ConeCW Playoff Chances LL65 50/50Beat BourkeR 6-3, Lost to BowmanD 1-7, Plays AndrewsS 11:59 PM, Lost to BreedingT 4-5, Beat ColemanK 7-5, Plays ErnstS 11:59 PM, Lost to FreezeB 4-7, Beat GrecoG 2-0, Plays HartleyK 11:59 PM, Lost to HeffnerE 0-1, Beat PriceE 5-1, Lost to SharpJ 2-4, Plays WatsonKR 11:59 PM, Lost to CurtinT 1-6, Tied EsneaultG 4-4, Beat GelfandJ 3-1, Lost to GrecoD 3-9, Beat HommeyerM 6-1, Lost to HudsonB 5-7, Lost to JeziorskiM 2-4, Beat MuttrejaR 2-1, Tied RizzoA 1-1, Beat SamaK 4-1, Beat SkardonS 2-0, Beat TavelP 5-0 (ot), playoff odds down 18.8 to 16.9% 22 points 10 9-0 2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | CurtinT 6 ConeCW 1 | -14.7 | | -0.3 | | +1.7 | | -1.1 | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | -13.8 | | No | | +0.8 | | -1.0 | | SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 | +12.8 | | | | -3.1 | | +1.2 | | MuttrejaR 1 ConeCW 2 | +12.7 | | +0.7 | | -4.5 | | +1.3 | | GelfandJ 1 ConeCW 3 | +10.6 | | +0.5 | | -7.5 | | +1.4 | | BowmanD 7 ConeCW 1 | -9.4 | | -4.7 | | +6.1 | | -1.5 | | HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 | -9.1 | | -1.2 | | +7.8 | | -1.4 | | HommeyerM 1 ConeCW 6 | +9.0 | | +3.8 | | -8.3 | | +1.6 | | GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 | -8.8 | | -3.2 | | +7.5 | | -1.5 | | JeziorskiM 4 ConeCW 2 | -8.8 | | -5.4 | | +6.3 | | -1.5 | | ConeCW 7 ColemanK 5 | +8.7 | | +5.9 | | -7.0 | | +1.6 | | ConeCW 0 HeffnerE 1 | -8.4 | | -5.3 | | +6.7 | | -1.5 | | SkardonS 0 ConeCW 2 | +8.3 | | +1.5 | | -9.6 | | +1.5 | | BourkeR 3 ConeCW 6 | +8.3 | | +0.5 | | -10.0 | | +1.5 | | ConeCW 4 BreedingT 5 | -8.1 | | -6.1 | | +5.7 | | -1.4 | | ConeCW 2 GrecoG 0 | +8.0 | | +4.8 | | -8.0 | | +1.7 | | TavelP 0 ConeCW 5 (ot) | +8.0 | | +3.8 | | -7.7 | | +1.5 | | ConeCW 5 PriceE 1 | +7.2 | | +3.7 | | -8.1 | | +1.6 | | ConeCW 2 SharpJ 4 | -7.1 | | -4.3 | | +7.0 | | -1.5 | | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +2.9 | | | | | | +0.2 | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | -2.2 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 | -1.8 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 0 WatsonKR 4 | -1.7 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | +1.6 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | -1.5 | | | | | | | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | -1.5 | | | | -0.4 | | | | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | -1.4 | | | | -0.4 | | | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | -1.3 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 | -1.3 | | | | | | | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | +1.2 | | | | | | | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | -1.2 | | | | | | | | SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 | -1.2 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | +1.2 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | +1.2 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | -1.2 | | | | -0.3 | | | | SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | +1.1 | | | | | | | | CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | +0.9 | | | | | | | | HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.9 | | | | | | | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | +0.8 | | | | -0.3 | | | | MuttrejaR 2 WatsonKR 3 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 | +0.8 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 4 ConeCW 4 | -0.7 | | -0.5 | | -0.9 | | | | SamaK 0 HeffnerE 1 | -0.7 | | | | | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | -0.7 | | | | | | | | HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 7 CurtinT 3 | +0.6 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -0.6 | | | | -0.4 | | | | SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 | -0.6 | | -0.2 | | | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | +0.5 | | | | -0.4 | | | | SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.5 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 | -0.5 | | | | +0.6 | | | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | -0.5 | | | | -0.4 | | | | GrecoG 1 HommeyerM 1 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 7 RizzoA 1 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | HudsonB 2 HartleyK 1 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 4 EsneaultG 7 | +0.4 | | | | | | | | LeeD2 7 JeziorskiM 3 | +0.4 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | *-0.3 | | | | | | | | ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.7 | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | +0.3 | | | | +0.3 | | | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | +0.3 | | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | *-0.1 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 1 ConeCW 1 | | | -0.4 | | -0.9 | | +0.1 | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | | | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.3 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ConeCW vs WatsonKR | +12.9+12.1-2.9-14.9-11.8 | | | | -1.5-1.4-1.0+5.0+1.3 | | +1.2+1.1+0.1-1.9-1.1 | | ConeCW vs HartleyK | +12.2+9.8-2.0-14.5-11.1 | | | | -1.5-1.5-1.2+5.2+1.3 | | +1.2+1.0+0.1-1.9-1.1 | | BourkeR vs SharpJ | +2.3+4.3-0.2-2.3-2.5 | | | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | GrecoG vs SkardonS | -2.6-2.3-0.3+3.8+2.5 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | SharpJ vs HudsonB | -2.2-1.7*+0.1+3.9+1.9 | | | | -0.1-0.3*+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | -2.1-1.9-0.4+3.7+2.0 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | -2.1-1.9-0.4+3.6+2.0 | | | | -0.3-0.4*-0.0+0.2+0.3 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | GrecoG vs EsneaultG | -1.8*-0.2-0.6+3.1+1.6 | | | | | | -0.1-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | FreezeB vs WatsonKR | +1.0+2.4-0.2-1.0-1.1 | | | | +0.4+0.4*-0.0-0.6-0.4 | | | | PriceE vs EsneaultG | +0.8+1.9-0.3-1.0-0.9 | | | | | | +0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the ConeCW finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 97.8 | % | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 199,375 | | 29 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 84.9 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 173,909 | | 28 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 47.8 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 705,566 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 48.2 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 57,521 | | 27 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 14.6 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 461,152 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 22.4 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,684 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 13.4 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,277 | | 26 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 937,023 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 1.4 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,356 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 3.2 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,902 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 470 | | 25 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 409,523 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 239,141 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,884 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,243 | | 24 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 554,156 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 105,231 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 44,757 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,367 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 985 | | 23 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.6 | | 211,945 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1.7 | | 121,233 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.5 | | 11,518 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.2 | | 6,585 | | 22 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 17.6 | | 123,007 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 8.4 | | 46,332 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4.9 | | 27,137 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 27 | 39 | 20 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 4.1 | | 748 | | 21 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 46.8 | | 62,464 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 33.0 | | 5,965 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 24.1 | | 1,150 | | 20 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 78.5 | | 12,012 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 29 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 64.8 | | 270 | | 19 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 95.6 | | 989 | | 18 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 6 | | | | | | Yes | 35 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 16.9 | % | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1.5 | % | 4,813,912 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |