10.0	76.1		+5.3	18	20	20	18	13	7	3	0	0	0	0	0	0								3.2	+0.39	No			1	Tottenham Hotspur
Liverpool	51		15	-	6	-	3	27	13.2		+7.0	68.6		+5.4	13	17	19	19	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0	0								3.6	+0.37	No			6	Liverpool

Manchester City	49		15	-	4	-	5	18	6.8		+3.8	51.3		+4.5	7	11	15	19	22	17	8	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						4.3	+0.37	No		-0.0	4	Manchester City
Manchester United	45		12	-	9	-	3	14	1.6		+0.1	22.3		-9.8	2	4	6	11	18	28	22	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				5.6	-0.25	No		-0.0	5	Manchester United

Everton	42		12	-	6	-	6	13	0.4		+0.3	9.5		+0.5	0	1	3	5	11	22	36	15	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		6.6	+0.73	0.0	%	-0.0	7	Everton
West Brom	36		10	-	6	-	8	3	0.0		-0.0	0.9		-1.3	0	0	0	1	2	6	16	35	18	10	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.5	+0.55	0.0		-0.2	8	West Bromwich Albion
Bournemouth	29		8	-	5	-	11	-6	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	14	15	14	12	10	9	6	4	3	1	0	0	11.6	+0.63	1.7		-3.0	10	AFC Bournemouth
West Ham	29		8	-	5	-	11	-8	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	14	15	14	12	11	9	7	4	3	1	0	0	11.6	-0.45	1.8		-0.3	11	West Ham United
Stoke City	29		7	-	8	-	9	-8	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	15	15	14	12	11	9	6	4	3	1	0	0	11.6	-0.48	1.9		-0.2	9	Stoke City
Southampton	28		7	-	7	-	10	-6	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	11	13	14	13	12	10	8	6	3	2	1	0	12.1	-0.44	2.9		-0.3	12	Southampton
Burnley	27		8	-	3	-	13	-11	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	9	11	12	13	12	11	10	7	5	3	1	0	12.6	-0.41	4.6		-0.3	13	Burnley
Leicester City	25		6	-	7	-	11	-11	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	7	9	11	12	13	12	11	8	5	3	1	13.7	+1.27	9.5		-12.9	14	Leicester City
Watford	25		6	-	7	-	11	-17	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	7	9	11	12	13	12	11	8	5	3	1	13.8	-0.42	9.8		+0.1	16	Watford
Swansea City	21		6	-	3	-	15	-25	No			0.0		-0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	14	15	14	11	7	15.9	+0.65	31.2		-12.3	15	Swansea City
Middlesbrough	20		4	-	8	-	12	-9	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.0				0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	8	11	14	16	15	13	9	16.3	-0.84	36.4		+8.9	18	Middlesbrough

Crystal Palace	17		4	-	5	-	15	-13	No			No		-0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	9	14	19	21	21	17.6	-0.28	60.9		+4.4	20	Crystal Palace
Sunderland	16		4	-	4	-	16	-24	No			No		-0.0						0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	8	12	17	23	29	18.1	-0.25	69.4		+4.6	19	Sunderland
Hull City	16		4	-	4	-	16	-31	No			No		-0.0						0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	11	17	22	31	18.1	-0.65	70.0		+11.4	17	Hull City

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 1/31
Arsenal 4 Watford 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	-3.2
Arsenal	+4.8		+8.1				+0.4
Tottenham Hotspur	-0.6		-1.5
Liverpool	-0.5		-1.8
Manchester City	-0.3		-2.0
Manchester United			-1.6
Watford	No				+4.2		-0.7
Swansea City					-0.7
Sunderland					-0.6
Hull City					-0.7

Sunderland 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	-2.5
Arsenal	-0.6		-1.6
Tottenham Hotspur	+3.9		+9.2				+0.4
Liverpool	-0.4		-1.9
Manchester City	-0.2		-2.2
Manchester United			-2.1
Everton			-0.9
Leicester City					-1.1
Watford					-0.6
Swansea City					-1.5
Middlesbrough					-1.2
Crystal Palace					-1.5
Sunderland			No		+8.6		-0.5
Hull City					-1.4

West Ham 1 Manchester City 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	-1.1		-0.2
Arsenal	-0.3		-2.1
Tottenham Hotspur	-0.2		-2.3
Liverpool			-2.7
Manchester City	+1.9		+11.0		*No		+0.5
Manchester United			-2.2
Everton			-0.8
West Ham			-0.3		+1.2		-0.7

Manchester United 2 Hull City 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal			-1.8
Tottenham Hotspur			-2.3
Liverpool			-2.3
Manchester City			-2.2
Manchester United	+1.0		+9.9		No		+0.5
Everton			-0.7
Leicester City					-1.2
Watford					-0.7
Swansea City					-1.6
Middlesbrough					-1.4
Crystal Palace					-1.4
Sunderland					-1.3
Hull City			No		+9.1		-0.5

Middlesbrough 1 West Brom 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Brom			+1.5		-0.2		+0.7
Leicester City					-0.9
Swansea City					-1.3
Middlesbrough					+8.0		-0.7
Crystal Palace					-1.3
Sunderland					-1.3
Hull City					-1.3

Bournemouth 3 Crystal Palace 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Bournemouth					-2.9		+0.9
Leicester City					-1.0
Swansea City					-1.2
Middlesbrough					-1.1
Crystal Palace			No		+9.6		-0.6
Sunderland					-1.1
Hull City					-1.1

Swansea City 3 Southampton 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton					+2.2		-0.8
Leicester City					+1.2
Swansea City					-11.2		+0.8
Middlesbrough					+1.4
Crystal Palace					+1.7
Sunderland					+1.5
Hull City					+1.6

Burnley 1 Leicester City 3
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Burnley	No				+2.8		-0.8
Leicester City					-8.6		+0.9
Swansea City					+1.0
Middlesbrough					+0.9
Crystal Palace					+1.0
Sunderland					+1.0
Hull City					+1.0

Week of 2/11
Burnley vs ChelseaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	28.034.347.4		85.489.494.9				2.72.42.0
Arsenal	26.524.419.8		81.9*81.480.6				2.92.93.0
Tottenham Hotspur	20.218.514.9		76.876.275.2				3.23.23.3
Liverpool	15.113.710.8		69.468.867.6				3.53.63.7
Burnley					1.94.77.2		11.812.813.3

Liverpool vs Tottenham HotspurHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur	10.716.126.4		66.375.386.5				3.73.32.7
Liverpool	20.411.67.2		80.467.357.9				3.03.74.1

Arsenal vs Hull CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	32.837.739.7		89.290.190.6				2.52.42.3
Arsenal	32.121.416.6		88.880.374.6				2.53.03.3
Hull City					78.472.659.5		18.618.217.6

Bournemouth vs Manchester CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur	18.418.117.0		78.176.673.6				3.23.23.3
Liverpool	13.613.312.6		71.069.265.7				3.53.63.7
Manchester City	3.95.710.7		41.649.063.0				4.74.43.8
Bournemouth	0.0NoNo				0.6*1.72.9		10.811.712.2

Manchester United vs WatfordHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Manchester United	2.71.20.7		31.320.015.2				5.25.76.0
Watford					14.310.34.8		14.513.912.9

Middlesbrough vs EvertonHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Everton	0.20.30.8		5.67.914.7				6.96.76.1
Middlesbrough					25.338.445.8		15.516.516.9
Crystal Palace					63.160.559.0		17.717.617.6

West Ham vs West BromHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Brom			0.30.61.6				9.08.68.0
West Ham	0.0NoNo				0.6*1.83.0		10.811.712.3

Stoke City vs Crystal PalaceHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Stoke City	0.0NoNo				0.51.73.3		10.811.712.3
Middlesbrough					34.635.938.5		16.216.316.3
Crystal Palace					70.763.649.0		18.117.817.0

Sunderland vs SouthamptonHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton					5.02.70.9		12.812.211.2
Sunderland					58.472.178.3		17.518.218.5

Swansea City vs Leicester CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Leicester City					14.89.64.2		14.513.812.8
Swansea City					20.232.740.9		15.016.116.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Viktor Marcx for adding this league.