Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Flamengo37112-1-51833.7%+7.591.9%+5.63422151074321110000000002.9+0.630.0%-0.13Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atletico-MG3812-2-51229.8-2.691.3+0.13023161175321110000000003.1-0.050.0+0.02Clube Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras3511-2-6814.9-1.480.3+0.215171714108643221110000004.3-0.030.2-0.05Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Bragantino349-7-31010.0-1.072.2+0.210131514119754322111000005.1-0.020.4-0.01Clube Atletico Bragantino
Fortaleza329-5-595.9-0.761.4+0.36912121210876543221110006.1-0.010.9-0.04Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Corinthians277-6-611.0-0.128.2+0.3124678888877655432109.5+0.036.7-0.19Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Ceara276-9-411.0-0.126.4+0.2124578888877665432109.7+0.037.4-0.18Ceara Sporting Club
Athletico-PR268-2-920.9-1.024.9-8.0123567888877665443109.9-0.948.0+2.411Clube Athletico Paranaense
Internacional266-8-510.7-0.121.8+0.21234677888777665432110.4+0.039.7-0.17Sport Club Internacional
Juventude2416-6-6-40.6-0.120.3+0.11234567777777665542110.7+0.0311.7-0.110Esporte Clube Juventude
Atletico-GO256-7-6-30.4-0.117.7+0.10123566777777766543111.0+0.0312.6-0.16Atletico Clube Goianiense
Bahia247-3-9-60.4-0.115.4+0.10123456777787777653111.4+0.0314.6-0.115Esporte Clube Bahia
Cuiaba245-9-500.3-0.013.2+0.10122455677778877764111.9+0.0417.2-0.212Cuiaba Esporte Clube
Santos235-8-6-40.2-0.010.3+0.10112345566778888875212.5+0.0421.5-0.214Santos Futebol Clube
Sao Paulo225-7-7-60.1-0.08.0+0.10011234556778889987313.2+0.0326.1-0.213Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
America-MG215-6-8-60.1-0.06.1+0.1001122345567789910108413.7+0.0431.1-0.317America Futebol Clube-MG
Gremio1915-4-9-50.1-0.05.7+0.0001122344566789910109414.0+0.0334.0-0.216Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Fluminense1814-6-8-70.0-0.03.9+0.100011223345667810111212714.8+0.0341.9-0.218Fluminense Football Club
Sport Recife163-7-9-70.0-0.01.0+0.000000011122345681115221616.7+0.0264.7-0.219Sport Club do Recife
Chapecoense101-7-11-140.0-0.00.1000000000001112359195919.0+0.0191.2-0.120Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/5
Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1
1:11 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+7.6
+5.7
+0.6
Atletico-MG-2.6
Palmeiras-1.5
+0.3
Bragantino-1.1
+0.2
Fortaleza-0.7
+0.4
Athletico-PR-1.0
-8.1
+2.4
-1.0
Atletico-MG 0 Gremio 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+1.6
Atletico-MG-7.0
-2.8
-0.4
Palmeiras+2.0
Bragantino+1.5
Fortaleza+1.0
Ceara+0.5
Internacional+0.7
Juventude+0.7
Bahia+0.9
Cuiaba+0.6
Santos+0.7
Sao Paulo+0.8
America-MG+1.2
Gremio+2.1
-9.7
+0.9
Fluminense+1.0
Sport Recife+1.1
Flamengo 1 Atletico-GO 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+5.5
+7.3
+0.7
Atletico-MG-2.0
Palmeiras-1.2
Bragantino-0.8
Atletico-GO-0.5
-6.9
+3.3
-0.9
Ceara 1 Palmeiras 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.9
Atletico-MG+1.9
Palmeiras-5.1
-5.5
-0.6
Bragantino+0.8
Fortaleza+0.6
Ceara+0.4
+7.3
-4.7
+1.1
Internacional 1 Bragantino 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.7
Atletico-MG+1.4
Palmeiras+0.8
Bragantino-4.0
-6.8
-0.6
Internacional+0.3
+6.4
-5.6
+1.1
America-MG+0.6
Gremio+0.6
Fluminense+0.6
Sport Recife+0.6
Bahia 1 Fortaleza 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.5
Atletico-MG+0.9
Palmeiras+0.6
Bragantino+0.5
Fortaleza-2.8
-7.9
+0.3
-0.7
Bahia+5.0
-7.1
+1.1
Sao Paulo+0.5
America-MG+0.7
Gremio+0.8
Fluminense+0.7
Sport Recife+0.8
Corinthians 0 Juventude 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-0.8
-8.2
+2.1
-0.9
Juventude+0.3
+6.0
-6.1
+1.1
Athletico-PR 1 Sport Recife 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino-0.6
Fortaleza-0.7
Corinthians-0.8
Athletico-PR+0.6
+7.9
-4.2
+1.1
Atletico-GO-0.6
-0.3
Bahia-0.3
-0.4
America-MG-0.5
Gremio-0.5
Fluminense-0.2
-0.5
Sport Recife-0.9
+8.7
-0.7
Cuiaba 0 Santos 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba-1.9
+1.0
-0.3
Santos-1.7
+1.3
-0.3
Sao Paulo 0 America-MG 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-4.2
+6.4
-1.0
America-MG+2.3
-10.3
+1.0
Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia-0.4
America-MG-0.4
Gremio-0.5
Fluminense-2.4
+7.6
-0.9
Sport Recife-0.4
Chapecoense-3.5
+0.3
Week of 9/12
Palmeiras vs FlamengoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo25.031.743.7
88.491.495.8
3.43.02.4
Atletico-MG30.631.727.8
91.1*91.491.4
Palmeiras21.913.38.8
87.578.873.9
0.0*0.20.3
3.64.55.0
Fortaleza vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo35.435.231.1
91.792.192.1
Atletico-MG22.527.638.5
87.390.895.5
3.63.22.5
Palmeiras15.715.713.5
79.880.580.6
Bragantino10.610.59.0
71.672.372.6
Fortaleza9.54.93.0
71.658.952.7
0.30.91.4
5.26.36.9
Bragantino vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo32.334.134.9
91.692.092.2
3.02.92.9
Atletico-MG28.630.230.7
91.091.491.5
3.13.03.0
Bragantino14.28.66.7
80.870.264.8
0.1*0.40.7
4.35.35.8
ChapecoenseNoNo0.0
94.592.887.0
19.319.118.6
Atletico-GO vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians0.50.81.7
20.525.637.6
9.87.13.3
10.59.88.3
Atletico-GO0.80.30.2
25.115.511.7
7.313.517.4
9.811.312.0
Gremio vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara0.50.71.6
19.323.935.2
10.97.73.7
10.710.08.6
Gremio9.04.73.2
24.636.142.1
12.914.314.9
America-MG vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR0.40.61.5
17.922.533.4
11.78.44.0
10.910.28.8
America-MG9.64.93.4
21.733.339.0
12.614.014.7
Juventude vs CuiabaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventude1.10.40.3
27.918.014.1
6.612.616.3
9.511.011.7
Cuiaba0.10.20.5
8.311.319.2
23.218.310.5
12.912.210.7
Sport Recife vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional0.30.51.1
15.619.329.7
14.010.25.1
11.410.79.2
Sport Recife1.70.70.4
54.567.672.9
15.917.017.4
Santos vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.20.20.7
10.113.421.9
20.215.68.5
12.511.710.2
Santos0.30.10.1
15.58.66.3
13.722.928.3
11.312.813.5
Fluminense vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo4.86.612.0
34.227.717.1
14.113.412.0
Fluminense6.23.12.1
31.344.251.0
13.715.015.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.