How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday, 6/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
JeziorskiM 6 FreezeB 4 -8.3
-3.5
+7.5
-1.5
FreezeB 3 ColemanK 7 -7.7
-4.2
+7.4
-1.5
FreezeB 6 GrecoG 4 +7.6
+3.7
-8.6
+1.7
HommeyerM 8 FreezeB 6 -7.4
-2.0
+9.0
-1.5
FreezeB 2 TavelP 0 (ot)+7.3
+2.8
-8.9
+1.6
FreezeB 2 BrowneL 3 -7.1
-4.3
+7.0
-1.5
FreezeB 2 SharpJ 9 -6.6
-3.5
+7.3
-1.5
FreezeB 1 PriceE 0 +6.4
+2.8
-8.5
+1.6
BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 -6.1
-1.2
+9.1
-1.4
GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 -4.4
-0.5
+9.6
-1.3
EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 -4.1
+10.6
-1.3
SkardonS 0 FreezeB 4 +3.1
-11.0
+1.4
HudsonB 3 FreezeB 4 +2.6
-12.0
+1.4
MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 -2.3
+12.5
-1.2
GelfandJ 3 FreezeB 3 -0.7
*No
-0.5
RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 -0.7
+13.3
-1.1
WatsonKR 6 TavelP 0 (ot)-0.7
BourkeR 2 FreezeB 2 -0.6
-0.7
+0.0
ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot)*-0.4
*+0.5
GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot)-0.3
*+0.6
SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 -0.3
-0.6
GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 +0.3
-0.5
FreezeB 5 HeffnerE 5 *-0.2
-0.4
*-0.4
+0.0
FreezeB 2 BreedingT 2 *-0.2
-0.3
-0.8
+0.1
GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 -0.9
HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 +0.6
PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 -0.8
RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 +0.8
HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 -0.3
GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 -0.5
PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 +0.3
ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 -0.8
HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 +0.6
HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 +0.3
BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 -0.8
LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 -0.8
GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 +0.6
BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 +0.6
HudsonB 2 HartleyK 1 +0.5
CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot)+0.1
-12.3
+1.0
EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 *-0.1
GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot)+0.7
SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 +1.0
BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 +1.3
BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot)+1.0
AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 -0.7
ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 -16.5
+1.0
BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 -1.8
MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 -2.1
ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 -0.6
HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.6
MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 +0.9
HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 -0.3
CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 -0.5
HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 +1.9
BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4 +1.3
ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 -0.4
BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 -1.3
GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 +1.6
BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 -1.3
HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 -1.2
BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 +1.2
BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 +1.1
ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 -0.9
SamaK 2 BreedingT 1 +0.8
SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 -0.8
SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 -0.8
SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 -0.8
ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 -0.8
HudsonB 4 BrowneL 1 -0.7
BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 -0.6
EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 -0.4
GelfandJ 5 HartleyK 3 +0.3
PriceE 3 TavelP 0 (ot)*+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
SamaK vs FreezeBOutOut-0.0+0.0+0.1
+16.6+29.1-1.7-16.4-17.8
-1.0-1.7+0.0+1.0+1.1
FreezeB vs WatsonKR+0.1+0.0-0.0Out-0.0
-16.9-15.5-1.2+28.2+15.6
+1.0+0.9+0.0-1.6-1.0
SharpJ vs HudsonB-1.2-3.2+0.4+1.3+1.3
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
MuttrejaR vs ErnstS-1.9-2.6-0.2+1.3+2.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
ConeCW vs HartleyK-4.1-6.0+0.3+3.2+4.4
+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
GelfandJ vs LeeD2+1.2+1.1+0.4-2.9-1.1
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1
TavelP vs HommeyerM-0.6-1.6+0.2+0.8+0.7
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
HeffnerE vs BowmanD+0.7+0.7+0.4-2.0-0.6
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1
GelfandJ vs BrowneL-1.1-1.8+0.2-0.6+1.3
-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0
PriceE vs HudsonB-1.2-3.0+0.4+1.2+1.3
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
CurtinT vs HartleyK-3.4-5.4+0.8+0.9+3.8
+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0
CurtinT vs AndrewsS+1.1+1.2+0.4-3.2-1.0
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1
BourkeR vs BrowneL-2.1-2.8-0.4+2.0+2.3
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1
RizzoA vs ErnstS-1.9-2.4-0.3+1.6+2.1
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1
SamaK vs JeziorskiM+1.1+0.9-0.4-1.1-1.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
HeffnerE vs HommeyerM+0.1-1.1+0.6-1.1*+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the FreezeB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRundleChance will finish regular season at seedRundle
TPWL-OTTplayoffsB12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728ECount
2640-001.1%No00182333249200No198,217
2530-010.0No0161932271230No174,333
2431-000.0No000314283218500.1%705,558
20-02OutNo00314283218400.157,122
2321-01OutNo002102736213002.8462,758
30-10OutNo00415323315101.089,763
10-03OutNo029293721202.28,337
2222-00OutNo001827441820020.5935,903
11-02OutNo00182844172019.0100,955
20-11OutNo002133539101010.959,089
00-04OutNo27314017218.7470
2112-01OutNo00173241173060.6409,893
21-10OutNo001124134101046.0239,015
10-12OutNo01114235101045.912,974
01-03OutNo0163341163060.47,291
2013-00OutNo01934371630090.4554,101
11-11OutNo0011640321010082.7104,442
02-02OutNo0193437163089.945,214
20-20OutNo032242276075.515,457
00-13OutNo21641309282.0996
1912-10OutNo02173732111097.6211,941
03-01OutNo01113237172099.1121,453
01-12OutNo02173832101097.911,546
10-21OutNo052639256095.36,700
1804-00OutNo01113339142100.0123,161
02-11OutNo0317373310199.946,639
11-20OutNo052438256099.727,251
00-22OutNo142637248099.5736
1703-10OutNo0318413170Yes62,310
01-21OutNo00624402450100.06,012
10-30OutNo192940183Yes1,158
1602-20OutNo0627432120Yes11,827
00-31OutNo1112942152Yes248
1501-30OutNo111394080Yes1,016
1400-40OutNo43138234Yes26
Total:0.0%No00001357111520161173100038.8%4,813,912
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs