Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTTGD%Change12345678910111213Avg.ChangeRPI
Jets351171-0151In1001.01Jets
Phantoms33163-1038In1001.017Phantoms
Bulls32153-0251In1001.0+0.1510Bulls
Puck Hounds311153-0161In1001.011Puck Hounds
Battle Cats303152-0054In1001.013Battle Cats
Chaos D1341172-0046In90101.14Chaos D1
Marauders81442-009In80201.2110Marauders
Grizzlies C1301143-1136In79211.225Grizzlies C1
Spiders C2311153-0162In79211.2+0.097Spiders C2
Miners331162-1067In79211.28Miners
Yellow Jackets283132-0252In672841.42Yellow Jackets
Lumberjax291144-0154In64261011.5-0.216Lumberjax
Norsemen271124-0322In50501.55Norsemen
Jesters271124-0322In50501.521Jesters
Bullets311153-1072In21791.819Bullets
Sled Dogs C2301143-0237In21791.8-0.0114Sled Dogs C2
Bullheads281134-0244In21791.812Bullheads
Silverbacks51423-10-9In20801.8111Silverbacks
Fighting Piranhas D1302142-1158In10901.99Fighting Piranhas D1
Leftovers C128124-0432In1002.023Leftovers C1
Roadrunners261125-1121In1002.034Roadrunners
Royals D1273122-2133In2746272.020Royals D1
Aces282122-2244In91902.1-0.1522Aces
Northern Horde281134-0239In68221002.429Northern Horde
Venom B2253113-0335In26242126302.6-0.013Venom B2
Leftovers B2262135-0026In735351772.8-0.0515Leftovers B2
Chiefs C1251115-1229In1003.038Chiefs C1
Piranhas251104-1425In1003.018Piranhas
Landsharks2396-0512In1003.050Landsharks
Blades21197-12-17In1003.053Blades
Diablos D1241127-0027In85153.237Diablos D1
Beavers241116-0216In79213.241Beavers
Icedogs271135-0135In213928123.332Icedogs
Blizzard261136-0028In62383.426Blizzard
Mayhem252125-1039In+0.13152837173.5+0.5027Mayhem
Royals C2261125-1142In929623.530Royals C2
Ice Sages271135-0123In112939213.724Ice Sages
Red Warriors21197-1223In1004.051Red Warriors
Montreal Maroons201010-0011In1004.062Montreal Maroons
Team TPG181910-009In1004.056Team TPG
Nighthawks D2261136-0026In923674.631Nighthawks D2
Chaos D2231106-1232In1006.042Chaos D2
Ice Gators253124-0137100.0%+0.062663602.716Ice Gators
Mad Dogs232116-101799.0-0.11619482414.9-0.1933Mad Dogs
Mighty Northern232116-012197.7-0.150282022.744Mighty Northern
Wild231117-10-695.7+0.032461943.055Wild
Warriors232105-031188.1-5.46325123.5-0.2728Warriors
Barons203107-004585.8+0.11719501313.640Barons
Gators221107-02178.9-0.079214.249Gators
Fighting Ice Fish212107-012276.3-0.2156120404.157Fighting Ice Fish
Farmers212107-10873.9+0.0023512606.0-0.0239Farmers
Lumberjacks232105-212765.3+0.14612874.446Lumberjacks
Muskies C221395-12964.9+2.218473144.2+0.0947Muskies C2
ShameonIce221107-20255.3+0.12134454.261ShameonIce
Renegades203107-00246.6+3.219275124.4+0.1035Renegades
Saints20198-02-1344.7-0.145554.660Saints
Stars22295-131431.9-0.223044244.943Stars
Rage18398-00-1327.0+0.0225551536.9-0.0248Rage
Taz Devils20198-02-821.1+0.021794.858Taz Devils
Lakers C118398-00220.0+0.11811621524.9+0.0154Lakers C1
Spiders D117388-01517.8+0.21820282865.8+0.0152Spiders D1
Wingmen17388-01203.9+0.1440351655.872Wingmen
Fighting Saints20297-02102.8+0.1328695.736Fighting Saints
Maroons D116389-00-121.9-0.1217243122406.7-0.0164Maroons D1
Royals C117289-01-40.9-0.1115552636.263Royals C1
Thunder Chickens17289-10-30.4-0.005945.966Thunder Chickens
Mudflaps15379-01-160.1-0.001243251378.6+0.0171Mudflaps
Nemesis211108-01-6Out1005.045Nemesis
Ice Hounds18911-007Out1005.059Ice Hounds
Freeze141611-02-46Out1005.085Freeze
Grizzlies B1141611-023Out1005.068Grizzlies B1
Raiders171810-10-8Out1006.067Raiders
Titans16711-11-30Out1006.079Titans
Heat21118-00-95Out1006.0103Heat
Axemen11018-10-85Out1006.0109Axemen
Diablos C2121512-11-26Out71296.382Diablos C2
Mutiny131511-03-14Out71296.381Mutiny
Rack Attack121613-00-44Out29716.791Rack Attack
Sting111412-12-21Out29716.790Sting
Bulldogs152710-01-2Out22251247.070Bulldogs
Kodiaks16610-04-17Out1007.075Kodiaks
Ak Bars61215-11-42Out1007.0101Ak Bars
Wildcats151610-12-20Out653507.476Wildcats
Muskies D115269-12-11Out712277.474Muskies D1
Ice Hogs123611-00-16Out0721737.783Ice Hogs
Lakers D114369-11-15Out31024421747.773Lakers D1
Eagles73313-01-35Out4134267.8+0.1795Eagles
Venom C18315-02-53Out1008.099Venom C1
Zephyrs71315-01-30Out1008.098Zephyrs
Fighting Piranhas C161114-22-44Out1008.0105Fighting Piranhas C1
Orion21017-11-109Out1008.0108Orion
Dragons73313-10-51Out3332358.0+0.1092Dragons
Wolf Pack123611-00-23Out27393228.178Wolf Pack
Admirals72314-01-32Out2634408.1-0.2796Admirals
Polar Bears141611-02-20Out202829228.565Polar Bears
Buccaneers141510-31-35Out339588.686Buccaneers
Maroons D2132611-01-23Out1532291958.780Maroons D2
Moose143710-004Out630401778.9-0.0169Moose
Rhinos31117-01-94Out1009.0104Rhinos
Sled Dogs D1113511-01-25Out01241479.387Sled Dogs D1
Nighthawks D1113511-01-18Out11238499.477Nighthawks D1
Fighting Loons131612-10-37Out53645159.793Fighting Loons
Hawks142610-11-14Out102040309.984Hawks
Gold Rush101514-00-45Out0554510.5100Gold Rush
Falcons132611-10-27Out2122949710.588Falcons
Arctic Wolves92413-01-59Out2435510.597Arctic Wolves
Blade Runners102412-02-43Out6148010.789Blade Runners
Knights12017-01-108Out10011.0107Knights
River Pirates83413-00-68Out79311.994River Pirates
Diablos D221118-00-73Out10012.0102Diablos D2
Chiefs B242216-00-45Out10013.0106Chiefs B2

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/20
Chiefs C1 5 Gators 9
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gators+23.3
+0.2
Taz Devils-23.3
-0.2
Ice Hounds 6 Landsharks 7
10:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Montreal MaroonsIn
Ice HoundsOut
-0.2
Fighting Piranhas C1 5 Taz Devils 6 (ot)
8:15 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gators-17.4
-0.2
Taz Devils+17.4
+0.2
Venom B2 4 Farmers 5
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leftovers B2-0.2
Mayhem-0.3
Rage 2 Leftovers B2 4
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leftovers B2In
+0.5
Team TPG*In
Freeze*Out
Saints 3 Beavers 4
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BeaversIn
+0.5
Diablos D1 3 Lakers D1 2 (ot)
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice Hogs*Out
Lakers D1Out
Ice Hogs 1 Lakers C1 4
8:15 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wild-0.6
Moose 3 Mad Dogs 4
9:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MooseOut
-0.5
Ice Gators 3 Fighting Saints 3
9:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yellow Jackets*In
Ice Gators+0.7
Mighty Northern 6 Bulldogs 1
9:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Team TPG*In
Freeze*Out
BulldogsOut
-0.4
Mayhem 8 Lumberjax 7
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MayhemIn
+0.5
Yellow Jackets 3 Royals D1 1
7:45 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yellow JacketsIn
+0.4
Nemesis 0 Aces 6
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Team TPG*In
Freeze*Out
Eagles vs Muskies C2If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Muskies C245.9*66.1*65.183.982.9
4.64.24.23.83.9
Thunder Chickens0.8OutOutOutOut
5.96.06.06.06.0
Spiders D1 vs Maroons D1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maroons D1OutOutOut4.64.1
7.46.96.76.16.0
Barons vs Mighty NorthernHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mighty Northern94.799.999.9InIn
3.32.72.42.22.2
Royals C1OutOutOutOut2.0
Arctic Wolves vs Ice GatorsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice Gators99.9*In*In*InIn
2.92.72.82.52.5
Marauders vs SilverbacksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marauders1.01.01.01.01.4
Silverbacks2.02.02.02.01.6
Week of 3/27
ShameonIce vs SaintsIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ShameonIceInInInInOut
3.63.54.04.05.0
SaintsOutOutOutOutIn
5.05.05.05.04.0
Stars vs LumberjacksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice GatorsIn98.4*In*InIn
Lumberjacks27.468.373.5InIn
4.94.34.33.93.9
Stars67.328.721.1OutOut
4.34.84.95.15.4
Fighting Saints5.34.75.5OutOut
5.75.85.85.95.6
Farmers vs RageHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mad DogsInInIn96.997.9
5.15.04.84.84.8
FarmersIn92.386.258.546.1
5.65.76.06.36.5
RageOut7.713.844.555.7
7.47.17.16.66.5
MudflapsOut*OutOut*Out0.3
8.58.68.68.78.7
Warriors vs RenegadesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
