FreezeB Playoff Chances LL65 50/50Tied BourkeR 2-2, Lost to BowmanD 4-8, Beat ConeCW 7-4, Beat CurtinT 1E-05-0 (ot), Lost to EsneaultG 4-8, Plays AndrewsS 11:59 PM, Tied BreedingT 2-2, Lost to BrowneL 2-3, Lost to ColemanK 3-7, Beat GrecoG 6-4, Plays HartleyK 11:59 PM, Tied HeffnerE 5-5, Beat PriceE 1-0, Lost to SharpJ 2-9, Beat TavelP 2-0 (ot), Plays WatsonKR 11:59 PM, Tied GelfandJ 3-3, Lost to GrecoD 0-5, Lost to HommeyerM 6-8, Beat HudsonB 4-3, Lost to JeziorskiM 4-6, Lost to MuttrejaR 1-2, Lost to RizzoA 0-3, Plays at SamaK 11:59 PM, Beat SkardonS 4-0, playoff odds down 35.7 to 0.04% 18 points 7 10-0 4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | JeziorskiM 6 FreezeB 4 | -8.3 | | -3.5 | | +7.5 | | -1.5 | | FreezeB 3 ColemanK 7 | -7.7 | | -4.2 | | +7.4 | | -1.5 | | FreezeB 6 GrecoG 4 | +7.6 | | +3.7 | | -8.6 | | +1.7 | | HommeyerM 8 FreezeB 6 | -7.4 | | -2.0 | | +9.0 | | -1.5 | | FreezeB 2 TavelP 0 (ot) | +7.3 | | +2.8 | | -8.9 | | +1.6 | | FreezeB 2 BrowneL 3 | -7.1 | | -4.3 | | +7.0 | | -1.5 | | FreezeB 2 SharpJ 9 | -6.6 | | -3.5 | | +7.3 | | -1.5 | | FreezeB 1 PriceE 0 | +6.4 | | +2.8 | | -8.5 | | +1.6 | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | -6.1 | | -1.2 | | +9.1 | | -1.4 | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | -4.4 | | -0.5 | | +9.6 | | -1.3 | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -4.1 | | | | +10.6 | | -1.3 | | SkardonS 0 FreezeB 4 | +3.1 | | | | -11.0 | | +1.4 | | HudsonB 3 FreezeB 4 | +2.6 | | | | -12.0 | | +1.4 | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | -2.3 | | | | +12.5 | | -1.2 | | GelfandJ 3 FreezeB 3 | -0.7 | | *No | | -0.5 | | | | RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 | -0.7 | | | | +13.3 | | -1.1 | | WatsonKR 6 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.7 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 2 FreezeB 2 | -0.6 | | | | -0.7 | | +0.0 | | ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot) | *-0.4 | | | | *+0.5 | | | | GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.3 | | | | *+0.6 | | | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | -0.3 | | | | -0.6 | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | +0.3 | | | | -0.5 | | | | FreezeB 5 HeffnerE 5 | *-0.2 | | -0.4 | | *-0.4 | | +0.0 | | FreezeB 2 BreedingT 2 | *-0.2 | | -0.3 | | -0.8 | | +0.1 | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 | | | | | +0.8 | | | | HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | HudsonB 2 HartleyK 1 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +0.1 | | | | -12.3 | | +1.0 | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.7 | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | | | | | +1.0 | | | | BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 | | | | | +1.3 | | | | BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +1.0 | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | | | | | -16.5 | | +1.0 | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | | | | | -1.8 | | | | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | | | | | -2.1 | | | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.6 | | | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | | | | | +0.9 | | | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | | | | | +1.9 | | | | BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4 | | | | | +1.3 | | | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -1.3 | | | | GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | +1.6 | | | | BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 | | | | | -1.3 | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | -1.2 | | | | BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 | | | | | +1.2 | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | | | +1.1 | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | SamaK 2 BreedingT 1 | | | | | +0.8 | | | | SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | HudsonB 4 BrowneL 1 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | GelfandJ 5 HartleyK 3 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | PriceE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.2 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | SamaK vs FreezeB | OutOut-0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | | +16.6+29.1-1.7-16.4-17.8 | | -1.0-1.7+0.0+1.0+1.1 | | FreezeB vs WatsonKR | +0.1+0.0-0.0Out-0.0 | | | | -16.9-15.5-1.2+28.2+15.6 | | +1.0+0.9+0.0-1.6-1.0 | | SharpJ vs HudsonB | | | | | -1.2-3.2+0.4+1.3+1.3 | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | | | | | -1.9-2.6-0.2+1.3+2.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | ConeCW vs HartleyK | | | | | -4.1-6.0+0.3+3.2+4.4 | | +0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1 | | GelfandJ vs LeeD2 | | | | | +1.2+1.1+0.4-2.9-1.1 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | TavelP vs HommeyerM | | | | | -0.6-1.6+0.2+0.8+0.7 | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | HeffnerE vs BowmanD | | | | | +0.7+0.7+0.4-2.0-0.6 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | GelfandJ vs BrowneL | | | | | -1.1-1.8+0.2-0.6+1.3 | | -0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | PriceE vs HudsonB | | | | | -1.2-3.0+0.4+1.2+1.3 | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | CurtinT vs HartleyK | | | | | -3.4-5.4+0.8+0.9+3.8 | | +0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | CurtinT vs AndrewsS | | | | | +1.1+1.2+0.4-3.2-1.0 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | BourkeR vs BrowneL | | | | | -2.1-2.8-0.4+2.0+2.3 | | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | | RizzoA vs ErnstS | | | | | -1.9-2.4-0.3+1.6+2.1 | | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | | SamaK vs JeziorskiM | | | | | +1.1+0.9-0.4-1.1-1.0 | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1 | | HeffnerE vs HommeyerM | | | | | +0.1-1.1+0.6-1.1*+0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the FreezeB finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | % | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 198,217 | | 25 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 174,333 | | 24 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.1 | % | 705,558 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 57,122 | | 23 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2.8 | | 462,758 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.0 | | 89,763 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2.2 | | 8,337 | | 22 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 44 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 20.5 | | 935,903 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 19.0 | | 100,955 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 10.9 | | 59,089 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 7 | 31 | 40 | 17 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 18.7 | | 470 | | 21 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 60.6 | | 409,893 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 46.0 | | 239,015 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 45.9 | | 12,974 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 41 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 60.4 | | 7,291 | | 20 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 90.4 | | 554,101 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 40 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 82.7 | | 104,442 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 89.9 | | 45,214 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | 75.5 | | 15,457 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 16 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 2 | | | | | | | 82.0 | | 996 | | 19 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 97.6 | | 211,941 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 99.1 | | 121,453 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 97.9 | | 11,546 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 26 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | 95.3 | | 6,700 | | 18 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 39 | 14 | 2 | | | | | 100.0 | | 123,161 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 33 | 10 | 1 | | | | | 99.9 | | 46,639 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 99.7 | | 27,251 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 26 | 37 | 24 | 8 | 0 | | | | | 99.5 | | 736 | | 17 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 0 | | | | Yes | 62,310 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | | | | 100.0 | | 6,012 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 29 | 40 | 18 | 3 | | | | | Yes | 1,158 | | 16 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 27 | 43 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | Yes | 11,827 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 29 | 42 | 15 | 2 | | | | Yes | 248 | | 15 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 39 | 40 | 8 | 0 | | | Yes | 1,016 | | 14 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 31 | 38 | 23 | 4 | | | Yes | 26 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 38.8 | % | 4,813,912 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |