Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
WednesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI11/9
FlamengoWBotafogo 1-07624-4-338Yes+0.0Yes1001.0No1BahiaClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Sao PauloTFluminense 0-05213-13-511No-0.089.9%+0.0302217129531100003.9+0.01No3Athletico-PRSao Paulo Futebol Clube
PalmeirasTVasco da Gama 0-05114-9-815No-0.087.2+0.12423181310642100004.1No6CorinthiansSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
SantosTAvai 0-05114-9-810No-0.087.6+0.024211814106421000004.1No4at GoiasSantos Futebol Clube
CorinthiansTFortaleza 0-04912-13-610No68.7-1.2913151715128532100005.5-0.04No-0.02at PalmeirasSport Club Corinthians Paulista
GremioTCSA 0-04812-12-716No59.0-2.26101315151411752100006.0-0.06No-0.05at ChapecoenseGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Athletico-PRWCruzeiro 1-04713-8-1010No52.7+18.95811131515128632100006.4+1.410.0%-0.08at Sao PauloClube Athletico Paranaense
BahiaTChapecoense 0-04411-11-95No19.2-3.3123581214141310853100008.9-0.080.0-0.19at FlamengoEsporte Clube Bahia
InternacionalTCeara 0-04311-10-104No14.0-3.0012469121414121075310009.5-0.070.1-0.17FluminenseSport Club Internacional
GoiasTAtletico-MG 0-04212-6-13-11No10.6-2.60123581113141311963100010.0-0.060.1-0.211SantosGoias Esporte Clube
Vasco da GamaTPalmeiras 0-04110-11-10-6No4.8-1.9001135710131414131062100011.1-0.050.8-0.510at CSAClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
CearaTInternacional 0-04011-7-132No3.7-1.600012469121414141183100011.5-0.081.0-0.612at FortalezaCeara Sporting Club
BotafogoLFlamengo 0-13811-5-15-5No1.1-2.000001235811131516148310012.7-0.674.1+1.015AvaiBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Atletico-MGTGoias 0-03810-8-13-5No1.1-0.70000123579121517169310012.9-0.064.6-1.213at CruzeiroClube Atletico Mineiro
FortalezaTCorinthians 0-03710-7-14-5No0.5-0.500000123581114181911620013.5-0.048.0-1.416CearaFortaleza Esporte Clube
AvaiTSantos 0-0327-11-13-18No0.0-0.000000011351122241912216.6-0.0156.3-0.114at BotafogoAvai Futebol Clube
CSATGremio 0-0317-10-14-22No0.0-0.0000000124818242217317.0-0.0266.6+0.717Vasco da GamaCentro Sportivo Alagoano
FluminenseTSao Paulo 0-0308-6-17-12NoNo-0.000000124716222719317.2-0.0170.4+0.818at InternacionalFluminense Football Club
ChapecoenseTBahia 0-0286-10-15-17NoNo000001381524391118.2-0.0188.1+1.119GremioAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
CruzeiroLAthletico-PR 0-1224-10-17-20NoNo0000014138119.7-0.1599.6+0.620Atletico-MGCruzeiro Esporte Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/6
Botafogo 0 Flamengo 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo*Yes
Santos*No
Botafogo-2.1
+2.3
-0.9
Avai 0 Santos 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos*No
-1.2
-0.2
Gremio+0.2
Atletico-MG-0.4
Fortaleza-0.5
Avai+4.1
-0.2
CSA-1.3
Fluminense-0.9
Chapecoense-0.5
Athletico-PR 1 Cruzeiro 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-1.1
Palmeiras-1.2
Santos-1.3
Corinthians-2.2
Gremio-2.4
Athletico-PR+14.5
+1.1
Bahia-1.7
Internacional-1.4
Goias-1.1
Cruzeiro+0.8
-0.2
Ceara 0 Internacional 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+0.8
Gremio+0.9
Athletico-PR+0.8
Internacional-3.7
-0.3
Ceara-1.8
-0.3
Bahia 0 Chapecoense 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+0.5
Santos+0.5
Corinthians+0.7
Gremio+0.7
Athletico-PR+0.6
Bahia-4.3
-0.3
Internacional+0.4
Avai-0.7
CSA-0.7
Fluminense-0.6
Chapecoense+3.0
-0.2
Atletico-MG 0 Goias 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.5
Goias-3.0
-0.3
Atletico-MG-0.8
+0.5
-0.3
Gremio 0 CSA 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+0.3
Santos+0.3
Corinthians+0.6
Gremio-3.4
-0.2
Athletico-PR+0.5
Bahia+0.5
Internacional+0.4
Goias+0.3
Atletico-MG-0.4
Fortaleza-0.5
Avai-1.4
CSA+4.3
-0.2
Fluminense-0.8
Chapecoense-0.6
Vasco da Gama 0 Palmeiras 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-0.9
-0.1
Vasco da Gama-2.3
-0.3
Corinthians 0 Fortaleza 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos+0.3
Corinthians-2.6
-0.2
Gremio+0.6
Athletico-PR+0.4
Bahia+0.4
Internacional+0.4
Goias+0.2
Fortaleza-0.5
+0.8
-0.3
Avai-0.2
CSA-0.2
Fluminense-0.2
Sao Paulo 0 Fluminense 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-0.6
-0.1
Gremio+0.2
Atletico-MG-0.3
Fortaleza-0.5
Avai-1.0
CSA-0.9
Fluminense*No
+3.8
-0.2
Chapecoense-0.5
Week of 11/9
Sao Paulo vs Athletico-PRIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo97.490.282.2
3.13.94.5
Athletico-PR37.948.570.2
7.46.75.3
Palmeiras vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras96.286.678.7
3.34.24.8
Corinthians54.766.084.3
6.45.74.5
Chapecoense vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians70.769.366.1
5.45.55.6
Gremio45.755.374.8
6.86.35.1
Athletico-PR55.253.349.7
6.36.46.6
Chapecoense80.191.294.3
17.718.318.6
Flamengo vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia10.014.831.2
9.89.27.8
Goias vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos79.586.996.1
4.84.23.4
Goias19.07.64.2
8.910.310.9
Internacional vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional23.710.36.7
8.49.810.5
Avai53.155.260.3
16.616.616.7
CSA63.865.669.9
16.917.017.2
Fluminense81.374.457.0
17.717.416.6
CSA vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama1.62.99.3
1.80.50.0
12.011.410.0
Avai61.154.752.6
16.716.616.6
CSA51.971.278.3
16.417.217.6
Fluminense73.669.567.8
17.317.217.1
Fortaleza vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara1.12.27.2
2.10.90.1
12.511.710.3
Fortaleza1.10.20.1
2.58.613.1
12.413.814.4
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG0.20.52.3
8.04.91.1
13.813.211.9
Botafogo vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo2.30.50.2
0.63.58.1
11.713.013.6
AvaiNoNo0.0
69.861.040.0
17.216.915.9
CSA63.465.270.6
17.017.017.1
Fluminense67.669.473.9
17.117.217.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.