Thunder Down Under Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50
Lost to Polar Bears 1-2, playoff odds down 8.5 to 54.2%
0 points 0-0-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | League Champion | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Polar Bears 2 Thunder Down Un 1 | -12.0 | -1.2 | -0.7 | |||
| SS Balls 4 Man Chest Hair 1 | +1.4 | -0.2 | ||||
| Aeros 4 Hooligans 2 | +1.3 | -0.2 | ||||
| Ball Busters 4 Grass Stains 2 | *-0.1 | |||||
| Bayside Tigers 3 FC United 6 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 2/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | League Champion | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Thunder Down Un vs Man Chest Hair | +14.7-1.9-13.4 | +0.6-0.2-0.4 | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | |||
| SS Balls vs Grass Stains | +1.5+0.2-1.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Polar Bears vs Hooligans | +0.5+0.7-1.0 | |||||
| Ball Busters vs Bayside Tigers | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | |||||
| Aeros vs FC United | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Thunder Down Un finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | League | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Champion | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 33 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 98.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | 2,339 | ||||||||||
| 31 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 91.6 | 92 | 8 | 1,183 | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 84.4 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 1,857 | |||||||||||
| 29 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 77.4 | 77 | 22 | 1 | 4,381 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 61.1 | 61 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 12,687 | ||||||||||
| 27 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 46.1 | 46 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17,850 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 29.5 | 30 | 49 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 38,673 | |||||||||
| 25 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 14.9 | 15 | 44 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 68,593 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 6.2 | 6 | 32 | 42 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 98,041 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 1.5 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167,082 | * | |||||
| 22 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 43 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 151,897 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 0.3 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 84,879 | |||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 256,017 | * | |||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | No | 0 | 7 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 55,744 | ||||||||
| 20 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 362,915 | |||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 69,953 | |||||||
| 19 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 265,994 | |||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 257,845 | * | ||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 496,441 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 97.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 77,585 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 99.7 | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 39,495 | |||||||
| 17 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 92.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 543,313 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 96.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 44 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 175,333 | * | ||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 83.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 42 | 16 | 1 | 423,583 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 75.9 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 44 | 22 | 2 | 334,759 | * | |||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 59.0 | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 34 | 7 | 619,768 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 68.2 | No | 0 | 3 | 21 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 79,178 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 49.8 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 40 | 10 | 78,027 | * | ||||||||
| 14 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 33.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 48 | 19 | 545,427 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 42.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 44 | 13 | 236,049 | * | ||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 20.1 | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 30 | 422,894 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 15.8 | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 36 | 288,077 | * | |||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 7.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 42 | 50 | 497,828 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 11.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 79,847 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 5.4 | No | 0 | 5 | 39 | 56 | 56,168 | * | ||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 2.3 | No | 0 | 2 | 29 | 69 | 363,458 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 3.6 | No | 0 | 3 | 34 | 63 | 177,709 | * | ||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.9 | No | 0 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 254,922 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.6 | No | 0 | 1 | 18 | 82 | 167,385 | * | ||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 11 | 89 | 248,009 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 13 | 86 | 39,424 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 9 | 91 | 27,892 | * | |||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 156,117 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 70,326 | * | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 84,107 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 60,730 | * | |||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 87,463 | * | |||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 50,743 | * | |||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 24,923 | * | |||||||||||
| 0 | -3 | Out | No | 100 | 18,590 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 54.2 | % | 0.6 | % | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 20 | 26 | 8,743,500 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