WarriorsInIn95.483.174.8
3.13.13.43.73.9
Renegades21.6*45.7*45.267.970.8
4.84.54.54.03.9
Thunder Chickens0.8OutOutOutOut
Spiders D1 vs Fighting Ice FishHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Ice Fish49.982.187.3InIn
4.64.03.93.73.7
Spiders D137.913.58.2OutOut
5.25.65.96.06.5
Wingmen7.9*4.3*4.5OutOut
5.95.95.85.95.6
Maroons D14.30.0OutOutOut
6.86.86.76.76.6
Gators vs Rack AttackHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
GatorsInInInIn53.1
4.04.04.04.04.5
Taz DevilsOutOutOutOut46.9
5.05.05.05.04.5
Taz Devils vs Chiefs C1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:15 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gators55.254.6InInIn
4.44.54.04.04.0
Taz Devils44.845.4OutOutOut
4.64.55.05.05.0
Muskies C2 vs AdmiralsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
10:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Muskies C282.784.3*64.6*64.446.1
3.93.94.24.24.6
Thunder ChickensOutOutOutOut0.8
6.06.06.06.05.9
Thunder Chickens vs Muskies C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Muskies C246.2*63.2*64.083.383.0
4.64.24.23.93.9
Thunder Chickens0.8OutOutOutOut
5.96.06.06.06.0
Renegades vs DragonsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Renegades63.264.152.154.827.9
4.14.14.24.24.7
Thunder ChickensOutOutOutOut0.8
Wild vs Lakers C1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mighty NorthernIn99.599.795.095.1
3.03.02.62.62.5
WildInInIn98.390.4
2.42.42.93.03.5
Lakers C13.815.314.433.236.4
5.35.05.04.54.5
Royals D1 vs StarsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice GatorsIn*In*In99.799.9
2.82.72.72.82.6
Stars15.326.526.848.948.6
5.34.94.94.64.6
Fighting Saints6.20.60.7OutOut
5.55.85.85.85.8
Lakers C1 vs Battle CatsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mighty Northern95.795.796.496.7In
Wild92.091.493.892.9In
3.13.13.03.02.8
Lakers C134.135.126.126.43.6
4.54.54.84.85.3
Lumberjacks vs Yellow JacketsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice Gators99.9*99.9*In*InIn
2.62.82.72.72.7
Fighting SaintsOutOut4.54.55.5
5.75.85.65.65.6
Fighting Ice Fish vs Chaos D1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:45 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
WingmenOutOut5.0*4.97.8
5.85.85.85.75.8
Maroons D1OutOut0.10.14.3
Moose vs FarmersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mad DogsIn99.999.997.797.9
4.74.84.85.15.1
Mudflaps0.3*OutOut*OutOut
8.78.78.78.78.4
Rage vs Chiefs B2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:45 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mad Dogs97.897.8InInIn
MudflapsOut*Out0.70.9*0.2
8.78.78.68.68.5
Ice Hogs vs BaronsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals C11.9OutOutOutOut
6.26.26.26.26.1
Fighting Saints vs Arctic WolvesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Saints6.05.8OutOutOut
5.45.45.85.85.9
Mighty Northern vs Royals C1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mighty NorthernInIn99.899.794.8
2.32.42.72.63.2
Royals C1OutOutOut1.71.9
6.56.16.15.85.8
Maroons D1 vs Nighthawks D1HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maroons D13.94.41.10.9Out
6.26.26.66.67.1
Mad Dogs vs Leftovers B2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:35 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mad DogsInInInIn97.7
4.44.65.04.95.4
Sled Dogs C2 vs Thunder ChickensHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Thunder ChickensOutOutOut0.90.8
6.06.06.05.95.9
Falcons vs MudflapsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MudflapsOut*OutOut*0.30.3
9.18.78.58.18.1
Mudflaps vs HawksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mudflaps0.3*0.3Out*OutOut
8.08.08.58.59.2
Ice Gators vs Wolf PackHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice GatorsIn*In*In*In99.9
2.52.52.82.72.9
Silverbacks vs MaraudersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marauders1.41.01.01.01.0
Silverbacks1.62.02.02.02.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.