Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
WednesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI11/30
FlamengoTCeara 0-08225-7-34399.2%-0.5Yes9911.0No1at PalmeirasClube de Regatas do Flamengo
PalmeirasWFluminense 1-07421-11-3290.8+0.5Yes19722.0+0.10No2FlamengoSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
SantosTFortaleza 0-06719-10-620NoYes2983.0-0.10No3ChapecoenseSantos Futebol Clube
GremioTAthletico-PR 0-05716-9-1021No95.3%+2.7572413414.7+0.11No6Sao PauloGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Athletico-PRTGremio 0-05515-10-1014No81.7+3.61935281455.5+0.04No8at CearaClube Athletico Paranaense
Sao PauloTVasco da Gama 0-05514-13-89No72.7+1.220252819805.7+0.04No5at GremioSao Paulo Futebol Clube
InternacionalTGoias 0-05214-10-115No31.6-2.23111831335007.0+0.05No7at BotafogoSport Club Internacional
CorinthiansTAvai 0-05212-16-77No18.7-4.71513314271007.3-0.02No4at Atletico-MGSport Club Corinthians Paulista
BahiaTAtletico-MG 0-04611-13-112NoNo-0.31529231814101010.4+0.07No-0.09at CSAEsporte Clube Bahia
GoiasTInternacional 0-04512-9-14-16NoNo-0.203212421171320010.7+0.02No-0.011FortalezaGoias Esporte Clube
Vasco da GamaTSao Paulo 0-04511-12-12-6NoNo-0.202172123201520010.9+0.01No-0.010CruzeiroClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
FortalezaTSantos 0-04412-8-15-1NoNo-0.0011619202118510011.2+0.040.0%-0.012at GoiasFortaleza Esporte Clube
Atletico-MGTBahia 0-04311-10-14-5NoNo-0.00151217232910200012.00.0-0.313CorinthiansClube Atletico Mineiro
CearaTFlamengo 0-03810-8-17-1NoNo013833251711314.9+0.0414.1-3.515Athletico-PRCeara Sporting Club
CruzeiroTCSA 0-0387-17-11-10NoNo001426302112515.2+0.1116.5-6.016at Vasco da GamaCruzeiro Esporte Clube
FluminenseLPalmeiras 0-1369-9-17-12NoNo002112027251516.0-0.4639.7+10.114at AvaiFluminense Football Club
BotafogoTChapecoense 0-03510-5-20-15NoNo021015212823016.4+0.0552.0-2.818InternacionalBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
CSATCruzeiro 0-0348-10-17-27NoNo026142452217.2-0.0777.6+2.317BahiaCentro Sportivo Alagoano
ChapecoenseTBotafogo 0-0275-12-18-22NoNo0296219.0-0.02Yes+0.119at SantosAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
AvaiTCorinthians 0-0203-11-21-35NoNo29820.0-0.02Yes20FluminenseAvai Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/23
Fluminense 0 Palmeiras 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-0.5
Palmeiras+0.5
Fluminense+15.8
-0.6
Botafogo-5.6
CSA-3.7
Palmeiras 1 Gremio 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-0.2
Palmeiras+0.2
Gremio-4.4
-0.3
Flamengo 0 Ceara 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara+1.1
-0.2
Internacional 0 Goias 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR+1.8
Sao Paulo+1.9
Internacional-6.0
Goias-0.2
-0.2
Internacional 0 Fortaleza 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR+1.7
Sao Paulo+1.6
Internacional-5.2
Fortaleza-0.2
Corinthians 0 Avai 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR+1.6
Sao Paulo+1.6
Internacional+1.2
Corinthians-5.4
Botafogo 0 Corinthians 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR+1.5
Sao Paulo+1.5
Corinthians-5.0
Cruzeiro-1.3
Fluminense-1.6
Botafogo+4.9
-0.2
Ceara 0 Sao Paulo 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-2.6
Internacional+0.7
Corinthians+0.9
Ceara+1.5
-0.2
Botafogo-0.4
Atletico-MG 0 Athletico-PR 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR-2.5
Internacional+0.9
Corinthians+0.7
Atletico-MG-0.2
Sao Paulo 0 Vasco da Gama 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR+0.7
Sao Paulo-2.1
Internacional+0.4
Corinthians+0.9
Vasco da GamaNo
-0.2
Athletico-PR 0 Gremio 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+1.3
Athletico-PR-1.9
Goias 0 Bahia 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias-0.2
Bahia 0 Atletico-MG 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia-0.2
*No
Atletico-MGNo
-0.3
Fortaleza 0 Santos 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FortalezaNo
-0.2
Cruzeiro 0 CSA 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia*No
Cruzeiro-1.8
CSA+7.0
-0.2
Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara-1.0
Cruzeiro-1.4
Fluminense-2.1
Botafogo+5.7
-0.2
CSA-1.2
ChapecoenseYes
CSA 0 Fluminense 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense+0.6
-0.2
CSA+5.2
-0.2
Santos 0 Cruzeiro 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro+1.9
-0.2
Week of 11/30
Palmeiras vs GoiasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo97.9YesYes
Palmeiras2.1NoNo
Palmeiras vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo97.9YesYes
Palmeiras2.1NoNo
Flamengo vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FlamengoYesYes97.9
PalmeirasNoNo2.1
Sao Paulo vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo96.275.947.3
5.05.76.4
Internacional8.023.260.7
7.67.26.2
Botafogo vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR86.383.675.9
5.45.45.6
Sao Paulo79.575.264.4
5.65.75.9
Internacional15.724.752.1
7.57.16.3
Fortaleza0.0NoNo
Cruzeiro21.715.012.3
15.315.115.0
Fluminense48.838.231.7
16.216.015.9
Botafogo29.057.571.6
15.616.617.0
CSA82.876.073.5
17.417.217.1
Gremio vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio100.097.689.1
4.24.65.2
Sao Paulo55.671.490.7
6.45.85.0
Internacional38.230.425.8
6.97.07.0
Atletico-MG vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR86.583.575.7
5.45.55.6
Sao Paulo76.274.468.2
5.65.75.8
Internacional35.232.827.3
6.86.97.1
Corinthians5.113.135.8
7.97.56.8
Atletico-MGNo0.00.0
11.012.312.7
Ceara vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR86.583.475.8
5.45.55.6
Sao Paulo76.274.568.2
5.65.75.8
Internacional35.232.827.3
6.86.97.1
Corinthians5.113.235.8
7.97.56.8
Fortaleza0.0NoNo
Ceara2.513.825.7
14.115.015.5
Botafogo55.952.847.7
16.516.416.2
Athletico-PR vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR96.680.167.8
4.95.66.0
Internacional27.0*31.736.2
7.16.96.8
Corinthians13.519.223.5
7.47.37.2
Ceara vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR67.880.196.6
6.05.64.9
Internacional36.3*31.727.0
6.86.97.1
Corinthians23.519.213.5
7.37.37.4
Fortaleza0.0NoNo
11.211.211.1
Ceara2.513.825.7
14.115.015.5
Botafogo55.952.747.7
16.516.416.2
Gremio vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio99.796.590.0
4.34.75.0
FortalezaNo*0.00.0
Cruzeiro30.116.82.8
15.815.314.4
Fluminense36.039.243.8
15.916.016.2
Botafogo48.252.555.5
16.216.416.5
CSA74.177.381.5
17.117.217.3
Avai vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FortalezaNoNo0.0
Ceara10.412.518.7
14.714.815.1
Cruzeiro12.915.520.8
15.015.115.4
Fluminense59.944.616.5
16.716.315.3
Botafogo44.650.260.6
16.216.316.6
CSA72.277.283.4
17.117.217.4
Fluminense vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza0.0NoNo
11.911.310.4
Ceara18.712.510.4
15.014.814.8
Cruzeiro20.915.412.9
15.415.115.0
Fluminense16.544.759.8
15.316.316.7
Botafogo60.650.244.6
16.616.316.2
CSA83.377.272.2
17.417.217.1
Atletico-MG vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FortalezaNoNo0.0
11.411.111.0
Atletico-MGNoNo0.0
11.012.312.7
Cruzeiro12.315.021.7
15.115.115.3
Fluminense31.638.248.8
15.916.016.2
Botafogo71.657.529.0
17.016.615.6
CSA73.576.082.8
17.117.217.4
CSA vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro21.015.212.9
15.315.115.1
Fluminense46.037.335.0
16.216.015.9
Botafogo57.749.647.9
16.616.316.2
CSA58.285.392.2
16.617.517.7
Chapecoense vs CSAHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro12.915.221.0
15.115.115.3
Fluminense35.137.346.0
15.916.016.2
Botafogo47.949.657.7
16.216.316.6
CSA92.285.358.2
17.717.416.6
Vasco da Gama vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama10.111.111.6
FortalezaNo*0.00.0
11.411.111.0
Cruzeiro30.116.82.8
15.815.314.4
Fluminense35.939.243.9
15.916.016.2
CSA74.177.381.5
17.117.217.3
Goias vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias9.710.911.7
Fortaleza0.0NoNo
12.111.410.2
Bahia vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia9.410.411.2
Vasco da Gama11.811.19.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.