Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie AA Title Chances 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														Libertadores			Chance will finish season at seed																						Serie B
	Monday		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	12/3

Flamengo	W	Corinthians 1-0	108		36	-	0	-	0	36	99.9	%	+0.1	Yes			100	0																			1.0		No			1	Internacional	Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Sao Paulo		at Gremio	0	35	0	-	0	-	1	-1	0.0			31.3	%	+0.3	0	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	10.2	+0.06	17.3	%	-0.3	1	at Botafogo	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Internacional		at Vasco da Gama	0	35	0	-	0	-	1	-1	0.0			31.4		+0.3	0	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	10.2	+0.03	17.3		-0.1	1	at Flamengo	Sport Club Internacional
Vasco da Gama		Internacional	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.8		+0.4	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.06	21.5		-0.3	1	at Corinthians	Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Fortaleza		at Palmeiras	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.8		+0.4	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.05	21.4		-0.3	1	Bahia	Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Bragantino		at Sport Recife	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.8		+0.4	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.05	21.5		-0.3	1	at Goias	Clube Atletico Bragantino

Fluminense		at Ceara	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.3	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.05	21.5		-0.3	1	at Santos	Fluminense Football Club
Goias		Botafogo	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.3	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.04	21.5		-0.2	1	Bragantino	Goias Esporte Clube
Santos		Coritiba	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.4	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.06	21.5		-0.4	1	Fluminense	Santos Futebol Clube
Atletico-MG		Bahia	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.2	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.04	21.5		-0.2	1	at Sport Recife	Clube Atletico Mineiro
Corinthians	L	Flamengo 0-1	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		-5.4	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	-0.82	21.4		+4.0	1	Vasco da Gama	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Athletico-PR		Atletico-GO	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.8		+0.3	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.04	21.5		-0.2	1	at Gremio	Clube Athletico Paranaense
Palmeiras		Fortaleza	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.3	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.05	21.5		-0.2	1	Atletico-GO	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Gremio		Sao Paulo	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.2	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.04	21.4		-0.3	1	Athletico-PR	Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Atletico-GO		at Athletico-PR	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.3	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.05	21.5		-0.3	1	at Palmeiras	Atletico Clube Goianiense
Botafogo		at Goias	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.3	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.04	21.5		-0.2	1	Sao Paulo	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas

Coritiba		at Santos	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.2	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.04	21.5		-0.2	1	Ceara	Coritiba Football Club
Bahia		at Atletico-MG	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.3	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.04	21.5		-0.2	1	at Fortaleza	Esporte Clube Bahia
Ceara		Fluminense	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.7		+0.3	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.04	21.5		-0.1	1	at Coritiba	Ceara Sporting Club
Sport Recife		Bragantino	0	34	0	-	0	-	2	-2	0.0		-0.0	25.6		+0.2	0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	11.1	+0.04	21.6		-0.2	1	Atletico-MG	Sport Club do Recife

Week of 5/4
Flamengo 1 Atletico-MG 0
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	+1.9		+6.8		-5.4		+1.1
Sao Paulo			*-0.1
Bragantino			*-0.1
Goias			-0.1		*+0.1
Santos			*-0.1
Atletico-MG	-1.6		-5.7		+4.7		-0.9
Corinthians			*-0.1
Athletico-PR			-0.1
Palmeiras			-0.1
Gremio			*-0.1
Atletico-GO					*+0.1
Botafogo			-0.1		*+0.1
Coritiba			*-0.1		*+0.1
Bahia			*-0.1
Ceara			-0.1
Sport Recife			-0.1

Goias vs Sao PauloIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	NoNo0.0		25.529.438.4		21.718.312.2		11.110.59.2
Goias			32.323.920.3		15.722.626.5		10.011.412.0
Bahia			*25.826.025.5

Coritiba vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Internacional	NoNo0.0		25.629.538.5		21.718.312.3		11.110.59.2
Coritiba	0.0*NoNo		32.223.720.4		15.722.826.4		10.011.412.0

Gremio vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense	No*No0.0		20.323.832.3		26.522.715.7		12.011.410.0
Gremio	0.0*NoNo		32.423.820.3		15.722.726.3		10.011.412.0
Sport Recife			*25.626.025.4				*11.111.011.1

Palmeiras vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Vasco da Gama	No*No0.0		20.323.932.4		26.522.715.7		12.011.410.0
Palmeiras			32.323.820.4		15.822.826.5		10.011.412.0

Botafogo vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Bragantino					*21.421.221.6
Botafogo			32.323.820.4		15.822.626.5		10.011.312.0
Bahia			20.323.932.3		26.622.615.8		12.011.410.0

Corinthians vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians			32.323.820.3		15.722.726.4		10.011.412.0
Atletico-GO			20.323.932.4		26.522.815.7		12.011.410.0

Fortaleza vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza			32.324.020.4		15.722.626.5		10.011.312.0
Athletico-PR			20.523.932.3		26.422.815.8		12.011.410.0

Santos vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Bragantino			20.423.932.4		26.522.715.7		12.011.310.0
Santos			32.323.820.3		15.622.726.6		10.011.412.0

Sport Recife vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Ceara			20.223.932.2		26.622.615.8		12.011.410.0
Sport Recife			32.223.820.3		15.822.926.5		10.011.412.0

Week of 5/11
Atletico-GO 0 Flamengo 1
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	+2.0		+6.9		-5.4		+1.1
Sao Paulo			-0.1
Internacional			-0.1		*+0.1
Vasco da Gama			*-0.1
Fortaleza			*-0.1
Fluminense			-0.1		*+0.1
Goias			-0.1		*+0.1
Santos			*-0.1
Athletico-PR			*-0.1		*+0.1
Palmeiras			-0.1
Gremio					*+0.1
Atletico-GO	-1.6		-5.7		+4.7		-0.9
Botafogo			*-0.1
Coritiba			*-0.1		*+0.1
Bahia			*-0.1		*+0.1

Internacional vs SantosIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Internacional	0.0NoNo		38.629.525.4		12.318.321.7		9.210.511.1
Santos			20.323.932.3		26.422.615.8		12.011.310.0
Gremio					*21.421.221.6

Sao Paulo vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	0.0NoNo		38.529.525.4		12.318.321.6		9.210.511.1
Fortaleza			20.423.932.3		26.422.715.7		12.011.410.0
Bragantino			25.526.2*25.7
Santos			25.526.1*25.7

Fluminense vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Bragantino			*25.726.225.6
Fluminense	0.0*NoNo		32.223.920.4		15.722.726.5		10.011.412.0
Palmeiras			20.423.732.3		26.622.815.7		12.011.410.0

Bahia vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Coritiba	No*No0.0		20.224.032.2		26.622.615.8		12.011.310.0
Bahia			32.223.820.4		15.822.826.5		10.011.412.0

Vasco da Gama vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Vasco da Gama	0.0*NoNo		32.423.920.4		15.722.826.5		10.011.412.0
Corinthians			25.526.1*25.6
Sport Recife			20.323.832.1		26.622.715.8		12.011.410.0

Ceara vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos			25.526.0*25.7
Gremio	No*No0.0		20.423.832.3		26.522.715.6		12.011.410.0
Ceara			32.223.820.3		15.722.726.5		10.011.412.0

Athletico-PR vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Goias			20.423.832.3		26.422.815.8		12.011.410.0
Athletico-PR			32.423.920.3		15.822.626.5		10.011.412.0

Atletico-MG vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG			32.223.820.4		15.822.826.4		10.011.412.0
Corinthians			20.423.832.2		26.422.715.7		12.011.410.0

Bragantino vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Vasco da Gama			*25.826.225.5
Bragantino			32.423.920.4		15.722.726.5		10.011.412.0
Atletico-GO					*21.521.221.7
Botafogo			20.423.932.3		26.622.715.7		12.011.410.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie AA Title Chances 50/50

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